2020 Renewable Energy targets: can Europe Keep on Track ? Isabel - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

01st October_Budapest

Isabel Cancela de Abreu

Policy Adviser

2020 Renewable Energy targets: can Europe Keep on Track?

The consortium

Contract number: IEE/11/842/SI2.616377 Duration: 36 months (30/06/2012-30/06/2015)

The Keep on track! concrete goals...

• Facilitate the implementation of the RES Directive at a national

level (following the process already started with the REPAP2020 project www.repap2020.eu)

• Create an early warning system to alert those Member States that

are deviating from their trajectory

• Help them to keep on track by:
• identification of main barriers to RES development
• market, legal and political advice and recommendations

... and outcomes...

• EU Tracking Roadmaps (in 2013, 2014 and 2015)
• Analysis of barriers and deviations (in 2013, 2014 and 2015)
• Policy recommendations (in 2013, 2014 and 2015)
• Legal Helpdesk (with online Legal Advice Facility)
• Consolidation of Parliamentary and Industry Networks

22 MS in 2011 are above their 2011/2012 interim targets 5 MS in 2011 are below their 2011/2012 interim targets (FR, UK, LU, NL, MT)

Progress in Renewable Energy Development

(Status 2011)

The EU is on track so far...

5 10 15 20 25 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 [%]

RES Share in gross final energy consumption

actual overall RES share NREAP overall RES trajectory minimum trajectory defined in the RES Directive

…with the transport sector below planned developments

0.00 5.00 10.00 15.00 20.00 25.00 30.00 35.00 40.00 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 [%]

RES sector share in final sectoral energy consumption

actual RES-E share NREAP RES-E trajectory actual RES-H share NREAP RES-H trajectory actual RES-T share NREAP RES-T trajectory

2010-2011 Growth Rates vs. AAGR required to meet 2020 ambitions

• 2.00

0.00 2.00 4.00 6.00 8.00 10.00 Transport

Electricity Heat

• verall

“In the heating & cooling sector in particular, it seems significant improvements in the policy framework are needed.” (COM SWD 2013 102 final) “Current policies being insufficient to trigger the required renewable energy deployment in a majority of Member States.” (COM 2013 175 final)

Hungary’s factsheet

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%

2011 RES-E share 2020 NREAP RES-E target 2011 RES-H share 2020 NREAP RES-H target 2011 RES-T share 2020 NREAP RES-T target

Electricity Heat Transport

0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9%

Overall RES Share

2010 overall RES share 2011 Overall RES share 2011/2012 interim target set by RES Directive 2011 NREAP target

Electrici ricity ty ty ty Heat Trans nsport port rt rt Tota tal Percentage of sector consumption in total final energy consumption in 2011 consumption in 2011 22% 53% 25% 99% 2011 actual share of RES in sectoral gross final energy demand energy demand 6,4% 12,3% 0,5% 8,1% 2011 NREAP target 6,5% 8,8% 4,6% 7,3% 2011/2012 interim target set by RES Directive

• 6,0%

2020 NREAP target 10,9% 18,9% 10,0% 14,7%

Hungary’s growth rates

• 20%
• 10%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%

Electricity 2010-2011 Electricity 2011-2020 Heat 2010-2011 Heat 2011-2020 Transport 2010-2011 Transport 2011-2020 Overall 2010-2011 Overall 2011-2020

Electricity Heat Overall Transport

RES grow

• wth

th rate tes s achiev hieved ed from

• m 2010 to

to 2011 com

• mpared

red to to RES grow

• wth

th rate tes s required ired from

• m 2011 to

to 2 2020 by secto tor

Reaching the RES Objectives: Today and in 2020...

The lack of long term vision for RES is the most important barrier…

And therefore the main recommendation is a stable legislative framework

• Providing a clear signal for investors
• Growing the economy
• Reducing the costs of decarbonisation
• Reducing the costs of financing
• Reducing the need for support mechanisms
• Enhancing EU technology leadership
• Replacing fossil fuel imports
• Creating jobs
• Protecting the environment
• Diversifying technology

Thank you for your attention

Isabel Cancela de Abreu

abreu@erec.org www.erec.org