A s - - PDF document

• ❍❅

• ⑤④

L p 1−p A B

• ❑➢

• ❑Ó

A B C

1c 1c 1c

• ⑤Ú

• ❑●

• ▲☎❖✶◆❣❖✮▲✥❖◗❘☛❷

L 0.999999 0.000001 continue as before instant death

pay $30 ~

• ✒✑
• ▲✥❖✶◆❣❖✮▲✩â✃❷✔❶

• ❑❇

+U +$

−150,000 800,000

• o o
• o o
• ✪✬✫

• ❑❆

p $x 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 500 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 9000 10000 1000 2000

• ➝❅

U Airport Site Deaths Noise Cost Litigation Construction Air Traffic

• ➝❅

• ➝❅

• ❯

1

X

2

X A B C D

1

X

2

X A B C This region dominates A

Deterministic attributes Uncertain attributes

• ➝❅

0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2

• 6
• 5.5
• 5
• 4.5
• 4
• 3.5
• 3
• 2.5
• 2

Probability Negative cost S1 S2 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1

• 6
• 5.5
• 5
• 4.5
• 4
• 3.5
• 3
• 2.5
• 2

Probability Negative cost S1 S2

• ▼☎✄✝✆

• ➝❅

• ✥✌ê✶➍●✥✔✭

• ➝❅

SocioEcon Age GoodStudent ExtraCar Mileage VehicleYear RiskAversion SeniorTrain DrivingSkill MakeModel DrivingHist DrivQuality Antilock Airbag CarValue HomeBase AntiTheft Theft OwnDamage PropertyCost LiabilityCost MedicalCost Cushioning Ruggedness Accident OtherCost OwnCost

• ➝❅
• ⑥⑧⑦

• ➝❅

• ➝❅

• ➝❅

• ✧④

• ✧④

P ( U | E )

j

P ( U | E )

j

P ( U | E )

j

(a) (b) (c)

U U U U

1

U

2

U

2

U

2

U

1

U

1

• ✧④