Kelvin Stagg Chief Financial Officer LSE: PAGE.L Website: https://www.page.com/investors 10 July 2019
A record quarter for the Group LSE: PAGE.L Website: - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
A record quarter for the Group LSE: PAGE.L Website: - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
10 July 2019 Kelvin Stagg Chief Financial Officer Q2 2019 Trading Update A record quarter for the Group LSE: PAGE.L Website: https://www.page.com/investors Headline Numbers Kelvin Stagg, Chief Financial Officer Headline Numbers
Headline Numbers
Kelvin Stagg, Chief Financial Officer
Q2 19
Headline Numbers Financial Review Regional Review Summary
3
Key financial highlights
A record quarter for the Group
£224.6m
£208.2m Q2 2018
£433.5m
£396.0m H1 2018
Gross Profit Q2 Gross Profit H1
+7.4%
+11.7% Q1 2019
+7.9%
+11.2% Q1 2019
Growth in Constant Currency Q2 Reported Rates Q2 Michael Page Q2 Page Personnel Q2
- c. £81m
- c. £87m Q2 2018
- c. £29m
Net Cash Dividend paid in June
+6.2%
+9.9% Q1 2019
+10.3%
+15.6% Q1 2019
Financial Review
Q2 19
Headline Numbers Financial Review Regional Review Summary
76% 24%
Perm Temp
85% 15%
Perm Temp
+6.2% 58% 42%
Perm Temp
+10.3%
5
- Gross Profit growth in
permanent +5.1% to £171.5m
- Temporary +15.4% to £53.1m
- Perm:Temp ratio 76:24, down
- n prior year
- Gross Profit growth in
permanent +5.5% to £131.5m
- Temporary +10.3% to £23.8m
- Gross Profit growth in
permanent +4.1% to £40.0m
- Temporary +19.9% to £29.3m
Strong growth in all brands
Perm:Temp ratio down on prior year
+7.4%
Q2 19
Headline Numbers Financial Review Regional Review Summary
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Professional Services strongest performing
35% 25% 24% 16% 25% 25% 25% 25%
Finance Professional Services Technical Marketing, Sales and Retail
Gross Profit by Discipline
Q2 2019 £m 2018 £m Reported % Constant % Finance Accounting and Financial Services 78.1 72.1 +8.3% +8.0% Professional Services Legal, Technology, HR, Secretarial, Healthcare 55.7 49.7 +12.1% +11.7% Technical Engineering, Property & Construction, Procurement & Supply Chain 53.9 49.6 +8.8% +7.8% Marketing, Sales and Retail 36.9 36.8 +0.0%
- 0.2%
Group Total 224.6 208.2 +7.9% +7.4%
More challenging conditions in Marketing, Sales and Retail
Q2 19
Headline Numbers Financial Review Regional Review Summary
1,685 1,728 6,157 6,035
1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Headcount
Support Staff Fee Earners
- 122
- Decrease in fee earners of 122 (-2.0%)
- Fee earner headcount fell in markets where we saw
more challenging conditions
- Fee earner reduction: -28 EMEA; -37 Asia Pacific;
- 17 Americas; -40 UK
- Flexible business model enables us to react quickly
to changes in market conditions
- Support headcount increased by 43, majority
temporary to support the global roll out of GFS
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Total headcount
- 1.0%
Focus on productivity and conversion
Ratio of fee earners to support staff 78:22
+43
Q2 19
Headline Numbers Financial Review Regional Review Summary
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49.5 51.4 47.8 43.9 42.8 45.0 45.0 45.7 48.1 52.3 53.5 56.7 59.9 68.3 69.2 70.2 79.2 87.4 89.1 93.1 105.5 121.0 123.4 128.2 140.3 152.4 141.3 118.7 95.0 83.8 82.3 90.6 97.9 111.7 112.8 119.9 127.3 147.8 142.6 136.1 135.9 138.0 126.5 126.5 126.8 135.1 126.9 125.1 126.6 137.1 132.9 136.2 135.7 145.3 139.1 135.8 142.2 156.9 158.6 163.3 170.2 181.8 177.2 182.4 187.8 208.2 207.7 211.1 208.8 224.6 223.7
1500 3000 4500 6000 50 100 150 200 250
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q2
Fee Earners Gross Profit (£m) as reported
Fee Earners
Continued strong gross profit growth
Fee earner headcount reacts to trading conditions
Q2 19 Constant currency
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Regional Review
Q2 19
Headline Numbers Financial Review Regional Review Summary
48% 20% 16% 16% EMEA Asia Pacific Americas UK
Q2 growth rate of 7.4%
Gross Profit by Geography
Q2 2019 £m 2018 £m Reported % Constant % EMEA 108.9 100.2 +8.7% +9.0% Asia Pacific 43.8 41.2 +6.4% +4.7% Americas 36.9 30.9 +19.2% +17.4% UK 35.0 35.9
- 2.4%
- 2.4%
Group Total 224.6 208.2 +7.9% +7.4%
Large, High Potential markets* +14%
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- 16 countries achieved YoY growth of over 10%
- 14 countries delivered record quarters
- Americas continued to be fastest growing region
*Germany, Greater China, Latin America, South East Asia and the US
Q2 19
Headline Numbers Financial Review Regional Review Summary
France 32%
- S. Europe
21% Germany 17% Benelux 16% Other 14%
- Michael Page (55% of EMEA) +8%, Page Personnel (45%) +10%
- France, representing 16% of the Group, +6%
- Germany +24%: Michael Page Interim +47%
- Benelux +13%: Strong growth in Belgium and the Netherlands
- Southern Europe +6%: Italy +7%; Spain +3%
- Middle East & Africa +4%
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48% of Group
Gross Profit by Geography
EMEA had another record quarter
Standout performance for Germany
£m Period 2019 2018 Reported % Constant % Gross Profit Q2 108.9 100.2 +8.7% +9.0% H1 213.1 194.9 +9.3% +10.2% Headcount 3,316 3,175 +4.4%
Q2 19
Headline Numbers Financial Review Regional Review Summary
Greater China 40% Australasia 24% SE Asia & India 21% Japan 15%
- Greater China, 8% of the Group, -1%
- South East Asia +8%; Singapore -3%
- Continuing impact of trade tariff uncertainty, particularly amongst our
larger international clients, now also impacting Singapore
- Japan +13%; India +52%; both record quarters
- Australia +4%
20% of Group
Gross Profit by Geography
Asia Pacific impacted by trade tariffs
India and Japan standout performances
12 £m Period 2019 2018 Reported % Constant % Gross Profit Q2 43.8 41.2 +6.4% +4.7% H1 81.9 74.1 +10.5% +9.1% Headcount 1,737 1,660 +4.6%
Q2 19
Headline Numbers Financial Review Regional Review Summary
- US +22%, driven by strong performance in regional offices of
Boston, Chicago, Houston and Los Angeles
- Latin America +15% against tough comparators
- Mexico +30%; Brazil +9%
- The other four countries in Latin America grew 9% collectively
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Americas continues to be fastest growing region
Record quarters for the US and Latin America
USA 56% Mexico 15% Brazil 11% Canada 4% Rest of Latam 14%
16% of Group
Gross Profit by Geography
£m Period 2019 2018 Reported % Constant % Gross Profit Q2 36.9 30.9 +19.2% +17.4% H1 69.1 57.3 +20.6% +19.4% Headcount 1,342 1,227 +9.4%
Q2 19
Headline Numbers Financial Review Regional Review Summary
London 37% North 23% South 24% Midlands 16%
- Brexit continued to weigh on market sentiment, particularly
with senior candidates
- Page Personnel +8%
- Michael Page -6%
16% of Group
Gross Profit by Geography
UK remained challenging
Good growth in Page Personnel
14 £m Period 2019 2018 Reported % Gross Profit Q2 35.0 35.9
- 2.4%
H1 69.4 69.7
- 0.3%
Headcount 1,368 1,395
- 1.9%
Summary
Q2 19
Headline Numbers Financial Review Regional Review Summary
Currently expect 2019 Operating Profit to be towards the lower end of the range of current market forecasts* Strong net cash position of c. £81m Business model enables us to react quickly to market conditions Fee Earner headcount reduced by 122 16 countries delivered YoY growth of over 10% Group Gross Profit growth rate of +7.4%
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A record quarter for the Group
Weaker macro-economic conditions in a number of our markets
*Company compiled consensus for 2019 operating profit of £161.1m with a range of £156.5m - £168.0m
Appendix
Q2 19
Headline Numbers Financial Review Regional Review Summary
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Our business model
Q2 19
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Delivering on our global diversification strategy
A growing international business
61% 39% 76% 24% 84% 16% FY 2007 FY 2013 Q2 2019 Gross Profit
International UK
Q2 19
Headline Numbers Financial Review Regional Review Summary
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70% 87% 70% 89% 30% 13% 30% 11% EMEA Asia Pacific UK Americas Temp Perm 85% 58% 15% 42% Michael Page Page Personnel Geography Brands
Significant variations in recruitment mix
Q2 19
Headline Numbers Financial Review Regional Review Summary EMEA
6,035
- 1,000
2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000
1990-99 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Fee Earner Headcount
AMERICAS ASIA PACIFIC
21
1985-1990 1990-1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2017 2018
Portugal (2000) Switzerland (2001) Belgium (2002) Sweden (2002) Poland S Africa Ireland UAE Austria Turkey Luxembourg Morocco Thailand Indonesia Taiwan India Malaysia New Zealand Japan (2001) China (2003) Australia (1985) USA (1998) Brazil (2000) Canada Mexico Chile Colombia Peru
INTERNATIONAL GROWTH
France (1986) Netherlands (1987) Germany (1993) Spain (1997) Italy (1997) Hong Kong (1995) Singapore (1996)
EMEA APAC UK Americas
Argentina
UK ASIA PACIFIC EMEA AMERICAS
Long term fee earner and international growth
Q2 19
Vietnam
2016
Q2 19
Headline Numbers Financial Review Regional Review Summary
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1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 H1 H2 H1 H2 H1 H2 H1 H2 H1 H2 H1 H2 H1 H2 H1 H2 H1 H2 H1 H2 H1 H2 H1 H2 H1 H2 H1 H2 H1 H2 H1 H2 H1 Headcount Fee Earner Support Staff 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Fee earner investment and support staff
Q2 19
Headline Numbers Financial Review Regional Review Summary
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Year-on-Year Gross Profit Rates
2017 2018 2019
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2
EMEA +14.8% +13.2% +12.6% +19.3% +18.2% +18.6% +20.9% +13.9% +11.4% +9.0% Asia Pacific +3.9% +6.8% +13.9% +14.9% +13.8% +18.4% +27.7% +22.0% +14.9% +4.7% – Asia +3.6% +10.2% +21.9% +20.8% +17.8% +21.2% +32.2% +21.2% +15.6% +5.8% – Australasia +4.7%
- 1.5%
- 4.4%
+0.7% +4.3% +10.6% +15.7% +25.0% +13.0% +0.9% Americas +15.2% +13.8% +18.4% +18.8% +20.4% +29.2% +30.1% +29.2% +21.4% +17.4% – North America +12.5% +14.6% +26.5% +18.7% +16.4% +27.0% +27.2% +30.3% +20.9% +18.9% – Latin America +19.2% +12.8% +9.1% +19.0% +25.7% +32.2% +33.9% +27.7% +21.6% +15.3% UK
- 0.1%
- 4.5%
- 7.6%
- 2.8%
- 7.1%
- 1.9%
+0.8% +2.1% +1.7%
- 2.4%
Group Total +9.1% +7.7% +8.8% +13.8% +12.3% +16.0% +19.7% +15.4% +11.7% +7.4%
Q2 19
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Contacts Jeremy Tatham – Group Financial Controller Tel: +44 (0) 1932 264 143 Email: investorrelations@michaelpage.com Web: https://www.page.com/investors Date Event 7 August 2019 HY 2019 Interim Results 9 October 2019 Q3 2019 Trading Update
Contacts and Calendar
Q2 19
Headline Numbers Financial Review Regional Review Summary
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