Aristotle Capital Management, LLC
Global Opportunities Update
1Q 2015
Los Angeles • Newport Beach
www.aristotlecap.com
Aristotle Capital Management, LLC Global Opportunities Update - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
1Q 2015 Aristotle Capital Management, LLC Global Opportunities Update www.aristotlecap.com Los Angeles Newport Beach Aristotle/Saul Global Opportunities Fund Class I: ARSOX Frequently Asked Questions What is this fund? Absolute
Los Angeles • Newport Beach
www.aristotlecap.com
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Frequently Asked Questions What is this fund?
What do you do?
fundamentals
What am I getting? Global fund with high active share* Significant non‐U.S. equity exposure with dampened forex (FX) exposure Quarterly income distributions Portfolio Managers with majority of liquid net worth invested in Fund
*95% Active Share as of 3/31/2015 There can be no guarantee that any strategy (risk management or otherwise) will be successful. All investing involves risk, including the potential loss of principal.
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PORTFOLIO OVERVIEW
As of March 31, 2015
Holdings and allocations will change due to ongoing management of the Fund. References to specific securities or sectors should not be construed as recommendations. Recommendations for the last 12 months are available upon request.
Aristotle MSCI ACWI Under I Over Under I Over Aristotle MSCI ACWI
Consumer Discretionary 6.5 12.5 Consumer Staples 13.5 9.7 Energy 10.8 7.5 Financials 10.6 21.5 Health Care 3.6 12.2 Industrials 7.3 10.5 Information Technology 12.4 14.0 Materials 12.2 5.3 Telecommunication Services 2.0 3.6 Utilities 5.0 3.2 Cash 10.4 ‐‐‐ Corporate Bonds/ETFs 5.7 ‐‐‐ Europe (ex United Kingdom) 19.4 15.7 United Kingdom 5.7 6.9 Japan 16.2 7.7 Asia (ex Japan) 3.2 5.4 Emerging Markets 3.0 9.0 United States 24.0 51.6 Canada 12.4 3.3 Other Countries
Cash 10.4 ‐‐‐ Corporate Bonds/ETFs 5.7 ‐‐‐
Sector Allocation1 (%) Regional Allocation1 (%)
5.7 10.4 1.8 ‐1.6 6.9 ‐1.6 ‐3.2 ‐8.6 ‐10.9 3.3 3.8 ‐6.0
‐30 30
5.7 10.4 ‐0.4 9.1 ‐6.0 ‐2.2 8.5 ‐1.2 3.7
‐30 30
Fund Composition (%)
24.0% 56.9% 3.0% 4.2% 1.5% 10.4% U.S. Equity Developed Non-U.S. Equity Cash Emerging Markets Corporate Bonds ETFs
Top 10 Holdings (%)
Royal Dutch Shell Plc 3.0 Samsung Electronics 3.0 Newcrest Mining Ltd. 3.0 Unilever N V 2.9 Kurita Water Industries Ltd. 2.7 Toyo Suisan Kaisha Ltd. 2.5 Canadian Natural Resources 2.4 Walgreens Boots Alliance, Inc. 2.3 Lennar Corp. 2.3 Diageo Plc 2.3 TOTAL 26.4
‐27.5
Controversial / Out-of-Favor Quality
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0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 99%
Overlooked / Misunderstood Quality Underappreciated Quality
~Margin of Safety by Seth Klarman
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Underappreciated Quality
Bank of America Corp. Canadian Natural Resources Ltd. Compass Group plc Dassault Systèmes SA Diageo plc eBay Inc. EMC Corp. Givaudan SA Medtronic Inc. Microsoft Corp. Mondelez International Inc. Oracle Corp. Royal Dutch Shell plc Unilever NV Walgreen Co.
Overlooked Quality
adidas AG AES Corp. Banco Santander SA Continental Resources Inc. Daiichi Sankyo Co. Ltd. ITC Holdings Kurita Water Industries Ltd. KDDI Corp. Lennar Corp. Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Inc. MS&AD Insurance Group Ltd. National Fuel Gas Company Oshkosh Corp. Peyto Exploration Corp. Samsung Electronics Co. Ltd. Stock Spirits Group Toray Industries Inc. Toto Ltd. Toyo Suisan Kaisha Ltd. Vallourec SA
Out-of-Favor Quality
Arch Coal Inc.* Cameco Corp. Centamin plc Centerra Gold Inc. Dundee Precious Metals Erste Group Bank AG Goodrich Petroleum Corp.* IAMGOLD Corp.* Kinross Gold Corp. Newcrest Mining Ltd. Uranium Participation Corp.
as of 3/31/2015
*Fixed income positions in italics † Year to date, YTD, contribution to return excludes currency impacts (↓2.5%) and fees
31%
Allocation to respective bucket as a % of total portfolio:
36% 21%
Past performance is not indicative of future results. You should not assume that any of the securities transactions, sectors or holdings discussed in this report are or will be profitable, or that recommendations Aristotle Capital makes in the future will be profitable or equal the performance of the securities listed in this report. Allocations are subject to change. Recommendations for the last 12 months are available upon request. Please see important disclosures at the end of this document.
Sources: Advent, MSCI 6
Performance data quoted here represents past performance. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Investment return and principal value will fluctuate, so that an investor’s shares, when redeemed, may be worth more or less than their original cost. Current performance may be lower or higher than the performance information quoted. To
The Fund’s advisor has contractually agreed to waive certain fees and/or absorb expenses, through April 30, 2015, to the extent that the total annual operating expenses do not exceed 1.10% of average daily net assets of the Fund. The Fund’s advisor may seek reimbursement from the Fund for waived fees and/or expenses paid for three years from the date of the waiver or payment. Without these reductions, the Fund’s performance would have been lower. A redemption fee of 1.00% will be imposed on redemptions of shares within 30 days of purchase. Gross expense ratio is 2.54%. Net expense ratio is 1.15%.
Quarter End 1 Year 3 Years Since Inception* Aristotle/Saul Global Opportunities Fund Class I 1.32%
4.33% 4.32% MSCI ACWI (Net) 2.31% 5.42% 10.75% 10.74%
as of 3/31/2015 *Inception date is 3/30/12
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Sources: Factset, Bloomberg A complete list of holdings is available upon request. This information should not be considered a recommendation to purchase or sell any particular security. Please see important disclosures at the end of this document.
Europe 1.92% Japan + Samsung 1.85% Gold-related 0.86% Other commodity-related 0.12% U.S.
Other 0.09% Portfolio Contribution (Local) 4.19% FX Impact, gross
FX Hedges 0.56% FX Impact
Fees/Other charges
ARSOX 1Q15 Total Return 1.36% Performance data quoted here represents past performance. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Investment return and principal value will fluctuate, so that an investor’s shares, when redeemed, may be worth more or less than their
information current to the most recent month‐end please call 1‐888‐661‐6691.
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Observation that Singapore may be transforming into the Switzerland of Asia seems to be widely held as stock price reached our estimate of fair value. Better risk-reward in Banco Santander. Lacked sufficient visibility on the competitive dynamics of the evolving telecom equipment industry and no longer held a well-founded differentiated view. Transition to higher margin embedded and analog chips has largely played out (45% in ’06 to 80% currently). The company was a strong contributor and was approaching our fair value estimate. More optimal investments in the portfolio with similar attributes and exposures in the semiconductor memory and nuclear power businesses (Samsung Electronics and Cameco). Fundamentals continue to deteriorate. We entered this investment with eyes wide open to the capital intensive, cyclical nature of the business but we underestimated the increasing supply-demand imbalance and the vulnerability of the contract backlog. Reinitiated position (sold in summer 2014) after new management team cut dividend to sustainable level. Leading Spanish bank with focus on retail business. Dominant position in Latin America. We believe profitability has been masked by cyclically high credit losses.
Sources: Factset, Bloomberg A complete list of holdings is available upon request. This information should not be considered a recommendation to purchase or sell any particular security. Please see important disclosures at the end of this document.
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What is underappreciated?
Mondelez International
business
Sources: Company Annual Reports, Bloomberg The company identified above is an example of a holding and is subject to change without notice. The company was selected to help illustrate the investment process described herein. A complete list of holdings is available upon request. This information should not be considered a recommendation to purchase or sell any particular security. Please see important disclosures at the end of this document.
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What is overlooked / misunderstood?
path
(~€6/share in earnings per share) adidas AG
Sources: Company Annual Reports, Bloomberg The company identified above is an example of a holding and is subject to change without notice. The company was selected to help illustrate the investment process described herein. A complete list of holdings is available upon request. This information should not be considered a recommendation to purchase or sell any particular security. Please see important disclosures at the end of this document.
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What is overlooked / misunderstood?
Kurita Water Industries Ltd.
treatment chemicals, water treatment hardware and service (maintenance, cleaning, etc.)
Sources: Company Annual Reports, Bloomberg The company identified above is an example of a holding and is subject to change without notice. The company was selected to help illustrate the investment process described herein. A complete list of holdings is available upon request. This information should not be considered a recommendation to purchase or sell any particular security. Please see important disclosures at the end of this document.
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Important Information: The views in this report were as of the date stated and may not necessarily reflect the same views on the date this letter is first published or any time thereafter. These views are intended to help shareholders in understanding the Fund’s investment methodology and do not constitute investment advice. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Investment return and principal value will fluctuate, so that an investor’s shares, when redeemed, may be worth more or less than their original cost. An investment in the Fund is subject to risks and you could lose money on your investment in the Fund. The principal risks of investing in the Fund include, but are not limited to, investing in foreign securities, emerging markets, short sales, derivatives, below investment grade bonds, convertible securities, and ETFs. Foreign securities have additional risks including currency rate changes, political and economic instability, lack of comprehensive company information, less market liquidity, less efficient trading markets, and differing auditing controls and legal standards. Investments in emerging markets involve even greater risks. The use of short sales and ETFs may cause the Fund to have higher expenses than those of other equity funds. Short sales are speculative transactions and involve special risks, including a greater reliance on the investment team's ability to accurately anticipate the future value of a security. The Fund’s losses are potentially unlimited in a short sale transaction. The Fund’s use of short sales and futures contracts leverages the Fund’s portfolio. The Fund’s use of leverage can make the Fund more volatile and magnify the effect of any losses. There is no assurance that a leveraging strategy will be successful. The Fund may invest in derivatives which can be highly volatile, illiquid, difficult to value, and changes in the value of a derivative may not correlate with the underlying securities or other securities held directly by the Fund. Such risks include gains or losses which, as a result of leverage, can be substantially greater than the derivatives' original cost. There is also a possibility that derivatives may not perform as intended which can reduce opportunity for gain or result in losses by offsetting positive returns in other securities the Fund owns. Please consider the Fund’s investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses carefully before investing. The prospectus or summary prospectus that contains this and other information about the Fund is available by calling 1‐888‐661‐6691 or by visiting aristotlefunds.com and should be read carefully prior to investing. The Aristotle/Saul Global Opportunities Fund is distributed by IMST Distributors, LLC.
Definitions:
represents the cash that a company is able to generate after laying out the money required to maintain or expand its asset base. Free cash flow is important because it allows a company to pursue opportunities that enhance shareholder value. The volatility (beta) of the account may be greater or less than the benchmarks. An investor cannot invest directly in these indices.
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Effective January 17, 2014, Aristotle/Saul Opportunity Fund has been renamed Aristotle/Saul Global Opportunities Fund. In addition, the Fund’s investment strategy has been updated. Portfolio composition will change due to ongoing management of the Fund. References to specific securities or sectors should not be construed as recommendations by the Fund, its Advisor or Distributor. As of March 31, 2015, the Fund held the following positions as a percent of total net assets: adidas Ag ‐ Spon Adr 0.91%; Banco Santander Sa ‐ Spon Adr 2.04%; Daiichi Sankyo Co ‐ Spon Adr 0.40%; Dbs Group Holdings ‐ Spon Adr 0.00%; Diageo Plc ‐ Spon Adr 2.28%; Mitsubishi Ufj Finl Grp ‐ Spon Ad 1.56%; Newcrest Mining Ltd ‐ Spon Adr 0.20%; Royal Dutch Shell Plc ‐ Spon Adr 3.00%; Unilever N V ‐ Ny Shares 2.93%; Aes Corp 1.33%; Bank Of America Corp 1.66%; Cameco Corp 2.08%; Canadian Natural Resources 2.43%; Continental Resources Inc/Ok 1.39%; ebay Inc 2.09%; Emc Corp/Ma 1.83%; Itc Holdings Corp 1.82%; Kinross Gold Corp 1.19%; Lennar Corp‐A 2.31%; Medtronic Plc 1.99%; Microsoft Corp 1.88%; Mondelez International Inc‐A 1.97%; National Fuel Gas Co 1.83%; Oracle Corp 1.47%; Oshkosh Corp 2.03%; Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc 2.32%; Centamin Plc 1.51%; Compass Group Plc 1.95%; Stock Spirits Group Plc 1.43%; Centerra Gold Inc 1.47%; Dundee Precious Metals Inc 1.56%; Peyto Exploration & Dev Corp 1.88%; Uranium Participation Corp 1.73%; Adidas Ag 1.32%; Dassault Systemes Sa 2.08%; Erste Group Bank Ag 1.42%; Vallourec Sa 0.80%; Daiichi Sankyo Co Ltd 1.16%; Kddi Corp 1.97%; Kurita Water Industries Ltd 2.65%; Ms&Ad Insurance Group Holdings 2.19%; Toray Industries Inc 1.95%; Toto Ltd 1.80%; Toyo Suisan Kaisha Ltd 2.54%; Newcrest Mining Ltd 2.95%; Givaudan‐Reg 1.39%; Samsung Electronics‐Pref 3.00%; Arch Coal Inc 1.21%; Goodrich Petroleum Corp 0.45%; Arch Coal Inc 0.25%; Arch Coal Inc 0.40%; Iamgold Corp 1.93%; and Etfs Platinum Trust 1.46%. Portfolio composition will change due to ongoing management of the Fund. References to specific securities or sectors should not be construed as recommendations by the Fund, its Advisor or Distributor. ACML‐15‐232