Bank of America Merrill Lynch Global Transportation Conference May - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Bank of America Merrill Lynch Global Transportation Conference May - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Bank of America Merrill Lynch Global Transportation Conference May 16, 2013 John P. Rathbone Executive Vice President Finance and Chief Financial Officer 1 Norfolk Southern Update System Overview Technology / Productivity First


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Bank of America Merrill Lynch Global Transportation Conference

John P. Rathbone Executive Vice President Finance and Chief Financial Officer

May 16, 2013

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Norfolk Southern Update

  • System Overview
  • Technology / Productivity
  • First Quarter Results
  • Second Quarter Update
  • Business Outlook
  • Capital Structure

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Norfolk Southern System

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NY / NJ Philadelphia Wilmington Baltimore Morehead City Charleston Savannah Brunswick Jacksonville Norfolk Portsmouth Mobile New Orleans Braithwaite

  • St. Bernard

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Cleveland Erie Ashtabula Detroit Toledo Chicago Burns Harbor Granite City, IL Jeffersonville, IN Cincinnati Louisville Naples Portsmouth, OH Pittsburgh Memphis

A Network of Port Access

Camden / South Jersey NS Railway & Ports served by NS Seaports River Ports Lake Ports

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Lamberts Point, VA Coal Terminal

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Wheelersburg, OH Coal Terminal

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Coal Network

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Excludes coke, iron ore & outbound Wheelersburg

Illinois Basin 20.4 M Tons 14% Northern Appalachia 41.1 M Tons 27% Western 26.3 M Tons 18% Central Appalachia 57.6 M Tons 39% Southern Appalachia 3.3 M Tons 2%

Norfolk Southern Railway and its Railroad Operating Subsidiaries

  • - - NS Trackage and

Haulage Rights

Dynamics of Coal Market

2012 Volumes

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Utility Coal

Plant Scherer - Georgia

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Intermodal Corridors

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Harrisburg

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Rossville Intermodal Facility

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McCalla Intermodal Facility

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  • 2 Pad Tracks – 3850’ EA
  • 2 Yard Tracks – 3950’ EA
  • 816 Trailer Spaces

Greencastle Intermodal Facility

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Intermodal Network

Chicago 90% of total NS Intermodal volume touches the Golden Triangle Harrisburg Atlanta

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Merchandise Network

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Merchandise Network

Major Rail Classification Yards

Bellevue, OH Allentown, PA Macon, GA Birmingham, AL Sheffield, AL Enola, PA Elkhart, IN Conway, PA Linwood, NC Chattanooga, TN Knoxville, TN

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Merchandise Network

TBT Facilities

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Merchandise Network

TBT Facilities

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Merchandise Network

Automotive Facilities

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Atlanta Charlotte Chicago Columbus Detroit Savannah Miami Cincinnati Harrisburg Norfolk New Orleans Memphis Dallas Jacksonville Charleston Lexington Kansas City St Louis Louisville Baltimore Toledo Cleveland Pittsburgh Ayer Albany Buffalo Titusville NY/NJ Philadelphia Birmingham Meridian Chattanooga

NS Automotive Network

NS Automotive Network and Haulage 26 Assembly Plants Assembly Plants on Short Line connecting with NS

  • Ft. Wayne
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Major Auto Projects

Our Manufacturing Network Continues to Expand

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Shreveport

75-Car Unit Train Receivers

NS Unit Grain Train Network

75-Car Unit Train Loaders

Merchandise Network

Unit Grain Train

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Marcellus & Utica Shale Deposits

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Bakken Alberta

  • Efficient and direct routing to

East Coast, Gulf Coast and Midwest refineries

  • Unit train staging & delivery

Chicago

Crude Oil to East Coast, Gulf Coast and Midwest Refineries

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Norfolk Southern Update

  • System Overview
  • Technology / Productivity
  • First Quarter Results
  • Second Quarter Update
  • Business Outlook
  • Capital Structure

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  • Improved locomotive utilization
  • Improved schedule adherence
  • Increased capacity
  • Disaster recovery

capability

  • Improved network Velocity; 2-4

MPH

  • Estimate completion

by end of 2014

UTCS – Movement Planner

Unified Train Control System

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LEADER

  • Calculates optimal “Golden Run” for every train start
  • Locomotive engineer coaching
  • Significant fuel savings
  • Estimate completion by end of 2015

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Bellevue Yard Expansion

Bellevue, OH Allentown, PA Macon, GA Birmingham, AL Sheffield, AL Enola, PA Elkhart, IN Conway, PA Linwood, NC Chattanooga, TN Knoxville, TN

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Bellevue Yard Expansion

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Bellevue Yard Expansion

Current Handling – Philadelphia Area to UP

Pavonia Conway Elkhart Chicago Handling & Dwell Locations:

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Bellevue Yard Expansion

Handling after expansion – Philadelphia Area to UP

Pavonia Bellevue Handling & Dwell Locations:

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Bellevue Yard Expansion

Current Handling – Southeast to UP

Chattanooga Elkhart Chicago Handling & Dwell Locations:

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Bellevue Yard Expansion

Handling after expansion – Southeast to UP

Chattanooga Bellevue Handling & Dwell Locations:

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Roanoke Hump Closure

Roanoke

Atlanta Norfolk Charleston Philadelphia Columbus

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Norfolk Southern Update

  • System Overview
  • Technology / Productivity
  • First Quarter Results
  • Second Quarter Update
  • Business Outlook
  • Capital Structure

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Revenue $2.7 Billion, down (2%) RPU $1,535, down (5%) Volume 1,783,600 units, up 3%

1Q 2012 Mix/Price Fuel Volume 1Q 2013

$2,789 $2,738 ($85) ($51) $85

1Q 2013 Revenue $ in Millions & y-o-y Percent Change Components of Revenue Change $ in Millions

Railway Operating Revenue

First Quarter 2013 vs. 2012

Merchandise $1,530 +2% Coal $635 (17%) Intermodal $573 +9%

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1Q 2013 Volume (000’s) & y-o-y Percent Change

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500 1,000 1,500 2,000 1Q 2012 1Q 2013 Coal Merchandise Intermodal (0.5%) +9% (4%) 1,730.8 1,783.6

Coal down (4%) (9%) decline in Utility 21% rise in Export (14%) decline in Domestic Met Intermodal up 9% 7% gain in Domestic and 13% increase in International Merchandise down (0.5%) Decline in MetCon and Agriculture more than offset strength in Chemicals and Automotive

Total volume up 3%

Railway Volume

First Quarter 2013 vs. 2012

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207.6 77.2 41.8 16.6 50 100 150 200 250 Utility Export Dom Met Ind Drivers

Coal Market

First Quarter 2013 vs. 2012

Weak demand results in overall volume decline of (4%) Revenue: $635 Million, down (17%) RPU: $1,850, down (13%)

Utility 61% Export 22% Dom Met 12% Ind 5%

Percent of Total 1Q 2013 Volume Units (000’s) (9%) 21% (14%) (10%) Utility Overall weak demand, Utility South down (16%) and a (3%) decline in Utility North Export Increases in thermal coal and improving metallurgical volumes through Baltimore and Lamberts Point Domestic Met Impact of RG Steel comp and weaker steel production Industrial General market declines and use of higher efficiency equipment

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570.2 286.2 100 200 300 400 500 600 Domestic International

Intermodal Market

First Quarter 2013 vs. 2012

7% 13%

Revenue: $573 Million, up 9% RPU: $669, down (0.3%)

Drivers

Strong growth in Domestic and International leads to 9% overall volume gain

Domestic 67% Int’l 33%

Units (000’s)

Domestic Opening of new Crescent Corridor lanes and continued highway conversions International Organic growth across existing accounts

Percent of Total 1Q 2013 Volume

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154.8 147.9 106.0 98.7 76.6 50 100 150 200 MetCon Ag Chem Auto Paper

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Drivers MetCon Weaker steel volumes due to RG Steel comp and decline in domestic raw steel production Agriculture Decline in corn volumes to processors and impact of ethanol plant closures Chemicals Growth in crude by rail business Automotive New business from existing customers Paper Rebound in housing related commodities,

  • ffset weaker volumes of graphic paper

Merchandise Market

First Quarter 2013 vs. 2012

(6%) (3%) 10% 2% --

Revenue: $1.5 Billion, up 2% RPU: $2,619, up 3% Strong gains in Chemicals

Units (000’s)

MetCon 27% Ag 25% Chem 18% Auto 17% Paper 13%

Percent of Total 1Q 2013 Volume

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Operating Results

First Quarter ($ Millions)

(Unfavorable) 2013 2012 $ % Railway operating revenues $ 2,738 $ 2,789 $ (51) (2%) Railway operating expenses 2,047 2,044 (3)

  • Income from railway operations $

691 $ 745 $ (54) (7%) Railway operating ratio 74.8 73.3 (1.5) (2%)

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$2,044 $16 $3 $2 $12 $6 $2,047

2013

Railway Operating Expenses

First Quarter ($ Millions)

Fuel Compensation & Benefits Depreciation Purchased Services & Rents

Net Increase $3 / -%

2012 Materials & Other

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2012 2013 2013* $410 $450 $390 *Excluding Michigan land sale gain - please see reconciliation to GAAP posted on our web site. 2012 2013 2013* $1.23 $1.41 $1.22

Net Income and Diluted Earnings per Share

First Quarter ($ Millions except per share)

Net Income

Change vs. Prior Period: + 10%

Diluted Earnings per Share

Change vs. Prior Period: + 15%

  • 5% *
  • 1% *

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Operating Efficiencies

First Quarter 2013 vs. 2012

Crew Starts Improved 5 % Train & Engine Service Overtime Improved 9 % Re-Crews Improved 5 % Equipment Rents (Velocity Driven) Improved 4 % Carloads/Units per Locomotive Improved 6 % Gross Ton Miles/Gallon Improved 2 %

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Norfolk Southern Update

  • System Overview
  • Technology / Productivity
  • First Quarter Results
  • Second Quarter Update
  • Business Outlook
  • Capital Structure

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836.5 851.4 2012 2013 Units (000)

Current Railway Volume

Second Quarter through Week 19 (May 11, 2013)

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  • 851,400 units, up 2%

12% 12% 5% 0% (3%) (4%) (8%) Change in Units 2QTD13 vs. 2012 Chemicals Automotive Intermodal Paper Coal Agriculture MetCon

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6,724 8,530 6,191 6,859 8,419 1Q '12 2Q '12 3Q '12 4Q '12 1Q '13

Met Thermal

9%

Tons (000)

Export Coal Volumes

1Q 2012 – 1Q 2013

91% 71% 29% 83% 17% 74% 26% 75% 25%

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Train Speed

1Q10 – 1Q13

19.0 20.0 21.0 22.0 23.0 24.0 25.0 1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13

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Better

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Terminal Dwell

1Q10 – 1Q13

20.0 21.0 22.0 23.0 24.0 25.0 26.0 27.0 1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13

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Better

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Composite Service Performance

1Q10 – 1Q13

70% 72% 74% 76% 78% 80% 82% 84% 86% 1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13

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Norfolk Southern Update

  • System Overview
  • Technology / Productivity
  • First Quarter Results
  • Second Quarter Update
  • Business Outlook
  • Capital Structure

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Business Outlook for 2013

  • Utility coal impacted by

demand for electricity, competition from natural gas and higher stockpiles

  • Softer domestic

metallurgical market to support steel production

  • Weak demand in

European market for both met and steam coal

  • Weaker Asian market

Coal

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Business Outlook for 2013

  • Utility coal impacted by

demand for electricity, competition from natural gas and higher stockpiles

  • Softer domestic

metallurgical market to support steel production

  • Weak demand in

European market for both met and steam coal

  • Weaker Asian market
  • Continued opportunities

for highway conversion

  • New Intermodal service

lanes ahead as new corridor terminals open

  • Growth with

international shipping partners

Coal Intermodal

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Business Outlook for 2013

  • Utility coal impacted by

demand for electricity, competition from natural gas and higher stockpiles

  • Softer domestic

metallurgical market to support steel production

  • Weak demand in

European market for both met and steam coal

  • Weaker Asian market
  • Continued opportunities

for highway conversion

  • New Intermodal service

lanes ahead as new corridor terminals open

  • Growth with

international shipping partners

Coal Intermodal Merchandise

  • Project growth in crude
  • il and increased volume

for shale related liquid petroleum gases

  • Gains in steel, but weaker

aggregate market

  • Continued automotive

growth despite tougher comps

  • Reduced U.S. corn and

soybean crop

  • Improved housing &

related construction materials market

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Norfolk Southern Update

  • System Overview
  • Technology / Productivity
  • First Quarter Results
  • Second Quarter Update
  • Business Outlook
  • Capital Structure

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$315 $8,682 $9,445

12/31/12

Common Stock Debt Other

$390 $7,364 $6,110

12/31/02

Common Stock Debt Other

Capital Structure Change

2002 vs 2012

($ millions)

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* See reconciliation of “Other” to GAAP posted on our website, www.nscorp.com.

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Weighted Avg Interest Rate & Maturities

2008 – 2012

Dec 08 Dec 09 Dec 10 Dec 11 Dec 12 6.75% 6.69% 6.57% 6.14% 5.51%

Weighted Avg Interest Rate

Dec 08 Dec 09 Dec 10 Dec 11 Dec 12 20.4 19.3 21.9 25.9 23.7

Weighted Avg Maturities (yrs)

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2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Budget

$1,558 $1,299 $1,470 $2,160 $2,241 $2,008

Capital Expenditures

($ millions)

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2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

$2,715 $1,860 $2,714 $3,227 $3,065 $1,558 $1,299 $1,470 $2,160 $2,241

Cash from Operations Capital Expenditures

Cash From Ops and Capital Expenditures

($ millions)

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2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

$0.30 $0.36 $0.48 $0.68 $0.96 $1.22 $1.36 $1.40 $1.66 $1.94 $2.00

Annual Dividend Per Share

Compound annual growth rate of 21% for 2003 through 2013

+15% +20% +33% +42% +41% +27% +11% +3% +19% +3%

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Balanced Cash Flow Utilization

2006 through 2012

Dividends Share Repurchases Capital Expenditures

$11.2 Billion $10.8 Billion*

$7.5 Billion $3.3 Billion

* See reconciliation of Total Shareholder Distributions to GAAP posted on our website, www.nscorp.com.

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Thank You

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