City of Virginia Beach Uranium Mining Impact Study Energy Advisory - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
City of Virginia Beach Uranium Mining Impact Study Energy Advisory - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
City of Virginia Beach Uranium Mining Impact Study Energy Advisory Committee September 29, 2011 Uranium Mill Tailings Original Concept 119 million # of uranium (0.06% ore) 100 million pounds of yellow cake Open-Pit, 76 MCY of
Uranium Mill Tailings
Original Concept –119 million # of uranium (0.06% ore)
- 100 million pounds of yellow cake
- Open-Pit, 76 MCY of tailings
Dec 2010 plan – 60 million # of uranium (0.11% ore)
- 50 million pounds of yellow cake
- Deep Shaft, 20 MCY of tailings
- About 1/3 returned to mine shafts, 2/3 stored in 8
surface tailings impoundments
- Surface tailings impoundments will be 40 acres
(maximum) and store about 1.5 – 2.0 MCY, each
Mount Trashmore in Virginia Beach is 20 acres and 1.3
million cubic yards
Project Description
Coles Hill
Near PMP Storms in Virginia
Examples:
- Nelson County –
August 1969
27 – 31 inches in
8-hours (Hurricane Camille)
- Madison County –
June 1995
30 inches in 14
hours
Virginia Beach Disaster Simulation Study
Model and estimate the water quality impacts
from a storm-based breach of a uranium mill tailings confinement structure, which results in a large release of mill tailings downstream to the Banister or Roanoke Rivers
Provide the results to the National Academies of
Sciences Committee on Uranium Mining for consideration as part of its study due Dec 2011
Study Qualifiers
The study simulated a rare event that
regulations are supposed to prevent
Conservative Worst Case Scenario
based on above ground impoundments
The model does not address the issue
- f whether there will be a catastrophe
– it only simulates the outcome if one did occur
Aftermath of a Tailings Release
Tailings separate into particulate (80-90%) and
dissolved (10-20%) components
Particulates tend to remain above Kerr Dam –
in the reservoirs, river beds and flood plains
Dissolved contaminants tend to move
downstream with the water and flow into and then out of Kerr Reservoir, into and then out of Lake Gaston, thru Roanoke Rapids Reservoir, and ultimately downstream
Impacts From a Tailings Release
Radioactivity in the water is initially very high,
but declines as the particulates settle and the dissolved contaminants flow downstream
Radioactivity of the sediments remains high on
a long-term basis
Subsequent high flows re-suspend some settled
particulates and move them incrementally downstream – much smaller effect
Most particulates will remain in the flood plain,
river beds, or reservoirs upstream of Kerr Dam
Fate of Radiological Contaminants in the System after One Year
Banister River, Various Modeling Scenarios Roanoke River, Various Modeling Scenarios
Percent of Radioactivity Leaving the System (Flowing Downstream as a Dissolved Contaminant)
5-11% 11-19%
Percent of Radioactivity Remaining in the Water Column
0-2% 0-2%
Percent of Radioactivity Remaining in the System (In the Flood Plain, River Bed or Kerr Reservoir)
89-93% 78-87%
5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400
Radioactivity Concentration (pCi/L) Time (Day) Radioactivity Concentration in the Water Column from Radium-226 and Thorium-230 Banister + Dam 15m + CSW3 50% + HYD2 1% + GSC1 + RAD2
Node 286 - At Mouth of Kerr Reservoir Node 397 - At Kerr Dam MCL for Combined Radium-226 and 228 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400
Radioactivity Concentration (pCi/L) Time (Day) Radioactivity Concentration in the Water Column from Radium-226 and Thorium-230 Roanoke + Dam 15m + CSW3 50% + HYD2 1% + GSC1 + RAD2
Node 311 - At Mouth of Kerr Reservoir Node 420 - At Kerr Dam MCL for Combined Radium-226 and 228
Model Limitations – Flushing Time
Kerr Reservoir was modeled as a large, one-
dimensional channel – a giant river
Reasonable during flood periods. During normal
and drought periods, Kerr Reservoir will act more like a lake
Dissolved contaminants will experience mixing,
dispersion, stagnation. May add to flushing time
Lake Gaston has a volume equal to about half of
Kerr Reservoir which will add to flushing time
Flushing Time in Kerr and Gaston
Retention time for Kerr and Gaston combined:
About one month during severe flooding About six months during normal flows About one year during droughts
It can take one or two retention times to
completely flush dissolved/suspended contaminants from a large water body
Depending upon whether it is wet or dry
following a contamination event, it could take two months or two years to flush dissolved and suspended contaminants from both reservoirs
Conclusions – Phase 1
If there is a storm-based release of tailings, the
particulates will settle in the river and reservoir beds, dissolved contaminants will move downstream
Radiation in the water column rises significantly
then will subside
River and reservoir beds are significant long-term
trap for particulates which are the bulk of tailings
Impacts upstream of Kerr Dam are greater and
potentially longer lasting than downstream
Impact Study – Phase 2
2D model for Kerr and Gaston 1996 (Hurricane Fran): 100-year storm in
Banister River, 30-50 year storm in remainder
- f Basin, followed by 2002 drought year
Second lowest impoundment level (15 M) More precise data on tailings properties
(radiation, grain size distribution, partition coefficients)
Study is behind schedule – Current target is
for end of the year
Kerr Reservoir 1D Channel Model
Kerr Reservoir: 2D Model Grid
Lake Gaston: 2D Model Grid
59 blocks
5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400
Radioactivity Concentration (pCi/L) Time (Day) Radioactivity Concentration in the Water Column from Radium-226 and Thorium-230 Banister + Dam 15m + CSW3 50% + HYD2 1% + GSC1 + RAD2
Node 286 - At Mouth of Kerr Reservoir Node 397 - At Kerr Dam MCL for Combined Radium-226 and 228 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400
Radioactivity Concentration (pCi/L) Time (Day) Radioactivity Concentration in the Water Column from Radium-226 and Thorium-230 Roanoke + Dam 15m + CSW3 50% + HYD2 1% + GSC1 + RAD2
Node 311 - At Mouth of Kerr Reservoir Node 420 - At Kerr Dam MCL for Combined Radium-226 and 228