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New Milford School Facility Utilization & Study
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June 19, 2013
Committee Recommendations June 19, 2013 In Association with 1 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
New Milford School Facility Utilization & Study Committee Recommendations June 19, 2013 In Association with 1 Tom Jokubaitis Study Com m ittee Mem bers Ellam ae Baldelli , Director of Human Gregg Miller , Director of Fiscal Services,
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June 19, 2013
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Resources, Resident
Health
Town Council
Finance
Chair, Parent
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Parent
Member, Resident
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Special Services, Resident
Schools
Committee, Grandparent
Member, Parent
President, Parent
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Schools
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358 335 348 374 368 346 320 339 367 352 325 303 311 278 238 269 272 266 259 253 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500
Actual and Projected Births, 1996-2015 New Milford
Source: CT Dept. of Public Health (2012). 127 114 125 155 146 133 112 116 113 107 114 112 114 114 115 123 109 116 118 115 98 98 95 90 74 88 87 91 92 94 94 88 97 93 90 94 89 98 71 56 67 71 76 79 82 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Actual and Projected Births by Elementary School District, 2001-2015 New Milford
Hill and Plain John Pettibone Northville
Source: CT Dept. of Public Health (2012) This study was approved by the DPH HIC. Certain data used in this study were obtained from DPH. MMI assumes full responsibility for analyses and interpretation
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5,135 5,175 5,2405,206 5,096 5,039 5,012 4,894 4,857 4,744 4,640 4,585 4,519 4,397 4,241 4,152 4,064 3,967 3,908 3,792 3,500 3,750 4,000 4,250 4,500 4,750 5,000 5,250 5,500 5,750 6,000
Historic and Projected Enrollments New Milford Public Schools, PreK-12th Grade 2001-02 to 2020-21
Historic Median Prek-12 TOTAL
Historic Median (2001-02 to 2012-13) 5,012 Students Sources: CT Dept. of Ed. CeDar & New Milford Public Schools, projections based on three-year average persistency ratios.
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02-03 03-04 04-05 05-06 06-07 07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18 18-19 19-20 20-21 Hill and Plain 510 498 507 486 489 482 461 449 456 458 478 480 457 448 432 430 423 420 407 John Pettibone 518 545 529 526 501 490 479 448 458 435 437 414 395 373 359 352 347 354 348 Northville 515 551 515 537 519 547 541 534 548 523 458 455 426 388 367 339 339 355 359 TOTAL 1,543 1,594 1,551 1,549 1,509 1,519 1,481 1,431 1,462 1,416 1,373 1,349 1,278 1,210 1,158 1,120 1,108 1,129 1,114
New Milford Public Schools PreK-3 Elementary Enrollment Projections
510 498 507 486 489 482 461 449 456 458 478 480 457 448 432 430 423 420 407 518 545 529 526 501 490 479 448 458 435 437 414 395 373 359 352 347 354 348 515 551 515 537 519 547 541 534 548 523 458 455 426 388 367 339 339 355 359 250 300 350 400 450 500 550 600 650
Elementary Historic and Projected Enrollment New Milford Public Schools, PreK-3rd Grade 2008-09 to 2020-21
Hill and Plain John Pettibone Northville
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1,274 1,239 1,232 1,195 1,162 1,158 1,119 1,095 1,086 1,024 1,034 1,032 1,052 1,032 985 970 931 901 819 777 600 700 800 900 1,000 1,100 1,200 1,300 1,400 1,500 1,600
Historic and Projected Intermediate Enrollments New Milford Public Schools, 4th-6th Grade 2001-02 to 2020-21
4-6 Historic Median 4-6 Total
Historic Median (2001-02 to 2012-13) 1,139 Students Sources: CT Dept. of Ed. CeDar & New Milford Public Schools, projections based on three-year average persistency ratios.
855 881 870 836 809 783 782 776 774 748 697 710 667 670 709 675 671 643 614 617 250 350 450 550 650 750 850 950 1,050 1,150 1,250
Historic and Projected Middle School Enrollments New Milford Public Schools, 7th-8th Grade 2001-02 to 2020-21
7-8 Historic Median 7-8 Total
Historic Median (2001-02 to 2012-13) 783 Students Sources: CT Dept. of Ed. CeDar & New Milford Public Schools, projections based on three-year average persistency ratios.
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1,401 1,512 1,544 1,624 1,576 1,589 1,592 1,542 1,566 1,510 1,521 1,484 1,451 1,417 1,337 1,348 1,343 1,314 1,346 1,284 1,000 1,100 1,200 1,300 1,400 1,500 1,600 1,700 1,800 1,900 2,000
Historic and Projected High School Enrollments New Milford Public Schools, 9th-12th Grade 2001-02 to 2020-21
9-12 Historic Median 9-12 Total
Historic Median (2001-02 to 2012-13) 1,543 Students Sources: CT Dept. of Ed. CeDar & New Milford Public Schools, projections based on three-year average persistency ratios.
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Projected Facilities Utilization Rates Committee Discussed Pros Committee Discussed Cons
45% - 60%
65% - 90%
70% - 80%
70% - 90%
65% - 90%
70% - 80%
55% - 75%
65% - 90%
50% - 55%
60% - 90%
70% - 80%
50% - 75%
70% - 80%
Scenario E Alternatives Scenario A Scenario B Scenario C Scenario D
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512 511 497 480 495 474 456 432 427 436 439 428 414 589 620 598 558 535 533 522 466 428 413 439 440 436
350 400 450 500 550 600 650
Scenario B Elementary Historic and Projected Enrollment New Milford Public Schools, PreK-2nd Grade 2008-09 to 2020-21
Hill and Plain Northville All years shown as if Scenario B were in place.
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SCHOOL PreK K 1st 2nd H&P 15 17 17 19 NES 15 18 19 18 DISTRICT 15 18 18 19 H&P 15 17 18 17 NES 15 18 19 18 DISTRICT 15 18 18 18 H&P 15 19 18 18 NES 15 18 18 18 DISTRICT 15 18 18 18 H&P 15 19 17 18 NES 15 19 19 18 DISTRICT 15 19 18 18 H&P 15 18 17 17 NES 15 19 17 18 DISTRICT 15 18 17 18 H&P 15 17 18 17 NES 15 18 19 19 DISTRICT 15 18 19 18 H&P 15 17 18 18 NES 15 18 19 19 DISTRICT 15 17 18 19 2019-20 2020-21
Scenario B Projected Average Class Sizes Using Current Average Class Sizes
2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19
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Hill & Plain Northville Sarah Noble Schaghticoke TOTAL
2014-15 24.5 27.5 45 46 143 2015-16 23.5 24.5 44 47 139 2016-17 22.5 22.5 43 47 135 2017-18 23.5 21.5 41 44 130 2018-19 24.5 23.5 38 45 131 2019-20 23.5 22.5 35 42 123 2020-21 22.5 22.5 35 41 121
Scenario B Projected Instructional Staff Needs Under Current Average Class Sizes
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4 1.5 7 7 8 6.5
Hill & Plain Scenario B Projected Classroom Usage 2015-16
SPED/ Reading PreK K 1st 2nd Excess 4 1.5 6 8 9 5.5
Northville Scenario B Projected Classroom Usage 2015-16
SPED/ Reading PreK K 1st 2nd Excess
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6 14 14 16 6
Sarah Noble Scenario B Projected Classroom Usage 2015-16
SPED/ Reading 3rd 4th 5th Excess
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Schaghticoke Scenario B Projected Classroom Usage 2015-16
SPED/ Reading 6th 7th 8th Excess
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2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 Total Projected Enrollment 456 432 427 436 439 428 415 PreK Classrooms 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 K Classrooms 7 7 7 7 7 7 7
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1st - 2nd Classrooms 16 15 14 15 16 15 14
Classrooms
TOTAL INSTRUCTIONAL 25 24 23 24 25 24 23 Other Classrooms 9 10 11 10 9 10 11 Lunch Waves 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 Utilization 73.5% 70.6% 67.6% 70.6% 73.5% 70.6% 67.6% Total Projected Enrollment 522 466 428 414 439 440 435 PreK Classrooms 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 K Classrooms 8 6 7 7 7 7 7
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1st - 2nd Classrooms 18 17 14 13 15 14 14
Classrooms
TOTAL INSTRUCTIONAL 28 25 23 22 24 23 23 Other Classrooms 6 9 11 12 10 11 11 Lunch Waves 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 Utilization 82.4% 73.5% 67.6% 64.7% 70.6% 67.6% 67.6% Total Projected Enrollment 980 965 926 896 815 773 767 3rd - 5th Classrooms 46 45 43 42 38 36 37
56 Total
Other Classrooms 10 11 13 14 18 20 19
Classrooms
3 3 3 3 3 3 2 Utilization 82.1% 80.4% 76.8% 75.0% 67.9% 64.3% 66.1% Total Projected Enrollment 1,024 1,044 1,024 977 963 923 893 6th - 8th Rooms Needed 49 49 47 45 45 44 42 Academic Rooms 37 37 35 33 33 32 30 Science Rooms 12 12 12 12 12 12 12
61 Total
Language Rooms 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
Classrooms
Other Classrooms 8 8 10 12 12 13 15
4 4 4 4 4 4 4 Utilization 80.3% 80.3% 77.0% 73.8% 73.8% 72.1% 68.9% Assumptions:
2 sections of PreK per Elem. School in One Classroom per Elem. School Utilization Calculated by dividing Instructional Classrooms Required by Total Classrooms. 6th - 8th Schaghticoke
Scenario B - Redistrict to Two Elementaries and Reconfigure Grade Structures (PreK-2, 3-5, 6-8)
PreK - 2nd Hill and Plain Northville 3rd - 5th Sarah Noble
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Information Campaign Immediately to Quell Public Misinformation
It Simultaneously Begins Budget Process
Staff (60-80% Time) in 2013-14 to Coordinate Significant Work to Be Done Quickly (Budget Implications)
Service Must Be Considered (Potential Budget Implications)
And Executed Well to Ease Parent/ Student Anxieties
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Process and Board Deliberation – Improved Perception of Process by Parents, Teachers and Staff
More Time to Address All District Initiatives (SEED, Common Core Implementation, Consolidation/ Redistricting)
Through More Deliberate Planning Process
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Updated Enrollment Data (2013-14) Student and Staff Assignment Simulation Including Special Education Services for 2014-15 and 2015-16 Detailed Cost-Avoidance Estimates with Pettibone Closure Estimate of Expenses to Improve SMS Cafeteria Lunch Service to Accommodate Additional Enrollment Estimate of Expenses to Close/ Move Facilities
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