Creating Value in Colombia & Ecuador
June 2019
Creating Value in Colombia & Ecuador June 2019 core areas; our - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Creating Value in Colombia & Ecuador June 2019 core areas; our prospects and leads; the plans, objectives, expectations and intentions of the Company General Advisory regarding production, exploration and exploration upside, drilling,
Creating Value in Colombia & Ecuador
June 2019
General Advisory
The information contained in this presentation does not purport to be all-inclusive or contain all information that readers may require. You are encouraged to conduct your own analysis and review of Gran Tierra Energy Inc. (“Gran Tierra”, “GTE”, or the “Company”) and of the information contained in this presentation. Without limitation, you should read the entire record of publicly filed documents relating to the Company, consider the advice of your financial, legal, accounting, tax and other professional advisors and such other factors you consider appropriate in investigating and analyzing the Company. You should rely only on the information provided by the Company and not rely on parts
with additional or different information, and any such information, including statements in media articles about Gran Tierra, should not be relied upon. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made by Gran Tierra as to the accuracy or completeness of the information contained in this document, and nothing contained in this presentation is, or shall be relied upon as, a promise or representation by Gran Tierra. An investment in the securities of Gran Tierra is speculative and involves a high degree of risk that should be considered by potential purchasers. Gran Tierra’s business is subject to the risks normally encountered in the oil and gas industry and, more specifically, certain other risks that are associated with Gran Tierra’s operations and current stage of development. An investment in the Company’s securities is suitable only for those purchasers who are willing to risk a loss of some or all of their investment and who can afford to lose some or all of their investment. You should carefully consider the risks described under the heading “Risk Factors” in the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K and in the Company’s other SEC filings available at www.grantierra.com.. In this presentation, unless otherwise indicated, all dollar amounts are expressed in US dollars. All production, reserves and resources are working interest before royalties (“WI”). Please see the appendices to this presentation for important advisories relating to the Company’s presentation of oil and gas information and financial information, including the presentation of non-GAAP measures, Current market values are based on a NYSE share price of US$1.97 as at close on May 30, 2019 and 384.5 million issued and outstanding shares as of March 31, 2019.
Forward-Looking Information Advisory
This presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, and financial outlook and forward looking information within the meaning of applicable Canadian securities laws (collectively, “forward- looking statements”). All statements other than statements of historical facts included in this presentation regarding our financial position, estimated quantities and net present value of reserves, business strategy, plans and objectives for future operations, capital spending plans and those statements preceded by, followed by or that otherwise include the words “believe”, “expect”, “intend”, “anticipate”, “forecast”, “will”, “estimate”, “target”, “project”, “goal”, “plan”, “should” or similar expressions are forward-looking statements. Such forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, statements about: future projected or target production and the growth of production including the product mix of such production and expectations respecting production growth; our ability to grow in both the near and long term and the funding of our growth opportunities; our possible creation of new core areas; our prospects and leads; the plans, objectives, expectations and intentions of the Company regarding production, exploration and exploration upside, drilling, permitting, testing and development; Gran Tierra’s 2019 capital program including the changes thereto along with the expected costs and the expected allocation of the capital program; and Gran Tierra’s financial position and the future development of the Company’s business. Statements respecting reserves are forward-looking statements as they involve the implied assessment, based on estimates and assumptions, that the reserves and resources described exist in the quantities predicted or estimated and can be profitably produced in the future. Unrisked prospective resources are highly speculative and do not represent current reserves, future production or even future possible reserves. Estimates of future production, cash flow guidance and certain expenses may be considered to be future-oriented financial information or a financial outlook for the purposes of applicable Canadian securities laws. Financial outlook and future-oriented financial information contained in this presentation about prospective financial performance, financial position or cash flows are based on assumptions about future events, including economic conditions and proposed courses of action, based on management’s assessment of the relevant information currently available, and to become available in the future. In particular, this presentation contains projected production and operational information for 2019 and 2020. These projections contain forward-looking statements and are based on a number of material assumptions and factors set out above. Actual results may differ significantly from the projections presented herein. These projections may also be considered to contain future-oriented financial information or a financial outlook. The actual results of Gran Tierra’s operations for any period will likely vary from the amounts set forth in these projections, and such variations may be material. See above for a discussion of the risks that could cause actual results to vary. The future-oriented financial information and financial outlooks contained in this presentation have been approved by management as of the date of this presentation. Readers are cautioned that any such financial outlook and future-
which it is disclosed herein. The Company and its management believe that the prospective financial information has been prepared on a reasonable basis, reflecting management’s best estimates and judgments, and represent, to the best of management’s knowledge and opinion, the Company’s expected course of action. However, because this information is highly subjective, it should not be relied on as necessarily indicative of future results. The forward-looking statements contained in this presentation are based on certain assumptions made by Gran Tierra based on management’s experience and perception of historical trends, current conditions, anticipated future development and other factors believed to be appropriate. Such statements are subject to a number of assumptions, risks and uncertainties, many of which are beyond Gran Tierra’s control, which may cause actual results to differ materially from those implied or expressed by the forward-looking statements. These include the factors discussed or referenced under the heading “Part 1. Item 1A. Risk Factors” in Gran Tierra’s Annual Report on Form 10-K, under the heading “Part II. Item 1A. Risk Factors” in Gran Tierra’s Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q and in the
All forward-looking statements speak only as of the date on which such statements are made, and Gran Tierra undertakes no obligation to correct or update any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as required by applicable law. Gran Tierra’s forward-looking statements are expressly qualified in their entirety by this cautionary statement.
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REASONS TO INVEST IN GRAN TIERRA
Sustainable business model, expected to be fully funded by forecasted cash flows
Costayaco Moqueta Quality assets with low declines Focused on low cost, conventional oil & gas developments Access to infrastructure with the ability to monetize at Brent pricing World class exploration portfolio Exploration and development funded by cash flow $2.1 billion1 of free cash flow over the next 5 years from existing reserves Potential for share buybacks Strong balance sheet
High-Impact Exploration
CREATE LONG-TERM SHAREHOLDER VALUE
Sustainable Business Model Profitable Production Growth High-Quality Assets
4 2016 2017 2018 Q1 2019 EBITDA (US $MM)2 120 183 377 93 Funds Flow from Operations (US $MM) 2 105 220 306 76
GRAN TIERRA SNAPSHOT
Publicly listed, independent international exploration & production company focused in Colombia & Ecuador
Oil
100%
High-quality, asset base
+95%
Operated Production
Diversified
2016 2017 2018 2019E WI Production (boepd) 1 26,216 31,426 36,209 41,000-43,000
Production
NYSE AMEX: LSE: TSX: GTE
Market Capitalization (May 30, 2019) US$ 0.76 bn Net Debt6 US$ 0.48 bn Enterprise Value US$ 1.24 bn Avg 30-day combined trading volume 4.2 MM shares 1P 2P 3P MMBOE 70 150 215 RLI (years)4 5 11 15 NPV10 BT (US $bn) $1.4 $2.8 $4.0 NPV10 AT (US $bn) $1.2 $2.2 $3.0 Mean Prospective Resources5 Risked Unrisked MMBOE 361 1,419
2018 Reserves3 Market Values High quality diversified asset base: 100% oil & over 95% operated
1. Colombia WI annual average production 2. EBITDA and funds flow from operations are non-GAAP measures and do not have a standardized meaning under GAAP. Refer to "Non-GAAP Measures" in the appendix for descriptions of these non-GAAP measures and reconciliations to the most directly comparable measures calculated and presented in accordance with GAAP. 3. Based on Dec. 31 2018 McDaniel Reserve Report. Includes Suroriente W.I. of 52% after Vetra’s W.I. acquisition in March 2019 and VMM-2 W.I. of 100% after the acquisition of an additional 20% in April 2019. See appendix for McDaniel Brent oil price forecast. 4. Calculated using average fourth quarter 2018 WI production of 38,156 BOEPD 5. Based on July 31 2018 McDaniel Prospective Resource Report, excludes recent acquisitions and Ecuador 6. Based on pro-forma Q1 2019 net debt of $482 million, comprised of cash of $208 million, convertible notes of $112 million (net of unamortized fees; $115 million gross), high yield bonds of $579 million (net of unamortized fees; $600 million gross), reserves-based credit facility of -$2 million (net of unamortized fees; $0 million gross) and number of shares of Gran Tierra's common stock outstanding at March 31, 2019 of 384.5 million. Net working capital and debt at March 31, 2019, prepared in accordance with GAAP. See appendix for “Presentation of Oil and Gas Information” and “Non-GAAP” Measures.Llanos Middle Magdalena Valley Putumayo/Oriente
Financials
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GRAN TIERRA – EXCELLENT VALUE PROPOSITION
High-Impact Exploration
CREATE LONG-TERM SHAREHOLDER VALUE
prospective resource base
with stacked horizons
undeveloped well locations
High-Impact Exploration Profitable Production Growth
Key objective: grow NAV/share by 3-5 times within 5 years
programs funded through cash flow
Sustainable Business Model
High-Quality Assets
Sustainable Business Model Profitable Production Growth High-Quality Assets
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GRAN TIERRA’S FOCUSED STRATEGY
Targeting 3-5 x’s growth in NAV/share in 5 years
Self-funded model, debt to cash flow 1.0-1.3x, >$500MM in liquidity at Q1/20192, exploration program funded through cash flow
Maintain a Strong Financial Position
+95% operated asset base allows for disciplined capital allocation and pace setting
Maintain Flexibility & Control the Allocation of Capital
Flexible, progressive fiscal regimes with sliding scale royalty or contractor take that are among the best in the world
Highly Competitive Fiscal Regime
Pro-Western governments that ensure contract sanctity, rule of law & encourage FDI and resource development
Strong, Stable Economic Environment
Large spare capacity in pipelines & trucking, leads to strong oil prices linked to Brent, short cycle times & quick access to world markets
Access to Established Infrastructure
GTE has been able to reduce drilling times/costs by ~40%
Apply Proven Technology
World-class exploration program targeting WI Unrisked Mean Prospective Resources of 1.4 billion BOE1
Proven, Under-Explored Conventional Hydrocarbon Basins Colombia & Ecuador are an excellent fit for Gran Tierra’s strategy and tactical plan
S T R AT E G Y T A C T I C S
1. Based on July 31 2018 McDaniel Prospective Resource Report, excludes recent acquisitions and Ecuador 2. Pro-forma Q1/2019, includes recent $300 MM high yield bond proceedsColombia & Ecuador
an ideal fit for GTE
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119 361 501 1419 Dec/2015 Jul/2018 Risked Unrisked 42 70 57 150 69 215 Dec/2015 Dec/2018 1P Reserves 2P Reserves 3P Reserves 22.6 38.2 Q2/2015 Q1/2019 3.46 6.12 4.47 9.11 Dec/2015 Dec/2018 2P NAV BT 3P NAV BT
DELIVERING ON OUR FOCUSED STRATEGY
Growth in Colombian reserves/production/exploration potential = shareholder value creation Expanded Exploration Potential1 Reserves Growth1 NAV Per Share Growth2 Production Growth1
(mboe/d, gross WI)
69% 183%
(mmboe, mean prospective resources, gross WI)
203% 163% 67% 212% 104% 77%
(mmboe, gross WI) (US$/share) Production Unrisked Risked 3P reserves 2P reserves 1P reserves 2P NAV BT 3P NAV BT
in April 2019) and Dec. 31 2015 and July 31 2018 McDaniel Resource Reports
fees; $600 million gross), reserves-based credit facility of -$2 million (net of unamortized fees; $0 million gross) and number of shares of Gran Tierra's common stock outstanding at March 31, 2019 of 384.5 million. Net working capital and debt at March 31, 2019, prepared in accordance with GAAP. See appendix for “Presentation of Oil and Gas Information”, “Non-GAAP” Measures and McDaniel Brent price forecast.
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10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 40,000 45,000 50,000 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 E
Forecast Actuals
STEADILY GROWING PRODUCTION
From 2015 to 2019, Gran Tierra forecasts average production growth rate of 16% per year
41,000- 43,000 boepd
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TRANSPORTATION OPTIONALITY
Significant flexibility in transportation arrangements
Ample takeaway capacity and no infrastructure bottlenecks to GTE’s operations
production declining from >1 MMbbl/d in early 2015 to ~0.87 MMbbl/d in 2018; trucking is priced in Colombian pesos and can be a very economical alternative to pipelines
Through major export terminals, GTE has access to world markets, including Asia, US (West, East & Gulf Coasts) & Europe
Putumayo
(Costayaco, Moqueta, Others) Truck + pipeline Esmereldas (Ecuador) Pipeline Tumaco (Colombia) Truck or truck + pipeline Coveñas (Colombia)
Middle Magdalena
(Acordionero, Others) Truck or truck + barge Puerto Bahía (Colombia) Truck or truck + pipeline Coveñas (Colombia)
Transportation Export Point
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OIL PRICE UPSIDE EXPOSURE
Source for market pricing: Bloomberg
GTE produces nearly 100% oil; all crude sales contracts use Brent as the reference price
Strong netbacks and clean balance sheet reduce need for long-term hedging
Crude oil prices strong in Colombia & Ecuador with steady differentials, unlike in the US & Canada
keeps differentials in check
approximately -$4.70/bbl over the past 10 years
approximately -$8.80/bbl over the past 10 years Crude oil prices strong in Colombia & Ecuador with steady, narrow differentials, unlike in US & Canada Key Differentials
Vasconia – Brent differential
US$ per bbl US$ per bbl Western Canada Select - Brent Edmonton Sweet - Brent Oriente - Brent WTI Cushing - Brent Vasconia - Brent
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Moqueta 9 Acordionero 76 Minor Fields 25 Ramiquiri 3
SIGNIFICANT RESERVES GROWTH
After a very active year, GTE achieved significant 2P & 3P reserve growth
Achieved reserve replacement2 195% (2P) and 196% (3P) with total 2018 reserve additions of 25.8 MMboe (2P) and 25.9 MMboe (3P)
Increased Acordionero 2P reserves by 12.5MMbbl
Reserves Progression (MMboe)
72.8 74.1 69.9 53.3 63.2 79.7 73.1 65.5 65.6 50 100 150 200 250 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Proved Probable Possible
Acordionero, Costayaco, Moqueta, PUT-7 & Suroriente represent 81% of the asset portfolio
additional 20% in April 2019.
2P Reserves by Property1 (MMboe)
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DEPLOYING CAPITAL PROFITABLY
Gran Tierra is focused on growing value, not just growing barrels
GTE already generates high return on average capital employed (“ROACE”), over 13% in 2018
GTE ROACE expected to trend toward long- term internal rate of return target of 20%+
Long-term Finding, Development & Acquisition (“FD&A”) Costs of $10-15/BOE demonstrate the value of re-investing in GTE’s business
ROACE (%)
0.00 2.00 4.00 6.00 8.00 10.00 12.00 14.00 16.00 18.00 20.00 Excluding FDC Including FDC
FD&A (US$/BOE)
3-Yr Avg 2P FD&A Costs (US$/BOE)1
0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 2017 2018
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$1,167 $685 $1,681 $2,470 $997 $789 $482
500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 Proved Net Debt Mar.31/2019 1P NAV Probable 2P NAV Possible 3P NAV
$1.97/sh
Dec.31/2018 NAV After Tax (US$MM, US$/share)1
$1,412 $930 $2,352 $3,503 $1,422 $1,151 $482
500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 Proved Net Debt Mar.31/2019 1P NAV Probable 2P NAV Possible 3P NAV
NET ASSET VALUE
unamortized fees; $600 million gross), reserves-based credit facility of -$2 million (net of unamortized fees; $0 million gross) and number of shares of Gran Tierra's common stock outstanding at March 31, 2019 of 384.5
Gran Tierra shares currently trade at a significant discount; 0.3x 2P NAVBT, 0.5x 2P NAVAT per share Dec.31/2018 NAV Before Tax (US$MM, US$/share)1
May 30/2019 Share Price $1.97/share (USD) $2.42/sh $6.12/sh $9.11/sh $1.97/sh $1.78/sh $4.37/sh $6.43/sh
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ASSET DETAILS
Production has more than quadrupled since acquisition, while generating free cash flow
ACORDIONERO – ASSET OVERVIEW
Acordionero
76 MMBOE1
2P WI Reserves
~22,500 BOEPD
2019 Production Outlook2
Category YE 20181
(MMbbl)
YE 2018 NPV10 BT1
($MM)
1P 32 840 2P 76 1,704 3P 97 2,110
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Major oil producing asset in MMV with highly economic near-term production growth engine
ACORDIONERO – FIELD OVERVIEW
Acordionero Field Drilled 33 Producers 27 Injectors 4 Source 2
0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 14.0 16.0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 Dec/12 Dec/13 Dec/14 Dec/15 Dec/16 Dec/17 Dec/18 Cumulative Oil (MMbbl) Oil (bbl/d) / Water (bbl/d) / Fluid (bbl/d) / Water Injection (bbl/d)
Oil (bbl/d) Water (bbl/d) Fluid (bbl/d) Water Inj (bbl/d) Cum Oil (bbl)
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ACORDIONERO – FURTHER DETAIL
Acordionero delivers strong growth while generating free cash flow
Overview
Mochuelo)
gas; will shift entirely to natural gas in 2019 Development Plan
injectors1 Potential Upside
materially
NI 51-101 2017 YE 2018 YE Change A Sand C Sand A Sand C Sand A Sand C Sand
1P OOIP (MMbbl) 224 55 250 62 +26 +7 RF (%) 13 23 13 28 NC +5 2P OOIP (MMbbl) 263 69 263 69 NC NC RF (%) 24 28 27 35 +3 +7 3P OOIP (MMbbl) 302 83 276 72
RF (%) 30 35 33 40 +3 +5
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ASSET DETAILS
21 MMBOE (P90) & 119 MMBOE (P10)
Complex reservoir, significant upside to be appraised
AYOMBERO – ASSET OVERVIEW
4.6 MMBOE2
2P WI Reserves
~64 MMBOE
Estimated Unrisked Mean Prospective Resource1
Category YE 20182
(MMbbl)
YE 20182 NPV10 BT
($MM)
1P 2 22 2P 5 67 3P 8 118 Ayombero Chuira
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saturations & over-pressure in Galembo Member of La Luna Carbonate reservoir, indicating reservoir & structural continuity
porosity, natural fracturing, permeability up to 200 md, significant over-pressure w/gradient = 0.88 psi/ft
could yield Pmean Unrisked Prospective Resources = 64 MMBOE
(>1.0 BBOE recovered to date)
could represent upside potential to increase GTE’s total 2P reserves by 43%
Ongoing appraisal/development of Ayombero/Chuira structure planned to unlock significant resources
AYOMBERO – FIELD OVERVIEW
Significant Upside La Luna Depth Map Ayombero-1 Logs
Chuira Ayombero
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AYOMBERO – COMPLEX, BUT SIGNIFICANT UPSIDE
Over-pressured, naturally fractured conventional carbonate: both challenges and opportunities
Highly over-pressured formations
have proved challenging in terms
Umir formation above target zone
has proved difficult to drill and case
After
encouraging initial production results at Ayombero-1 & 2, both wells offline from apparent solids plugging
Ayombero-3 in completion phase
but delayed due to the challenges listed above
Applying knowledge from similar,
challenging reservoirs which are exploited successfully elsewhere in the world
Geomechanical study addressing
appropriate Umir formation drilling techniques
Optimizing drilling equipment to
handle over-pressured zones
After completion of Ayombero-3
finished, workovers are planned for both Ayombero-1 & 2 Reservoir Challenges Next Steps Potential Oil-In-Place Map
McDaniels OOIP (mmstb) Galembo 258,515 Pujamana 50,566 Salada 11,965 Total 321,046
GTE is excited about the potential of Ayombero-Chuira La Luna conventional carbonate resource play, its substantial prospective resource base & inventory of future potential drilling opportunities
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Colombia’s Putumayo basin is underexplored due to past above-ground security issues, now mitigated by Peace Agreement
Same geology as Ecuador, where almost 6 billion bbls of oil produced1
Highly prospective geological trends in Ecuador extend into Putumayo
In the Putumayo Basin, GTE is the largest landholder (1.1 MM gross/1.0MM net acres),
seismic data base covering much of basin
In the Oriente Basin, GTE has been officially awarded 3 blocks (100% WI) in Ecuador (140,000 gross acres) GTE has built a dominant position across the proven & high-potential Putumayo & Oriente Basins
PUTUMAYO & ORIENTE - UNDEREXPLORED, PROVEN BASINS
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PUTUMAYO BASIN SIZE OF THE PRIZE
* A-Limestone does not include resources for other carbonate plays (B and M2 Limestones)
Dominant land position, large exploration upside, tot. unrisked mean prospective resources = 1,106 MMBOE
A-Limestone* 72% N-Sand 20% Structural 8%
Total Putumayo – Risked Mean Prospective Resources (298 MMBOE) 1 Total Putumayo – Unrisked Mean Prospective Resources (1,106 MMBOE)1
A- Limestone*74% N-Sand 12% Structural 14%
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WORLD-CLASS EXPLORATION UPSIDE IN COLOMBIA
* MMV Combo includes 2 prospects in Sinu Basin NOTE: Putumayo A-Limestone does not include resources for other carbonate plays (B and M2 Limestones)
Portfolio has ~360 mmboe & ~1.4 bnboe of risked and unrisked mean prospective resources, respectively
PUT MMV LLANOS TOTAL
GTE WI Risked Mean Prospective Resources (MMBOE) 243 214 59 25 29 18 16 118
50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 A Limestone N Sand Structural La Luna (Ayombero) Combo* Structural & Combo
Carbonate Strat / Struc / Combo
361 886 822 134 150 64 132 117 533
200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 A Limestone N Sand Structural La Luna (Ayombero) Combo* Structural & Combo
1,419 GTE WI Unrisked Mean Prospective Resources (MMBOE)
Carbonate Strat / Struc / Combo
PUT MMV LLANOS TOTAL
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GTE has been officially awarded three
blocks in the Intracampos bid round
Increases GTE’s acreage position in
conventional resource plays in Ecuador and Colombia from 1.1 to 1.2 MM gross acres
No costs payable upon signing Committed to drill 14 wells over the next
4 years, across the three blocks
Exploration activities scheduled to
commence in 2020, or late 2019 if possible
Potential to construct strategic gathering
infrastructure & potentially utilize existing infrastructure in Ecuador
GTE has created a contiguous land position in the Oriente Basin, complimenting its acreage in the Putumayo
NEW COUNTRY ENTRY INTO ECUADOR
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2019 GUIDANCE1 – GROWTH WITHIN CASH FLOW
GTE forecasts significant 2019 production growth (13% to 19%), funded by cash flow Production Guidance
WI Production (boepd) 41,000 – 43,000 Y-o-Y growth2 13 – 19%
Cash Flow Guidance
Base Brent ($/bbl) $65 Cash Flow3 ($MM) $375-395
Expense & Operating Netback Guidance ($/boe)
Brent $65.00/bbl Transportation & Quality Discount $11.00 - $13.00 Royalties $9.00 - $10.00 Operating Costs $9.00 - $10.00 Transportation Costs (Pipeline) $1.50 - $2.00 Operating Netback4 $30.00 - 34.50 General and Administrative $1.75 - $2.50 Interest and Financing $1.50 - $2.00 Taxes $3.00 - $4.00
Capital Guidance Base
Total Capital ($MM) $320-340
2019 capital budget expected to positively impact 2019YE reserves, 2019 exit rate & 2019 production
netback is calculated by subtracting 2019 forecasts of transportation and quality discount, royalties, operating costs and pipeline transportation from the 2019 budget Brent oil price forecast as outlined in the table above
Development $130-135MM Exploration, $80-85MM Facilities, $85-90MM Seismic & Studies, $25- 30MM
2019 Capex Program
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2019 CAPITAL PROGRAM DETAILS
GTE’s 2019 capital program is expected to be fully funded by cash flow
Acordionero CPF Expansion Acordionero (MMV)
Putumayo Basin & Minor Fields
Putumayo
MMV
Llanos
Development Capital ($215-225 MM; ~65%) Exploration Capital ($105-115 MM; ~35%)
New truck loading facility New storage tanks & processing equipment under construction
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SUSTAINABLE BUSINESS
Gran Tierra has created a self-funded, sustainable business model
Self-Funding Business Low Debt Levels
2019F net debt1 to cash flow2 of 1.0-1.3x @ $65/bbl Brent
No near-term maturities:
50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450
Cash Flow Sustaining Capital Discretionary Capex - Development Discretionary Capex - Exploration Buybacks
$ MM
Cash Flow & Uses @ $65/bbl Brent
3$300 $300 $115 $300 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Debt Maturity Profile
Senior Notes Convertible Debt Drawn Bank Facility Undrawn Bank Facility
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ENVIRONMENTAL, SOCIAL & GOVERNANCE EXCELLENCE
GTE adheres to the highest standards of safety, environmental, social and governance practices
SAFETY GHG EMISSIONS NATURAMAZONAS LICENSING
Partnership with Conservation International, largest voluntary O&G industry-funded conservation project in
5 years, to sequester 8.7 million tonnes of CO2 over project lifetime Voluntary projects underway to eliminate routine flaring and use gas to generate power will reduce emissions by 9000 tonnes of CO2 per year In May 2019, GTE reached an important safety milestone with no Lost Time Injury for 7 million person-hours, all during very active years of record production & increasing drilling and development activities GTE has optimal performance within existing regulatory
with new government to effect regulatory changes to make the system more efficient
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REASONS TO INVEST IN GRAN TIERRA
Sustainable business model, expected to be fully funded by forecasted cash flows
Costayaco Moqueta Quality assets with low declines Focused on low cost, conventional oil & gas developments Access to infrastructure with the ability to monetize at Brent pricing World class exploration portfolio Exploration and development funded by cash flow $2.1 billion1 of free cash flow over the next 5 years from existing reserves Potential for share buybacks Strong balance sheet
High-Impact Exploration
CREATE LONG-TERM SHAREHOLDER VALUE
Sustainable Business Model Profitable Production Growth High-Quality Assets
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PUTUMAYO BASIN - GEOLOGY OVERVIEW
The Putumayo Basin is underexplored, Gran Tierra is at the forefront
Sandstone Reservoir Shale Seal Limestone Reservoir / Source Limestone & Sandstone Reservoir
Reservoir Play Type API (degrees) Net Pay (ft) Porosity (%) Permeability (mD1)
N Sand
Stratigraphic 15-25 5-40 10-30 10-1000
M2 Limestone
Stratigraphic 25-35 10-100 3-10 Matrix + Fractures
A Limestone
Stratigraphic Conventional Resource 25-35 10-150 3-10 Matrix + Fractures
U Sand
Stratigraphic & Structural 15-30 10-80 10-25 10-1000
T Sand
Structural 20-30 10-80 10-25 10-1000
Caballos
Structural 20-30 20-100 15-30 10-1000
Note: Villeta Fm in the Putumayo equivalent geologically to the Napo Fm in Ecuador; Caballos Fm equivalent to the Hollin Fm PROVEN OIL RESERVOIR
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PUTUMAYO N SAND PLAY
Putumayo N Sand play is an important component of GTE’s Putumayo exploration portfolio GTE has identified 27 N Sand prospects WI mean prospective resources:
– 134 MMBOE (unrisked)/59 MMBOE (risked)1
N Sand relatively low risk for an exploration play (McDaniel estimated
average chance of success = 50%)1
Of 82 exploration wells in Putumayo with structural targets, 47 encountered N Sand, of which 43 found oil charge
(53% chance of finding oil-saturated N Sand)2
N Sand readily identifiable on both 2D and 3D seismic, which has allowed GTE to map prospects across much of the Putumayo
GTE’s extensive seismic database is important competitive advantage in play
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HEDGING SUMMARY
Period and Type of Instrument Volume (bopd) Reference Purchased Put ($/bbl) Sold Call ($/bbl) Collars: April 1, 2019 to December 31, 2019 5,000 Brent $60.00 $71.50 Period and Type of Instrument Volume (bopd) Reference Purchased Put ($/bbl) Deferred Premium Put ($/bbl) Put: April 1, 2019 to December 31, 2019 5,000 Brent $60.00 $2.38
Oil price 2019 hedges FX 2019 hedges
Period and Type of Instrument Volume per month (Millions COP) Reference Weighted average floor (COP) Weighted average cap (COP) Collars: May 1, 2019 to December 31, 2019 22,500 USD/COP 3,019 3,446
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MCDANIEL 2018 & 2019 PRICE DECKS
Brent Comparison (US$/bbl)
40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 McDaniel, Jan 1, 2019 McDaniel, Jan 1, 2018 SEC Brent, Jan 1, 2019 SEC Brent, Jan 1, 2018
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NON-GAAP MEASURES
EBITDA
EBITDA, as presented, is net loss adjusted for DD&A expenses, asset impairment, interest expense and income tax recovery or expense. Management uses this financial measure to analyze performance and income or loss generated by Gran Tierra's principal business activities prior to the consideration of how non-cash items affect that loss, and believes that this financial measure is also useful supplemental information for investors to analyze performance and the Company's financial results. A reconciliation from net loss to EBITDA is as follows:
Three Months Ended Year Ended March 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018 Dec 31, 2017 Dec 31, 2016 EBITDA - Non-GAAP Measure ($000s) Net Income (loss) 1,979 102,616
Adjustments to reconcile net income to EBITDA DD&A expenses 62,921 197,867 131,335 139,535 Asset impairment
Interest expense 7,938 27,364 13,882 14,145 Income tax (recovery) expense 19,686 48,871 69,038
EBITDA 92,524 376,718 182,547 120,095
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NON-GAAP MEASURES
Funds Flow from Operations
Funds flow from operations, as presented, is net cash provided by operating activities adjusted for net change in assets and liabilities from operating activities and cash settlement of asset retirement obligation. Management uses this financial measure to analyze liquidity and cash flows generated by Gran Tierra's principal business activities prior to the consideration
also useful supplemental information for investors to analyze Gran Tierra's liquidity and financial results. A reconciliation from net cash provided by operating activities to funds flow from
Three Months Ended Year Ended March 31, 2019 December 31, 2018 December 31, 2017 December 31, 2016 Funds Flow From Operations - Non-GAAP Measure ($000s) Net Income (loss) 1,979 102,616
Adjustments to reconcile net income (loss) to funds flow from operations DD&A expenses 62,921 197,867 131,335 139,535 Asset impairment
616,649 Deferred tax expense (recovery) 8323 4,968 44,716
Stock-based compensation expense 1,727 8,299 9,775 6,339 Amortization of debt issuance costs 838 3,183 2,415 5,691 Cash settlement of RSUs
Unrealized foreign exchange loss (gain)
11,511 837
Financial instruments loss 3,165 12,296 15,929 10,279 Cash settlement of financial instruments
1,563 438 Loss on sale and (gain) on acquisition
Funds flow from operations (non-GAAP) 75,450 306,449 220,197 104,984
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PRESENTATION OF OIL & GAS INFORMATION
BOEs (Barrel of Oil Equivalent) may be misleading particularly if used in isolation. A BOE conversion ratio of 6 thousand cubic feet of gas to 1 barrel of oil is based on an energy equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead. In addition, given that the value ratio based on the current price of oil as compared with natural gas is significantly different from the energy equivalent of six to one, utilizing a BOE conversion ratio of 6Mcf:1bbl would be misleading as an indication of value. Unless otherwise specified, in this presentation, all production is reported
see our Annual Report on Form 10-K filed February 27, 2018. Well test results should be considered as preliminary and not necessarily indicative of long-term performance or of ultimate recovery. Well log interpretations indicating oil and gas accumulations are not necessarily indicative of future production or ultimate recovery. If it is indicated that a pressure transient analysis or well-test interpretation has not been carried out, any data disclosed in that respect should be considered preliminary until such analysis has been completed. In this presentation:
geological, geophysical and engineering data; (b) use of established technology; and (c) specified economic conditions, which are generally accepted as being reasonable. Reserves are classified according to degree of certainty associated with estimates.
(e.g., when compared to cost of drilling a well) to put reserves on production. Developed category may be subdivided into producing and non-producing;
required to render them capable of production.
proved plus probable plus possible reserves. Possible reserves may be developed or undeveloped (“PPPUD”).
share before deduction of royalties and without including any royalty interests of the Company; (b) in relation to wells, total number of wells in which the Company has an interest; and (c) in relation to properties, total area of properties in which the Company has an interest.
certainty that any portion of the prospective resources will be discovered. If discovered, there is no certainty that it will be commercially viable to produce any portion of the prospective resources. Prospective resources have both an associated chance of discovery and a chance of development. Not all exploration projects will result in discoveries. Chance that an exploration project will result in discovery of petroleum is referred to as “chance of discovery.” Thus, for an undiscovered accumulation, chance of commerciality is product of two risk components: chance of discovery and chance of development.
unamortized fees; $300 million gross), and $112 million drawn on the reserves-based credit facility (net of unamortized fees; $114 million gross), and number of shares of Gran Tierra's common stock
Measures.
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PRESENTATION OF OIL & GAS INFORMATION
Reserves and Prospective Resources Information Unless otherwise noted, estimates of the Company’s reserves, net present value of future net revenue attributable to Company’s reserves and prospective resources relate solely to the Company’s Colombia reserves and prospective resources and are based upon reports prepared by McDaniel & Associates Consultants (“McDaniel”), the Company’s independent qualified reserves evaluator and auditor, in accordance with NI 51- 101 – Standards for Oil and Gas Activities (“NI 51-101”) and the Canadian Oil and Gas Evaluation Handbook (“COGEH”); in the case of reserves, dated December 31, 2018 (the “McDaniel Reserve Report”), and in the case of prospective resources, dated July 31, 2018 (the “McDaniel Prospective Resource Report”). Please see Gran Tierra’s press release dated January 29, 2019 for additional important information and disclaimers about the McDaniel Reserve Report and the McDaniel Resource Report. Gran Tierra's Statement of Reserves Data and Other Oil and Gas Information on Form 51-101F1 dated effective as at December 31, 2018 , which will include further disclosure of its oil and gas reserves and other oil and gas information in accordance with NI 51-101 forming the basis of this press release, will be available on SEDAR at www.sedar.com on or before February 27, 2019. Estimates of the Company’s prospective resources in the Ayombero field are prepared by McDaniel in accordance with NI 51-101 and COGEH as of April 30, 2018. For positive and negative factors associated with the Ayombero field’s prospective resources, as well as other relevant information, please see the Company’s press release dated May 1, 2018. Estimates of reserves provided in this presentation are estimates only and there is no guarantee that estimated reserves will be recovered. Actual reserves may be greater than or less than estimates provided in this presentation and differences may be material. Estimates of net present value of future net revenue attributable to Company’s reserves do not represent fair market value and there is uncertainty that net present value
properties, due to effect of aggregation. There is no assurance that forecast price and cost assumptions applied by McDaniel in evaluating Gran Tierra’s reserves will be attained and variances could be material. References to thickness of “oil pay” or of a formation where evidence of hydrocarbons has been encountered is not necessarily an indicator that hydrocarbons will be recoverable in commercial quantities or in any estimated volume. Prospective resources are those quantities of petroleum estimated, as of a given date, to be potentially recoverable from undiscovered accumulations by application of future development projects. Prospective resources have both an associated chance of discovery and a chance of development. Not all exploration projects will result in discoveries. The chance that an exploration project will result in the discovery of petroleum is referred to as the "chance of discovery." Thus, for an undiscovered accumulation the chance of commerciality is the product of two risk components-the chance of discovery and the chance of
resources. The estimates of prospective resources provided in this presentation are estimates only and there is no guarantee that the estimated prospective resources will be recovered. Actual resources may be greater than or less than the estimates provided in this in this press release and the differences may be material. There is no assurance that the forecast price and cost assumptions applied by McDaniel in evaluating Gran Tierra's prospective resources will be attained and variances could be material. There is no certainty that any portion of the prospective resources will be discovered. If discovered, there is no certainty that it will be commercially viable to produce any portion of the prospective resources. Estimates of prospective resources are by their nature more speculative than estimates of proved reserves and would require substantial capital spending over a significant number of years to implement recovery. Actual locations drilled and quantities that may be ultimately recovered from our properties will differ substantially. In addition, we have made no commitment to drill, and likely will not drill, all of the drilling locations that have been attributable to these quantities. The following classification of prospective resources is used in this presentation:
Please see Gran Tierra’s press release dated January 29, 2019 for additional information re: the following classifications for prospective resources:
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PRESENTATION OF OIL & GAS INFORMATION
For a discussion of Gran Tierra’s interest in the prospective resources, the location of the prospective resources, the product type reasonably expected, the risks and level of uncertainty associated with recovery of the resources, the significant positive and negative factors relevant to the estimate of the prospective resources, a description of the applicable projects maturity sub-categories and other relevant information regarding the prospective resources estimates, please see the GTE NI 51-101F1 and its press release dated January 29, 2019. Oil and Gas Metrics This presentation contains a number of oil and gas metrics, including finding, development and acquisition (“FD&A”) costs, NAV per share, operating netback, reserve life index, reserves per share and reserves replacement, which do not have standardized meanings or standard methods of calculation and therefore such measures may not be comparable to similar measures used by other companies and should not be used to make comparisons. Such metrics have been included herein to provide readers with additional measures to evaluate the Company's performance; however, such measures are not reliable indicators of the future performance of the Company and future performance may not compare to the performance in previous periods. FD&A costs are calculated as estimated exploration and development capital expenditures in Colombia, divided by the applicable reserves additions both before and after changes in FDC. The FD&A cost calculation also includes the capital expenditures, reserves, and FDC related to acquisitions and divestitures in the total amounts. The calculation of FD&A costs incorporates the change in FDC required to bring proved undeveloped and developed reserves into production. The aggregate of the exploration and development costs incurred in the financial year and the changes during that year in estimated FDC, including those relating to acquisitions and dispositions, may not reflect the total FD&A costs related to reserves additions for that year. Management uses FD&A costs per BOE as a measure of its ability to execute its capital program and of its asset quality. NAV per share is calculated as before tax NPV discounted at 10% plus estimated net working capital deficit and debt, excluding risk management assets and liabilities and investment in PetroTal Corp. shares, and number of shares of Gran Tierra's common stock outstanding. Management uses NAV per share as a measure of the relative change of Gran Tierra's NAV over its outstanding common stock over a period of time. Operating netback is calculated as described in this presentation. Management believes that operating netback is a useful supplemental measure for investors to analyze financial performance and provide an indication of the results generated by Gran Tierra's principal business activities prior to the consideration of other income and expenses. Cash flow means the GAAP line item “net cash provided by operating activities”. Reserve life index is calculated as reserves in the referenced category divided by the referenced estimated Colombia production. Management uses this measure to determine how long the booked reserves will last at current production rates if no further reserves were added. Reserves replacement is calculated as reserves in the referenced category divided by estimated annual Colombia production. Management uses this measure to determine the relative change of its reserve base
ROCE is calculated as earnings before interest and taxes (“EBIT”; annualized, if the period is other than one year) divided by capital employed (total assets minus cash and current liabilities). For 2017, the impairment associated with the sale of the legacy businesses in Peru and Brazil is excluded from EBIT.
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PRESENTATION OF OIL & GAS INFORMATION
Disclosure of Reserves and Resources Information and Cautionary Note to U.S. Investors
Unless expressly stated otherwise, all estimates of proved, probable and possible reserves and related future net revenue and prospective resources disclosed in this presentation have been prepared in accordance with NI 51-101. Estimates of reserves and prospective resources and future net revenue made in accordance with NI 51-101 will differ from corresponding estimates prepared in accordance with applicable U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”) rules and disclosure requirements of the U.S. Financial Accounting Standards Board (“FASB”), and those differences may be material. NI 51-101, for example, requires disclosure of reserves and related future net revenue estimates based on forecast prices and costs, whereas SEC and FASB standards require that reserves and related future net revenue be estimated using average prices for the previous 12 months. In addition, NI 51-101 permits the presentation of reserves estimates on a “company gross” basis, representing Gran Tierra’s working interest share before deduction of royalties, whereas SEC and FASB standards require the presentation of net reserve estimates after the deduction of royalties and similar payments. There are also differences in the technical reserves and resources estimation standards applicable under NI 51-101 and, pursuant thereto, the COGEH, and those applicable under SEC and FASB requirements. The SEC requirements strictly prohibit the Company from including prospective resources in filings with the SEC. In addition to being a reporting issuer in certain Canadian jurisdictions, Gran Tierra is a registrant with the SEC and subject to domestic issuer reporting requirements under U.S. federal securities law, including with respect to the disclosure of reserves and other oil and gas information in accordance with U.S. federal securities law and applicable SEC rules and regulations (collectively, “SEC requirements”). Disclosure of such information in accordance with SEC requirements is included in the Company's Annual Report on Form 10-K and in other reports and materials filed with or furnished to the SEC and, as applicable, Canadian securities regulatory authorities. The SEC permits oil and gas companies that are subject to domestic issuer reporting requirements under U.S. federal securities law, in their filings with the SEC, to disclose only estimated proved, probable and possible reserves that meet the SEC’s definitions of such terms. Gran Tierra has disclosed estimated proved, probable and possible reserves in its filings with the SEC. In addition, Gran Tierra prepares its financial statements in accordance with United States generally accepted accounting principles, which require that the notes to its annual financial statements include supplementary disclosure in respect of the Company’s oil and gas activities, including estimates of its proved oil and gas reserves and a standardized measure of discounted future net cash flows relating to proved oil and gas reserve quantities. This supplementary financial statement disclosure is presented in accordance with FASB requirements, which align with corresponding SEC requirements concerning reserves estimation and reporting. The Company's before tax net present values of 2P reserves prepared in accordance with NI 51-101 and COGEH and discounted at 10% ("PV-10") differs from its US GAAP standardized measure because SEC and FASB standards require that (i) the standardized measure reflects reserves and related future net revenue estimated using average prices for the previous 12 months, whereas NI 51-101 reserves and related future net revenue are estimated based on forecast prices and costs and that (ii) the standardized measure reflects discounted future income taxes related to the Company's operations. The Company believes that the presentation of PV-10 is useful to investors because it presents (i) relative monetary significance of its oil and natural gas properties regardless of tax structure and (ii) relative size and value of its reserves to other
flows do not purport to present the fair value of the Company's oil and gas reserves. The Company has not provided a reconciliation of PV-10 to the standardized measure of discounted future net cash flows because it is impracticable to do so. Investors are urged to consider closely the disclosures and risk factors in the Company's Annual Report on Form 10-K, Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q and in the other reports and filings with the SEC, available from the Company's website. These forms can also be obtained from the SEC’s website at www.sec.gov.
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900, 520 – 3RD AVENUE SW CALGARY, ALBERTA, CANADA T2P 0R3 Investor Relations 403-265-3221 info@grantierra.com