DECISION SUPPORT DECISION SUPPORT SUMMARY SUMMARY th June 2005 30 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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DECISION SUPPORT DECISION SUPPORT SUMMARY SUMMARY th June 2005 30 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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DECISION SUPPORT DECISION SUPPORT SUMMARY SUMMARY th June 2005 30 th June 2005 30 Llu s s Vinagre Vinagre ISDEFE (Spain) ISDEFE (Spain) Llu Thursday, July 14, 2005 6th USA/Europe ATM R&D Seminar - - Baltimore,

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SLIDE 1

Thursday, July 14, 2005 Thursday, July 14, 2005 6th USA/Europe ATM R&D Seminar 6th USA/Europe ATM R&D Seminar -

  • Baltimore,

Baltimore, MD MD 1 1

DECISION SUPPORT DECISION SUPPORT SUMMARY SUMMARY

30 30th

th June 2005

June 2005 Llu Lluí ís s Vinagre Vinagre – – ISDEFE (Spain) ISDEFE (Spain)

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SLIDE 2

Thursday, July 14, 2005 6th USA/Europe ATM R&D Seminar - Baltimore, MD 2

Agenda Agenda

  • Papers

Papers

  • Key Results & Discussions Sketches

Key Results & Discussions Sketches

  • Issues for the Future

Issues for the Future

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SLIDE 3

Thursday, July 14, 2005 6th USA/Europe ATM R&D Seminar - Baltimore, MD 3

DS DS – – Trajectory Trajectory Prediction Prediction

  • Improvement on the Acceptance of a Conflict Resolution

Improvement on the Acceptance of a Conflict Resolution System by Air Traffic Controllers (Flicker & Fricke, Tech. System by Air Traffic Controllers (Flicker & Fricke, Tech. Uni Uni Berlin) Berlin)

  • Impact of Factors, Conditions and Metrics on Trajectory

Impact of Factors, Conditions and Metrics on Trajectory Prediction Accuracy ( Prediction Accuracy (Mondoloni Mondoloni CSSI Inc & CSSI Inc & Bayraktutar Bayraktutar Eurocontrol Eurocontrol) )

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SLIDE 4

Thursday, July 14, 2005 6th USA/Europe ATM R&D Seminar - Baltimore, MD 4

DS DS – – ATM Capabilities ATM Capabilities

  • Miami Controller Pilot

Miami Controller Pilot Datalink Datalink Communications Summary Communications Summary and Assessment ( and Assessment (Gonda Gonda, , Saumsiegle Saumsiegle MITRE, Blackwell MITRE, Blackwell AA & Longo CA) AA & Longo CA)

  • Integration of Downlink Aircraft Parameters in a French En

Integration of Downlink Aircraft Parameters in a French En Route ATC Controller Working position ( Route ATC Controller Working position (Kapp Kapp DSNA) DSNA)

  • Managing Sector Congestion using Airspace Restriction

Managing Sector Congestion using Airspace Restriction Planner ( Planner (Kopardekar Kopardekar & Green NASA Ames) & Green NASA Ames)

  • Quantifying Convective Delay Reduction Benefits for

Quantifying Convective Delay Reduction Benefits for Weather Systems (Evans, Robinson & Allan, MIT) Weather Systems (Evans, Robinson & Allan, MIT)

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SLIDE 5

Thursday, July 14, 2005 6th USA/Europe ATM R&D Seminar - Baltimore, MD 5

DS Paper Tally DS Paper Tally

  • 11 DS papers submitted

11 DS papers submitted

  • 6 accepted papers:

6 accepted papers:

  • 2 Europe

2 Europe

  • 3 US

3 US

  • 1 Europe & US

1 Europe & US

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SLIDE 6

Thursday, July 14, 2005 6th USA/Europe ATM R&D Seminar - Baltimore, MD 6

TP Results & Discussions TP Results & Discussions Sketches (1/2) Sketches (1/2)

  • DS Tools with in

DS Tools with in-

  • built Controller expertise

built Controller expertise

  • Integration of ATCO strategies and knowledge

Integration of ATCO strategies and knowledge

  • Planner

Planner “ “vision into the future vision into the future” ” for conflict for conflict deactivation to reduce Tactical workload deactivation to reduce Tactical workload

  • How far away should the Planner

How far away should the Planner’ ’s horizon be s horizon be to ensure prediction accuracy? to ensure prediction accuracy?

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SLIDE 7

Thursday, July 14, 2005 6th USA/Europe ATM R&D Seminar - Baltimore, MD 7

TP Results & Discussions TP Results & Discussions Sketches (2/2) Sketches (2/2)

  • Understanding key factors impacting prediction

Understanding key factors impacting prediction accuracy accuracy

  • Metrics derivation to evaluate performance

Metrics derivation to evaluate performance

  • Factor ranking enabling development

Factor ranking enabling development “ “investment investment” ” where needed for improved accuracy where needed for improved accuracy

  • System

System “ “observability

  • bservability”

”: predict what pilots want to do or : predict what pilots want to do or what it is actually going to happen? what it is actually going to happen?

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SLIDE 8

Thursday, July 14, 2005 6th USA/Europe ATM R&D Seminar - Baltimore, MD 8

ATM Capabilities Results & ATM Capabilities Results & Discussions Sketches (1/4) Discussions Sketches (1/4)

  • AG data

AG data comms comms fundamental to all future ATM fundamental to all future ATM concepts of operations concepts of operations

  • CPDLC Op. trials in Miami en route airspace (1

CPDLC Op. trials in Miami en route airspace (1st

st NAS)

NAS)

  • Implemented and validated 4 basic services: transfer of

Implemented and validated 4 basic services: transfer of comm comm, initial contact; altimeter setting; menu , initial contact; altimeter setting; menu-

  • text

text

  • Level of operational acceptance was good

Level of operational acceptance was good

  • Collect metrics to support implementation decision

Collect metrics to support implementation decision

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SLIDE 9

Thursday, July 14, 2005 6th USA/Europe ATM R&D Seminar - Baltimore, MD 9

ATM Capabilities Results & ATM Capabilities Results & Discussions Sketches (2/4) Discussions Sketches (2/4)

  • Conducted Controller needs study regarding possible use

Conducted Controller needs study regarding possible use

  • f
  • f DAPs

DAPs (polled through Mode (polled through Mode-

  • S)

S)

  • Study reported on DAP display for

Study reported on DAP display for indicated airspeed, magnetic indicated airspeed, magnetic heading & instantaneous rate of climb descent heading & instantaneous rate of climb descent

  • Sims show DAP usage evolution (short

Sims show DAP usage evolution (short vs vs long consultations) long consultations)

  • Given HMI current constraints: where to display and how to acces

Given HMI current constraints: where to display and how to access s the information? the information? No ideal access method found No ideal access method found

  • Impact of DAP update frequency (e.g. instantaneous climb/descent

Impact of DAP update frequency (e.g. instantaneous climb/descent) )

  • n utility
  • n utility
  • Display of Intent information (selected

Display of Intent information (selected vs vs cleared flight level) cleared flight level)

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SLIDE 10

Thursday, July 14, 2005 6th USA/Europe ATM R&D Seminar - Baltimore, MD 10

ATM Capabilities Results & ATM Capabilities Results & Discussions Sketches (3/4) Discussions Sketches (3/4)

  • Support Provision for adequate reaction before

Support Provision for adequate reaction before congestion congestion

  • Airspace Restriction Planner tool for Traffic Manager Coordinato

Airspace Restriction Planner tool for Traffic Manager Coordinators rs

  • Ensure

Ensure “ “just in time, just enough just in time, just enough” ” principle not to under / over protect principle not to under / over protect sectors sectors

  • Quick flow control measures impact analysis (metering, capping /

Quick flow control measures impact analysis (metering, capping / tunnelling & departure planning and restrictions) tunnelling & departure planning and restrictions)

  • Human in the loop simulation showed indication of very useful ca

Human in the loop simulation showed indication of very useful capability pability

  • Suggestions for promoting collaboration between neighbouring sec

Suggestions for promoting collaboration between neighbouring sectors, tors, restriction equity and allocation of user preferences restriction equity and allocation of user preferences

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SLIDE 11

Thursday, July 14, 2005 6th USA/Europe ATM R&D Seminar - Baltimore, MD 11

ATM Capabilities Results & ATM Capabilities Results & Discussions Sketches (4/4) Discussions Sketches (4/4)

  • What to do with severe weather?

What to do with severe weather?

  • Delays arise from poorly understood interactions between convect

Delays arise from poorly understood interactions between convective ive weather and increasing complexity in the aviation system weather and increasing complexity in the aviation system

  • Methodological principles are derived in order to evaluate syste

Methodological principles are derived in order to evaluate systemic delay mic delay reduction benefits, complemented by assessment through multi reduction benefits, complemented by assessment through multi-

  • day

day

  • bservation
  • bservation “

“blitzes blitzes” ” on operations quantifying delay savings

  • n operations quantifying delay savings
  • Evaluation is made very difficult as weather occurrences are not

Evaluation is made very difficult as weather occurrences are not repeatable repeatable

  • Suggestions for weather products improved understanding (e.g. ec

Suggestions for weather products improved understanding (e.g. echo tops) ho tops) for enhanced utilisation and for support to resolve severe weath for enhanced utilisation and for support to resolve severe weather er situations as problems may not be optimally solved by humans situations as problems may not be optimally solved by humans

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SLIDE 12

Thursday, July 14, 2005 6th USA/Europe ATM R&D Seminar - Baltimore, MD 12

For the Future For the Future

  • ATM Seminar 2007, desired paper contents?

ATM Seminar 2007, desired paper contents?

  • Datalink

Datalink, o , operational perational implementation in 20xx implementation in 20xx

  • Working practices adaptation and evolution as decision support m

Working practices adaptation and evolution as decision support measures easures are implemented operationally. How to ensure Controllers accepta are implemented operationally. How to ensure Controllers acceptance? nce?

  • Once the ATC system is pushed beyond Controller human capability

Once the ATC system is pushed beyond Controller human capability through tools and automation, how to ensure a safe & graceful de through tools and automation, how to ensure a safe & graceful degradation gradation when disrupted (e.g. weather) when disrupted (e.g. weather)

  • “

“Global Picture Global Picture” ” needs to be considered when tweaking ATM System by needs to be considered when tweaking ATM System by the introduction of DS the introduction of DS

  • To the Decision Makers, in an ATM world also going through globa

To the Decision Makers, in an ATM world also going through globalisation, lisation, how to strengthen and build more research bridges? how to strengthen and build more research bridges?

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SLIDE 13

Thursday, July 14, 2005 6th USA/Europe ATM R&D Seminar - Baltimore, MD 13

Acknowledgements Acknowledgements

  • Session Chairs: Eric Hoffman, Gene

Session Chairs: Eric Hoffman, Gene Wilhelm and Wilhelm and Dres Dres Zellweger Zellweger

  • Seminar Chairs: Sabrina & Christian

Seminar Chairs: Sabrina & Christian

  • Hosts: FAA

Hosts: FAA

  • DS paper presenters, authors and

DS paper presenters, authors and researchers researchers