AMP results presentation
FULL YEAR RESULTS 2010
full year results full year results full year results full full year - - PDF document
AMP results presentation FULL YEAR RESULTS 2010 full year results full year results full year results full full year results full year results full year results full 2010 full year results Craig Dunn Chief Executive Officer Paul Leaming Chief
AMP results presentation
FULL YEAR RESULTS 2010
1
2010 full year results
Craig Dunn Chief Executive Officer Paul Leaming Chief Financial Officer 17 February 2011
2Executive summary
results elsewhere offset by negative claims experience in CWP
in growth initiatives
regulatory change, driving:
numbers
business flows
standards
2
3Outline
Key performance measures and dividend
A$1.7b; AMP Capital Investors external net cashflows A$2.6b, up from -A$1.1b in FY 09
12 months to 31 December 2010
prudent approach to capital management
83% of 2H 10 underlying profit; full year dividend 30cps (FY 09 30cps)
* Combined value of new business (VNB) measure for Australian Contemporary Wealth Protection and New Zealand risk insurance.3
5Overview – FY 10 profit summary
+5% 739 775 Net profit attributable to shareholders of AMP Limited 1. M&A transaction costs in FY 10 principally relate to the proposed merger with AXA Asia Pacific Holdings Limited. See p40 of FY 10 Investor Report. 2. Principally comprise release of prior year tax provisions offset by one-off and non-recurring costs. 3. Represents the abnormal writedown of seed pool assets, in FY 09 primarily Singapore industrial property and an Australian retirement village business. 4. Relate to accounting gains / losses that do not reflect underlying profitability of the group and should reverse over time. See p41 of FY 10 Investor Report.Overview – assets under management
Average AUM Closing AUM A$b 122 129 105 112 115 60 80 100 120 140 FY 06 FY 07 FY 08 FY 09 FY 10 112 117 113 106 1284
754 808 806 778 805 58 63 73 59 79 400 500 600 700 800 900 FY 06 FY 07 FY 08 FY 09 FY 10 7Overview – tight cost control while investing for growth
A$m 39.7% 41.3% 41.7% 43.3% 39.6% 72bps 68bps 75bps 79bps 78bps 812 871 879 837 884CAGR 2% since FY 06
Cost to income ratio Controllable costs to AUM Project costs Operating costs 8Business line review
5
9AMP Financial Services – FY 10 highlights
(A$647m in FY 09) while significantly repositioning the business
discipline, while continuing to invest in growth initiatives
transparent products, and transformed planner force with fee-for-advice capability well ahead of regulatory change
10AFS overview – FY 10 cashflows
reflected
caps
and pensions; 21,000 customers; product working as designed for customers and shareholders
6
11AFS overview – update on Flexible Super
33% 26% 41% Core Select Choiceyounger customer base and attract SG contributions; balances will increase over time:
AMP Flexible Super superannuation account – AUM (A$541m)
% AUM 12AFS overview – update on Flexible Super
2% 14% 84% Core Select ChoiceAMP Flexible Super retirement account – AUM (A$837m)
sophisticated solution for retirement customers with more complex needs:
7
13 50 100 150 200 250 bpsAFS overview – strong track record of managing margins
1H05 2H05 1H06 2H06 1H07 2H07 1H08 2H08 1H09 2H09 1H10 Investment-related revenue to AUM Operating earnings to AUM Choice of Fund introduced Lehman collapsesAFS overview – changes in investment-related revenue
2H 09 investment- related revenue to AUM Lower initial planner fees on contributions* Changes in investment / product mix Higher fee rebates Lower SuperLeader par profits Member account fees 2H 10 investment- related revenue to AUM No impact on CWM operating earnings * Reduction in planner fees attributable to lower new business volumes relative to AUM.8
493 503 506 479 482 50 50 54 50 63 100 200 300 400 500 600 FY 06 FY 07 FY 08 FY 09 FY 10 15AFS overview – disciplined cost control
A$m 35.6% 34.2% 35.4% 34.0% 34.7% 77bps 69bps 75bps 76bps 72bps 543 553 560 529 545 Cost to income ratio Controllable costs to AUM Project costs Operating costs 16 Operating earnings to AUM1,2AFS Australian contemporary wealth management
CWM
+0.3 percentage points Persistency +1% Controllable costs9
17AFS Australian contemporary wealth protection
FY 10 FY 09 Change Profit margins A$152m A$144m +6% Experience profits (A$14m) A$20mCWP
1. Based on average annual premium in-force. 18AFS Australian mature
Mature
FY 10 FY 09 Change Operating earnings A$140m A$151m10
19AFS New Zealand
New Zealand
FY 10 FY 09 Change Profit margins A$58m A$65mAMP Capital Investors – FY 10 highlights
growth initiatives
31 December 2010
from Japan and improved flows from domestic institutions into property and infrastructure
continued investment in new market-leading operating platform and Asian expansion; other costs held tight
from Asia
11
21AMPCI overview – FY 10 key financial results
AMPCI
FY 10 FY 09 Change Operating earnings A$87m A$91mAMPCI – controllable costs and cost to income ratio reflect ongoing growth investments
281 223 257 255 268 150 175 200 225 250 275 300 325 FY 06 FY 07 FY 08 FY 09 FY 10 Controllable costs Cost to income ratio Medium-term cost to income ratio target (55-60%) Controllable costs A$m12
95.1 0.8 1.7 0.1 0.0 (0.5) (0.3) (1.9) 0.0 2.7 98.0 70 75 80 85 90 95 100 AUM at 31/12/09 Australian market flows Asian distribution channels NZ market flows Aus Mkt flows (other external) Australian contemporary AMP Group Australian run-off business NZ market flows Investment returns andAMPCI – drivers of cashflows
External Internal (0.3) (0.2) AMPCI cash inflows are reported net of fees and taxes. AUM at 31/12/09 Australian market flows Asian distribution channels NZ market flows Rest of the world Australian contemporary AMP Group Australian run-off business NZ market flows Investment returns and%
One-year rolling to Dec 10 Three-year rolling to Dec 10 Five-year rolling to Dec 10AMPCI – performance against benchmarks
54 87 37 63 43 100 61 74 86 4 6 92 56 9 42 100 98 29 39 91 49 61 Asia-Pacific equities Asia-Pacific fixed interest Infrastructure and direct investments Australasian direct property International listed property International equities International fixed interest Diversified13
25Financial overview
Paul Leaming Chief Financial Officer
26Financial overview – key points on P&L
Net profit attributable to shareholders of AMPprojects completed during the year
1 January 2011
accounting mismatches
A$m 20 Market adjustment – annuity fair value (14) Market adjustment – risk products 739 (1) (5) 739 (30) 20 (13) 772 Seed pool valuation adjustments Accounting mismatches Loan hedge revaluations Profit after income tax before timing differences Other items Market adjustment – investment income Underlying profit FY 10 760 (5) (2)14
27Financial overview – balance sheet strength
Maturities 2010 A$m 2009 A$m Tier 1 Shareholder equity 3,046 2,706 Tier 2 Subordinated bonds 10+ years 83 83 AMP Notes 2 - 5 years 296 296 Subordinated loan to AMP Bank 2 - 5 years (100) (100) 279 279 Senior debt Commercial paper 0 - 1 year 59 132 Euro MTN 1 - 2 years 398 628 Domestic MTN 0 - 1 year 350 350 Loan to AMP Bank 0 - 1 year (200) (200) 607 910 TOTAL RESOURCES 3,932 3,895 Surplus above MRR increased by A$240m to A$1,482m at the Group level FY10 FY09 Gearing 10% 13% Interest cover (underlying) 11.6 times 11.9 times Group cash A$468m A$622m Undrawn bank facilities A$500m A$700m 28 886 823 829 1,023 1,089 668 895 898 1,242 1,482Financial overview – strengthened capital position over five years
A$m Coverage (times) FY 06 adjusted for 40 cents per share capital return paid in 1H 07.15
29Financial overview – capital movements
1,242 1,548 1,482 775 (387) (18) (64) (66) 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 1,800 2,000 2,200Financial overview – regulatory capital outlook
reviews
conglomerate capital standards) and reviewing capital standards for life and general insurers
registered managed investment schemes under the AFSL regime
companies
supervision (Basel III); APRA will then revise Australian banking standards
position
16
31Financial overview – capital and dividends
Final 15 cps dividend represents 83% of 2H 10 underlying profit Dividend payout ratio Franking DRP 75% to 85% of underlying profit Policy FY 10 Maximum possible Dividend 60% franked Preference for DRP at par, with shares bought
DRP offered at a discount of 1.5% and effected by issuing new shares, as part
approach
Zealand operations, the franking capacity of the merged company is expected to be less than AMP’s current FY 10 franking level of 60% in the near term, given AXA APH’s current franking position
32Outlook & strategy
17
33Outlook
particularly in the US, although volatility from GFC aftershocks still likely
the short term, but the medium term outlook remains bright
prudential requirements
Australia and investment management in Asia remain highly attractive
underpin strong market growth
the business to succeed in changing wealth management world
34Short-term outlook – cost outcomes
continue
investment in growth initiatives continues
target in 2011 as a result of continued investment in Asian expansion and final tranche of investment in new operating platform; FY 11 cost to income ratio should be in line with FY 10
merger, with expected net annual synergies of A$120m (post tax)
18
35Growth strategy: reshaping the business for success
enabled fast, flexible responses to changing regulatory and consumer environment
1. Growing planner capacity and broadening distribution 2. Expanding to Asia through AMP Capital Investors 3. Growing customers in high-value segments 4. Reshaping AMP Capital Investors into a high value-add investment manager 5. Investing in key growth enablers
expand into new markets and geographies and reshape the business portfolio through targeted M&A
traction in new markets / geographies and targeted M&A
36Organic growth strategy gaining traction
Goal Action Outcome
Professional, productive planner force growing faster than the market Quality products that respond to the needs of fast- growing customer segments More of AMPCI’s net cashflows sourced internationally19
37AXA merger to accelerate growth strategy
strategy, capture synergies and position the merged business for stronger growth
New Zealand
the company’s competitive position and balancing a market-leading position in personal and corporate superannuation with a strong position in retail risk insurance
and a wealth management company differentiated through its commitment to the value of financial advice and the role of financial advisers
38Approach to AXA / AMP integration planning
progress to completion
regulators and Government
vote on scheme of arrangement
become legally binding
period
with AXA APH
20
39Summary
responsive business, well ahead of regulatory change curve, with:
planner force
capabilities
strengthen competitive position of combined company
markets and well placed to benefit from market recovery
40Appendices
21
41Further information
Topic
Chart
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42 3000 3500 4000 4500 5000 5500 6000 6500 7000 7500 3 3.5 4 4.5 5 5.5 6 6.5 7 1-Jan-07 1-Jan-08 1-Jan-09 1-Jan-10 Index Percent 10-year bond yield LHS ASX 200 Index RHSVolatility in 10-year bond yield and ASX 200
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43 43Margin guidance
across the cycle (i.e. initially 5 to 6 bps) in normal markets
member fees and fee rebates as customer balances increase
however AMP remains confident margin compression can be managed
receiving SG contributions on which planners earn commissions – representing 17% of total CWM business
growth
1. Includes 1% pa assumption of switching from existing AMP products to AMP Flexible Super. 5% rate of switching would only increase guidance by 0.3% pa. 44AMP Bank – business and funding model
lending
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45 8% 7% 2% 9% 13% 20% 41% Cash Management Business Saver Investment Accounts Transaction Accounts Savings Accounts Term Deposits Super Deposits 5% 15% 1% 9% 12% 19% 40% 0.00% 0.10% 0.20% 0.30% 0.40% 0.50% 0.60% 0.70% 0.80% 0.90% 1.00% Jan-06 Jul-06 Jan-07 Jul-07 Jan-08 Jul-08 Jan-09 Jul-09 Jan-10 Jul-10 Jan-11 90+ days past dueAMP Bank – business profile
Deposit mix (excluding wholesale) Credit quality
Mortgage growth relative to market Deposit growth relative to market
AMP Bank Total Market AMP Bank Total Market 46AMP changing well ahead of curve
Future of Financial Advice (FoFA) reformsAMP action/impact Proposed reform