Global Iron Ore & Steel Forecast Conference Investor - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Global Iron Ore & Steel Forecast Conference Investor - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Globally Significant Orebody Existing Infrastructure Innovative Technology 18 March 2020 Global Iron Ore & Steel Forecast Conference Investor Presentation November 2019 Disclaimer Important Notice The purpose of this presentation is to


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Investor Presentation

November 2019

Innovative Technology Existing Infrastructure Globally Significant Orebody

Global Iron Ore & Steel Forecast Conference

18 March 2020

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Disclaimer

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Important Notice The purpose of this presentation is to provide general information about Magnetite Mines Limited ("MGT"). It is not recommended that any person makes any investment decision in relation to MGT based on this presentation. This presentation contains certain statements which may constitute "forward-looking statements". Such statements are only predictions and are subject to inherent risks and uncertainties which could cause actual values, results, performance or achievements to differ materially from those expressed, implied or projected in any forward-looking statements. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made by MGT that the material contained in this presentation will be achieved or prove to be correct. Except for statutory liability which cannot be excluded, each of MGT, its officers, employees and advisers expressly disclaims any responsibility for the accuracy or completeness of the material contained in this presentation and excludes all liability whatsoever (including in negligence) for any loss or damage which may be suffered by any person as a consequence of any information in this presentation or any error or omission therefrom. MGT accepts no responsibility to update any person regarding any inaccuracy,

  • mission or change in information in this presentation or any other information made available to a person nor any obligation to furnish the person with any further

information. Additional Information This presentation should be read in conjunction with the Annual Report at 30 June 2019 together with any announcements made by MGT in accordance with its continuous disclosure obligations arising under the Corporations Act 2001. Any references to resources estimations should be read in conjunction with MGT’s Mineral Resources statement for its Magnetite projects at 30 June 2019 as released to the Australian Securities Exchange on 12 and 20 November 2018. MGT confirms in the subsequent public report that it is not aware of any new information or data that materially affects the information included in the relevant market announcement and, in the case of estimates of mineral resources, that all material assumptions and technical parameters underpinning the estimates in the relevant market announcement continue to apply and have not materially changed. All amounts within this presentation are stated in Australian Dollars consistent with the functional currency of MGT, unless

  • therwise stated. Tables contained within this presentation may contain immaterial rounding differences.
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Steel usage versus per capita GDP

  • Conventional analysis suggests steel

intensity increases as countries develop, peaking then plateauing (‘peak steel’)

  • Other factors raised, such as technology,

‘de-intensification’, recycling, environment

  • But China’s pathway has not proved

amenable to traditional intensity or econometric tools

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Crowson, P. Intensity of use reexamined. Miner Econ 31, 61–70 (2018); Open Access This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License

Forecasting demand with steel intensity models

…and premature “peak steel” estimates

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Is China a riddle, wrapped in a mystery, inside an enigma?

Underestimates during the rise of China… …and premature “peak steel” estimates

  • "Humans make mistakes, Chinese demand is going south.“ (Kirill

Chuyko, BCS, AFR Nov 24 2014)

  • “China’s steel sector has already entered a period of peaking and

flattening out.” (CISA Chairman Wall Street Daily, February 2015)

  • “The increasing market consensus is that China is at, or close to,

reaching the maximum level of steel output and demand slipping back to just under [800Mt] from 2017 to 2020”. (Morgan Stanley Reuters February 2015)

  • “POSCO Research Institute predicts that China’s crude steel

demand will continue to decline gradually from the peak of 766Mt in 2013 to 670Mt in 2020” (Asian Steel Watch January 2016)

  • “Rio Tinto … is sticking by its widely ridiculed prediction that

Chinese steel production will peak around 1Bt by 2030” (SMH Sep 3 2015)

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Research on China's Steel Demand Using Combined Forecast- International Journal of u- and e- Service, Science and Technology Vol.8, No.1 (2015), pp.189-200

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58% of people make up 17% of global steel demand – but that is changing

  • In UK and US, peak steel was almost a

century after industrialisation

  • Japan flattened after 1974, 14 years after

industrialisation, actual peak in 2007

  • Four regions on a rapid growth path:

– China – 5y growth 21%, 1.4Bn pop – Other Asia - 5y growth 3%, 1.8Bn pop – India - 5y growth 27%, 1.4Bn pop – Africa - 5y growth 13%, 1.8Bn pop

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200000 400000 600000 800000 1000000 1200000

  • 20,000

40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 120,000 140,000 160,000 180,000 200,000 1850 1856 1862 1868 1874 1880 1886 1892 1898 1904 1910 1916 1922 1928 1934 1940 1946 1952 1958 1964 1970 1976 1982 1988 1994 2000 2006 2012 2018

Crude steel production China '000t Crude steel production '000t (excl China)

Long Term Crude Steel Production History (LHS except China RHS)

US UK Japan India Other Asia Africa/ME China

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Crude steel production increasing, as well as iron ore trade…

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  • 200

400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 1,800 2,000 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Regional Crude Steel Production

Traditional steel Africa/Middle East India Other Asia China 600 700 800 900 1,000 1,100 1,200 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q4 2017 Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019 Q1 2020

China quarterly iron ore imports and crude steel production (annualised)

China Crude Steel Production (annualised) China Iron Ore Imports (annualised) Traditional includes Europe/CIS/Americas/Oceania/Japan

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…but supply response muted

  • China is confounding predictions

with strong growth

  • Rapid growth in developing regions
  • Limited supply response
  • Expect long term price trends to

continue

  • Grade spreads generally increased

– an opportunity for high grade products

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Razorback is a 3.9Bt resource close to existing infrastructure

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Location

  • ~ 240km NE of Adelaide within the Braemar Iron

Formation

  • ~ 99km to NEM transmission lines and substation
  • ~ 40km from mine site to rail
  • ~ 375km rail haul from siding to port

Scoping Study focused on low capital startup

  • Low strip ratio
  • Long mine life
  • Local water and power
  • Conventional HPGR/LIMS magnetite flowsheet
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Razorback Iron Project Key Advantages

Key advantages Providing

Existing Rail, Port and Power Infrastructure Low capital cost

Soft magnetite ore with simple flowsheet Premium product (68.5% Fe with ~3.3% SiO2) potential for high and competitive margins

Located in a mining-friendly jurisdiction Low sovereign risk

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Simple, shallow and low strip ratio pit shell

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Proposed pit shells for the Razorback Iron Project Razorback Ridge is the largest outcropping of magnetite mineralisation in the Braemar Iron Formation

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Focussed on high-grade low impurity products

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Fe % 68.5 Silica % 3.3 Alumina % 0.4 Phosphorus % 0.01

Indicative Razorback Iron Project – Fe Concentrate Specs1

55.0% 57.0% 59.0% 61.0% 63.0% 65.0% 67.0% 69.0% RAZORBACK Carajas Fines (Vale) Newman Fines (BHP) Vale SSF Vale BBF PB Fines (RioTinto) MAC fines (BHP RTX Fines (Rio Tinto) Roy Hill W Pilbara Fines SIMEC Fines JMB fines (BHP) FMG Blended Yandi (BHP&Rio) Atlas Fines FMG SSF Robe (Rio Tinto)

Typical Brand Quality Comparison

  • 1. Results based as per metallurgical test work announced to the market 13 September 2016, see ASX

Announcement – 13/09/16 – Metallurgical Update – Positive Results Data MMI daily iron ore report

On the supply side, global iron ore production totals 1.5 billion tonnes annually of which approximately 60 million tonnes [4%] is high-grade [67%+ preferred for pellet production].2 Erik Hedborg, senior iron ore analyst at CRU in London, expects Chinese pellet demand to grow more than 40% by 2023 to roughly 190 million tonnes, from 140 million tonnes in 2018, and keep rising.3

  • 1. Values quoted are targets, subject to change pending further testwork and analysis during potential Pre-feasibility testwork
  • 2. Source: Research Report by Toronto based research firm Tormont50 (May 2019)
  • 3. Source: Reuters, 20 August 2019
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Ore sorting - technology advantage

  • Executed an exclusivity agreement with NextOre
  • Opportunity to apply Magnetic Resonance sensing and ore sorting

technology developed by CSIRO to increase plant feed grade and yields

  • Sensor continuously detects iron grade of feed and diverts low grade

material to avoid processing of lower grade ore

  • Increases average grade of plant feed by up to 50%1
  • Currently at commercial scale for Cu and pilot scale for Fe
  • Results in lower OPEX and improved capital efficiency
  • Desktop evaluation underway with test work and bulk sampling to follow

during PFS

MRA output controls the

  • re diverter

MR Sensor Ore Diverter

Upgraded Ore Waste

  • 1. Values quoted are targets, subject to change pending further testwork and analysis during potential Pre-feasibility testwork
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$0.001 $0.010 $0.100 $1.000 $10.000 $100.000

AU$ Value per In-Situ Resource Tonne

Market value per resource tonne indicates rerating potentiaI

Reference – Open source data. Indicative only. Calculation of AUD Value per resource tonne: Market Capital Value/Contained Metal adjusted to 62% Fe

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$17.00 /tonne

Magnetite Mines

Razorback Iron Project

$0.003/tonne

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The Magnetite Mines Value Proposition

Globally significant iron ore resource in low sovereign-risk jurisdiction

Open-access to existing port, road, rail and power infrastructure

Conventional processing/beneficiation flowsheet with technology upside

Low enterprise value/resource tonne

100% project ownership and open to partnerships

Study work– a catalyst for growth and re-rating

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Mr Mark Eames Director Magnetite Mines Limited www.magnetitemines.com