How to get the upside of AI without the downside Max Tegmark AI - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

how to get the upside of ai without the downside
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How to get the upside of AI without the downside Max Tegmark AI - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

How to get the upside of AI without the downside Max Tegmark AI is getting more powerful Boston Dynamics: Atlas SpaceX NVIDIA AI can solve problems... How many lives can AI save? Over a million road deaths/year, Most soon preventable


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How to get the upside of AI 
 without the downside

Max Tegmark

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AI is getting more powerful

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SLIDE 4 Boston Dynamics: Atlas
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SLIDE 5 SpaceX
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SLIDE 6 NVIDIA
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AI can solve problems...

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Over a million road deaths/year, most caused by human error Most soon preventable by AI?

How many lives can AI save?

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Bad hospital care kills more than twice as many as cars in US Most are preventable with AI

How many lives can AI save?

Source: Scientific American, http://tinyurl.com/medaccidents

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A recent Dutch study showed that AI diagnosis

  • f prostate cancer using MRI was as good as

that of human radiologists

AI diagnosis - prostate cancer

Source: Litjens et al 2015, Eur Radiol. 25, 3187–3199, http://tinyurl.com/prostate-ai

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A recent Stanford study showed that AI could diagnose lung cancer using microscope images even better than human pathologists

AI diagnosis - lung cancer

Source: Snyder et al 2016, http://tinyurl.com/lungcancer-ai

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A recent Google DeepMind study showed that AI could diagnose 50 retinal diseases from optical coherence tomography as human

  • ptalmologists

AI diagnosis - blindness

Source: De Fauw et al 2018, Nature Medicine, 24, 1342–1350

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AI diagnosis - ultrasound

  • NB. I have a conflict of

interest, since I'm advisor to the company making the Butterfly IQ

$20k-$75k $2k

Democratized by requiring 1) less money: 2) less training: AI guides non-experts to place

probe correctly & to analyze results

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Hemoglobin amino acid sequence: MVLSPADK...

AI for Protein Folding:

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43 mystery proteins 25 done best by AlphaFold AI 3 done best by #2 team of 98

CASP13 competition results, Dec. 2018:

AI for Protein Folding:

...and the AlphaFold team had almost no biology experience!

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Input amino acid sequence: TDELLERLRQLFEELHERGTEIVVEVHINGERDEIRVRNISKEELKKLLERIREKIEREGSSEVEVNVHSGGQTWTFNEK Protein shape predicted by AlphaFold:

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...and AI can cause problems

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Let's draw the line!

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Acceptable Unacceptable

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Acceptable Unacceptable

Impossible?

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Acceptable Unacceptable

Impossible?

Biology is our role model!

  • Prof. Matthew Meselson

Nope!

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Bioweapons

Uses of biology:

Biology is our role model!

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Asilomar 1975: Asilomar 2017:

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Demis Hassabis, DeepMind, Founder & CEO Ilya Sutskever, OpenAI, Research Director, Co-Founder Yann LeCun, Director of AI Research at Facebook, Professor at New York University Yoshua Bengio, University of Montréal, head of the Montreal Institute for Learning Algorithms Stuart Russell, University of California, Berkeley, Professor of Computer Science, director of the Center for Intelligent Systems, co-author of the standard textbook Artificial Intelligence: a Modern Approach. Peter Norvig, Google, Research Director Ray Kurzweil, Google, Research Director; Inventor, Author and Futurist, author of The Singularity is Near and How to Create a Mind Jeff Dean, Google, Inc., Leader of Google Brain project, Google Senior Fellow, member of AAAI, ACM, National Academy of Engineering Tom Gruber, Apple; Co-Founder, CTO and VP Design for Siri Nils J. Nilsson, Past President of AAAI, Emeritus Kumagai Professor of Engineering, Stanford, member of AAAI Francesca Rossi, IBM & Padova, Professor of Computer Science, IJCAI President and Co-chair of AAAI committee on impact of AI and Ethical Issues, member of ACM Bart Selman, Cornell, Professor of Computer Science, co-chair of the AAAI presidential panel on long-term AI futures, member of ACM Guru Banavar, Vice President, Cognitive Computing, IBM Research Shane Legg, DeepMind, Co-Founder Mustafa Suleyman, DeepMind, Co-Founder Leslie Kaelbling, MIT, Professor of Computer Science and Engineering, member of AAAI, ACM, IEEE RAS …

Signatories of the 23 Asilomar AI Principles

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Demis Hassabis, DeepMind, Founder & CEO Ilya Sutskever, OpenAI, Research Director, Co-Founder Yann LeCun, Director of AI Research at Facebook, Professor at New York University Yoshua Bengio, University of Montréal, head of the Montreal Institute for Learning Algorithms Stuart Russell, University of California, Berkeley, Professor of Computer Science, director of the Center for Intelligent Systems, co-author of the standard textbook Artificial Intelligence: a Modern Approach. Peter Norvig, Google, Research Director Ray Kurzweil, Google, Research Director; Inventor, Author and Futurist, author of The Singularity is Near and How to Create a Mind Jeff Dean, Google, Inc., Leader of Google Brain project, Google Senior Fellow, member of AAAI, ACM, National Academy of Engineering Tom Gruber, Apple; Co-Founder, CTO and VP Design for Siri Nils J. Nilsson, Past President of AAAI, Emeritus Kumagai Professor of Engineering, Stanford, member of AAAI Francesca Rossi, IBM & Padova, Professor of Computer Science, IJCAI President and Co-chair of AAAI committee on impact of AI and Ethical Issues, member of ACM Bart Selman, Cornell, Professor of Computer Science, co-chair of the AAAI presidential panel on long-term AI futures, member of ACM Guru Banavar, Vice President, Cognitive Computing, IBM Research Shane Legg, DeepMind, Co-Founder Mustafa Suleyman, DeepMind, Co-Founder Leslie Kaelbling, MIT, Professor of Computer Science and Engineering, member of AAAI, ACM, IEEE RAS …

Signatories of the 23 Asilomar AI Principles

Endorsed by California Aug 30 2018

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Demis Hassabis, DeepMind, Founder & CEO Ilya Sutskever, OpenAI, Research Director, Co-Founder Yann LeCun, Director of AI Research at Facebook, Professor at New York University Yoshua Bengio, University of Montréal, head of the Montreal Institute for Learning Algorithms Stuart Russell, University of California, Berkeley, Professor of Computer Science, director of the Center for Intelligent Systems, co-author of the standard textbook Artificial Intelligence: a Modern Approach. Peter Norvig, Google, Research Director Ray Kurzweil, Google, Research Director; Inventor, Author and Futurist, author of The Singularity is Near and How to Create a Mind Jeff Dean, Google, Inc., Leader of Google Brain project, Google Senior Fellow, member of AAAI, ACM, National Academy of Engineering Tom Gruber, Apple; Co-Founder, CTO and VP Design for Siri Nils J. Nilsson, Past President of AAAI, Emeritus Kumagai Professor of Engineering, Stanford, member of AAAI Francesca Rossi, IBM & Padova, Professor of Computer Science, IJCAI President and Co-chair of AAAI committee on impact of AI and Ethical Issues, member of ACM Bart Selman, Cornell, Professor of Computer Science, co-chair of the AAAI presidential panel on long-term AI futures, member of ACM Guru Banavar, Vice President, Cognitive Computing, IBM Research Shane Legg, DeepMind, Co-Founder Mustafa Suleyman, DeepMind, Co-Founder Leslie Kaelbling, MIT, Professor of Computer Science and Engineering, member of AAAI, ACM, IEEE RAS …

Signatories of the 23 Asilomar AI Principles

Terah Lyons from PAI speaks this PM

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Acceptable Unacceptable

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Let’s build AI that

  • verpowers us!

empowers

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Let’s build AI that

  • verpowers us!

empowers

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