SLIDE 2 5/18/2013 2
Natural History
Skinner and Belsey (1967) reported on cohort of 21 patients managed with watchful waiting and reported 6 deaths (29%) related to strangulation, perforation, or hemorrhage. Hill (1973) reported a 30% rate of incarceration in a cohort of patients managed with watchful waiting The reported mortality of emergency operations was 17%. …and as a result, for years textbooks recommended prophylactic repair for all comers. Many questioned these recommendations because the predicted disasters weren’t evident in everyday practice. There was not (and still isn’t) good data on the natural history
Natural History
Ann Surg 2002;236:492.
Attempt to model elective PEH repair versus watchful waiting in Markov decision analysis. The best available statistics were used in the model: Mortality of elective PEH repair: 1.4% Mortality of emergency PEH repair: 5.4% (based upon NIS data) Probability of symptoms with watchful waiting: 1.1% /year
Natural History
- For patients >65 years, watchful waiting was superior to
elective PEH repair with an improvement of 0.13 QALYs.
- Sensitivity analysis showed that this result persisted across a
wide range of expected surgical mortalities:
- The data supporting this model have been questioned. Peters
reported a 21% in-house mortality for emergency PEH repairs and 1% mortality for elective repairs in the modern era (JGISurg 2010). And the 1.1%/year rate of symptoms based upon very weak data. These data favor elective repair over watchful waiting.
- Confounder: The are no truly asymptomatic patients. Careful
interview will reveal foregut symptoms in over 90%.
When to operate?
Reflux symptoms Heartburn, regurgitation, chest pain, cough, hoarseness, aspiration with or without pneumonia Obstructive symptoms Dysphagia, chest pain, early satiety, bleeding or iron deficiency anemia from gastric stasis ulcers (Cameron lesions) Entrapment symptoms Acute pain, perforation, sepsis Borchardt's triad =acute epigastric pain, inability to vomit, inability to pass NG tube = impending gangrene = immediate exploration needed. Respiratory symptoms Recurrent aspiration. Shortness of breath and dyspnea on exertion are generally caused from anemia, not mass effect / displacement of lung
Indications for surgery
In general, repair the PEH when these symptoms are present. pearl: if you have a young patient, find some symptoms