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12:00 P.M.
United States Department of Agriculture
National Agricultural Statistics Service November Crop Production
Executive Summary
Lance Honig, Chief Crops Branch
November 9, 2016
USDA-NASS 11-9-16
National Agricultural Statistics Service November Crop Production - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
National Agricultural Statistics Service November Crop Production - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
United States Department of Agriculture National Agricultural Statistics Service November Crop Production Executive Summary Lance Honig, Chief Crops Branch November 9, 2016 12:00 P.M. Contents Field Crops Fruit & Nuts Specialty Crops
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USDA-NASS 11-9-16
Objective Surveys (Size and Drop) Fruit Maturity Survey Type Field Observations Laboratory Tests Crops Included All Oranges, Grapefruit Sample Size 1,801 groves 421 samples Collection Period October 10 - 25 October 24 - 25 Testing Period October 26 - 28
Survey Overview
Florida Citrus
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USDA-NASS 11-9-16
November 2016 Crop Production
% Change % Change From From Crop Unit November Previous Previous 2016 Forecast Season Production Oranges Mil Tons 5.32 +1.7
- 10.0
Grapefruit Thou Tons 756 NC
- 5.9
Tangerines & Mandarins Thou Tons 992
- 0.5
+6.1
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12.7 13.7 9.80 13.0 12.2 12.4 11.5 12.9 9.30 9.02 7.63 10.1 9.10 8.24 8.91 8.98 8.27 6.77 6.35 5.91 5.32
0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 14.0 16.0 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 Million T
- ns
Orange Production
United States
USDA-NASS 11-9-16
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USDA-NASS 11-9-16
Ag Yield Objective Yield Survey Type Farmer Reported Field Measurement Crops Included Field Crops Corn, Cotton, Soybeans Sample Size 8,856 4,952 Collection Period Oct 29 – Nov 4 Oct 25 – Nov 1
Survey Overview
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USDA-NASS 11-9-16
November 2016 Crop Production
% Change % Change From From Crop Unit November Previous Previous 2016 Forecast Season Corn Harvested Mil Ac 86.8 NC +7.5 Yield Bu/Ac 175.3 +1.1 +4.1 Production Bil Bu 15.2 +1.1 +11.9
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9.23 9.21 9.76 9.43 9.92 9.50 8.97 10.1 11.8 11.1 10.5 13.0 12.0 13.1 12.4 12.3 10.8 13.8 14.2 13.6 15.2
0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 14.0 16.0 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 Billion Bushels
Corn for Grain Production
United States
USDA-NASS 11-9-16
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USDA-NASS 11-9-16
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2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Aug-16 Sep-16 Oct-16 Nov-16
0.260 0.270 0.280 0.290 0.300 0.310 0.320 0.330 0.340 0.350 0.360 0.370 25,000 25,500 26,000 26,500 27,000 27,500 28,000 28,500 29,000 29,500 Lbs/Ear Ears Per Acre
Corn Objective Yield Region
Ears Per Acre vs. Implied Ear Weight
Implied Ear Weight = (Published Yield * 56) / Ears
USDA-NASS 11-9-16
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USDA-NASS 11-9-16
Year Dent Stage Mature Percent 2012 < 0.5 95 2013 < 0.5 86 2014 < 0.5 96 2015 < 0.5 96 2016 < 0.5 96
Corn Objective Yield - November
Percent of Samples Processed in the Lab
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USDA-NASS 11-9-16
November 2016 Crop Production
% Change % Change From From Crop Unit November Previous Previous 2016 Forecast Season Soybeans Harvested Mil Ac 83.0 NC +1.6 Yield Bu/Ac 52.5 +2.1 +9.4 Production Bil Bu 4.36 +2.2 +11.1
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2.38 2.69 2.74 2.65 2.76 2.89 2.76 2.45 3.12 3.07 3.20 2.68 2.97 3.36 3.33 3.10 3.04 3.36 3.93 3.93 4.36
0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50 3.00 3.50 4.00 4.50 5.00 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 Billion Bushels
Soybean Production
United States
USDA-NASS 11-9-16
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USDA-NASS 11-9-16
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2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Sep-16 Oct -16 Nov-16
0.260 0.265 0.270 0.275 0.280 0.285 0.290 0.295 0.300 0.305 0.310 0.315 0.320 0.325 0.330 0.335 0.340 0.345 0.350 1,400 1,450 1,500 1,550 1,600 1,650 1,700 1,750 1,800 1,850 1,900 Grams/Pod Pods Per 18 Square Feet
Soybean Objective Yield Region
Pods Per 18 Square Feet vs. Implied Pod Weight
Implied Pod Weight = (Published Yield / Pods) /0.0889
USDA-NASS 11-9-16
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USDA-NASS 11-9-16
Year Mature Percent 2012 94 2013 73 2014 92 2015 95 2016 93
Soybean Objective Yield - November
Percent of Samples Processed in the Lab
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USDA-NASS 11-9-16
November 2016 Crop Production
% Change % Change From From Crop Unit October Previous Previous 2016 Forecast Season All Cotton Harvested Mil Ac 9.66 NC +19.6 Yield Lb/Ac 803 +0.8 +4.8 Production Mil Bls 16.2 +0.8 +25.4
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18.9 18.8 13.9 17.0 17.2 20.3 17.2 18.3 23.3 23.9 21.6 19.2 12.8 12.2 18.1 15.6 17.3 12.9 16.3 12.9 16.2
0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 Million Bales
All Cotton Production
United States
USDA-NASS 11-9-16
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USDA-NASS 11-9-16
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USDA-NASS 11-9-16
November 2016 Crop Production
% Change % Change From From Crop Unit November Previous Previous 2016 Forecast Season Rice Harvested Mil Ac 3.13 NC +21.7 Yield Lbs/Ac 7,493
- 0.5
+0.3 Production Mil Cwt 235
- 0.5
+22.1
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USDA-NASS 11-9-16
November 2016 Crop Production
% Change % Change From From Crop Unit November Previous Previous 2016 Forecast Season Peanuts Harvested Mil Ac 1.59 NC +1.7 Yield Lbs/Ac 3,934
- 1.1
+2.3 Production Bil Lbs 6.24
- 1.1
+4.0
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USDA-NASS 11-9-16
November 2016 Crop Production
% Change % Change From From Crop Unit November Previous Previous 2016 Forecast Season Sorghum Harvested Mil Ac 6.05 NC
- 23.0
Yield Bu/Ac 76.5
- 0.9
+0.7 Production Mil Bu 462
- 1.0
- 22.6
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USDA-NASS 11-9-16
November 2016 Crop Production
% Change % Change From From Crop Unit November Previous Previous 2016 Forecast Season Production Sugarcane Mil Tons 33.5
- 0.7
+3.9 Sugarbeets Mil Tons 36.6 +0.9 +3.5
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USDA-NASS 11-9-16
November 2016 Crop Production
% Change % Change From From Crop Unit November Previous Previous 2016 Forecast Year Production Cottonseed Mil Tons 5.16 +1.0 +27.6 Fall Potatoes Mil Cwt 405 NA +0.1
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USDA-NASS 11-9-16
November 2016 Crop Production
% Change % Change From From Crop Unit November Previous Previous 2016 Forecast Season Production
- A. Winter Peas
Thou Cwt 444 NA +70.8 Dry Edible Peas Mil Cwt 27.1 NA +48.1 Lentils Mil Cwt 12.4 NA +135.7
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USDA-NASS 11-9-16
Release Date Report Title November 17 Farm Labor November 18 Cattle on Feed November 30 Agricultural Prices December 1 CAIR: Cotton CAIR: Oilseed Crushing CAIR: Fats & Oils December 9 Crop Production
Upcoming Reports
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