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Dimitrios Chaniotis, ENTSO-E 10 year anniversary presentation
Nordic Electricity Market Forum November 28, 2019 From national to - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Nordic Electricity Market Forum November 28, 2019 From national to - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Nordic Electricity Market Forum November 28, 2019 From national to Nordic Adequacy by Nordic Planning Group Adequacy assessments in different time horizons Dimitrios Chaniotis, ENTSO-E 10 year anniversary presentation Nordic winter power
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Nordic winter power balance 2019-2020
=> youshouldalsoanalyze all the neighboringcountries!
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- In longerterm studies, the whole power system is modelledand simulated hour-by-hour with
probabilistic approach
- Last year, Nordic TSOs published a Nordic adequacyforecast based on a European study
(MAF, Mid-term AdequacyForecast 2017) that was complementedwith regional sensitivities:
- Locationof future wind power development
- Weatherpatterns – extreme heat, extreme storm
- No Russian cross-borderexchange
- Reductionin CHP capacity
- Reductionin Nuclear capacity
- Grid constraints in DK/Gerborder
- A Pan-European study (MAF 2019) has just been published
Longer term adequacy studies
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Results from MAF 2019
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Development: 2020 to 2021
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CEP impact on adequacy studies
To be developed
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MAF 2020
- New target year
2030
- Flow-based proof
- f concept
ERAA 2021
- Consolidation of Flow-
Based framework suited for 5-10 yrs, CEP 70%, etc.)
- Proof of concept
Generation viability tests
ERAA 2022
- Consolidation of
Generation viability (e.g. mothballing risk) + CM (sensitivity w/wo CM, but no CM assessment)
- Consolidation of causal
analysis of adequacy (resource vs interconnection)
ERAA 2023
- 1-10 year
granularity
- Sectorial
integration tests
Gradual implementation towards 2023
This will also be the basis for Nordic adequacy assessment: any separate Nordic methodologyor study is not planned But we are still needed to interpret the results from the Nordic point of view!