PIZZA CORPORATE PRESENTATION
AUGUST 2019
SHAKEY’S PIZZA ASIA VENTURES, INC.
PIZZA CORPORATE PRESENTATION AUGUST 2019 Company Overview - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
SHAKEYS PIZZA ASIA VENTURES, INC. PIZZA CORPORATE PRESENTATION AUGUST 2019 Company Overview SNAPSHOT FULL-YEAR FINANCIALS Shakeys Pizza Asia Ventures, Inc. is the Philippines #1 full-service pizza chain with over Revenues (In USD
SHAKEY’S PIZZA ASIA VENTURES, INC.
2 SNAPSHOT
60% market share in that category. It is also the single-largest brand of full-service casual dining chain restaurants in the Philippines.*
products, a distinct store environment, and highly guest-centric service.
East, Asia (excluding Japan and Malaysia), China, Australia, and New Zealand. It does not pay any royalties and is instead able to collect from local and international franchisees.
standing.
President & CFO, Jorge Q. Concepcion - Shakey’s Philippines General Manager, Alois Brielbeck - In-House Commissary General Manager
*Source: Euromonitor, 2018
Revenues (In USD Mill) 89 100 114 133 144
162
2014 2015 2016* 2017 2018 2019F**
8 9 13 14 16
18
2014 2015 2016* 2017 2018 2019F**
*Based on recurring figures **Consensus of active brokers
Net Income (In USD Mill)
Century Pacific Group 53% GIC Private Equity 18% Public 29% Dine-In 58% Delivery & Others 42% Company- Owned 56% Franchised 44% Metro Manila 43% Luzon (ex-MM) 43% Visayas 10% Mindanao 4%
FULL-YEAR FINANCIALS 2018 SYSTEM-WIDE SALES & STORE NETWORK BREAKDOWN OWNERSHIP STRUCTURE
3 9.0 9.5 10.1 10.8 11.5 12.1 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
budget goes to food consumed
annually, showing a strong propensity to spend.
Source: NSO, Nielsen, Euromonitor, BSP
Furnishings Fashion Food Fun
Restaurants and hotels are growing household consumption sectors The consumer foodservice industry has been growing in recent years
In USD Billions
Full-service pizza chain restaurants show faster growth than the whole full-service restaurant sector
CAGR from 2013-2018
Well-positioned to take advantage of the growing foodservice industry 4 F’s in the consumer economy to benefit from strong economic growth
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1954
First Shakey’s Pizza Parlor opened in Sacramento, California
1975
First store in the Philippines
1987
The Prieto family became the master franchisor in the Philippines
1999
Acquired Shakey’s trademark for the Philippines in perpetuity
2003
Positioned as an American fast casual dining restaurant for families
2014
Acquired Shakey’s trademark for Middle East, Asia (ex Japan, Malaysia) including China, Australia, and New Zealand in perpetuity
2016
Century Pacific Group (CPGI) and Arran (GIC) acquired control
2018
228 stores by end 2018
2019
Acquired Peri-Peri Charcoal Chicken and Sauce Bar
Industry-Leading Financials Experienced Management
periods compared to the industry
synergies with other food businesses
Market Leadership Brand Strength & Ownership Scalable Business Model
space as well
*Source: Euromonitor, 2018
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The full-service pizza chain market is dominated by Shakey’s. Max's 13.5% Pizza Hut 10.4% Kenny Rogers 5.7% Pancake House 4.1% TGI Fridays 2.4% Others 41.6%
22.3% Latest Euromonitor report states that Shakey’s leads the Philippine chained full- service restaurant industry with 22.3% market share as of 2018.
Pizza Hut 29.9% Papa John's 1.7% Others 4.2%
64.2% 2018 data shows that Shakey’s dominates the full-service pizza chain market by sales since 2011 until present.
FULL-SERVICE CHAIN FULL-SERVICE PIZZA CHAIN
Source: Euromonitor
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DIFFERENTIATED MENU WITH ICONIC PRODUCTS AND OFFERINGS FOR ALL
Pizza World-famous thin crust and hand-tossed pizzas with many different choices Chicken and Mojos Signature dish - fried chicken paired with Shakey’s famous mojos*
*Thinly-sliced potatoes coated with Shakey’s breading
and fried to a golden brown perfection
Pasta Hearty pasta with a wide range of sauces and toppings paired with garlic bread Starters Ranging from fries, mojos, squid rings, chips, and chicken Soup Home-style soups loaded with flavor and goodness Salad Extensive choice of salad for health-conscious customers Desserts Wide range of after-meal desserts
BUNDLED OFFERINGS CATERING TO FAMILIES AND GROUPS BRING UP AVERAGE CHECKS
Shakey’s offers a differentiated menu with iconic and well-loved products.
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Though originally from the U.S., PIZZA has owned the Shakey’s brand for the Philippines since 1999.
Source: Asia’s Top 1000 Brands Survey by Campaign Asia, in partnership with Nielsen
BRAND OWNERSHIP
shorter payback period and sustainably higher margins versus peers
royalties from franchisees
market changes
international markets
2018 PHILIPPINE TOP 100 RESTAURANT BRANDS
Shakey’s offers a beautiful and distinct store environment to every customer and has full control and ownership of its brand.
With its over 40 year history in the Philippines, Shakey’s is one of the most recognizable brands in the local food service industry. 3 2 1
10 Dine-In
unique family and friends experience
Delivery
(#77-777) can be used Carryout
Functions
rooms for events such as parties and company gatherings Online Sales
with own website and mobile app
SuperCard
Mall Stores 120 – 250 sqm
Free-Standing Stores 300 – 400 sqm
Others 120 – 180 sqm
Multiple sales channels and store formats provide convenience and accessibility to Shakey’s customers and allow for market and expansion flexibility.
Asset-Light Approach
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Firmly positioned in the fast casual segment (A, B, and upper C market) that delivers high margins, good volumes, and scale Benefitting from key consumer trends – eating
upgrading from fast food to casual dining Own commissary for proprietary raw materials protects key supply chain and maintains consistency and control over quality Economies of scale and purchasing synergy Long-term leases for store locations at attractive rentals Presence of standalone stores (i.e. those outside malls) lead to low rent-to-sales ratio Business model and strong discipline leads to typical payback period of 3-4 years Low upfront cost and strong cash generation per store
Shakey’s is a well-established brand, while operating on an asset-light model.
Brand Positioning
Vertical Integration
Short Payback Period
12 Vicente Gregorio
President & Chief Executive Officer
Manuel Del Barrio
Vice President & Chief Finance Officer
Finance of Century Pacific Food, Inc. (CNPF) and The Pacific Meat Company, Inc.
leading companies
Jorge Concepcion
Shakey’s Philippines General Manager
related business
foodservice industry for about 10 years in numerous managerial positions
Alois Brielbeck
In-House Commissary General Manager
business
pastry kitchens in Hong Kong and Tokyo
Operating Officer for Culinary Systems Specialists Incorporated
2005
Joseph Remsa
International Development Consultant
Shakey’s brands in Asia, Middle East, Australia, and New Zealand
restaurants
VISION: to be the PREFERRED and DOMINANT family casual dining restaurant
Establish market leadership and strong brand positioning in the full-service, fast casual, family dining space Grow our store base in both existing and new markets, locally and internationally, through an increasing company-
franchising model Increase same-store sales growth by developing multiple sales channels and continuously providing innovative products to enhance our iconic base offering
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Support operational improvements across both store network and corporate support in order to create efficiencies and enhance profitability Continue to develop best-in-class
capabilities
SAME-STORE SALES GROWTH
15
SYSTEM-WIDE SALES GROWTH
EBITDA GROWTH
NET INCOME GROWTH
driven by CONTINUED STORE NETWORK EXPANSION
improvement led by LOWER INPUT COSTS AND ENHANCED OPERATING EFFICIENCES in-store and at corporate level
amidst COMPETITIVE ENVIRONMENT, but back to positive growth in Q2
16 In PHP Mill 1H 2018 1H 2019 Change YoY System-wide Sales 4,609 4,964 8% Total Revenue 3,690 3,853 4% Cost of Sales (2,631) (2,743) 4% Gross Profit 1,059 1,110 5% Operating Expenses (470) (484) 3% EBITDA 725 773 7% EBIT 589 626 6% Income before Tax 511 539 5% Net Income 396 418 5% Earnings per Share 0.26 0.27 5% Margins Gross Profit 28.7% 28.8% +0.1 pps EBITDA 19.6% 20.1% +0.5 pps EBIT 16.0% 16.2% +0.2 pps Net Income 10.7% 10.8% +0.1 pps
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SSSG
System-wide Sales
2 1 1 4 4 4 3 4 5 1 1 1 1 1 23 23
4 5 6 6 1 28 29
1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 1Q19 2Q19 1H19
Company-Owned Franchised International Peri
NEW STORE OPENINGS
2.2 2.4 2.2 2.5 2.3
2.6 5.0
1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 1Q19 2Q19 1H19
In PHP Bill
SYSTEM-WIDE SALES
YoY Growth in 1H19
2% 9% 4% 2%
2%
0%
1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 1Q19 2Q19 1H19
In PHP Bill
+12% QoQ
driven by: 1) Continued STORE NETWORK EXPANSION domestically 2) CONSOLIDATION OF PERI starting June 1, opening of 1 international Shakey’s store 3) MILD SSSG RECOVERY to +2% from -1% in Q1
YoY Growth in 2Q19
Delivery Initiatives
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AGGREGATORS and other online apps
delivery given loyal guest base and more extensive menu
PARTNERSHIPS WITH FOOD AGGREGATORS IN-HOUSE DELIVERY INVESTMENTS
Dine-In Initiatives
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OFFERINGS
WEEKENDS PREMIUMIZATION AND GROUPS BUILDING OTHER DAY PARTS
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1.8 1.9 1.8 2.1 1.8 2.0
3.9
1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 1Q19 2Q19 1H19
In PHP Bill
YoY Growth in 1H19 REVENUES DOMESTIC STORE NETWORK BREAKDOWN**
By Ownership
as of 2Q19
Franchised
Company-Owned
Revenues
expansion strategy remains MAJORITY PROVINCIAL LOCATIONS AND IN FAVOR OF FRANCHISED STORES, with local operators providing better on-the- ground execution
skewed towards franchised as MOST PERI STORES ARE RUN BY FRANCHISEES
OWNERSHIP BREAKDOWN lead to more moderate increase in revenues versus system-wide sales
YoY Growth in 2Q19
By Region
as of 2Q19
NCR
Luzon ex-NCR
Visayas
Mindanao
*Map colors show % population of the country by region. The darker the color, the higher the % population. Source: Philippine Statistics Authority 2015 **This includes both Shakey’s and Peri store networks.
28.8% 28.6% 25.8% 31.4% 27.8%
29.8%
2% 9% 4% 2%
2%
SSSG Gross Profit Margin
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1.8 1.9 1.8 2.1 1.8
2.0
1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 1Q19 2Q19
Revenues
Gross Profit Margins
+120 bps YoY
22
12.7%
12.6%
12.5%
12.3%
OpEx as % of Sales
470
484
240
248
1H18 1H19 2Q18 2Q19
Quarterly OpEx as a % of Sales OpEx In PHP Mill
+3% +3%
13.0% 12.5% 14.1% 11.9% 12.8% 12.3%
1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 1Q19 2Q19
level operating costs
IN SALES-SUPPORTING PROGRAMS
19.8%
20.9%
2Q18 2Q19 23
28.7%
28.8%
1H18 1H19
EBITDA Net Income 28.6%
29.8%
2Q18 2Q19
Gross Profit
+10 bps +120 bps
COSTS AND ENHANCED OPERATING EFFICIENCIES in-store and corporate
19.6%
20.1%
1H18 1H19 +50 bps +110 bps
11.0%
11.4%
2Q18 2Q19
10.7%
10.8%
1H18 1H19 +10 bps +40 bps
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PERI BRIDGE LOAN
PESO-DENOMINATED WITH FIXED INTEREST RATES
HIGHER FRANCHISEE-RELATED RECEIVABLES
AND CAPEX FOR ORGANIZATIONAL GROWTH
In PHP Mill 2018 1H 2019 Cash 434 509 Receivables 508 564 Other Current Assets 668 680 Total Current Assets 1,610 1,753 Property, Plant, and Equipment 1,712 2,054 Goodwill and Trademarks 6,066 6,628 Other Non-Current Assets 245 270 Total Non-Current Assets 8,023 8,952 TOTAL ASSETS 9,633 10,705 In PHP Mill 2018 1H 2019 Trade Payable and Others 920 933 Short-Term Debt 48 848 Total Current Liabilities 968 1,781 Long-Term Debt 3,837 3,812 Other Non-Current Liabilities 259 278 Total Non-Current Liabilities 4,096 4,090 TOTAL LIABILITIES 5,063 5,871 TOTAL EQUITY 4,570 4,834 TOTAL LIABILITIES AND EQUITY 9,633 10,705
GEARING RATIOS despite the rise in interest-bearing debt due to the bridge loan for the Peri acquisition
ABOVE-INDUSTRY ROE at 19%
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Net Debt-to-Equity (x) Net Gearing (x) Interest-Bearing Debt-to-EBITDA (x) Return on Equity 1.01
1.11
2018 1H 2019
0.76
0.86
2018 1H 2019
2.59
3.02
2018 1H 2019
20%
19%
2018 1H 2019
Notes: Net Debt-to-Equity = (Total Liabilities – Cash) / Total Equity Net Gearing = (Interest-Bearing Liabilities – Cash) / Total Equity Interest-Bearing Debt-to-EBITDA uses trailing 12-month EBITDA Return on Equity uses trailing 12-month earnings and average equity
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SUFFICIENT for regular CapEx
ACQUISITION OF PERI STORES, IT INVESTMENTS, AND NEW SHAKEY’S OUTLETS
driven by HIGHER RECEIVABLES
ACQUISITION OF PERI which closed on June 1, 2019 (acquisition of trademark)
In PHP Mill 1H 2018 1H 2019 Income before Income Tax 511 539 Depreciation and Amortization 123 140 Interest Expense 91 95 Changes in Working Capital (272) (284) Others (109) (88) Net Operating Cash Flow 344 402 Capital Expenditures (216) (486) Acquisition of Trademark (562) Others (16) 8 Net Investing Cash Flow (232) (1,040) Proceeds from (Payment of) Loan (25) 775 Payment of Interest (95) (62) Net Financing Cash Flow (120) 713 Effect of Exchange Rate Changes 2 1 Beginning Cash 245 434 Change in Cash (6) 75 Ending Cash 239 509 Free Cash Flow 128 (84)
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NETWORK EXPANSION
PURCHASE OF CHEESE from end-2018
conversion cycle relative to end 2018 to +4 DAYS
597
583
40
39
20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90
400 600 800 1,000 1,200
FY18 1H19 Days ₱ Mns
920
933
62
62
20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90
400 600 800 1,000 1,200
FY18 1H19 Days ₱ Mns
508
564
24
27
20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90
400 600 800 1,000 1,200
FY18 1H19 Days ₱ Mns
185
214
2
4
20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90
400 600 800 1,000 1,200
FY18 1H19 Days ₱ Mns
Working Capital Receivables Inventory Payables
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execution across all segments
typical urban areas
stores locally
to be felt in succeeding quarters
efficiency and cost control
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MARKET CAPITALIZATION
December 2016
August 2019
PERFORMANCE SINCE IPO
IPO Price
13 August 2019
PIZZA
Philippine Consumer Average PER
23.3x
27.5x EV / EBITDA
10.6x
12.1x ROE
18.4%
13.3% Operating Margin*
15.9%
10.2% Net Income Margin*
11.1%
7.1%
Source: BPI Securities 2019 Estimates as of 1 August 2019 *Bloomberg, trailing 12 months
STOCK PRICE PERFORMANCE
(BLOOMBERG TICKER: PIZZA PM)
6.00 10.00 14.00 18.00 Dec-16 Mar-17 Jun-17 Sep-17 Dec-17 Mar-18 Jun-18 Sep-18 Dec-18 Mar-19 Jun-19 PHP/SHARE
as of 9 August 2019
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DIVIDEND HISTORY
*Listing Date: 15 December 2016 **As of 1 August 2019 *Of previous year’s recurring net income
0.10 0.10 0.10 23% 20% 18%
0% 15% 30% 0.00 0.15 0.30 2017 2018 2019 Regular Cash Payout Ratio* Declaration Date Record Date Payment Date 2017 May 8 June 6 June 30 2018 August 16 September 14 October 10 2019 June 20 July 19 August 14
Philippines’ Best Small Cap Company Finance Asia 2018
Current Price PHP13.38 Range since Listing Date* PHP9.80 - 17.48
1,531,321,053 Shareholding Structure CPGI: 52.9% Arran (GIC): 18.5% Free Float 28.6% (includes Prieto family’s 3.8%) 3-Month Average Turnover PHP11.0 million USD0.2 million Market Capitalization PHP20.5 billion USD0.4 billion YTD Absolute Performance +17.5% YTD Relative to Index +9.0% YTD Relative to Sector +8.4% 3-Month Absolute Performance +7.5% 3-Month Relative to Index +5.7% 3-Month Relative to Sector +7.7%
SHAREHOLDERS
Source: Bloomberg, August 2019
Foreign Ownership Limit: 100% Free Float Level: 29%
GIC Private Equity 18% Prieto Family 4% Norges Bank 3% Matthews International Capital Management 1% Others 20% Century Pacific Group,
the Philippines’ Po family
shareholder of CNPF PM and ALCO PM
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SELL-SIDE COVERAGE
Institution Analyst Latest Call AB Capital Sec Edgar Lay HOLD BDO Nomura Angelo Torres BUY BPI Jefferies Javier Consunji BUY CLSA Joyce Ramos BUY COL Financial Andy Dela Cruz HOLD Credit Suisse Hazel Tanedo OUTPERFORM Macquarie Karisa Magpayo OUTPERFORM Regina Capital Paola Lopez BUY Regis Carissa Mangubat BUY Unicapital Sec Wendy Estacio HOLD
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PIZZA’s 2018 Glossy Annual Report can be found on the Company’s corporate website. Investors > Investor Presentations
https://tinyurl.com/PIZZA-Annual-Report-2018
a relatively easy, smooth-sailing year turned out to be a very challenging one for the food service industry as well as for our company. I am proud to tell you that our company was still able to finish 2018 on a positive note and continued to deliver industry- leading growth that was the envy of
going gets tough, the tough (Team Shakey’s) get going!
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Macquarie ASEAN Conference August 27, Singapore 3Q19 Earnings Release November 12
*Schedule updated as of 17 August 2019
36
& management
& environment
engagement
communities
efficiency
quality
sourcing
ENTERPRISE-WIDE INITIATIVE TO MONITOR AND MEASURE ENVIRONMENTAL, SOCIAL, AND GOVERNANCE METRICS Available for download here:
https://tinyurl.com/PIZZA-Annual-Report-2018
37
jobs supported
average training hours per employee
ratio between male and female employees
satisfaction
employees
reduction in electricity intensity
reduction in water intensity
Of total spending is
RSPO-certified palm oil Supplier accreditation process in place
This document is highly confidential and being given solely for your information and for your use and may not be, or any portion thereof, shared, copied, reproduced or redistributed to any other person in any manner. The statements contained in this document speak only as of the date which they are made, and the Company expressly disclaims any obligation or undertaking to supplement, amend or disseminate any updates or revisions to any statements contained herein to reflect any change in events, conditions or circumstances
management, and their respective advisers undertakes any obligation to provide the recipient with access to any additional information or to update this presentation or to correct any inaccuracies in any such information which may become apparent. This presentation contains statements, including forward-looking statements, based on the currently held beliefs and assumptions of the management of the Company, which are expressed in good faith and, in their opinion, reasonable. Forward-looking statements in particular involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors, which may cause the actual results, financial condition, performance, or achievements of the Company or industry results, to differ materially from the results, financial condition, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking
document are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements. Any reference herein to "the Company" shall mean, collectively, Shakey’s Pizza Asia Ventures, Inc. and its subsidiaries. Paranaque City, Philippines investorrelations@shakeys.biz +632 742 5397 www.shakeyspizza.ph http://edge.pse.com.ph