Process Modeling for Extremes over Space and Time Alan E. Gelfand - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

process modeling for extremes over space and time
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Process Modeling for Extremes over Space and Time Alan E. Gelfand - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Process Modeling for Extremes over Space and Time Alan E. Gelfand Department of Statistical Science Duke University (Joint work with Huiyan Sang) And now to the applications! Cape Floristic (Biogeographic) Region 90,000 km 2 9000+ plant


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Process Modeling for Extremes over Space and Time

Alan E. Gelfand Department of Statistical Science Duke University (Joint work with Huiyan Sang)

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And now to the applications!

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Cape Floristic (Biogeographic) Region

90,000 km 2 9000+ plant species 70% found nowhere else 1400+ threatened or endangered species

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Area: < 500km 2 Plant species: 2600+ total (160+ found nowhere else) 130+ threatened or endangered 39 extinctions over last 100 years

Cape of Good Hope Peninsula

Cape Floristic region

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Fynbos

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Using 1999 as hold-out data

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Next!

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