Scorpio Bulkers Inc. STIFEL Conference Presentation February 2020 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

scorpio bulkers inc
SMART_READER_LITE
LIVE PREVIEW

Scorpio Bulkers Inc. STIFEL Conference Presentation February 2020 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Scorpio Bulkers Inc. STIFEL Conference Presentation February 2020 Disclaimer This presentation includes forward - looking statements within the meaning of the safe harbor provisions of the United States Pr ivate Securities Litigation Reform


slide-1
SLIDE 1

February 2020

Scorpio Bulkers Inc. STIFEL Conference Presentation

slide-2
SLIDE 2

Disclaimer

2

This presentation includes “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the safe harbor provisions of the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking statements reflect Scorpio Bulkers Inc.’s (“Scorpio’s”) current views with respect to future events and financial performance. The words “believe,” “anticipate,” “intend,” “estimate,” “forecast,” “project,” “plan,” “potential,” “may,” “should,” “expect” and similar expressions identify forward-looking statements. The forward-looking statements in this presentation are based upon various assumptions, many of which are based, in turn, upon further assumptions, including without limitation, management’s examination of historical

  • perating trends, data contained in Scorpio’s records and other data available from third parties. Although Scorpio believes that these assumptions were reasonable when made, because

these assumptions are inherently subject to significant uncertainties and contingencies which are difficult or impossible to predict and are beyond Scorpio’s control, Scorpio cannot assure you that it will achieve or accomplish these expectations, beliefs, projections or future financial performance. Risks and uncertainties include, but are not limited to, the failure of counterparties to fully perform their contracts with Scorpio, the strength of world economies and currencies, general market conditions, including fluctuations in charter hire rates and vessel values, changes in demand in the bulk carrier markets, changes in Scorpio’s operating expenses, including bunker prices, drydocking and insurance costs, the fuel efficiency of our vessels, the market for Scorpio's vessels, availability of financing and refinancing, charter counterparty performance, ability to obtain financing and comply with covenants in such financing arrangements, changes in governmental and environmental rules and regulations or actions taken by regulatory authorities including those that may limit the commercial useful lives of bulk carriers, potential liability from pending or future litigation, general domestic and international political conditions, potential disruption of shipping routes due to accidents or political events, and other important factors described from time to time in the reports Scorpio files with, or furnishes to, the Securities and Exchange Commission, or the Commission, and the New York Stock Exchange, or NYSE. Scorpio undertakes no obligation to update or revise any forward- looking statements. These forward-looking statements are not guarantees of Scorpio's future performance, and actual results and future developments may vary materially from those projected in the forward-looking statements. Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (“EBITDA”), earnings before interest and taxes (“EBIT”), adjusted net income and related per share amounts, as well as adjusted EBITDA, adjusted EBIT and TCE Revenue are non-GAAP performance measures that the Company believes provide investors with a means of evaluating and understanding how the Company’s management evaluates the Company’s operating performance. These non-GAAP financial measures should not be considered in isolation from, as substitutes for, nor superior to financial measures prepared in accordance with GAAP. Unless otherwise indicated, information contained in this presentation concerning Scorpio’s industry and the market in which it operates, including its general expectations about its industry, market position, market opportunity and market size, is based on data from various sources including internal data and estimates as well as third party sources widely available to the public such as independent industry publications, government publications, reports by market research firms or other published independent sources. Internal data and estimates are based upon this information as well as information obtained from trade and business organizations and other contacts in the markets in which Scorpio operates and management’s understanding of industry conditions. This information, data and estimates involve a number of assumptions and limitations, are subject to risks and uncertainties, and are subject to change based on various factors, including those discussed above. You are cautioned not to give undue weight to such information, data and estimates. While Scorpio believes the market and industry information included in this presentation to be generally reliable, it has not independently verified any third-party information or verified that more recent information is not available.

slide-3
SLIDE 3

Company Overview

Owns 52 mid-size dry bulk fuel-efficient ‘Eco’ vessels with an average age of 3.9 years Marshall Islands incorporated, HQ in Monaco, and NYSE-listed under the ticker “SALT” Trades vessels on the spot market through the Scorpio Ultramax and Scorpio Kamsarmax pools Meeting IMO 2020 regulations by installing scrubbers throughout its fleet (80% expected to be installed by June 2020) Successfully invested $100 million in 2018 with the purchase of approximately 5.4 million shares of Scorpio Tankers Inc. (NYSE: STNG)2

1 2 3 4 5

1) Source: Clarkson's Research Services January 2020 2) Given the special dividend declared on October 22, 2019, Scorpio Bulkers now owns approximately 4.4 million shares of Scorpio Tankers Inc. (NYSE: STNG)

35 17

50,000 – 64,999 dwt 65,000 – 100,000 dwt Supramax/Ultramax Panamax/Kamsarmax

Mid Size Fleet Focus

3

9.4 7.7 9.6 9.3 8.7 10.4 7.7 3.9 27 30 24 37 50 43 79 52 20 40 60 80 100 Genco Golden Ocean Diana Safe Bulkers Eagle Bulk Navios MH Star Bulk Scorpio Bulkers # of Owned Handymax/Panamax Vessels Average Age

slide-4
SLIDE 4

$0 $100 $200 $300 $400 $500 $600 $700 $800 Star Bulk Golden Ocean Genco Diana Scorpio Bulkers Eagle Bulk

Investor & Share Highlights

Market Cap ($m)(2) Current Major Shareholders(1)

Scorpio Services Holding Limited 19.3 % GRM Investments Limited 17.7 % Evermore Global Advisors LLC 8.3 % Dimensional Fund Advisors LP 4.9% BlackRock Inc 3.4% Renaissance Technologies LLC 2.5% The Bank of New York Mellon Corp. 1.8% Hosking Partners LLP 1.5% State Street Corp. 1.3% Royce & Associates LP 1.0%

1) Bloomberg & IPreo January 2020, Scorpio Services Holding Limited (‘SSH’) with affiliates 2) Fearnleys, (US Exchanges Only) February 2020

4

3

$0 $1 $2 $3 $4 $5 $6 Star Bulk Golden Ocean Genco Scorpio Bulkers Eagle Bulk Diana

Liquidity Per Day ($m)(2)

slide-5
SLIDE 5

Q4-19 Financial Results

  • GAAP Net Income of $15.1 million / Income per diluted share of $0.21, Including:
  • Non-cash gain of approximately $46.1 million and cash dividend income of $0.5 million, or $0.66 per

diluted share, primarily from the Company’s equity investment in Scorpio Tankers Inc.

  • Write-down of assets held for sale of approximately $25.2 million, or $0.36 per diluted share, related

to the classification of four Ultramax vessels as held for sale.

  • Write-off of approximately $0.2 million of deferred financing costs on the credit facility related to the

SBI Puma and the SBI Cougar.

  • Adjusted net income was $40.6 million, or $0.57 adjusted per diluted share
  • EBITDA of $41.5 million (Adjusted EBITDA of $66.7 million)

TCE

  • Ultramax TCE of $11,244 per day in Q4-2019
  • Ultramax TCE of $10,505 per day booked to date in Q1-2020
  • Kamsarmax TCE of $11,934 per day in Q4-2019
  • Kamsarmax TCE of $12,242 per day booked to date in Q1-2020

Liquidity

  • As of January 24, 2020, the Company had $65.9 million in cash

Financing

  • During October 2019, the Company prepaid $21.9 million of its $38.7 Million Credit Facility and wrote-off

approximately $0.2 million of deferred financing costs as part of the sale of the SBI Puma and SBI Cougar

Dividend

  • The Company’s Board of Directors declared a dividend of $0.02 per share on January 27, 2020

Q4–2019 Corporate & Financial Highlights

5

slide-6
SLIDE 6

Financial Performance Summary

OPERATING CASH FLOW REVENUE

  • $27.5
  • $18.1
  • $4.5 -$2.1 -$1.7

$2.5 $5.3 $13.5 $11.1 $21.1 $18.6 $19.6 $4.5

  • $0.7

$18.9 $11.2

  • $35

$0 $35 $10.2 $17.4 $23.9 $26.8 $34.7 $37.7 $38.6 $51.1 $54.3 $60.6 $62.5 $65.2 $50.4 $50.6 $63.2 $60.3 $0 $20 $40 $60 $80 ($17.0) ($5.8) ($1.3) $0.9 $7.3 $10.8 $12.4 $22.9 $20.4 $28.1 $28.8 $23.3 $32.8 $70.0 $26.1 $66.7

  • $40
  • $20

$0 $20 $40 $60 $80

ADJUSTED EBIT ADJUSTED EBITDA

  • $28.8
  • $19.2-$16.2-$14.1 -$9.9 -$6.2 -$4.1

$6.0 $2.9 $10.6 $9.4 $3.5 $15.5 $50.9 $8.7 $49.8

  • $40
  • $20

$0 $20 $40 $60

Figures in USD millions

slide-7
SLIDE 7

Scrubber Economics

slide-8
SLIDE 8

IMO 2020 Regulations & Company Strategy

  • The International Maritime Organization

(IMO) will require shipowners to reduce sulfur emissions from 2020 To comply shipowners will have to decide between:

  • Installing a scrubber to enable the

vessel to burn HSFO

  • Paying the premium to consume

compliant fuels with a sulfur content <0.5% (MGO and LSFO)

  • LNG as bunker fuel
  • The Company plans to install scrubbers on

all of its owned and finance leased Kamsarmax and Ultramax vessels before Q4-2020.

  • The majority of scrubber installations will

be coordinated with scheduled dry docks reducing the amount of off hire

  • The Scrubbers and their installation will

cost approximately $2.5 million per vessel.

What is IMO 2020? How Scorpio will Comply

8

slide-9
SLIDE 9

Scrubber CAPEX & Installation Schedule

9

Based on Scorpio Bulkers assumptions for 2019 Q4

9 10 1 4 2 5 4 5 $- $20 $40 $60 $80 $100 $120 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 Q1-20 Q2-20 Q3-20 Q4-20 Q1-21 Accumulated Scrubber CAPEX ( in Millions USD) Count of Vessels

Ultramax Kamsarmax Accumulated CAPEX (in millions USD)

slide-10
SLIDE 10

Rotterdam & Singapore Forward Fuel Curve

Forward Fuel Curve Supports Expectations of Scrubber Benefits

Annual Scrubber Fuel Savings Scrubber TCE Savings Benefit (/day)

Source: Bloomberg, February 2020

10

$46.7 $58.4 $70.0 $81.7 $0 $20 $40 $60 $80 $100 $200 $250 $300 $350

($USD Millions) MGO-HSFO Spread ($/MT)

$2,721 $3,402 $4,082 $4,762 $0 $1,000 $2,000 $3,000 $4,000 $5,000 $200 $250 $300 $350

($/day) MGO-HSFO Spread ($/MT)

$0 $50 $100 $150 $200 $250 $300 Rotterdam (VSLFO-HSFO Spread) Singapore (VSLFO-HSFO Spread)

slide-11
SLIDE 11

Market Update

slide-12
SLIDE 12

Dry Bulk Market Continues to Grow

Source: Clarksons Research Services January 2020 (e) = estimate; (f) = forecast

Million Tonnes

2010-2020 Iron Ore Coal Grains Minor Bulks Total Dry Bulk CAGR 4.2% 3.4% 4.5% 2.8% 3.5%

Iron Ore, 27% Coal, 24% Grains, 9% Minor Bulks, 39%

Dry Bulk Commodity Market Share

Ultramax & Kamsarmax Cargoes

Dry Bulk Commodity Market Share

12

3,403 3,835 4,073 4,309 4,560 4,812 4,822 4,889 5,089 5,224 5,281 5,393

  • 1,000

2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 (e) Iron Ore Coal Grain Minor Bulk

slide-13
SLIDE 13

372 389 416 390 382 385 400 431 456 479 100 200 300 400 500 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 (e) 2020 (f) (Million MT) Sugar Anthracite Nickel Ore Manganese Ore Salt Others 1,707 1,745 1,824 1,848 1,891 1,881 1,938 2,011 2,066 2,160 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 (e) 2020 (f) (Million MT) Steel Products Forest Products Agri Bulks & Fertilizer Bauxite Cement Scrap Petcoke & Coke Other

Mid Size Segments offer Cargo Diversification

Source: Clarksons Research Services January 2020 (e) = estimate; (f) = forecast

Minor Bulks by Commodity Type Minor Bulk Commodities: Others

13

slide-14
SLIDE 14

300 350 400 450 500 550 600 650 700 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec (Twh) FY-15 FY-16 FY-17 FY-18 FY-19

  • 5

10 15 20 25 30 35 Jan-15 Apr-15 Jul-15 Oct-15 Jan-16 Apr-16 Jul-16 Oct-16 Jan-17 Apr-17 Jul-17 Oct-17 Jan-18 Apr-18 Jul-18 Oct-18 Jan-19 Apr-19 Jul-19 Oct-19 Jan-20 (Million MT)

Key Indicators Still Supportive: Coal

Oil, 19.6% Natural Gas, 7.4% Coal, 58.2% Nuclear, 2.0% Hydro, 8.3% Renewables, 4.4%

China Energy Consumption By Type1 China Electricity Production Continues to Grow2 China Coal Inventories2

1) BP Statistical Review 2019 2) Bloomberg January 2020

14

slide-15
SLIDE 15

Key Indicators Still Supportive: Grain

USDA predicts a 1% increase in the global agricultural product trade in 2019/2020

Global Agricultural Trade Forecast (1) China Soybean Imports by Country (2)

1) USDA Outlook, December 2019 2) Bloomberg January 2020

15

Wheat, 173.1 Wheat, 181.1 Coarse Grain, 212.4 Coarse Grain, 201.0 Soybean, 146.0 Soybean, 148.0 Soymeal, 63.3 Soymeal, 64.6 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 2018/19 (est) 2019/20 (proj) Wheat Coarse Grain Soybean Soymeal

Millions Metric Tonnes

  • 1

2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Dec-17 Mar-18 Jun-18 Sep-18 Dec-18 Mar-19 Jun-19 Sep-19 Dec-19

Millions Tonnes

From the US From Brazil From other countries

slide-16
SLIDE 16

22% 20% 24% 16% 50% 43% 42% 39% 17% 16% 16% 23% 7% 12% 9% 7% 4% 9% 9% 15%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Capesize Panamax Handymax Handysize 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20+

Limited Contracting & Expected Scrapping

Bulker Fleet Age Profile Newbuilding Orders Per Year: 2001-2019

Source: Clarksons Research Services January 2020

16

46 101 155 112 120 280 567 361 136 455 213 112 506 276 141

25

120 134

28

91 148 99 101 170 358 238 81 473 152 81 204 149 83 6 153 153 77 74 192 303 211 221 450 925 599 217 928 365 193 710 425 224 31 273 287 146 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1,000

# of Vessels

Handymax/Ultramax Panamax/Kamsarmax

slide-17
SLIDE 17

www.scorpiobulkers.com