Second Quarter 2011 Results
23 August 2011
Second Quarter 2011 Results 23 August 2011 Disclaimer Information - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Second Quarter 2011 Results 23 August 2011 Disclaimer Information contained in our presentation is intended solely for your reference. Such information is subject to change without notice, its accuracy is not guaranteed and it may not contain
23 August 2011
Information contained in our presentation is intended solely for your reference. Such information is subject to change without notice, its accuracy is not guaranteed and it may not contain all material information concerning the Company. Neither we nor our advisors make any representation regarding, and assumes no responsibility or liability for, the accuracy or completeness of, or any errors or omissions in, any information contained herein. In addition, the information may contain projections and forward-looking statements that reflect the company’s current views with respect to future events and financial performance. These views are based on current assumptions which are subject to various risks factors and which may change over time. No assurance can be given that future events will occur, that projections will be achieved, or that the company’s assumptions are correct. Actual results may differ materially from those projected. This presentation can be distributed without any consent of the Company as this is a publicly available announcement.
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Malaysia – Higher Passengers growth drives up revenue
Profit before tax of RM145 mil up 1% y-o-y
Operating profit of RM215 million down 3 % y-o-y
Passenger volume grew by 15% y-o-y, achieving 81% load factor
RASK (RM sen) up 6% despite tough fuel environment of average fuel price of US$140 per barrel in 2Q11 compared to US$106 per barrel in 2Q10
Thailand – Exceeding expectations - strong y-o-y performance
Profit before tax of THB386 mil, up 862% y-o-y
Operating profit of THB315 million recording 123% y-o-y growth
Balance of RM70 million unrecognised share of net profit before it can be equity accounted
Passenger volume grew by 30% y-o-y, achieving 78% load factor
RASK (THB) up 14% contributed from stronger ancillary income per pax
Indonesia – Managing capacity in line with growth
Profit before tax of IDR41,690, down 48%
Operating profit of IDR45,254 million down 54% y-o-y due to higher fuel cost
Passenger volume grew by 33 y-o-y, achieving 76% load factor
RASK (IDR) up 2% y-o-y due to high ancillary income contribution
Ancillary Income per pax increase for all three operations
MAA – up 15% TAA – up 30% IAA – up 10% Further reduction in gearing to 1.48 times from 2.27 times y-o-y; TAA paid off intercompany dues Largest aircraft orders of 200 A320 Neo to support the vast Asia region AirAsia and ANA forms joint venture Japan AirAsia Hedged up to 26% via Jet Kerosene (~US$120 / barrel) and Brent fixed swap (~US$112 / barrel) up to 4Q11
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MAA
RM’000
TAA
THB’000
IAA
IDR million 2Q11 2Q10 Change 2Q11 2Q10 Change 2Q11 2Q10 Change Revenue 1,075,622 933,402 15% 3,760,162 2,620,044 44% 895,254 653,988 37% EBITDAR 372,842 362,565 3% 990,591 678,650 46% 211,569 217,355
Operating Profit 214,803 222,557
315,328 141,294 123% 45,254 98,630
Profit after tax 104,258 198,930
384,444 39,420 875% 41,690 80,409
EBITDAR margin 35% 39%
26% 26%
33%
Operating profit margin (EBIT) 20% 24%
8% 5% 3 ppt 5% 15%
MAA Revenue up 15% y-o-y driven by strong contributions from ancillary income Net Income down 48% y-o-y due to Deferred tax cost as no aircraft was delivered in 2Q11 TAA Revenue grew 44% y-o-y driven by increased fares and ancillary income per pax EBIT margins up 3 ppt respectively despite high fuel cost IAA Revenue up 37% contributing from higher passenger growth Operating profit margins down 10 ppt due to increase in fuel expense
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77% 78% 82% 80% 81% 75% 76% 80% 84% 78% 75% 81% 78% 79% 76% 65% 70% 75% 80% 85% 90% Q2-2010 Q3-2010 Q4-2010 Q1-2011 Q2-2011
Load Factor (%)
MAA TAA IAA
Average Quarter Weak Quarter Strong Quarter Weak Quarter
Fuel Surcharge imposed in 2 May 2011, 1H11 load factor remains strong in line with its load active yield passive strategy Seasonally weaker quarter for Malaysia and Thailand but Load factor remains strong at 81% and 78% respectively but Indonesia moving heading its strongest 3Q11.
Strong Quarter
MAA = Mean 80% TAA = Mean 79% IAA = Mean 78%
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RASK for the all three operations in 2Q11 has outperform 2Q10 and 3Q10 contributed from ancillary income & increased passengers. CASK for 2Q11 has increased y-o-y due to average price of per barrel of fuel increased from US$106 to US$140 y-o-y
4.86 4.54 4.40 5.16 4.77 4.95 5.81 5.70 4.76 5.40 5.89 4.48 5.57 5.55 4.74 3.70 4.29 4.03 3.86 4.12 4.17 3.36 4.26 4.76 4.15 4.67 4.47 4.46 5.10 4.71
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 MAA TAA IAA MAA TAA IAA MAA TAA IAA MAA TAA IAA MAA TAA IAA
RASK & CASK
RASK CASK
2Q10 1Q11 4Q10 3Q10 2Q11
Average Quarter Strong Quarter Weak Quarter Strong Quarter Weak Quarter
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MAA TAA IAA
2Q11 2Q10 Change 2Q11 2Q10 Change 2Q11 2Q10 Change Passengers Carried 4,472,498 3,893,476 15% 1,614,853 1.237,952 30% 1,259,737 947,786 33% Capacity 5,511,780 5,050,440 9% 2,063,160 1,651,192 25% 1,647,904 1,269,112 30% Load Factor 81% 77% 4 ppt 78% 75% 3 ppt 76% 75% 1 ppt RPK (million) 5,250 4,317 22% 1,774 1,301 36% 1,664 1,228 35% ASK (million) 6,436 5,943 8% 2,235 1,780 26% 2,205 1,637 35% Average Fare (RM/THB/IDR) 164 173
1,924 1,804 7% 570,987 563,219 1% RASK (sen/THB/IDR) 16.71 15.71 6% 1.68 1.47 14% 405.98 399.41 2% CASK (sen/THB/IDR) 13.38 11.96 12% 1.54 1.39
385.46 339.17 14% CASK Ex-fuel (sen/THB/IDR) 6.51 6.60
0.81 0.85
196.86 187.42 5%
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MAA
RM’000
TAA
THB’000
IAA
IDR million YTD’11 YTD’10 Change YTD’Q11 YTD’Q10 Change YTD’Q11 YTD’10 Change Revenue 2,123,564 1,804,007 18% 7,846,494 5,685,653 38% 1,670,099 1,217,490 37% EBITDAR 771,497 666,189 16% 2,506,893 1,662,072 51% 382,914 354,592 8% Operating Profit 456,522 387,612 18% 1,160,584 593,036 96% 54,034 113,255
Profit after tax 276,188 423,041
1,193 582,899 105% 72,000 74,950
Passenger Carried 8,790,832 7,578,865 16% 3,432,338 2,719,063 26% 2,353,380 1,841,167 28% Capacity 10,926,900 10,067,220 9% 4,217,940 3,473,888 21% 3,036,492 2,503,132 21% Load Factor 80% 75% 5 ppt 81% 78% 3 ppt 78% 74% 4 ppt
YTD’Summary For MAA, PAT is down 35% y-o-y mainly due to deferred tax in 1H11 being recognised as cost due to minimal aircraft delivered compared to 1H10 Load factor of 80% within the company’s target for 2011. Phenomenal performance for TAA with 103% growth y-o-y
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Cost / ASK (US cents) MAA TAA IAA 2Q11 2Q10 2Q11 2Q10 2Q11 2Q10
Staff Costs 0.57 0.47 0.55 0.50 0.51 0.36 Depreciation 0.74 0.68 0.03 0.05 0.03 0.03 Aircraft Fuel Expense 2.29 1.78 2.40 1.79 2.20 1.77 Aircraft Operating lease expense 0.08 0.10 0.97 0.94 0.85 0.82 Maintenance, Overhaul, User Charges and other related expense 0.41 0.55 1.11 1.20 0.83 0.86 Travel and tour operations expenses 0.10 0.09
0.24 0.21 0.16 0.21 0.13 0.13 Other (losses)/ gains -net 0.13 0.14
(0.09) (0.04) (0.13) (0.08) (0.05) (0.01) Total Cost / ASK 4.46 3.98 5.09 4.60 4.50 3.96
MYR :USD – 3.00 THB: USD – 30.30 IDR :USD – 8,569
Fuel expense MAA, TAA, IAA increased to 51.3%, 47.1% and 48.9% of total cost respectively due to high average fuel prices in 2Q11. Staff cost in all operations rose an average of 12% of total cost mainly due to increase payroll in flight
All three operations saw maintenance, overhaul, user charges and other related expense reduce due to:- MAA – Airport incentives and lower routes charges TAA and IAA – Lower maintenance from new A320’s compared to B737s
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9 Q1-2009 Q2-2009 Q3-2009 Q4-2009 Q1-2010 Q2-2010 Q3-2010 Q4-2010 Q1-2011 Q2-2011 MAA 29 27 36 25 38 43 45 49 51 50 TAA 19 20 19 18 28 31 34 28 36 40 IAA 25 23 31 27 37 45 39 52 52 49 10 20 30 40 50 60 RM per pax MAA TAA IAA
Ancillary per pax growing in terms of revenue! ASSIGNED SEATING : MAA = up 77% y-o-y, TAA = up 106% y-o-y, IAA = up 47.9% y-o-y ( More Take-up rates from business passengers) BAGGAGE SUPERSIZE : MAA = up 14% y-o-y, TAA = up 41% y-o-y, IAA = up 13% y-o-y (Due to higher take-up) INFLIGHT MEALS : MAA = up 68% y-o-y, TAA = up 32% y-o-y, IAA = up 19% y-o-y (Stronger demand due to more variety of food and more discounted pre-booked food) CARGO : MAA up 13% y-o-y (Gaining market share)
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Gearing level reduced to 1.48 times from 2.27 times y-o-y Achieved cash up to RM2.1billion
Affiliates paying down amount due
5,200 5,400 5,600 5,800 6,000 6,200 6,400 6,600 6,800 7,000 2Q2009 3Q2009 4Q2009 1Q2010 2Q2010 3Q2010 4Q2010 1Q2011 2Q2011
Net Debt & Net Gearing
Net Debt 3.50 2.60 2.62 2.25 2.27 2.02 1.75 1.57 1.48 Net Gearing
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Forward bookings in 2Q2011 remains strong. In September for MAA and IAA, slightly down y-o-y mainly due to Hari Raya holidays starting end August instead. Focus on optimizing load factor via revenue management (High peak, low peak, promotional fares)
Thailand Indonesia Malaysia
SEP OCT NOV 48% 28% 19% 43% 27% 24% 2010 2011 SEP OCT NOV 33% 27% 16% 36% 23% 20% 2010 2011 SEP OCT NOV 59% 36% 21% 47% 31% 25% 2010 2011
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AirAsia Group has recently signed the biggest aircraft order with Airbus with an expected 200 Airbus A320 Neo
A320 Neo is expected to deliver the following improvements:-
A320 Neo to be powered by CFM LEAP – X1A26
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AirAsia Group has the biggest and youngest fleet among the LCC’s in the region of below 3 years
10 15 13 17 18 20 14 18 19 20 21 23 24 24 24 9 5 10 15 20 25 30 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 No of aircraft
10 Aircraft deliveries 2011
15 Aircraft deliveries in 2012
AirAsia Group has 95 aircraft spread across 12 hubs 284 (84 A320 & 200 A320 Neo) more undelivered aircraft to feed into all the AirAsia operations in Asia Some aircraft deliveries has been accelerated forward to 2012 to cater for high demand
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49% 49% 40% 49% 40%
AirAsia Thailand
Phuket, Chiang Mai as Hub
passengers
International
4Q11 AirAsia Indonesia
Surabaya, Medan, and Bali as Hub
domestic 35 % International
4 B737
1Q12 AirAsia Philippines
international market first with connecting to existing network
A320 in August to begin test flights AirAsia Vietnam
international market first with connecting to existing network and few domestics routes
to acquire/lease third party aircraft in 2012 AirAsia Japan
mainly domestic market and connecting into new and existing international destination
acquire aircraft
AirAsia will continue to explore other potential for JV globally
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Japan JV Target Launch March 2012 Narita, Tokyo as its first hub Partnering All Nippon Airways
Key investment consideration
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Overview of AirAsia Go / Expedia JV Launch in August JV will combine AirAsiaGo with Expedia-branded storefronts in Japan, India, and ASEAN
Capex requirements for the JV expected to be minimal Overview of AirAsia Loyalty programme Launch 4Q11 A programme in which members can earn points to redeem for flights and other awards BIG will partner with merchants to allow members to earn at many places BIG card will have a pre-paid debit card function where available (only Malaysia today), powered by a partner Overview of AirAsia Academy JV with CAE JV has begun strategising its expansion plans Satisfy AirAsia’s training needs but also capitalize on regional 3rd party training upside Preferential training rates for AirAsia driven by JV’s higher asset utilization and lower maintenance spend
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Key Strategies of ASEAN office
Team to position AirAsia as more than an ASEAN airline but also as an ASEAN company Team to spearhead ASEAN initiatives in AirAsia and promote the airline as a regional brand and huge economic contributor to the region Liaison arm to work with governments, civic organizations, interest groups and communities for issues concerning aviation and tourism as well as CSR projects Team to closely monitor economic and socio-political developments in ASEAN
Our Vision
Inculcate the ASEAN ethos more deeply throughout the Group Nurture an ASEAN “sensitivity” in all affiliates in their strategy and operations Enhance AirAsia’s commitment to the communities of the region Set regional direction for growth Strategize and plan regional policies
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AirAsia & MAS Collaboration KEY BENEFITS from collaboration for AirAsia
as Group CEO and Kamarudin Meranun as Deputy Group CEO
KEY BENEFITS from collaboration for both airlines
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MALAYSIA
Focus on building domestic market and strengthen other hubs Add more frequencies on key domestic east Malaysia and trunk international routes Focus on shorter routes – less than 3 hours THAILAND Building domestic market which is very profitable for Thai AirAsia Build North Indian market from Thailand – attractive yields Optimising fleet management to compete with other competitors INDONESIA Main focus on international routes; but also looking at unique domestics routes and routes underserved by other airlines. Focus on yield management in line with growth of domestic competitors Plan to return all Boeing B737s by year end which will reduce cost structure
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AirAsia is already a regional leader in the LCC space
AirAsia will continue to be an independent run airline in Malaysia and the region The management and the team at AirAsia will continue to strive to make AirAsia become one of the world’s largest airlines
ventures like Formula 1, Moto GP, Soccer, Basketball and other business ventures
Forming synergistic alliances and monetising AirAsia’s business
focus on the core business
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AirAsia has investments of 48.9% in both TAA and IAA The aviation laws of Thailand and Indonesia require foreign shareholdings to not exceed 50%
interest in these entities
Based on the shareholders’ agreements for these entities, TAA is considered to be a jointly
controlled entity and IAA is considered to be an associate of AirAsia.
The basis of this consideration is due to the various covenants in the agreements whereby in the
case of TAA, key decisions are taken jointly and in the case of IAA, AirAsia has only significant influence
AirAsia’s accounting treatment for its investments in IAA and TAA is in full compliance with
International Financial Reporting Standards (“FRS”)
The IFRS applied are FRS 131 “Accounting for Jointy Controlled Entities” (IFRS 31) which applies
to TAA and FRS 128 “ Accounting for Associates” (IFRS 28) which applies to IAA
TAA and IAA are accounted for using the equity method of accounting per the respective
Standards
Consolidation of TAA and IAA is strictly prohibited by the IFRS unless the shareholder
arrangements change, which result in AirAsia having control. AirAsia can account for all the losses of TAA and IAA if it assumes obligations for all liabilities of TAA and IAA which will
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Equity Accounting
The equity method is a method of accounting whereby the investment is initially recognised
at cost and adjusted thereafter for the post-acquisition change in the investor’s share of net assets of the investee. The profit or loss of the investor includes the investor's share of the profit or loss of the investee.
FRS 128 and FRS 131 provide that if an investor’s share of losses of an associate or jointly controlled entity equals or exceeds its interest in the associate, the investor discontinues recognising its share of further losses unless the investor has incurred legal or constructive
Consequently, as the share of losses for both TAA and IAA have exceeded the cost of investment in these entities, AirAsia has in prior years fully provided for the cost of investment in both TAA and IAA (amounting to RM12 million and RM4 million respectively), and discontinued its recognition of share of any further losses, as required by the Standard, as it has not provided any legal or constructive obligations or made payments on behalf of the associate or jointly controlled entity.