Suncorp Group Lim ited Asia Debt Investor Update April 20 16 “Creating value for
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Suncorp Group Lim ited Asia Debt Investor Creating value for Update April 20 16 our custom ers Suncorp Debt Investor Update Agenda 3 Suncorp Group 6 Group Financial Results Capital 12 17 Suncorp Bank Funding & Liquidity 27
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Suncorp Group
Group Financial Results
Capital
Suncorp Bank
Economy
Appendix – Mortgage Origination
Appendix – General Insurance
Funding & Liquidity
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Top 20 ASX listed company $15.4 billion market capitalisation at 07 April 2016 $94 billion in group assets 13,400 employees in Australia and New Zealand 9 million customers End to end ownership of brands
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Ordinary dividend – 60-80% of cash earnings 100% of distributable earnings Maintain capital targets Surplus assets Suncorp Group GI Life Bank
(Suncorp Metway Ltd)
Surplus returned to shareholders
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HY16 HY15 % change General Insurance 297 419 (29) Bank 194 176 10 Suncorp Life 53 86 (39) Business lines NPAT 544 681 (20) Other 12 (21)
556 660 (16) Acquisition amortisation (26) (29)
530 631 (16) External impacts: Pre-tax Post-tax Pre-tax Post-tax Investment returns 133 93 348 244 Natural hazards (362) (253) (470) (329) Reserve releases 137 96 214 150 Suncorp Life market adjustments
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64
34
162 564 470 419 297 156 144 105 176 194 69 61 41 52 58
1H12 1H13 1H14 1H15 1H16
■ Life underlying NPAT ■ Life market adjustments ■ General Insurance ■ Bank ■ Non-core Bank
397 597 681 544 619
HY16 HY15 %change
GWP 4,417 4,357 1.4 Net earned premium 3,992 3,947 1.1 Net incurred claims (2,822) (2,805) 0.6 Operating expenses (892) (902) (1.1) Underwriting result 278 240 15.8 Investment income – insurance funds 99 266 (62.8) Insurance trading result 377 506 (25.5) Investment income –shareholder funds 34 82 (58.5) Managed schemes, JVs and funding costs 1 6 (83.3) Income tax (115) (175) (34.3) NPAT 297 419 (29.1)
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HY16 HY15 %change
Net interest income 566 553 2.4 Net non-interest income 49 64 (23.4) Total income 615 617 (0.3) Total operating expenses (326) (322) 1.2 Profit before impairment losses 289 295 (2.0) Impairment losses on loans and advances (11) (43) (74.4) Bank profit before tax 278 252 10.3 Income tax (84) (76) 10.5 Suncorp Bank NPAT 194 176 10.2
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HY16 HY15 %change
Planned profit margin release 22 17 29.4 Claims experience 3 6 (50.0) Lapse experience 5 1 400.0 Other experience (6) (5) 20.0 Underlying investment income 16 15 6.7 Superannuation 18 18
58 52 11.5 Market adjustments (5) 34 n/a
Suncorp Life NPAT
53 86 (38.4)
1.25x 1.14x 1.25x 1.73x 1.70x 1.67x
SUN Peer 1 Peer 2
CET1 AT1 Tier 2
* Ratios listed relate to Prescribed Capital Amount (PCA). Source: Latest published company reports.
General Insurance capital ratios* Bank capital ratios *
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Advanced basis Standardised 9.45% 8.91% 8.17% 10.24% 10.24% 9.59% 9.50% 13.97% 12.72% 12.57% 14.15% 14.08% 13.29% 13.26% SUN Regional 1 Regional 2 Major 1 Major 2 Major 3 Major 4 CET1 AT1 Tier 2
* Peer bank ratios exclude impacts of post balance date capital raisings and transactions. Source: Latest published company reports.
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Semi-annual coupon rate / margin above 90 day BBSW Optional Call / Exchange Date Issue Date 31 DECEMBER 2015 Total Balance Regulatory Capital GI Bank Life SGL $M $M $M $M $M $M AAIL Subordinated Debt 330 bps Nov 2020 Nov 2015 225
225 AAIL Subordinated Debt 6.75% Oct 2016 Oct 2006 101
108 AAIL Subordinated Debt
Oct 2007 265
220 SGL Subordinated Debt 285 bps Nov 2018 May 2013
100
770 SML FRCN 75 bps Perpetual Dec 1998
72 Total subordinated debt 591 742 100
1,395 SGL CPS2 465 bps Dec 2017 Nov 2012 110 450
560 SGL CPS3 340 bps June 2020 May 2014 400
400 Total Additional Tier 1 Capital 510 450
960 Total 1,101 1,192 100
2,355
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*Chart not to scale
Group
Total
Group
Total
GI Bank Life Diversification Potential* NOHC Group Surplus
Regulatory minimum Operating target
Surplus to operating target
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Market risk Counterparty credit risk Insurance risk Operational risk
Suncorp Group GI Bank Life Corporate
73% 3% 21% 3% 65% 27% 8% 36% 57% 7% 14% 86%
62% 11% 24% 3%
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4.06% 3.17% 1.37% 6.49% 3.58% 1H14 2H14 1H15 2H15 1H16
Lending growth (annualised)
1.66% 1.78% 1.86% 1.83% 1.85% 1H14 2H14 1H15 2H15 1H16
Net interest margin (interest-earning assets)
59.57% 55.48% 52.19% 54.64% 53.01% 1H14 2H14 1H15 2H15 1H16
Cost to income ratio
0.18% 0.32% 0.17% 0.06% 0.04% 1H14 2H14 1H15 2H15 1H16
Impairment losses to gross loans and advances (annualised)
7.59% 8.78% 12.13% 12.21% 13.11% 1H14 2H14 1H15 2H15 1H16
Return on Common Equity Tier 1
65.70% 65.80% 66.10% 65.30% 65.60% 1H14 2H14 1H15 2H15 1H16
Deposit to loan ratio
0.3%
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10.0%
0.8% 0.8% 1.8% 0.3%
Source: Roy Morgan
11 1 151
ATM Branch Business centre
19 122 9 524 40 3 414 9 1 545 1 1 245 1 48 0.5% 81% 10% 8% 1%
Portfolio
54% 25% 10% 7% 4%
Geography
■ Commercial (SME) ■ Housing ■ Agribusiness ■ Consumer ■ NSW ■ QLD ■ VIC ■ SA & Other ■ WA
208 Points of Presence
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■ New South Wales and ACT ■ Queensland ■ Victoria, South Australia and Other ■ Western Australia ■ Investor ■ Owner occupied ■ Intermediary ■ Direct
51% 28% 13% 8%
70% 30%
37% 63%
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■ New South Wales ■ Queensland ■ Other
54% 14% 20% 10% 2%
■ Hospitality and accommodation ■ Property investment ■ Construction and development ■ Retail ■ Services ■ Manufacturing and mining ■ Other ■ < $5 million ■ $5-$10 million ■ $10-$25 million ■ $25-$50 million ■ $50-$100 million
35% 16% 8% 17% 8% 5% 11%
74% 13% 13%
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■ Beef ■ Grain and mixed farming ■ Sheep and mixed livestock ■ Sugar ■ Cotton ■ Fruit ■ Other
49% 21% 24% 6%
■ < $5 million ■ $5-$10 million ■ $10-$25 million ■ $25-$50 million ■ Queensland ■ New South Wales ■ Other
30% 30% 10% 8% 3% 3% 16%
62% 29% 9%
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Gross im paired loans by segm ent ($m )
34 28 26 33 31 25 139 182 208 162 125 109 51 206 99 67 62 42 2H13 1H14 2H14 1H15 2H15 1H16 Commercial/SME lending Agribusiness lending Retail lending
Past due hom e loans (% gross hom e loans)
0.79% 0.98% 0.93% 0.74% 0.78% 0.69% 0.05%
2H13 1H14 2H14 1H15 2H15 1H16
Total home lending Home lending impaired HL Loss Rate
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Source: Latest peer financial reports
0.22% 0.27% 0.38% 0.28% 0.16% 0.24% 0.29% SUN Regional 1 Regional 2 Major 1 Major 2 Major 3 Major 4 0.04% 0.18% 0.14% 0.17% 0.13% 0.13% 0.24% SUN Regional 1 Regional 2 Major 1 Major 2 Major 3 Major 4
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4,039 4,311 4,484 4,624 4,534 4,400 4,258
2.46% 3.22% 4.06% 4.50% 3.58% 2.83% 2.56%
1H13 2H13 1H14 2H14 1H15 2H15 1H16
Agribusiness portfolio ($m) Gross impaired assets/Total portfolio (%)
5,297 5,531 5,666 5,772 5,593 5,353 5,203
1.56% 0.88% 1.00% 0.88% 1.20% 1.16% 0.81%
1H13 2H13 1H14 2H14 1H15* 2H15* 1H16*
Commercial portfolio ($m) Impaired assets/Total portfolio (%)
61% 62% 64% 66% 69% 22% 23% 24% 23% 22% 17% 15% 12% 12% 9% 1H14 2H14 1H15 2H15 1H16
Home Lending Assets by LVR
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■ 0 - 80% ■ 80.01 % - 90% ■ 90.01% + 66% 71% 84% 87% 88% 8% 13% 12% 9% 9% 26% 17% 5% 3% 2% 1H14 2H14 1H15 2H15 1H16
Home Lending New Business by LVR
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200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 Apr 16 May 16 Aug 16 Sep 16 Dec 16 Jan 17 Feb 17 Mar 17 Apr 17 Oct 17 Nov 17 Dec 17 Apr 19 Aug 19 Nov 19 Apr 20 Oct 20 Apr 21 Covered Bond Domestic Senior Unsecured Offshore Senior Unsecured
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Issue Date Amount Tenor
Covered Bond
Oct 2014 A$950m 5yr FRN/5yr Fixed Nov 2012 A$600m 5yr Fixed Jun 2012 A$1.1bn 4.5yr Fixed
Senior Unsecured (Benchmark)
Apr 2016 A$750m 5yr FRN/Fixed Oct 2015 A$750m 5yr FRN/Fixed Apr 2015 US$600m 5yr Fixed Sep 2014 GBP250m 3yr FRN Apr 2014 A$750m 5yr FRN Mar 2014 US$850m 3yr FRN/Fixed
RMBS
Mar 2015 A$1.25bn 4yrs Weighted Average May 2013 A$1.15bn 4yrs Weighted Average
Ratings Agency Short Term Long Term
Standard & Poors
A-1 A+ (stable)
Fitch
F1 A+ (stable)
Moodys
P-1 A1 (stable)
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Com ponents of Liquid Assets ($bn)
1.2 1.6 1.9 3.6 2.8 3.5 9.7 7.7 6.2 5.3 5.0 3.3 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.0 4.3 4.4 1 2 3 4 5 6 Cash, Govt, Semi-govt Bank, NCD, Bills, RMBS, Supra, Covered Bonds Internal RMBS Dec 15 15.1 13.5 12.3 12.9 12.1 11.2 Jun 13 Dec 13 Jun 14 Dec 14 Jun 15
Com ponents of LCR ($bn)
LCR defined as Liquidity Coverage Ratio CLF defined as Committed Liquidity Facility HQLA defined as High Quality Liquid Assets
30 Jun 15 31 Dec 15
100% LCR 100% LCR 118% LCR 139% LCR
2.8 6.3 3.5 5.9 4.8 1.3 4.8 2.3
1 2 3 4 5
HQLA assets CLF Required LCR qualifying liquid assets Buffer
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growth despite the impact from the resources sector.
through 2016 and 2017.
Queensland.
activity while unemployment has declined.
Australia Queensland
Data as at:
Population Growth (pa) 1.4% 1.2%
Jun-15
Unemployment Rate 5.8% 5.8%
Dec-15
Inflation 1.7% 1.7%
Dec-15
Budget Position $33bn deficit (2.0% of GDP) $1bn deficit (0.4% of GSP)
2015/16 forecast
Credit Rating (S&P/Moody’s) AAA / Aaa AA+ / Aa1
Feb-16
0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 2011a 2012a 2013a 2014a 2015e 2016f 2017f Source: Consensus Economics Annual % Change
Australian econom ic growth Other key m etrics supportive
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was in May 2015. No further changes are anticipated in the near term with recent RBA commentary noting the strength of the Australian economy.
business loans has been offset with slower growth in residential investor lending following the macro-prudential measures taken by APRA in 2015.
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Jan-11 Jan-12 Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16 Std Var Mortgage Rate RBA Cash Rate Headline Inflation Rate Source: ABS, RBA, Bloomberg % Inflation Target Range
2 4 6 8 10 12 Dec-10 Dec-11 Dec-12 Dec-13 Dec-14 Dec-15 Total Credit Business Total Housing Investor Housing Source: RBA Annual % Change
Inflation & interest rates Lending growth
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adjusting for population growth, high levels of residential building activity is likely to continue.
harden albeit gradually.
employment growth at the strongest levels since 2006.
6.0%.
6 7 8 9 10 11 12 120,000 140,000 160,000 180,000 200,000 220,000 240,000 Dec-85 Dec-90 Dec-95 Dec-00 Dec-05 Dec-10 Dec-15 Annual approvals per '000
Source: ABS, Bloomberg, Suncorp Annual approvals (LHS) Average
Building approvals Labour m arket
4.9 5.2 5.5 5.8 6.1 6.4
25 50 75 100 Dec-11 Dec-12 Dec-13 Dec-14 Dec-15 Employment Unemployment Rate (%) Change Per Month ('000) Source: Bloomberg
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improved through 2015 and remain above average despite continued volatility.
more competitive AUD.
performed well in 2015.
5 10 15 Dec-10 Dec-11 Dec-12 Dec-13 Dec-14 Dec-15 Sources: NAB, Bloomberg Index Business Conditions Business Confidence
Confidence indicators Shifting export trends
3,000 3,500 4,000 4,500 5,000 5,500 6,000 6,500 7,000 10,000 11,000 12,000 13,000 14,000 15,000 16,000 17,000 18,000 Nov-10 Nov-11 Nov-12 Nov-13 Nov-14 Nov-15 Service Exports (RHS) Mining Exports (LHS) $m $m Source: ABS
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interest payments have fallen, savings have been maintained and unemployment has fallen.
household financial stress remains fairly benign”
(Financial Stability Review October 2015).
wealth.
affordability advantage.
120 130 140 150 160 170 180 190 200
2 4 6 8 10 12 14 Sep-00 Sep-05 Sep-10 Sep-15 Source: RBA % Debt to disposable income (LHS) Interest payments to disposable income (RHS) % Household savings rate (RHS)
Debt and debt servicing House prices
200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1,000 Jun-05 Jun-07 Jun-09 Jun-11 Jun-13 Jun-15 Sydney Melbourne Brisbane Source: Bloomberg, ABS Median House Price ($ '000)
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assisted by a diversified economic base.
impact on measures of real economic growth.
market over 2015.
adjusted for population are only back at average levels.
3.0% 3.0% 0.1% 2.5% 3.7% 1.4%
State econom ic growth QLD building approvals
6 7 8 9 10 11 12 120,000 140,000 160,000 180,000 200,000 220,000 240,000 Dec-85 Dec-00 Dec-15 Annual approvals per '000
Source: ABS, Bloomberg, Suncorp Annual approvals (LHS) Average
Gross State Product 2016 forecast Source: Deloitte Access Economics, Sep-15
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For further information on Treasury Funding please go to http://www.suncorpbank.com.au/financial- services/treasury/wholesale-funding
David Carter Scott McMullen Simon Lewis Adam Parry Katie Taylor-Groth Chief Financial Officer Group Head of Treasury Executive Manager Funding and Treasury Sales Institutional Relationship Manager Institutional Relationship Manager david.carter@suncorp.com.au scott.mcmullen@suncorp.com.au simon.lewis@suncorp.com.au adam.parry@suncorp.com.au katie.taylor-groth@suncorp.com.au +61 7 3167 9619 +61 7 3362 4042 +61 7 3362 4037 +61 7 3362 4031 +61 7 3362 4049
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Approved Suncorp Central Processing Area SUNCORP CENTRES 208 offices nationwide AGGREGATORS 22 nationwide Automated Credit Scoring Model ‘Sunloans’ 37% 63% Customer Referred Delegated Credit Authority ‘DCA’ Declined 57% 30% 13% Referred Approved Declined Approved 60% 13%
system called Sunloans
engine model (scorecard) which reflects the Bank’s risk strategy and underwriting criteria
scorecard is completed by accredited Suncorp staff under a Delegated Credit Authority approved by the Chief Risk Officer *
authority
regularly by the hindsight review team and QBE LMI for LMI loans
* Delegated by the Chief Risk Officer to Executive Manager Credit Oversight and Assurance for Delegated Credit Authority below Banking Credit.
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Underwriting Criteria Valuation Requirem ents
Overview:
is referred via the scorecard to a higher approval authority for decision
Lending Staff who are achieving benchmark results in Compliance Overview:
sheet Serviceability:
greater of the “floor” rate (5 year BBSW average for the previous quarter + 3% buffer + an overlay of 171bps) or the actual Customer product rate + 2%
required
Valuations are required:
which is a fully automated system supplied by Core Logic that links the Bank to the Valuation firms – the selection of a valuer is random and controlled by the system.
which determines the type of valuation to be used for a particular scenario
** If the LVR is <= 80% and the loan amount is < $1M, a valuation may not be required if the contract of sale is acceptable and the Bank can validate same** Acceptable loan security:
maximum LVR and maximum loan amounts for particular locations
with maximum LVR for Interest Only and Investor loans capped at 90%
Panel valuers are individually accredited based on:
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Broker Accreditation Requirem ents Overview of Mortgage Brokers
Formal accreditation process:
Representative by a license holder
Finance Brokers Association of Australia (MFAA or FBAA)
Credit Protection (NCCP) training)
Broker responsibilities:
mortgage origination
part of the loan assessment, approval or servicing
Experience and training (administered by Aggregators):
Finance Brokers Association of Australia (MFAA or FBAA) and be personally identified (e.g. 100-point check)
An annual review process is performed by Channel Management on Aggregator relationships and includes:
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Customer Contact Strategy (Collections) Mitigation Strategy (Recoveries) Legal Process and Asset Realisation (Repossessions)
Day 1 – Day 60 Day 60 – Day 90 90 + Days
dialler
inbound calls
Sale 30 days
Collections Team (5 staff)
application basis
days
possession
and complete any capital works as required
strategy (5 staff)
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Product HY16 ($m) %change Factors Motor 1,413 1.7 Increase in average written premium rates partly offset by a small loss of units Home 1,287 1.3 Increase in average written premium rates partly offset by a small loss of units Commercial 1,115 (1.3) Growth in most commercial lines offset by a 33% reduction in the Workers Compensation segment CTP 567 6.8 Growth across NSW, Qld and ACT portfolios Other 35 (5.4) Total 4,417 1.4 Australia 3,796 1.2 New Zealand 621 2.6 2.7% in NZ$ terms
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9.8% 8.7% 8.6% 8.1% 8.0% 1H14 2H14 1H15 2H15 1H16
Other underwriting expenses ratio
13.5% 14.0% 14.3% 14.4% 14.4% 1H14 2H14 1H15 2H15 1H16
Acquisition expenses ratio
67.5% 68.2% 71.1% 71.0% 70.7% 1H14 2H14 1H15 2H15 1H16
Loss ratio
23.3% 22.7% 22.9% 22.5% 22.4% 1H14 2H14 1H15 2H15 1H16
Total operating expense ratio
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■ Home ■ Motor ■ Commercial ■ Other ■ CTP
34% 29% 22% 15% <1%
32% 28% 27% 12% 1%
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■ New South Wales ■ Queensland ■ Victoria ■ South Australia ■ Western Australia ■ Tasmania ■ New Zealand ■ Other ■ Home ■ Motor ■ Commercial ■ CTP ■ Other
25% 28% 19% 6% 3% 2% 14% 3%
34% 29% 22% 15% <1%
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8.0% 10.0% 10.5% 11.2% 11.1% 13.1% 13.4% 13.6% 14.0% 14.7% 14.8% 14.6% 10.1% 12.8% 6.4% 10.9% 1.9% 3.8% 11.1% 18.6% 7.8% 13.9% 17.0% 12.8% 9.9% 9.4% 1H10 2H10 1H11 2H11 1H12 2H12 1H13 2H13 1H14 2H14 1H15 2H15 1H16 12% 12% Underlying ITR Reported ITR
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1.1% 1.7% 1.4% 1.4% 5.4% 5.4% 3.4% 1H13 2H13 1H14 2H14 1H15 2H15 1H16
1.5%
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Date Event Net costs ($m)
Aug 2015 South Coast NSW and Sydney Storms 29 Sep 2015 NSW Central Coast Hail 21 Oct 2015 Fernvale Chinchilla Hail 44 Nov 2015 Sunnybank Hail 16 Nov 2015 Pinery Bushfire 15 Nov 2015 Darling Downs Storms 25 Dec 2015 Kurnell Tornado 63 Dec 2015 Great Ocean Road Bushfire 31 Other natural hazards attritional claims (Australia) 114 Other natural hazards attritional claims (New Zealand) 4
Total 362
Less: allowance for natural hazards (334) Natural hazards costs above allowance 28
2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000
1967 1969 1971 1973 1975 1977 1979 1981 1983 1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
NZ AUS Long run average
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Christchurch earthquakes, Brisbane floods, Cyclone Yasi, Melbourne Hailstorm Newcastle earthquake Melbourne & Perth Hailstorms, Christchurch earthquakes Sydney Hailstorm Hunter Valley storm Cyclone Marcia and NSW Low Storms Brisbane Hailstorm
* Adjusted for inflation, population growth and market share
Brisbane Hailstorm Brisbane flood, Cyclone Tracy
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6.9b 6.1b 2.5b 500m
Original cover Reinstatement Reinstatement Reinstatement
250m 200m
Dropdown aggregate Dropdown aggregate
50m
Retention
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250m
50m xs 200m xs 50m 100m xs 150m xs 200m 100m xs 150m xs 300m
200m 150m
100m xs 50m xs 200m 100m xs 50m xs 300m
50m
Retention
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This report contains general information which is current as at 07 April 2016. It is information given in summary form and does not purport to be complete. Please note all references are in Australian Dollars ($) unless otherwise disclosed. It is not a recommendation or advice in relation to the Group or any product or service offered by Suncorp or any of its
the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any particular investor. These should be considered, with or without professional advice, when deciding if an investment is appropriate. This report should be read in conjunction with all other information concerning Suncorp filed with the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX). The information in this report is for general information only. To the extent that the information may constitute forward-looking statements, the information reflects Suncorp’s intent, belief or current expectations with respect to our business and operations, market conditions, results of operations and financial condition, capital adequacy, specific provisions and risk management practices at the date of this report. Such forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties, many of which are beyond Suncorp’s control, which may cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied. Suncorp undertakes no obligation to update any forward-looking statement to reflect events or circumstances after the date