THE 3 0 th I APH W ORLD PORTS CONFERENCE 7 - 1 2 May 2 0 1 7 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

THE 3 0 th I APH W ORLD PORTS CONFERENCE

7 - 1 2 May 2 0 1 7 Bali Nusa Dua Convention Center, Bali - I ndonesia

Enabling Trade. Energizing The World

Developing of the Northern Sea Route: current situation and perspective

Igor Krotov

Logistic operation manager South Tambey LNG

Speaker

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45 year Ph.D in economics Logistic operation manager South Tambey LNG Scope – transport & port operation in framework of Yamal LNG project. Experience: logistic & transport management for phoject in hydro energy (Kybansky Cascade HPP ) and space (ATV, CryoSat, Metop, Swarm, etc.). Ex-customs officer (major of customs service). Author of publications on transport & customs clearance, a speaker on Russian and international conferences.

The Northern Sea Route (NSR)

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The Northern Sea Route (NSR): Questions

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Is it possible? Is it safe? What’s need for sailing? What’s benefits?

The Northern Sea Route (NSR): Is it possible?

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BBC Lima Germany BBC Charteting Carriers GmbH and Co.KG Arc 5 General cargo carrier General cargo Shanghai (China) Bremerhaven (Germany) Yong Sheng Hong Kong Cosco Shipping Ltd Arc 4 General cargo carrier Ore in bulk,steel Shanghai (China) Glasgow (Scotland)

The Northern Sea Route (NSR): Is it possible?

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Gretke Oldendorf Portugal Oldendorff Carriers GmbH & Co KG Ice 2 General cargo carrier Coal Vancouver (Canada) Raahe (Finland) Winter Bay

• St. Kitts & Nevis Darliada Ltd Ice 1

Refeer Frozen meat Tromse (Norway) Osaka (Japan)

The NSR: mv Audax

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The Audax(ARC7), have arrived on January 4, 2017 in the port of Sabetta, on the Yamal Peninsula. The ship departed Qingdao, China, in November, passing first through the Bering Strait, and then westbound along the NSR, where it was escorted for part of the way by Russian icebreakers.

The NSR: mv Nordic

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RUMMK RUDKS ATD : 2017-02-06 15:27 ATA: 2017-02-15 01:00

The NSR: Safety

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The NSR: Is it safe?

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• On September 10, Arctic sea ice

extent stood at 4.14 million square kilometers (1.60 million square miles). This appears to have been the lowest extent of the year and is tied with 2007 as the second lowest extent on

• record. This year’s minimum

extent is 750,000 square kilometers (290,000 square miles) above the record low set in 2012 and is well below the two standard deviation range for the 37-year satellite record. Satellite data show extensive areas of

• pen water in the Beaufort and

Chukchi seas, and in the Laptev and East Siberian seas.

• Trend is clear

Low sea ice extent continues in both poles

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Climate change is causing the ice covering sections

• f the Arctic

Ocean to recede. This enables greater use of the Northern Sea Route.

NSR – sailing requirements

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Ice class ship Ice-breaker assistance Weather forecast Infrastructure (Ports, Customs clearance point, tsniimf, etc) NSR

NSR – Ice class ships

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For vessels without ice reinforcement and for vessels with class Ice1 – Ice3 during navigation in the period July to 15th November For vessels class Arc4 – Arc9 during navigation in the period July to October For vessels class Arc4 – Arc9 during navigation in the period November to December and January to June

NSR – Ice-breaker assistance

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The acting fleet includes four atomic icebreakers with two nuclear reactors 75 thousand horse power strong – i/b “Rossiya”, i/b “Sovetsky Soyuz”, i/b “Yamal”, i/b “50 Let Pobedy”, two atomic icebreakers with a single reactor power plant 40 thousand horse power strong – i/b “Taymir” and i/b “Vaygach” and atomic lighter “Sevmorput”.

NSR – new generation of Ice-breakers

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A new icebreaker is expected to commence its

• peration

in 2018. The designed width

• f

the icebreaker will constitute 34 metres which will allow the large Aframax-type vessels to safely follow the icebreaker through the water passage.

NSR – Weathernews (WNI) service

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• Data source for Sea ice analysis

– AMSR2

• Type: Passive microwave
• Resolution: 12.5km

– MODIS

• Type: Visible / Infrared
• Resolution: 250m(Visible) / 500m(Infrared)

– WNISAT-1R (launch in 2017)

• Type: Visible / Infrared
• Resolution: 500m

NSR – Weathernews (WNI) opportunity

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Strategic Voyage Planning for your Business Prioritization

NSR – Sea Ice Trend before Departure for Decision making

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Sea Ice Trend : Current – 2 months

NSR – Polar Routing Planning Sheet

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Ice Concentration Charts Speed down assumption Weather information Estimation / Comparison WP List RC Message with DR positions

NSR – 4 panel wx chart

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NSR – QRT for Polar Routing

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• Master reports us Ice concentration in noon report (QRT)
• WNI Ice forecast chart made from "I-SEE" engine

(Also mapped based on Ice concentration from satellite data)

Ice Risk Index for operators

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Sea Ice Concentration Sea Ice Thickness [m] Sea Ice Compression [kPa] Sea Spray Icening [cm/h]

WNI – After arrival

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Voyage Summary Report for Polar Routeing

NSR – Customs

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There are 21 customs point in Russian Arctic zone – 21 sea, 6 – air, 3 – auto. According to customs authorities in the Yamal-Nenets region the value of the goods customs-declared at Sabetta in 2016 had a fivefold increase from the previous year. The increase comes as construction proceeds at the nearby Yamal LNG plant. A total of 120 ships with goods subjected to customs declaration docked in Sabetta in 2016, more than twice the number of 2015. They delivered a total of 505,000 tons of goods with a value of $5.2 billion. The shiploads destined from China, Belgium, Germany, Egypt, Korea, the USA, Finland and Spain.

NSR –Trend

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Historically, brisk growth of shipping on the NSR seaways was, first of all, connected with the commercial exploration of the High North regions. Icebreaker fleet and special-purpose transport vessels successfully carried out and continue to perform assignments to transport natural resources and to deliver equipment and commodities to the areas of hard access. At present the main forecasts of growth in the scopes of transportations in the Arctic are also related to the exploration of new fields and exportation

• f raw materials from the Arctic shelf.

Also the NSR presents opportunities for international shipping as a transit route between Western Europe and the Asia-Pacific region. The unique geographical position of the NSR allows significant reduction of the shipping route under the transcontinental transportations.

NSR –Trend

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Historically, brisk growth of shipping on the NSR seaways was, first of all, connected with the commercial exploration of the High North regions. Icebreaker fleet and special-purpose transport vessels successfully carried out and continue to perform assignments to transport natural resources and to deliver equipment and commodities to the areas of hard access. At present the main forecasts of growth in the scopes of transportations in the Arctic are also related to the exploration of new fields and exportation

• f raw materials from the Arctic shelf.

Also the NSR presents opportunities for international shipping as a transit route between Western Europe and the Asia-Pacific region. The unique geographical position of the NSR allows significant reduction of the shipping route under the transcontinental transportations.

NSR – route comparison: Murmansk – Ningbo (Laden)

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Total Dist. [MT] Total Time [h] Total FOC [MT] ATD ATA (ETA)

①Actual 6586 634.7 714.7 8/11 0018Z 9/6 1100Z ②Via Suez 12000 1075 1235 8/11 0018Z 9/24 1920Z ③Via CGH 15300 1425 1710 8/11 0018Z 10/9 0930Z

NSR – route comparison: Busan – Hamburg

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NSR – project cargo

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NSR – perspective

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NSR – project solution for heavy & ODC cargo

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THE 3 0 th I APH W ORLD PORTS CONFERENCE

7 - 12 May 2 017, Bali Nusa Dua Convention Center, Bali - I ndonesia

Thank You