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The Impact of Skills Training on Financial Behaviour, Employability, - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

The Impact of Skills Training on Financial Behaviour, Employability, and Educational Choice of Youth: j Findings from a Randomized Controlled Trial in Morocco Drew Gardiner, Jonas Bausch: ILO Jochen Kluve: Institute for the Study of Labor


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The Impact of Skills Training on Financial Behaviour, Employability, and Educational Choice of Youth:

j

Findings from a Randomized Controlled Trial in Morocco

Drew Gardiner, Jonas Bausch: ILO Jochen Kluve: Institute for the Study of Labor Paul Dyer: Silatech Elena Mizrokhi: MEDA ILO Geneva | Tuesday, 12 July 2016

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SLIDE 2

Youth Economic Exclusion in MENA and Morocco:

  • Labour market access in Morocco:

19% unemployed; NEET youth: 40% among young men and 90% among young women (ILO 2014; World Bank 2012)

  • Lack of financial inclusion: over 80% of

MENA youth unbanked & low awareness of financial services among youth in Morocco

(World Bank 2014)

  • Focus on skills development in MENA not

matched by evidence on „what works“

12.07.2016 Evidence from RCTs in Youth Employment | ILO Geneva 2

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SLIDE 3

MEDA Maroc: 100 Hours to Success

  • Component of larger YouthInvest project,

2008-2014, to foster economic and financial inclusion of youth

  • Mix of training providing 100 hours of

instruction, with modules in three areas:

  • Financial literacy & management
  • Life skills
  • Business and entrepreneurial skills
  • Delivered over 1-3 month period at existing

youth centres (typically in the evenings)

  • Experiential teaching methods: live examples,

case studies & high interaction among participants.

12.07.2016 Evidence from RCTs in Youth Employment | ILO Geneva 3

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SLIDE 4

MEDA Maroc: 100 Hours to Success

  • Target group: 20’000

Moroccan youth between 15-25 years

  • f age
  • Assumptions:
  • Additional training

teaches skills not covered by formal educational system

  • Key constraints on

supply side of the labour market

12.07.2016 Evidence from RCTs in Youth Employment | ILO Geneva 4

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SLIDE 5

Evaluation Questions & Indicators

  • Educational

status

  • Aspirations
  • Labour Market

Status

  • Confidence
  • Team work
  • Problem

solving

  • Financial

knowledge

  • Bank account
  • Saving /

borrowing behaviour

Financial Inclusion & Literacy Life Skills

Educational

Choice Employ- ability

12.07.2016 5

Do impacts differ across groups based

  • n gender, age, and

socio-demographic background?

Evidence from RCTs in Youth Employment | ILO Geneva

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Evaluation Design Identification Strategy

  • Randomization: two groups sharing on

average the same characteristics – confirmed by baseline survey

  • Only members from the treatment group

are offered place at 100 Hours to Success

  • Impacts: We compare (changes in)
  • utcomes between both groups using

data from the baseline and follow-up survey

12.07.2016 Evidence from RCTs in Youth Employment | ILO Geneva 6

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SLIDE 7

Evaluation Design & Timeline

12.07.2016 Evidence from RCTs in Youth Employment | ILO Geneva 7

Treatment group: 462 out of 915 youth receive training Control group: 900 youth Baseline: Sep-Oct 2012 1815 youth registered & interviewed Randomization & Training: Dec-Aug 2012/13 Follow-Up survey: Aug-Oct 2015 871 youth surveyed & proxy information for 200 individuals Follow-Up: 429 youth surveyed Follow-Up: 442 youth surveyed

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Evaluation: Caveats

  • Take-Up: Only 462 out of 900 youth that were
  • ffered the training enrolled in the programme
  • Presenting Local Average Treatment Effects (LATE)
  • Drop-Outs / Non-Attendance: Not all youth

that enrolled completed the training

  • Attrition in follow-up: 52% of youth could not

be interviewed in endline survey

  • Baseline values (observables) still balanced
  • Results robust to variety of sensitivity checks
  • But: Little room for disaggregation!

12.07.2016 Evidence from RCTs in Youth Employment | ILO Geneva 8

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Financial Literacy & Inclusion

12.07.2016 Evidence from RCTs in Youth Employment | ILO Geneva 9

***

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% Financial Literacy Index Has saving account Does save Participates in savings group Maintains budget Borrowed since Oct 2012

Control Treatment

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SLIDE 10

Life Skills

12.07.2016 Evidence from RCTs in Youth Employment | ILO Geneva 10

0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 5

Satisfied with role in community Community Problem Solving Scale Risk-Scale GRIT-Scale

Control Treatment

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SLIDE 11

Labour Market Outcomes & Educational Choice

12.07.2016 Evidence from RCTs in Youth Employment | ILO Geneva 11

* *

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% Enrolled in education NEET Employed Unemployed Inactive Any work exp.

Control Treatment

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Labour Market Status & Education: Men, Follow-Up

12.07.2016 Evidence from RCTs in Youth Employment | ILO Geneva 12

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50%

In-Education Not-in-Education Employment Unemployment Inactivity

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Labour Market Status & Education: Impacts for Men

12.07.2016 Evidence from RCTs in Youth Employment | ILO Geneva 13

  • 0.086
  • 0.188
  • 0.188
  • 0.022

0.391 0.093

  • 60%
  • 40%
  • 20%

0% 20% 40% 60%

Education: Yes Education: No Employment Unemployment Inactivity

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SLIDE 14

Labour Market Status & Education: Women, Follow-Up

12.07.2016 Evidence from RCTs in Youth Employment | ILO Geneva 14

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50%

In-Education Not-in-Education Employment Unemployment Inactivity

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SLIDE 15

Labour Market Status & Education: Impacts for Women

12.07.2016 Evidence from RCTs in Youth Employment | ILO Geneva 15

  • 0.007
  • 0.106

0.051 0.088

  • 0.041

0.016

  • 60%
  • 40%
  • 20%

0% 20% 40% 60%

Education: Yes Education: No Employment Unemployment Inactivity

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Findings: Summary

  • Maintaining bank accounts: Yes!

Changing financial behaviour: (rather) No!

  • Life Skills: No evidence of long-term

impact

  • Increased investment education: both in

terms of length and heightened attention … but only for male youth

12.07.2016 Evidence from RCTs in Youth Employment | ILO Geneva 16

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Conclusion: Lessons learned

  • Encourage education: Skills trainings can trigger

greater investment in human capital

  • Important if lack of skills is a key constraint for young

people in the labour market (are there high skill premia?)

  • But: (formal) education ≠ job guarantee (cf. SWTS Egypt)
  • Targeting: youth (15-25 years) might still be too

diverse when aiming at school-to-work transition and/or financial training:

  • Striking and increasing gender differences wrt labour

market participation: 44% men vs, 12% women employed at time of follow up (avg. age: 23)

  • Saving requires income and borrowing collateral

12.07.2016 Evidence from RCTs in Youth Employment | ILO Geneva 17

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Avenues for future research in youth employment

  • How to increase take-up and reduce drop-
  • ut? (i.e. low relevance/quality vs. low self-

control vs. lack of information)

  • How to impact (financial) behaviour with

classroom based trainings?

  • Global evidence favours multi-pronged

interventions but how to combine components best? Financial literacy, life skills, business management, internships, apprenticeships...

12.07.2016 Evidence from RCTs in Youth Employment | ILO Geneva 18

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Thank you for your attention!