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The London Elections Media Briefing Wednesday 23 rd April London - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
The London Elections Media Briefing Wednesday 23 rd April London - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
The London Elections Media Briefing Wednesday 23 rd April London Borough Elections, 2014 Tony Travers London School of Economics London Government Greater London Authority Mayor and Assembly Elected last in 2012, next in 2016
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London Government
- Greater London Authority
- Mayor and Assembly
- Elected last in 2012, next in 2016
- Supplementary Vote (Mayor) and Additional Member System
(Assembly)
- 32 boroughs
- Elected last in 2010 (General Election day)
- All-out elections every four years
- First-past-the-post
- Mayors in Hackney, Lewisham, Newham, Tower Hamlets
– SV voting system
- The City of London
- Elected last in 2013, next in 2017
- Unique franchise, council and Lord Mayor
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Vote share, London borough elections
Source: GLA
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Councillors elected, London boroughs
Source: GLA
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Changes in political control, 2010
Source: GLA
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London borough control, 2006 and 2010
Source: London Communications Agency
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‘Safe’ boroughs
Labour
Barking & Dagenham, Camden, Greenwich, Hackney, Haringey, Islington, Lambeth, Lewisham, Newham, Southwark, Waltham Forest
Conservative
Bromley, Hillingdon, Kensington & Chelsea, Westminster, Wandsworth
Liberal Democrat
Sutton
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More marginal – likely no change
Labour
Brent, Ealing, Enfield, Hounslow
Conservative
Hammersmith & Fulham, Bexley, Richmond, Barnet
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Marginal - possible change
(not predictions!)
Con to Lab?
Croydon, Redbridge
Con to NOC
Havering
Lab (Min) to Lab
Merton
Lab to NOC
Tower Hamlets
LD to Con
Kingston
NOC to NOC
Harrow
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Mayoral elections
Safe Labour? Hackney Lewisham Newham Independent vs Labour Tower Hamlets
- Lutfur Rahman (Ind) vs John Biggs (Lab)
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Difference between London vote share and GB vote share, 1955-2010
- 4
- 2
2 4 6 8 Con Lab Lib/LD Others
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Croydon vote share compared to London vote share – LB elections
- 15
- 10
- 5
5 10 15 20 196819711974197819821986199019941998200220062010 Con Lab Lib/LD Others
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Richmond vote share compared to London vote share – LB elections
- 30
- 20
- 10
10 20 30 40 1968 1971 1974 1978 1982 1986 1990 1994 1998 2002 2006 2010 Con Lab Lib/LD Others
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Tower Hamlets vote share compared to London vote share – LB elections
- 60
- 40
- 20
20 40 60 1968 1971 1974 1978 1982 1986 1990 1994 1998 2002 2006 2010 Con Lab Lib/LD Others
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UKIP Voting Assembly, London-wide, 2012 (%)
Havering 11.8 Bexley 9.1 Sutton 8.2 Bromley 7.8 Barking & D 7.2 Hillingdon 6.3 Kingston 6.1 London 4.5
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