Cosmic-ray propagation in the light of the Myriad model Yoann - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Cosmic-ray propagation in the light of the Myriad model Yoann - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Cosmic-ray propagation in the light of the Myriad model Yoann Genolini In collaboration with: Pasquale Serpico, Pierre Salati & Richard Taillet Annecy-Le-Vieux, FRANCE BUSAN July 17th, 2017 1 A break in Galactic cosmic rays nuclei S.Ting


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Cosmic-ray propagation in the light of the Myriad model

Yoann Genolini

BUSAN July 17th, 2017

Annecy-Le-Vieux, FRANCE In collaboration with: Pasquale Serpico, Pierre Salati & Richard Taillet

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A break in Galactic cosmic rays nuclei

S.Ting presentation, CERN, december 2016 ⇒ A universal kinck at R ≥ 200GV ? ∆kinck ≈ 0.12 − 0.13 2

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A break in Galactic cosmic rays nuclei

Yang presentation, XSCR, march 2017 ⇒ A universal kinck at R ≥ 200GV ? ∆kinck ≈ 0.12 − 0.13 2

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Origin of the break ?

Standard expectation ?

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Origin of the break ?

⇒Explanation 1 : break in the diffusion coefficient ?

  • Blasi, P., Amato, E., Serpico, P. D. (2012). PRL, 109(6), 061101.
  • Tomassetti, N. (2012). The Astrophysical Journal Letters, 752(1), L13.

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Origin of the break ?

⇒Explanation 2 : break in the source spectrum ?

  • Ptuskin, V., Zirakashvili, V., Seo, E. S. (2013). APJ, 763(1), 47.
  • Tomassetti, N., Donato, F. (2015). APJL, 803(2), L15.

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Origin of the break ?

⇒Explanation 3 : local source contribution ?

  • Kachelriess, M., Neronov, A., Semikoz, D. V. (2015). PRL, 115(18).
  • Erlykin, A. D., Wolfendale, A. W. (2015). JPG, 42(12), 125201.

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Origin of the break ?

⇒ Explanation 3 : local source contribution ?

Genolini, Y., Salati, P., Serpico, P. D., & Taillet, R. (2017). Stable laws and cosmic ray physics. A&A, 600, A68.

⇒ Explanation 1 : break in the diffusion coefficient ?

Indications for a high-rigidity break in the cosmic-ray diffusion coefficient, Preprint arxiv: 1706.09812 4

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Origin of the break ?

⇒ Explanation 3 : local source contribution ?

Genolini, Y., Salati, P., Serpico, P. D., & Taillet, R. (2017). Stable laws and cosmic ray physics. A&A, 600, A68.

⇒ Explanation 1 : break in the diffusion coefficient ?

Indications for a high-rigidity break in the cosmic-ray diffusion coefficient, Preprint arxiv: 1706.09812 4

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Explanation 3 one question would be..

May a particular configuration of the sources explain break features ?

1 10 102 103 104 105 Kinetic Energy Ek [GeV] 2 103 6 103 104 1.4 104 Φp.Ek 2.7

Fiducial CREAM 2005 AMS 2015

⇒ P(Ψ) ?

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The Pure diffusive regime

∂Ψ ∂t − ∇r.(K∇rΨ) = Q(r, E) ⇒ Time independent equation !

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The Pure diffusive regime

− ∇r.(K∇rΨ) = Q(r, E) ⇒ Time independent equation ! ⇒ Continuous production in space and time !

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The Pure diffusive regime

− ∇r.(K∇rΨ) = Q(r, E) ⇒ Time independent equation ! ⇒ Continuous production in space and time !

Q(r, t) = N

i

qi δ(ri − r) δ(ti − t)

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The Pure diffusive regime

− ∇r.(K∇rΨ) = Q(r, E) ⇒ Time independent equation ! ⇒ Continuous production in space and time !

Q(r, t) = N

i

qi δ(ri − r) δ(ti − t) Q(r, t) = N

i

qi δ(ri − r) δ(ti − t)

  • 6
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The Pure diffusive regime

− ∇r.(K∇rΨ) = Q(r, E) ⇒ Time independent equation ! ⇒ Continuous production in space and time !

Q(r, t) = N

i

qi δ(ri − r) δ(ti − t) Q(r, t) ≃

q ν VMW Θ(h − |z|) Θ(Rgal − r)

VMW = 2 h πR2 and ν ≈ 3 SNs/century 6

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The Pure diffusive regime

7 VMW = 2 h πR2 ν ≈ 3 SNs/century

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Sources are discrete in space and time!

Büsching, I., Kopp, A., Pohl, M., Schlickeiser, R., Perrot, C., & Grenier, I. (2005). The Astrophysical Journal, 619(1), 314.

→ Stochastic behaviour !

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Statistical treatment of the flux

The flux from N sources writes : Ψ =

N

  • i=1

ψi ⇒ Ψ =

N

  • i=1

ψ = N ψ One can expect to compute ψ from p(ψ) : ψ = ∞ dψ ψ p(ψ) With : p(ψ) =

D(rs, ts)

  • Normalized distribution in space

and time for one source

drs dts (1) Integration over the domain of space and time that gives a flux between ψ and ψ + dψ.

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To measure ψ from one source

p(ψ) =

D(rs, ts) drs dts (2) Vψ : domain of space and time that gives a flux between ψ and ψ + dψ. Surface equation in pure diffusive regime : ψ =

q (4 π K t)3/2 exp

  • r2

4 K t

  • D(rs, ts) can assume two

limiting behaviours, 2D or 3D ! For : ψ ≫ ψ we have, p(ψ) ∝

  • ψ−8/3

3D ψ−7/3 2D

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Variance of the total flux

Ψ =

N

  • i=1

ψi ⇒ p(ψ) → P(Ψ) Central limit theorem ? σ2

Ψ = Ψ2 − Ψ2 = N σ2 ψ = Nψ2 − Ψ2

N ψ2 = ∞ ψ2 p(ψ)dψ ∝ ψ1/3∞

cte = ∞

3D

  • ψ2/3∞

cte = ∞

2D The variance diverges

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But actually the pdf exists!

Generalised central limit theorem ?

The heavy tail behaviour conditioned the stable law limit ! ∀ψ 0, C(ψ) ≡ ∞

ψ

p(ψ′) dψ′ → lim

ψ→∞ ψαC(ψ) = η > 0

For N sufficiently large : P(Ψ) → 1 σN S[α, 1, 1, 0; 1] Ψ − Ψ σN

  • With : α =
  • 5/3

3D 4/3 2D and σN =

  • η π N

2Γ(α) sin (α π/2) 1/α

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But actually the pdf exists!

σN = 1, α = 5/3 → 3D, α = 4/3 → 2D

⇒ So one can define confidence intervals, pvalues...

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Simulation check

For example at 1TeV :

10−6 10−5 10−4 10−3 10−2 10−1 100 pvalue E=1TeV −0.06 −0.04 −0.02 0.00 0.02 0.04 0.06 log10 (Ψ/Ψsim) −50 50 ∆[%] 10−4 10−3 10−2 10−1 100 101 pd f E=1TeV

Stable law α = 4/3 Stable law α = 5/3 Gaussian law σsim Simulations

0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 log10 (Ψ/Ψsim) −50 50 10−6 10−5 10−4 10−3 10−2 10−1 100 pvalue E=1TeV 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 log10 (Ψ/Ψsim) −50 50

Simulation generated 106 configurations of galaxies. Transition from the 2D to the 3D regime ! ⇒Genolini, Y., Salati, P., Serpico, P. D., & Taillet, R. (2017).

Stable laws and cosmic ray physics. A&A, 600, A68. 14

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On the form of p(ψ)

The diffusive propagator is not causal for some region in space and time...

◮ Loophole : reevaluation of

p(ψ) =

  • Vcausal

ψ

D(rs, ts) drs dts

◮ p(ψ) ∝

  • ψ−8/3

for : ψ < ψc ψ−11/3 for : ψ > ψc The variance converges again!

Shall we use the central limit theorem ?...Not really if ψc is very large. Simulations : Stable law is a very good approximation till 10TeV !

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Application of the theory!

May a particular configuration of the sources explain break features ?

1 10 102 103 104 105 Kinetic Energy Ek [GeV] 2 103 6 103 104 1.4 104 Φp.Ek 2.7

Fiducial CREAM 2005 AMS 2015

⇒ P(Ψ) ?

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Probability of such an excess

We compute an upper value of the probability that a particular configuration of the sources gives a flux Ψ at 12.8TeV : pvalue = ∞

Ψexp

dψexp +∞ dψth p(ψexp|ψth) p(ψth|Model), Example for the benchmark models : Models MIN MED MAX Probabilities(Stable law 4/3) 0.031 0.0082 0.0013

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A theory of stochasticity for CRs

More generally.. Effect of stochasticity @ a given energy Could be great to include energy correlations Theoretical uncertainty that should be taken into account

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Questions

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More details in :

Genolini, Y., Salati, P., Serpico, P. D., & Taillet, R. (2017). Stable laws and cosmic ray physics. A&A, 600, A68. 19

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BACKUP

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The break feature of the protons

[Kachelrieß et al., 2015]

  • Local flux dominated by a

2Myr old SNR in order to explain the knee..

  • D⊥ ≪ D
  • At E = 1TeV, Ψ ≈ 2.86Ψ

⇒ P(Ψ) can be used for an homogeneous diffusion model. Models MIN MED MAX Probabilities 0.0072 0.0012 0.00016

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The break feature of the protons

[Tomassetti et al., 2015]

  • Two

component model, without prior on their number

  • f sources
  • Homogeneous diffusion
  • At E = 10GeV, Ψ ≈ 3.3Ψ

⇒ P(Ψ) can be used ! The probability @10GeV is 8.6 × 10−5 !

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