Energy Infrastructures in France: Climate Change Vulnerabilities and - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Energy Infrastructures in France: Climate Change Vulnerabilities and - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Energy Infrastructures in France: Climate Change Vulnerabilities and Adaptation Possibilities Alexia Leseur, Maria Mansanet Bataller and Morgan Herv-Mignucci Mission Climat of Caisse des Dpts Introduction Existence of climate change:

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Energy Infrastructures in France: Climate Change Vulnerabilities and Adaptation Possibilities

Alexia Leseur, Maria Mansanet Bataller and Morgan Hervé-Mignucci Mission Climat of Caisse des Dépôts

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Infraday 2008 (Berlin)

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Energy Infrastructures in France: Climate Change Vulnerabilities and Adaptation Possibilities

■Existence of climate change: mitigation actions ■Inevitability of climate change impacts: necessity to adapt ■Focus on energy infrastructures in France

Introduction

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Energy Infrastructures in France: Climate Change Vulnerabilities and Adaptation Possibilities

Methodology retained

■A three step process

Energy infrastructures at risk Sensitivity of Energy Infrastructures to Climate Change Ability to React => Adaptation Options

  • Energy system

cartography

  • Sensitivity to gradual

changes and exposure to extreme events based

  • n IPSL and CNRM

models

  • Hard adaptation
  • Soft adaptation
  • Financing adaptation

Vulnerabilities of the energy system => Adaptation needs identification

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Energy Infrastructures in France: Climate Change Vulnerabilities and Adaptation Possibilities

Literature Survey

■European studies on climate change and energy infrastructures: UK, Ireland, and Spain. ■Energy Production

Direct damages to installations and impacts on input and

  • utput levels

■Energy Transport and Furniture

Direct damages to infrastructures

■Energy Demand

Demand spikes in the summer and lower demand in Winter

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Energy Infrastructures in France: Climate Change Vulnerabilities and Adaptation Possibilities

Plan

  • 1. The French Energy System
  • 2. Vulnerabilities of the French Energy System to

Changing Climate Conditions

  • 3. Adaptation Options for Energy Infrastructures
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Infraday 2008 (Berlin)

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Energy Infrastructures in France: Climate Change Vulnerabilities and Adaptation Possibilities

Plan

  • 1. The French Energy System
  • 2. Vulnerabilities of the French Energy System to

Changing Climate Conditions

  • 3. Adaptation Options for Energy Infrastructures
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Energy Infrastructures in France: Climate Change Vulnerabilities and Adaptation Possibilities

Energy Production and Storage Map

Oil power plant Gas storage Gas storage in project Gas field CO2 storage in project Entrance / Exit Combined cycle gas turbine Methane Terminal Coal-fired power plant Nuclear power station Nuclear wastes storage Dunkerque Taisni ères Larrau Montoir de Bretagne Obergailbach Oltingue Fos sur Mer Gravelines Fessenheim Paluel St Maurice St Alban Soulaines Flamanville Golfech Tricastin Cruas Bugey Blayais Chooz Cattenom Chinon Civaux Belleville Nogent St Laurent Dampierre Morvilliers La Hague Penly Berre Donges La Mede Fos Lavera Feyzin Gonfreville Port

  • Jerôme

Petite

  • Couronne

Reichstett Mardyck Grandpuits Provence Lucy Vitry/Seine Cordemais Le Havre Blénod La Maxe Bouchain Emile Huchet Hornaing Source: Mission Climat of Caisse des Dépôts based on Observatoire de l’Energie

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Energy Infrastructures in France: Climate Change Vulnerabilities and Adaptation Possibilities

Energy Transport Map

Source: Observatoire de l’Energie

400 kV Natural gas pipeline Oil pipeline

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Infraday 2008 (Berlin)

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Energy Infrastructures in France: Climate Change Vulnerabilities and Adaptation Possibilities

Plan

  • 1. The French Energy System
  • 2. Vulnerabilities of the French Energy System to

Changing Climate Conditions

  • 3. Adaptation Options for Energy Infrastructures
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Energy Infrastructures in France: Climate Change Vulnerabilities and Adaptation Possibilities

Rise in Summer Temperatures by 2070-2099 (A2 scenario) and French Energy Production and Storage

Source: Mission Climat of Caisse des Dépôts based on Observatoire de l’Energie and Greenpeace-Climpact (2005) Oil power plant Gas storage Gas storage in project Gas field CO2 storage in project Entrance / Exit Combined cycle gas turbine Methane Terminal Coal-fired power plant Nuclear power station Nuclear wastes storage

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Energy Infrastructures in France: Climate Change Vulnerabilities and Adaptation Possibilities

Expected Number of Heat Wave Days in 2080 (A2 scenario) and French Energy Production and Storage

Source: Mission Climat of Caisse des Dépôts based on Observatoire de l’Energie and Greenpeace-Climpact (2005) Oil power plant Gas storage Gas storage in project Gas field CO2 storage in project Entrance / Exit Combined cycle gas turbine Methane Terminal Coal-fired power plant Nuclear power station Nuclear wastes storage

Dunkerque Taisni ères Larrau Montoir de Bretagne Obergailbach Oltingue Fos sur Mer Gravelines Fessenheim Paluel St Maurice St Alban Soulaines Flamanville Golfech Tricastin Cruas Bugey Blayais Chooz Cattenom Chinon Civaux Belleville Nogent St Laurent Dampierre Morvilliers La Hague Penly Berre Donges La Mede Fos Lavera Feyzin Gonfreville Port-Jerôme Petite

  • Couronne

Reichstett Mardyck Grandpuits Provence Lucy Vitry/Seine Cordemais Le Havre Blénod La Maxe Bouchain Emile Huchet Hornaing Dunkerque Taisni ères Obergailbach Oltingue Fos sur Mer Gravelines Fessenheim Paluel St Maurice St Alban Soulaines Flamanville Golfech Tricastin Cruas Bugey Blayais Chooz Cattenom Chinon Civaux Belleville Nogent St Laurent Dampierre Morvilliers La Hague Penly Berre Donges La Mede Fos Lavera Feyzin Gonfreville Port-Jerôme Petite

  • Couronne

Reichstett Mardyck Grandpuits Provence Lucy Vitry/Seine Cordemais Le Havre Blénod La Maxe Bouchain Emile Huchet Hornaing Dunkerque Taisni ères Obergailbach Oltingue Fos sur Mer Gravelines Fessenheim Paluel St Maurice St Alban Soulaines Flamanville Golfech Tricastin Cruas Bugey Blayais Chooz Cattenom Chinon Civaux Belleville Nogent St Laurent Dampierre Morvilliers La Hague Penly Berre Donges La Mede Fos Lavera Feyzin Gonfreville Port-Jerôme Petite

  • Couronne

Reichstett Mardyck Grandpuits Provence Lucy Vitry/Seine Cordemais Le Havre Blénod La Maxe Bouchain Emile Huchet Hornaing

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Energy Infrastructures in France: Climate Change Vulnerabilities and Adaptation Possibilities

  • Max. number of consecutive dry days in Summer and

French hydro plants

Source: Mission Climat of Caisse des Dépôts based on Observatoire de l’Energie and IMFREX Final Report.

Current Climate End of XXI century previsions

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Energy Infrastructures in France: Climate Change Vulnerabilities and Adaptation Possibilities

Plan

  • 1. The French Energy System
  • 2. Vulnerabilities of the French Energy System to

Changing Climate Conditions

  • 3. Adaptation Options for Energy Infrastructures
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Energy Infrastructures in France: Climate Change Vulnerabilities and Adaptation Possibilities

Adaptation Options for Energy Infrastructures ■CLASSIFICATION:

Anticipatory vs. reactive; local vs regional; short vs long term...

■ENERGY INFRASTRUCTURES:

Protective infrastructures hard adaptation measures Adapting energy infrastructures themselves soft adaptation measures

■Examples of soft adaptation measures : PLAN ■Importance of no-regret adaptation measures

Energy efficiency

■Financing adaptation measures:

actors, factors, the role of climate uncertainty

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Energy Infrastructures in France: Climate Change Vulnerabilities and Adaptation Possibilities

■Much still to be done at on adaptation to climate change ■Adaptation is local

Difficult to standardize adaptation measures

■Difficulty of adapting to climate change: uncertainty

regarding climate change impacts at the local level

Difficult to chose among the measures available

■French energy system

Vulnerable to climate change (production, transport, storage) Change on energy consumption patterns Wide range of adaptation options

■ Adaptation opportunity cost

Concluding Remarks

FLEXIBILITY is NEEDED

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Energy Infrastructures in France: Climate Change Vulnerabilities and Adaptation Possibilities

■Research Adaptation Program:

Adaptation to climate change and infrastructure choice

■Club ViTeCC

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Energy Infrastructures in France: Climate Change Vulnerabilities and Adaptation Possibilities

Thank you for your attention!