Eurobank Investor Forum June 2013 Contents Introduction Group - - PDF document
Eurobank Investor Forum June 2013 Contents Introduction Group - - PDF document
Eurobank Investor Forum June 2013 Contents Introduction Group Overview Strategy update Strategic business units (SBUs) Funding & Dividend Appendix 1 Groups Profile Largest independent downstream Group in
1
Contents
- Introduction – Group Overview
- Strategy update
- Strategic business units (SBUs)
- Funding & Dividend
- Appendix
2
Group’s Profile…
- Largest independent downstream Group in SEE, with Power & Gas investments
–
€10b Turnover with 14 MT of product sales
–
Leading domestic market position covering c. 60% of local wholesale market fuels demand
–
Regional footprint through subsidiaries and exports enabling coastal location of assets
- Completed its transformational investment plan and competitiveness initiatives,
supporting significant cash generation improvement
–
Implemented a €2bn investment plan delivering €200m incremental EBITDA* on a FY basis
–
Transformation initiatives added €230m annual benefits with further upside of €70m
–
Assets allow upside potential on the back of refining margins and market growth
- Consistent delivery of targets with tight balance sheet management
–
Achievement of strategic targets, despite Greek crisis & industry “black swans”
–
Completion of capex cycle allows deleveraging from higher than target gearing
–
Opportunities for value monetisation (DEPA/DESFA sale process)
–
Strong balance sheet post refinancing and €500m Eurobond issue
* At mid-cycle margins
Shareholding & Governance
Controlling shareholders’ agreement supported successful transition from state to private sector Group, divestment of remaining 35.5% held by the Greek State already announced
3
Shareholding structure
4% 36% 11% Int’l institutionals 7% Retail 43% POIH Greek State GR institutionals
Corporate Governance Board of Directors:
- Consists of 13 members (4 executive and 9
non executive) appointed as per Articles of Association
- Board Committees (Finance / Audit / HR)
Executive Committee:
- Key management executives with
responsibility for strategy and operations
Assets overview
Core business around downstream assets with activities across the energy value chain
Refining, Supply & Trading Domestic Marketing International Marketing Petrochemicals Power & Gas
DESCRIPTION METRICS
- Exploration assets in Egypt: West Obayed (30%),
Mesaha (30%)
- Recently upgraded refining asset base:
– Aspropyrgos (FCC, 145kbpd) – Elefsina (HDC, 100kbpd) – Thessaloniki (HS, 95kbpd)
- Owner of only refinery in FYROM
- Capacity: 16MT
- NCI: 9.3 /Solomon: 11.0
- Market share: 65%
- Tankage: 7m M3
- Leading position in all market channels (Retail,
Commercial, Aviation, Bunkering)
- c.1,900 petrol stations
- 29% market share
- Sales volumes: 4MT
- Presence in Cyprus, Montenegro, Serbia, Bulgaria
- Significant advantage on supply chain/vertical
integration
- c.280 petrol stations
- Sales volumes: 1MT
- Sole producer and main marketer in Greece with
strong export orientation
- PP value chain integrated with refineries
- Capacity (PP): 220 kt
- Second largest IPP in Greece (JV with Edison/EdF)
- Capacity: 810 MW
(CCGT)
- 35% in Greece’s incumbent NatGas supply company
- Volumes (2012): 4.2bcm
Exploration & Production
4
Our Group in numbers – key financials (FY12)
Domestic Marketing International Marketing Petrochemicals Power & Gas
(1) Total sales (not consolidated at Group level) (2) Net income contribution (consolidated using equity method) (3) As consolidated (does not include associates), includes other business segments
ASSETS € Μ SALES € Μ EBITDA € Μ FTEs 2,691 10,154 345 2,666 566 2,781 12 568 274 1,087 41 418 144 371 47 190 646 2,3901 702 972
GROUP TOTAL3 4,350 10,469 444 4,051
5
Refining, Supply & Trading
6
Contents
- Introduction - Group overview
- Strategy update
- Strategic business units (SBUs)
- Funding & Dividend
- Appendix
160 200 40 80 360 1200
Domestic Refining Domestic Marketing International Marketing Other Total 2009 - 2012
Completion of transformational strategy 2007-12
Successful execution of Group strategy delivers projected profitability step-up
7
Group Growth Capex 2009-12 (excl. Maintenance)
€ million
>2bn Elefsina upgrade Thessaloniki upgrade BP ground fuels business acquisition Network development Growth in SEE
450
Historic Average Refining Assets Marketing Assets Portfolio Rationalisation Performance Improvement Medium Term
Adjusted EBITDA evolution (at historic mid cycle margins)
€ million 150-250 150-200 30-50 30-50 700-900
Capex driven Transformation driven
1 2 5
Upgrade Refining Assets Manage Portfolio for value Fit-for-purpose organisation
3
Enhance vertical integration
4
Improve competitiveness
OUR OBJECTIVE INVESTMENT PLAN
Structural step-up of operating profitability implemented despite challenging environment; transforming ELPE cash generation profile
450 200 70 700
FY12 Elefsina upgrade Performance Improvement Medium Term
Adjusted EBITDA evolution 2012-2014 (€ mil)
400
- 700
- 300
EBITDA Capex Pre Tax Free Cash Flow
Investment phase
550
- 150
700
EBITDA Capex Pre Tax Free Cash Flow
Post-upgrade
Cash Flow profile pre and post-investment plan* (€ mil)
8 (*): assuming mid-cycle margins
9
Elefsina Refinery Upgrade: 50% of production upgraded from Fuel Oil to Middle Distillates and Naptha
- Solomon complexity raised to 13.9
- All emissions significantly reduced (eg SO2 by 70% and PM by 84%)
Vacuum Unit Atmospheric Distillation Hydrocracker (UOP) Flexicoker (Exxon Mobil) Kerosene Sweetening New units, Sulphur, Amine, SWS Diesel Desulphurization LPG Naphtha Jet Fuel Auto Diesel Petcoke or Flexigas Sulphur Propane Heating Diesel Marine Diesel Light Ends Recovery Crude Existing Units New Units Hydrogen (Haldor Topsoe)
20kbpd 40kbpd
c.50% of CDU
- utput
100kbpd
45kbpd
47% 24% 11% 11% 17% 25% 64% Pre upgrade Current
Other Jet Diesel/Gas oil Fuel oil
New refinery schematic Product slate
Transformation benefits
Maintaining focus on cost control and competitiveness generated €230m of additional cash benefits to date; medium target another €70m
Evolution of transformation initiatives (€m)
Group Headcount (FTEs)
- 21%
FY12 4.051 FY08 5.138
BEST80 savings (% over spent)
14 9 FY12 FY09
Group Fixed Opex
447 530 FY12
- 16%
FY09 163 125 +30%
Propylene production (kΤ)
10
75 100 Refining Excellence 77 2
Actual FY12 Actual 1Q13 Medium-Term target
65 80 Procurement (BEST 80) 67 2 44
4
60 Reorganisation & HR 48 44 60 Marketing competitiveness 47 3
466 526 458 506 301 357 233 254 7 61 117 130 190 7.3 7.22 7.07 6.77 3.74 4.38 2.87 4.7 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 EURm
11
Group adjusted EBITDA (€m) vs benchmark FCC cracking margins ($/bbl) Benchmark FCC cracking margins Contribution from transformation initiatives
Transformation benefits
Implementation of transformation initiatives supported Group results through a period of weak margins and Greek crisis
12
Strategy 2013-2017
Business strategy focuses on operational improvements, risk management and cash flow maximisation
- Operational Excellence
– Optimize South hub refining operations – Adapt Domestic marketing to current environment – Maintain competitiveness improvement momentum
- Rebalance exposure to Greek market
– Grow trading capabilities on the back of refining assets – Develop regional footprint strategy (wholesale/retail)
- Leverage business portfolio
– Maximise value out of 35% participation in gas incumbent (DEPA/DESFA) – Optimise value generation for all our businesses
- Develop our people and continue to build
culture of excellence
Business Priorities Financial Targets
- Improve profitability
– Achieve medium term EBITDA of €700m pa – Deliver €200-350m FCF pa
- Deleverage Group
– Reduce Debt/EBITDA < 2 within 3 years – Decrease gearing to D/E < 0.75
- Diversify funding mix
– Increase capital markets participation – Expand trade financing
13 13
Contents
- Introduction - Group overview
- Strategy update
- Strategic Business Units (SBUs)
- Funding & Dividend
- Appendix
14 14
Refinery assets: Coastal location supports integration and provides growth
- pportunities in neighboring markets offsetting weak Greek market
Coastal location of refineries ensures wide crude oil sourcing
- ptions
Cost advantaged to supply SEE/East Med markets with end- products Opportunities for regional consolidation and synergies on logistics footprint
ROMANIA TURKEY BULGARIA SERBIA CYPRUS FYROM GREECE ALBANIA BOSNIA MONTENEGRO
Refining Marketing Power & Gas
11.0 8.1 7.3 11.0 13.9 7.0 Aspropygros Elefsina Thessaloniki
NCI Solomon
Nelson/Solomon complexity – benchmark margins ($/bbl, average 2011-12)
5
- 3
4
15
Refineries complexity upgrade impact on the Group’s crude and product slate
26% 15% 32% 45% 9% 8% 23% 21% 10% 11% Pre upgrade Current
Other Gasoline Jet Diesel/Gas oil Fuel oil
15% 11% 10% 0% 75% 89% Pre Upgrade Current
High sulphur Medium sulphur Low sulphur 47% 24% 11% 11% 17% 25% 64% Pre upgrade Current Other Jet Diesel/Gas oil Fuel oil
Crude slate — Group-wide Product slate — Group-wide Crude slate — Elefsina Product slate — Elefsina
41% 59% 100% Pre upgrade Current
High sulphur Medium sulphur
Aviation & Bunkering C&I (Construction, wholesale) Retail
16
Greek petroleum market overview and route to market
HP enjoys leading domestic market position with high vertical integration and good logistics assets
3rd party Imports 60-65% 25-30% 0-10% Greek Refining capacity: 25MT Domestic market: 12.5MT
ELPE Group subsidiaries: 3.5MT (30%) MOH Group subsidiaries: 2.5MT (20%) Independent marketing companies: 5MT (40%)
ELPE exports: 7MT
3rd party exports: 5MT
16MT
ELPE Group subsidiaries: 2MT
24% Other 5% Bunkers 25% Jet 7% Gasoil 21% Diesel 18% Gasoline
Greek market product breakdown
Specialty markets (PPC, public sector): 1.5MT (10%)
17
Greek Refining, Supply & Trading economics
USD based value chain with significant trading returns complementing refining; export sales expected to exceed 50%, with domestic market premia accounting for less than 30% of EBITDA
Markets (sales premia varying across channels) Refining (Med benchmark returns & operations performance)
Refined Products (16.0m MT) Imported Products (1-1.5m MT)
Aviation & Bunkering (Med competitive pricing) Exports, Intra-Group (Platts Med FOB based + premia) Domestic market (Import parity pricing)
6 MT 3 MT
Exports, 3rd parties (Platts Med FOB based)
2 MT 5 MT
Aspropyrgos NCI 11.0 145kbpd FCC Thessaloniki NCI 7.3 95kbpd Hydroskimming Elefsina NCI 8.1 100kbpd HDC
16 MT 1-1.5 MT
$ / €
Total ELPE capacity
Contribution per business and refining volumes breakdown
Reliance on Greek market significantly reduced following Elefsina upgrade
18 23 9 8 23 46 17 Total 60 Export trading 5 PetChems International (trading & marketing) 9 Aviation & Bunkering (trading & marketing) Domestic market (trading & marketing) Refining
Group “see-through” EBITDA breakdown – pro-forma post upgrade (%)
Dependency on Greek market None Low High
Refining sales volume breakdown – pro-forma post upgrade (%)
33% 17% Exports 50% Aviation & Bunkering Domestic market
Public sector sales accounts for c.4% of domestic market (1.5% of total sales)
19 19
Refined Oil products balances 2000-2025f
million tonnes / year
Regional market
Increased middle distillates yield leveraging on regional market dynamics
- 30
- 25
- 20
- 15
- 10
- 5
5 10 15 LPG Naphtha Gasoline Jet/Kero Diesel Gasoil LSFO HSFO Balances, Mt .
2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025
Surplus Deficit Source Wood Mackenzie, 2012
Group product balances 2011-2013 pro forma
million tonnes / year
MD Naphtha FO MOGAS 2011 2013 Pro forma
LONG SHORT
32% 10% 37% 20%
Domestic Oil products demand 2008-2012
million tonnes / year
Top European markets with expected demand increase (2013-2022) - mil MT
Source: Wood Mackenzie, Feb 2013
2011 9.239 2010 10.125 7.690 2012 2008 10.832 2009 11.413 2 4 6 8 10 12 SER SLV HUN ROM BEL CZ BUL GR TUR NL UKR POL
1,175 1,078 1,041 982 1,170 1,108 981 949
2009 2010 2011 2012 EKO HF
20
Marketing
Leading position in the Greek market enhanced following BP Greek business acquisition; diversification in other SE European markets increases downstream integration
Autofuels domestic market share evolution (%) Domestic Retail network evolution (# PS)
2,345 2,186 2,022 1,931
International Marketing: Regional footprint
29 15 2012 (post BP acquisition) 2008 (EKO only)
International Marketing: Sales volumes evolution (MT)
194 220 222 336 126 152 150 117 256 243 237 215 2010 1.051 436 2009 1.014 438 2012 1.072 404 2011 1.041 433 JPK SER BU CY 1,170
21 21
Petrochemicals
Operations centred on vertical integration for higher value product; trading shifted to exports markets
Position:
- Only petrochemicals producer in Greece with
material presence
- Domestic market share exceeds 50% in all
products, produced or traded
- Strong competitive advantage in polypropylene -
vertical integration play
- Exports account for 60% of total sales; strong
export markets in Turkey, Italy and Iberia Targets
- Debottleneck propylene production
- Exploit niche markets:
– Add new commodity plastics (PE) – Increase selectively PP resin grade portfolio – Increase selectively BOPP film types
- Leverage regional positioning and in-market
presence to increase trading
Petrochemicals supply chain
(90 kt) Thessaloniki Refinery Solvents Plant (90 kt) Caustic/Chlorine Plant NaCI Imports Aspropyrgos Refinery BOPP Film (26 kt) PP Plant (220 kt) Propylene Splitter Imported Chemicals Distribution Centre M A R K E T
22 22
Power: second largest IPP in Greece; development of a renewable energy portfolio
Thisvi 420MW CCGT power plant
- Elpedison, is a 50/50 joint venture between
Hellenic Petroleum and Edison, Italy’s 2nd largest electricity producer and gas distributor and subsidiary of EdF Group
–
Owns and operates 810MW of installed CCGT capacity: a 390MW plant in Thessaloniki and a 420MW in Thisvi
–
Energy market in Greece under restructuring; cost recovery model allows system stability and debt servicing in the short term
–
Active in power trading & marketing albeit with limited exposure due to market anomalies
- Renewables portfolio target > 100MW
(wind, PV, biomass) subject to fiscal environment and market developments
Consolidated as Associate
23 23
Gas: 35% participation in DEPA, Greece’s incumbent gas company (in sale process)
DEPA –Long-term contracts on pipe gas (Russian & Azeri) and capacity rights on two in-bound interconnecting pipelines –Long-term contracts with power generators, eligible industrial customers and existing EPAs –Owns 51% of the local supply companies (EPAs), with rights until 2036 to sell gas to small industrial, commercial and all residential customers DESFA (RAB) –Greece’s gas grid and LNG import terminal owner and
- perator
–Participates in South Stream and Interconnector Greece- Bulgaria pipelines
- DEPA joint sale process with HRADF; at present evaluating
- ffer by SOCAR for DESFA
DEPA snapshot financials (€m)
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012* EBITDA 240 166 211 288 287 Net Income 120 61 91 191 197 * Adjusted for settlement with PPC
Natural gas transmission network DEPA Volumes 2007-12 (bcm)
4,3 3,3 3,6 4,2 4,0 3,8 2007 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008
Consolidated as Associate
24
Contents
- Introduction - Group overview
- Strategy update
- Strategic business units (SBUs)
- Funding & Dividend
- Appendix
25
EUROBOND ISSUANCE
Successful execution of inaugural €500m issuance; benchmark transaction for Greek issuers with strong additional interest and reverse enquiries from investors
Demand by Geography
18% 27% 55%
Greek International private International institutional
- Unrated, 4-year €500m issue priced on 29 April 2013
- Standard Eurobond documentation structure with
listing in Luxemburg stock exchange
- Books closed early (24hrs) due to strong demand at
€3.5bn, an oversubscription of 7 times
- Significant interest from international investors,
exceeding 80% of order book
- The transaction was arranged by Alpha Bank, Credit
Suisse, Eurobank, HSBC and National Bank of Greece
- Follow up transaction over the coming 6-12 months
under review, aiming to reduce financing cost and increase USD funding
26
DEBT PROFILE
Successful refinancing consistent with communicated strategy. Funding and liquidity issues addressed; main remaining challenge is A-L currency matching. Drawn credit facilities by source breakdown (post Eurobond)
62% 6% 14% 18%
Greek International Supranational DCM
- 4-year, €500m DCM issued during May 2013
- Funding base diversification and maturity profile
extension achieved with new €500m Eurobond and €605m Term Loans
- Part of proceeds used to prepay €225m facility
maturing within 2013; balance to be used for further reduction of bank debt and crude supply trade finance
- Agreed to extent €400m RCF maturing 2Q13 for
12+6 months
- Further changes to funding mix will be evaluated
during the year, aiming to reduce costs and match currency exposure
Term lines maturity overview (€m)
Banking facilities
Roll-over for 12-18 months
27
DIVIDEND POLICY
BoD proposal for 0,15 €/Share dividend out of 2012 results covering statutory minimum; additional payout (interim 2013) to be considered later in the year EPS and DPS 2009-2012 (€/share)
* Dividend will be subject to witholding tax in line with legislation in place at the time of approval / distribution
- Interim dividend for 2013 to
be announced on the basis of developments in 2Q-3Q: ‒ DEPA sale ‒ New tax law impact ‒ Financial performance
28
Contents
- Introduction - Group overview
- Strategy update
- Strategic business units (SBUs)
- Funding & Dividend
- Appendix
29 29
Key Milestones
Transforming stand-alone government controlled Greek companies to a leading private sector regional energy player
PETROLA
(Elefsina Refinery)
DEP & DEPEKY
(Greek E&P)
ELDA
(Aspropyrgos Refinery)
ESSO- PAPPAS
(Thessaloniki Refinery)
PETROLA
(Elefsina Refinery)
DEP & DEPEKY
(Greek E&P)
ELDA
(Aspropyrgos Refinery)
ESSO- PAPPAS
(Thessaloniki Refinery)
1998 1960 – 1998 2003 2007 2008 2009 2013
Elpedison: 50/50 JV with Italy’s Edison, in Power Libyan upstream concessions sold to GDF Suez for $170m
2010
Thessaloniki Refinery upgrade completed Sale of 70% stake in
- W. Obayed upstream
concession in Egypt Acquisition of BP’s Ground Fuels business in Greece Merger with Petrola Hellas Elpedison’s 2nd CCGT Plant (420MW) in commercial operation Shareholding events Listing of new Group in ASE/LSE Greek Government announces its intention to divest its shareholding in ELPE
2011
DEPA privatisation process at final stage Elefsina upgraded refinery commercial
- peration
POIH becomes strategic investor with 25% stake
Float 22% Greek State 36% POIH 42%
2012
Summary Group Structure1
30
HELLENIC PETROLEUM
EKO S.A. (and subsidiaries)
HPI AG
HELLENIC FUELS S.A. HP SERBIA LTD HP BULGARIA LTD HPMCYPRUS LTD JPK
ELPET VALKANIKI Shipping companies ELPEDISON B.V2 HPF plc (treasury)
Domestic Marketing International Marketing
DEPA Group
Gas supply, transportation & distribution
50%
Power Generation & Trading
Asprofos S.A.
Engineering Services PetChems (BOPP film)
DIAXON S.A. 35%
Gas & Power associates 63%
VARDAX OKTA
(1) All companies 100% owned unless otherwise noted (2) 45% owned through HPI
International Refining Others 80% 82%
€ million, IFRS (Published) 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Income Statement Figures Sales Volume (MT)- Refining 15,807 16,525 16,952 17,130 16,997 15,885 14,557 12,528 13,532 Sales Volume (MT)- Marketing 4,793 4,727 4,790 5,236 4,910 4,787 5,735 5,126 4,434 Net Sales 4,907 6,653 8,122 8,538 10,131 6,757 8,477 9,308 10,469 EBITDA 372 671 502 617 249 390 501 335 298 Adjusted EBITDA* 400 466 526 458 513 362 474 363 444 Net Income 128 334 260 351 24 175 180 114 84 Adjusted Net Income* 149 191 277 232 216 150 205 137 232 EPS (E) 0.42 1.09 0.85 1.15 0.08 0.57 0.59 0.37 0.28 Adjusted EPS (€)* 0.49 0.62 0.91 0.76 0.71 0.49 0.67 0.45 0.76 Balance Sheet / cash Flow Items Capital Employed 2,335 2,956 3,442 3,557 3,153 3,927 4,191 4,217 4,350 Net Debt 386 699 1,044 977 679 1,419 1,629 1,687 1,855 Capital Expenditure 295 185 145 195 338 614 709 675 521 Dividend (€/share) 0.26 0.43 0.43 0.50 0.45 0.45 0.45 0.45 0.15 Key drivers Brent crude ($/bbl) 38.0 55.2 68.1 72.9 98.3 62.6 80.3 111.0 111.7 FCC cracking Med margins ($/bbl) 7.2 7.3 7.3 7.1 6.8 3.7 4.4 2.9 4.7 €/$ 1.24 1.24 1.26 1.37 1.47 1.39 1.33 1.39 1.29 31
Group Key financials: 2004 - 2012
Strong track record of consistent delivery and balance sheet resilience
(*) Calculated as Reported less the Inventory effects and other one-off non-operating items and special income taxes
32
1Q 2013 GROUP KEY FIGURES
(*) Calculated as Reported less the Inventory effects and other non-operating items, including deferred tax charge due to tax rate increase
FY € million, IFRS 1Q 1Q 2012 2012 2013 Δ% Income Statement 13,532 Sales Volume (MT) - Refining 3,315 2,986
- 10%
4,434 Sales Volume (MT) - Marketing 1,161 862
- 26%
10,469 Net Sales 2,716 2,241
- 17%
298 EBITDA 108
- 12
- 120
EBIT 68
- 72
- 38
Associates' share of profit 20 32 59% 158 EBIT (including Associates' share of profit) 88
- 41
- 84
Net Income 71
- 78
- 444
Adjusted EBITDA * 76 38
- 49%
335 Adjusted EBIT * (including Associates) 55 10
- 82%
232 Adjusted Net Income * 45
- 21
- Balance Sheet / Cash Flow
4,350 Capital Employed 4,866 4,623
- 5%
1,855 Net Debt 2,257 2,188
- 3%
518 Capital Expenditure 80 10
- 87%
33
RESULTS HIGHLIGHTS
1Q performance affected by heating gasoil sales drop and slower Elefsina ramp-up
- 1Q12 Adjusted EBITDA at €38m (-49% y-o-y) reflects the negative impact of domestic market
demand drop (mainly HGO driven) on refining and retail business as well as the slower Elefsina ramp-up and contribution to profits
- Reported results were affected by inventory losses on declining prices at the end of 1Q
(reversed since then) as well as higher depreciation and financing costs; EBITDA was reported at €-12m and NI at €-78m. One-off impact on deferred taxation from corporate tax rate increase to 26% at €11m
- Refinancing completion and successful first Eurobond issuance for €500m in May address any
funding and liquidity issues allowing us to focus on delivering value from our new investment and optimising our supply chain
- Net Debt at €2.2bn, reduced y-o-y, with Gearing (D/CE) at 47%. Positive pre WC cashflow as
Capex reverts to maintenance mode
- DEPA privatisation at final stages, with binding offers expected in June. A successful
transaction on the €582m BV asset will accelerate deleveraging, achieving Group objective for Gearing of 35-40% well ahead of the 3-year plan
1.10 1.15 1.20 1.25 1.30 1.35 1.40 1.45 1.50 1.55 1.60 €/$ 31/03/13 1.28 31/12/12 1.32 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 $/bbl 31/03/13 $110,02 31/12/12 $111.11
34
INDUSTRY ENVIRONMENT
Crude oil price tracking macro volatility; Eurozone developments weakened € vs $
€/$ exchange rate ICE Brent ($/bbl)
- Crude oil prices
declined on negative macros and developments in the second half of 1Q
- Political developments
in euro-zone countries and the Cyprus banking crisis led € lower vs $
2012 2013 FY 1.29 1.32 1Q 1.31 1.32 2012 2013 FY 111.7 112.6 1Q 118.3 112.6
5.9 4.2 4.3 6.4 6.9 5.4 4.0
0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0
2011 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 2012 1Q13
2.9 3.8 6.5 6.3 2.2 4.7 4.1 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 2011 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 2012 1Q13
- 20.0
- 15.0
- 10.0
- 5.0
0.0 2012 2013
- 36.0
- 26.0
- 16.0
- 6.0
2012 2013
- 1.0
4.0 9.0 14.0 2012 2013
35
INDUSTRY ENVIRONMENT
Improved FCC margins on gasoline recovery; Hydrocracking flat y-o-y
Med FCC Cracking benchmark margins ($/bbl)
Med Gasoline cracks ($/bbl) Med ULSD cracks ($/bbl)
Med Hydrocracking benchmark margins ($/bbl)
Med HSFO cracks ($/bbl) Med Naphtha cracks ($/bbl)
10.0 15.0 20.0 2012 2013
36
SEGMENTAL RESULTS OVERVIEW 1Q 2013
Strong Petchems performance and sustained international marketing partly offset domestic market decline and slower Elefsina ramp-up
Adjusted EBITDA evolution 1Q12 – 1Q13 (€m)
Refining, S&T MKT Chems Other (incl. E&P)
1 56 35 21 13 8 4 8 6 14
- 2
1
- 1
1Q 12 Refining Marketing Petchems Other 1Q 13
76 38
‐63% ‐67% 72%
37
1Q 2013 FINANCIAL RESULTS
GROUP PROFIT & LOSS ACCOUNT
(*) Includes headcount reduction in 2012
FY IFRS FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
1Q
2012 € MILLION 2012
2013
Δ % 10,469 Sales 2,716 2,241
(17%)
(9,934) Cost of sales (2,551) (2,218)
13%
535 Gross profit 165 24
(86%)
(408) Selling, distribution and administrative expenses (99) (100)
(1%)
(4) Exploration expenses (0) (1)
- (4)
Other operating (expenses) / income - net* 2 5
- 120
Operating profit (loss) 68 (72)
- (54)
Finance costs - net (11) (47)
- 11
Currency exchange gains /(losses) 18 (1)
- 38
Share of operating profit of associates 20 32
59%
114 Profit before income tax 95 (89)
- (33)
Income tax expense / (credit) (24) 6
- 81
Profit for the period 71 (83)
- 3
Minority Interest 5
- 84
Net Income (Loss) 71 (78)
- 0.28
Basic and diluted EPS (in €) 0.23 (0.25)
- 298
Reported EBITDA 108 (12)
38
1Q 2013 FINANCIAL RESULTS
GROUP BALANCE SHEET
IFRS FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FY
1Q
€ MILLION 2012
2013
Non-current assets Tangible and Intangible assets 3,708
3,655
Investments in affiliated companies 646
677
Other non-current assets 137
143
4,492
4,476
Current assets Inventories 1,220
1,246
Trade and other receivables 791
990
Cash and cash equivalents 901
411
2,912
2,647
Total assets 7,404
7,123
Shareholders equity 2,376
2,320
Minority interest 121
115
Total equity 2,497
2,434
Non- current liabilities Borrowings 383
917
Other non-current liabilities 222
216
605
1,133
Current liabilities Trade and other payables 1,920
1,850
Borrowings 2,375
1,684
Other current liabilities 7
22
4,301
3,556
Total liabilities 4,907
4,689
Total equity and liabilities 7,404
7,123
39
FY 2012 FINANCIAL RESULTS
GROUP CASH FLOW
FY IFRS FINANCIAL STATEMENTS 1Q
1Q
2012 € MILLION 2012
2013
Cash flows from operating activities 558 Cash generated from operations (495)
(276)
(34) Income and other taxes paid (2)
(1)
524 Net cash (used in) / generated from operating activities (496)
(277)
Cash flows from investing activities (518) Purchase of property, plant and equipment & intangible assets (80)
(10)
- Acquisition of BP (Hellenic Fuels)
- 4
Sale of property, plant and equipment & intangible assets
- 1
2 Sale of subsidiary
- Grants received
- 13
Interest received 4
2
(1) Investments in associates
- 9
Dividends received
- (491)
Net cash used in investing activities (76)
(7)
Cash flows from financing activities (67) Interest paid (15)
(45)
(140) Dividends paid
- (2)
- Securities held to maturity
- 683
Proceeds from borrowings 100
776
(591) Repayment of borrowings (65)
(933)
Payments to minority holdings from share capital decrease
- (115)
Net cash generated from / (used in ) financing activities 20
(204) (82)
Net increase/(decrease) in cash & cash equivalents (552)
(488)
985 Cash & cash equivalents at the beginning of the period 985
901
4 Exchange losses on cash & cash equivalents (2)
(2)
(89) Net increase/(decrease) in cash & cash equivalents (552)
(488)
901 Cash & cash equivalents at end of the period 431
411
40
(*) Calculated as Reported less the Inventory effects and other non-operating items
1Q 2013 FINANCIAL RESULTS
SEGMENTAL ANALYSIS
FY 1Q
2012 € million, IFRS 2012
2013
Δ%
Reported EBITDA
210 Refining, Supply & Trading 93
- 34
- 44
Marketing 9
9
1% 47 Petrochemicals 8
14
71% 300 Core Business 110
- 11
- 2
Other (incl. E&P)
- 2
- 1
35% 298 Total 108
- 12
- 89
Associates (Power & Gas) share attributable to Group 62
31
- 49%
Adjusted EBITDA (*)
345 Refining, Supply & Trading 56
21
- 63%
53 Marketing 13
4
- 67%
47 Petrochemicals 8
14
71% 444 Core Business 77
39
- 49%
Other (incl. E&P)
- 2
- 1
32% 444 Total 76
38
- 49%
121 Associates (Power & Gas) share attributable to Group 62
31
- 49%
Adjusted EBIT (*)
244 Refining, Supply & Trading 35
- 22
- 6
Marketing
- 2
- 9
- 29
Petrochemicals 4
10
- 267
Core Business 37
- 21
- 2
Other (incl. E&P)
- 2
- 1
29% 265 Total 36
- 22
- 87
Associates (Power & Gas) share attributable to Group 46
23
- 49%
41
1Q 2013 FINANCIAL RESULTS
SEGMENTAL ANALYSIS – II
FY 1Q
2012 € million, IFRS 2012
2013
Δ%
Volumes (M/T'000)
13,532 Refining, Supply & Trading 3,315
2,986
- 10%
4,434 Marketing 1,161
862
- 26%
348 Petrochemicals 87
68
- 22%
18,314 Total - Core Business 4,564
3,916
- 14%
Sales
10,154 Refining, Supply & Trading 2,687
2,097
- 22%
3,868 Marketing 1,003
742
- 26%
371 Petrochemicals 91
80
- 12%
14,393 Core Business 3,781
2,918
- 23%
- 3,924
Intersegment & other
- 1,065
- 677
36% 10,469 Total 2,716
2,241
- 17%
Capital Employed
1,101 Refining, Supply & Trading 1,101
2,869
- 840
Marketing 840
900
7% 144 Petrochemicals 144
139
- 3%
2,085 Core Business 2,085
3,908
87% 1,590 Refinery Upgrades 1,590
- 100%
646 Associates (Power & Gas) 646
677
5% 29 Other (incl. E&P) 29
37
28% 4,350 Total 4,866
4,623
- 5%
42
Disclaimer
Forward looking statements Hellenic Petroleum do not in general publish forecasts regarding their future financial
- results. The financial forecasts contained in this document are based on a series of
assumptions, which are subject to the occurrence of events that can neither be reasonably foreseen by Hellenic Petroleum, nor are within Hellenic Petroleum's control. The said forecasts represent management's estimates, and should be treated as mere
- estimates. There is no certainty that the actual financial results of Hellenic Petroleum