Industrial Emissions & Climate Protection European Parliament - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Industrial Emissions & Climate Protection European Parliament Brussels, 3 March 2009

Source: IPCC 2007 AR4, Figure SPM-11

Climate policy and science are diverging EU27 2006 emissions only 2009 2020 2050 7.7% below 1990 baseline 100 - 20% 80 - 30% - 40% - 40% 60 - 60% 40 - 80% 20 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060

ETS 'linear factor' only -1.74% p.a. 100 ? 90 ? 80 ? ? 70 ? 60 ? ? 2050 2013 2020 2070 50 ? “phase 3” 40 ? ? 30 ? 20 ? ? 10 ? 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 2 2 2 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 6 6 6 7 7 3 6 9 2 5 8 1 4 7 0 3 6 9 2 5 8 1 4 7 0 3

70+ new coal-fired power plants ● Antwerp Port, E.ON, 1100 mw ● RWE + KW, Śląsk/Silesia region, 800mw ● Boxberg, Vattenfall, 670 mw ● Port of Gent 1-2 projects ● Vattenfall, Pomorze (Opalenie), 1600mw ● Datteln, E.on, 1050 mw ● EdF, Rybnik, new block, 700mw ● Duisburg-Walsum Evonik, 750 mw ● EdF, new plant, 900-1000mw ● Hamm / Westfalen, RWE, 1640 mw ● Vatenfall, Siekierki new block, 480mw ● Neurath, RWE, 2200 mw ● Energa Group, Ostrołęka, 1000mw ● Hamburg-Moorburg Vattenfall, 1640 mw CANCELLED? ● Electrabel, new block, 460mw ● Karlsruhe EnBW, 910 mw ● Agios Nikolaos, Viotia, 600 mw ● RWE, 800mw ● Lünen, Trianel, 750 mw ● Florina II, PPC, 450 mw ● Enea Group, Kozienice, 2000mw ● Wilhelmshaven, Electrabel, 750 mw ● Astakos, Etoloakarnania, Edison, 600 mw ● PGE Group, Bełchatów, new block, 800mw ● Brunsbüttel, Electrabel, 800 mw ● Island of Evia, PPC, 800 mw ● Tauron Group, Będzin, new block, 460mw ● Krefeld-Uerdingen, Trianel + Bayer, 750 mw ● Tauron Group, new blocks, 2000-2500mw ● Lubmin (Greifswald), DONG Energy, 1600 ● PKE + ZAK, ?~330mw mw ● KHW Holding, Niwka-Modrzejów, 800mw ● Mainz, KMW AG (joint venture), 820 mw ● Mannheim, GKM AG (JV), 911 mw ● Stade, Electrabel, 1800 mw ● Fiumesanto, Endesa,410 mw ● Staudinger, E.on, 1100 mw ● Porto Tolle, ENEL, 2640 mw ● Dörpen, BKW FMB Energie (JV), 900 mw ● Vado Ligure, Tirreno Power ● Düsseldorf, Stadtwerke Düsseldorf, 400 mw ● Saline Joniche, SEI,1300 mw ● Kingsnorth, E.ON, 1600 mw ● Lünen, Evonik, 900 mw ● Piombino, ENEL ● Tilbury, RWE, 1600 mw ● Niederaußem (Bergheim), RWE, 2200 mw ● Sulcis ● Blyth, RWE, 2400 mw ● Stade, Dow Chemical & EnBW, 900 mw ● Rossano Calabro, ENEL, 1700 mw ● Ferrybridge, SSE, 800 mw ● Stade, E.on, 1100 mw ● Cairomontenotte, Ferrania Tech., 800 mw ● Hunterston, Dong, 1600 mw ● Wilhelmshaven, E.on, 500 mw ● Tilbury, RWE, 1600 mw ● Brunsbüttel, GETEC, 800 mw ● High Marnham, E.ON, 1600 mw ● Brunsbüttel, Südweststrom/Iberdrola, 1800mw ● Emden, DONG Energy, 800 mw ● Germersheim, EnBW, 900 mw ● Maasvlakte, nr Rotterdam, 1100MW, E.ON ● Kiel, E.ON, 800 mw ● Also near Rotterdam, 800MW, Electrabel ● Klingenberg, Berlin, Vattenfall, 800 mw ● Eemshaven, Groningen, 1600MW, RWE ● Mátrai Erőmű, Visonta, MVM, 440 mw ● Profen, MIBRAG, 660 mw ● Nuon Magnum coal gasification plant, 1200 mw

Lock-in to new coal puts ETS at risk 100 ? 90 ? 80 ? ? 70 ? 60 ? ? 2050 2013 2020 2070 50 ? “phase 3” 40 ? ? 30 ? 20 ? ? Approximate potential 'life-time' EUA demand of sixty new 10 1GW unabated coal, each emitting 6MT CO2 = 360MT/pa ? 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 2 2 2 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 6 6 6 7 7 3 6 9 2 5 8 1 4 7 0 3 6 9 2 5 8 1 4 7 0 3

Impacts of sample CO2 EPS/ELV 1200 1100 1000 L i g n i t e 900 800 H a r d c o a l 700 600 500 350 g CO2/kwh 400 Article 33a §1 N a t u r a l G a s 300 150 g CO2/kwh 200 Example limit value due to 2014 review clause in §4 100 e.g. hard coal + 90% CCS e.g. natural gas + 90%CCS 0

Far fewer installations affected 55,000 52,000 50,000 45,000 40,000 35,000 30,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 11,000 10,000 5,000 3,000 1,000 600 500 IPPC ETS LCP LCP >500MWth LCP Power LCP Power >500MWth

Bełchatów ●

Question/proposition If, by Copenhagen, Europe If, by Copenhagen, Europe commits, from a given date, not commits, from a given date, not to build another regular coal-fired to build another regular coal-fired power station, what commitments power station, what commitments by others and what overall by others and what overall ambition could result? ambition could result?