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Investor Presentation | October 2015
TSX: EGL.UN
EXPERTISE • QUALITY • INCOME
Investor Presentation | October 2015 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
EXPERTISE QUALITY INCOME TSX: EGL.UN Investor Presentation | October 2015 Advisories Advisory Regarding Forward Looking Statements: This presentation includes statements that contain
Investor Presentation | October 2015
TSX: EGL.UN
EXPERTISE • QUALITY • INCOME
This presentation includes statements that contain forward looking information (“forward-looking statements”) in respect of Eagle Energy Trust’s expectations regarding its future operations, including Eagle’s investment and business strategy, and forecast estimates for Eagle’s capital budget, production, drilling plans, operating costs, funds flow from operations, commodity split, debt to trailing cashflow, basic and corporate payout ratios, annual distribution, tax pools, estimated field netback, free cashflow, hedging and reserves, resources and capital efficiency in 2015. These forward looking statements involve estimates and assumptions including those relating to timing to drill and bring wells on production, production rates, operating and capital costs, marketability
performance, among other things. These estimates and assumptions necessarily involve known and unknown risks, delays, challenges and other uncertainties inherent in the oil and gas industry including those relating to geology, production, drilling, technology, operations, human error, mechanical failures, transportation, processing problems and poor reservoir performance, among
and Risk Factors”. The forward-looking statements included in this presentation should not be unduly relied upon. Actual results may differ from the forward-looking information in this presentation, and the difference may be material and adverse to the Trust and its unitholders. No assurance is given that the Trust’s expectations or assumptions will prove to be correct. Accordingly, all such statements are qualified in their entirety by reference to, and are accompanied by, the information and factors discussed throughout this presentation. These statements speak only as of the date
trust units. Copies of the annual information form may be viewed at www.sedar.com and on Eagle’s website at www.eagleenergytrust.com.
Advisory Regarding Non-IFRS financial measures:
Statements throughout this presentation make reference to the terms “funds flow from operations,” “field netbacks,” “free cash flow,” “basic payout ratio” and “corporate payout ratio,” which are non-IFRS financial measures that do not have any standardized meaning prescribed by IFRS and therefore may not be comparable to similar measures presented by other issuers. Investors should be cautioned that these measures should not be construed as an alternative to earnings (loss) calculated in accordance with IFRS. Management believes that these measures provide useful information to investors and management since they reflect the quality of production, the level of profitability, the ability to drive growth through the funding of future capital expenditures and the sustainability of distributions to unitholders. “Funds flow from operations” is calculated before changes in non-cash working capital and abandonment expenditures. Management considers funds flow from operations to be a key measure as it demonstrates Eagle’s ability to generate the cash necessary to pay distributions, repay debt, fund decommissioning liabilities and make capital investments. Management believes that by excluding the temporary impact of changes in non-cash operating working capital, funds flow from operations provides a useful measure of Eagle’s ability to generate cash that is not subject to short-term movements in non-cash working capital. “Field netback” is calculated by subtracting royalties and operating expenses from revenue. “Free cash flow” is calculated by subtracting capital expenditures from field netbacks for the property. “Basic payout ratio” is calculated by dividing unitholder distributions by funds flow from operations. “Corporate payout ratio” is calculated by dividing capital expenditures plus unitholder distributions by funds flow from operations.
Advisory Regarding Oil and Gas Measures and Estimates
This presentation contains disclosure expressed as barrel of oil equivalency (“boe”) or boe per day (“boe/d”). All oil and natural gas equivalency volumes have been derived using the conversion ratio of 6Mcf of natural gas: 1 bbl of oil. Equivalency measures may be misleading, particularly if used in isolation. A conversion ratio of 6 Mcf: 1 bbl is based on an energy equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead. In addition, given that the value ratio based on the current price of oil as compared to natural gas is significantly different from the energy equivalent of six to one, utilizing a boe conversion ratio of 6 Mcf: 1 bbl would be misleading as an indication of value. The estimated values of the future net revenues of the reserves disclosed in this presentation do not represent the market value of such reserves. There is no assurance that such price and cost assumptions will be attained and variances could be material. The recovery and estimates of reserves provided in this presentation are estimates only and there is no guarantee that the estimated reserves will be recovered. Actual reserves may be greater than or less than the estimates provided. This presentation contains references to estimates of oil classified as Discovered Oil Initially-In-Place (“DOIIP”) which are not, and should not be confused with, oil reserves. DOIIP is defined in the Canadian Oil and Gas Evaluation Handbook (“COGEH”) as the quantity of oil that is estimated to be in place within a known accumulation prior to production. DOIIP is divided into recoverable and unrecoverable portions, with the estimated future recoverable portion classified as “reserves” and “contingent resources” and the remainder classified as at the evaluation date as “unrecoverable”. The accuracy of resource estimates is, in part, a function of the quality and quantity of available data and of engineering and geological interpretation and judgment. The size of the resource estimate could be positively impacted, potentially in a material amount, if additional delineation wells determine that the aerial extent, reservoir quality and/or the thickness of the reservoir is larger than what is currently estimated based on the interpretation of seismic and well control. The size of the resource estimate could be negatively impacted, potentially in a material amount if additional delineation wells determine that the aerial extent, reservoir quality and/or the thickness of the reservoir are less than what is currently estimated based on the interpretation of the seismic and well control. “Contingent resources” are those quantities of oil estimated, as of a given date, to be potentially recoverable from known accumulations using established technology or technology under development, but which are not currently considered to be commercially recoverable due to one or more contingencies. Contingencies may include factors such as economic, legal, environmental, political and regulatory matters, or a lack of markets. It is also appropriate to classify as contingent resources the estimated discovered recoverable quantities associated with a project in the early evaluation stage. There are no estimates of Contingent Resources included in this presentation. Estimates of DOIIP described in this presentation are estimates only; the actual resources may be higher or lower than those calculated in the independent evaluation. There is uncertainty that it will be commercially viable to produce any portion of the resources. The estimates of DOIIP have been prepared by McDaniel & Associates Consultants Ltd. in accordance with NI 51-101 and the COGEH and are effective as of January 1, 2015. The estimates
Eagle’s U.S. properties, Eagle’s independent qualified reserves evaluators.
stable production and overall growth through accretive investments and acquisitions.”
Eagle’s trusted management team brings an average of 25 years of experience to the oil and gas sector. Eagle owns stable petroleum producing assets in Canada and the U.S. Eagle strives to deliver predictable monthly distributions to unitholders.
On August 20, 2015, Eagle closed the acquisition of a private oil and gas company (“Privateco”) with petroleum assets in the Twining Field in Alberta (the “Transaction”). The Transaction was valued at approximately $30 million, including Privateco’s indebtedness, and was funded out of Eagle’s existing credit facility of $US 85 million. It was completed by the amalgamation of Privateco with a newly incorporated operating subsidiary of the Trust.
Highlights:
Western Sedimentary Basin
Note: 1) For more information, see Eagle’s news releases dated July 22, 2015 and August 20, 2015. 2) Based on forecast pricing at $US 55.00 per barrel WTI oil, $US 3.00 per Mcf NYMEX gas and $US 19.25 per barrel of NGLs, and foreign exchange rate of $US 1.00 equal to $CA 1.30.
3,750 boe/d 2015 Full Year Production Guidance 3,150 to 3,350 boe/d Production Split 94% light oil 2015 Ending Debt to Trailing Cashflow 2.1x(1) 2015 Corporate Payout Ratio <100%(1) Annualized Distribution(2) $0.36 per unit US Tax Pools $US 180 million CDN Tax Pools $CA 192 million
Notes: 1) Based on forecast pricing at $US 55.00 per barrel WTI oil, $US 3.00 per Mcf NYMEX gas and $US 19.25 per barrel of NGLs, and foreign exchange rate
2) Monthly 3¢ distribution, $0.36 annualized per unit.
Units Outstanding (basic) 34.9 million 52 Week Range $1.45 - $5.40 Recent price $1.91(1) Average daily trading volume (30 day) 72,016 units Market Cap $67 million Directors’ & Officers’ Ownership 2.9% basic, 10.6% fully diluted(2) Equity Research Acumen Capital Partners Paradigm Capital Scotiabank Global
TSX: EGL.UN
Notes: 1) TSX closing price on September 30, 2015. 2) Average exercise price of options = $5.70.
natural gas liquids, 2% natural gas)
$10.5 million ($38.14 per boe) due in part to field operating expenses reductions
per month)
the August 20th acquisition) and a $4.2 million working capital surplus at the end of the second quarter
performing to expectations
Balance Sheet Stable Production Capital Discipline
Sustainable Distributions with Growth Potential
and exploitation potential located in Canada (Alberta) and in the US (Texas and Oklahoma).
Jackson Counties, OK
Note: 1) Per Privateco’s internal reserves evaluator with an effective date of March 31, 2015.
Three Hills, AB
T 3 2 NLower MNVL Upper Pekisko Middle Pekisko Lower Pekisko Banff
Layer 1 Layer 2 Layer 3 Layer 2C Layer 2B Layer 4Pekisko Type Log
Source: IHS public data
The largest Pekisko oil pool in the WCSB
corporate production rate of approximately 3,750 boe/d for over 5 years
Significant upside potential
has the potential to double recovery factors in the area
Low declines, long reserve life
7.2 Mmboe(1)
Robust returns
current commodity price environment
Note: 1) Per Privateco’s independent reserves evaluator with an effective date of March 31, 2015.
Spyglass Resources Corp.
50 km from Peace River
Note: 1) Per McDaniel and Associates Consultants Ltd., Eagle’s independent reserves evaluator, with an effective date of December 31, 2014.
life asset
Long-term potential
years
Refurbished, optimized gathering system
poly liner installation in emulsion gathering system
Low maintenance and capital costs
per year to Eagle
Source: IHS public data
formation, located in the Salt Flat field in Caldwell County, South Central Texas
Low cost development technology
cost horizontal well drilling technology to capture additional oil:
wells
production enhancement and
program in 2014
Additional location opportunity
locations and optimizations to capture additional recovery
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Light oil producing
Conglomerate formations located in Hardeman County, Texas and Greer, Harmon and Jackson Counties, Oklahoma
79,000 gross acres of land
systems and associated assets
Low risk, low cost, high opportunity
wells and deploy capital to reduce
newly acquired seismic data to define future drilling opportunities
Seismic Time Map of the Top of the Mississippi showing the recently drilled Wells-Nichols #4 well
producing)
production guidance
61% 2% 8% 29%
Reserves by Category (Mboe)
PDP PDNP PUD Probable $180 $11 $24 $62
PV10 Value ($ MM)
PDP PDNP PUD Probable
WTI Crude Oil Year $US/bbl ____________________________ 2015 $65.00 2016 $75.00 2017 $80.00 2018 $84.90 2019 $89.30 2020 $93.80
McDaniel & Associates Price forecast (as of Jan 1, 2015)
Excellent year over year reserve performance
Note: 1) Per McDaniel and Associates Consultants Ltd., Eagle’s independent reserves evaluator, with an effective date of December 31, 2014.
+88% Strong increase in proved developed producing (PDP) reserves +29% Increase in net present value of PDP reserves (discounted at 10%) +4% Increase in total proved reserves volumes 145% Stability reflected in total proved reserves replacement ratio 265% Excellent total proved plus probable reserves replacement ratio
Capital Budget(1) $16.2 MM Working Interest Production 3,150 to 3,350 boe/d Operating Costs per Month(2) $2.0 to $2.2 MM Funds Flow from Operations(3) $31.6 MM Debt to Trailing Cash Flow 2.1x Field Netback (excluding hedges) $23.37/boe
Notes: (1) The 2015 capital budget of $16.2 million consists of $US 9.9 million for Eagle’s operations in the United States and $4.2 million for Eagle’s operations in Canada. (2) 2015 operating costs result in field netbacks (excluding hedges) of approximately $23.37 per boe at $US 55.00 WTI. (3) 2015 funds flow from operations is approximately $31.6 million based on the following assumptions: a. Average working interest production of 3,250 boe/d (the mid-point of the guidance range); b. Forecast pricing at $US 55.00 per barrel WTI oil, $US 3.00 per Mcf NYMEX gas and $US 19.25 per barrel of NGL (NGL price is calculated as 35% of the WTI price); c. Differential to WTI is a $US 2.25 discount per barrel in Salt Flat, a $US 2.70 discount per barrel in Hardeman, a $CA 20.50 discount per barrel in Dixonville and a $CA 15.15 discount per barrel in Twining; d. Average operating costs of $2.1 million per month ($US 0.9 million per month for Eagle’s operations in the United States and $0.9 million per month for Eagle’s operations in Canada) being the mid-point of the guidance range; and e. Foreign exchange rate of $US 1.00 equal to $CA 1.30.
Texas and Oklahoma ($US 9.9 MM)
Alberta ($4.2 MM)
35% of production for 2015 One third of current production hedged for calendar 2016
Q3 Avg Price = $US 69.95 Q4 Avg Price = $US 74.98 2016 Avg Price = $US 59.16
200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600
BBL/D OIL
22
Years 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30
Richard Clark Corporate Finance Law - Shiningbank Energy Trust General Counsel Corporate Finance Law Eagle - President & CEO Wayne Wisniewski Petroleum Engineering- Anders Energy, Occidental Petroleum Pennzoil E&P BP - Various Senior Leadership Engineering and Operations Roles Eagle - COO Kelly Tomyn Controller - Various Junior O&G Companies CFO - Various Junior O&G Companies Eagle - CFO Eric McFadden Co-head Investment Banking, Calgary - Scotia Capital Windpower Development
EVP, Business Development - Superior Plus Eagle - VP, Capital Markets & BusDev Scott Lovett Senior Reserves Evaluator - GLJ Petroleum Consultants Business Development - Shiningbank Energy; Enerplus Business Development, COO - Native American Res. Ptnrs Eagle - VP, Corporate & BusDev Jo-Anne Bund Securities and Corporate Law at a boutique oil and gas firm Senior Legal Counsel - Alberta Securities Commission Securities and Corporate Law Corporate Counsel - Walton Intl. Eagle - General Counsel & Corporate Secretary
23
gas law firm, then 10 years at a Canadian national law firm, specializing in corporate finance, securities, M&A and venture capital
Wayne Wisniewski, P.E., MBA, Chief Operating Officer (Houston)
management role in the Houston office of a major international E&P company
Kelly Tomyn, CA, Chief Financial Officer
with over 25 years of financial experience with E&P companies
Continued..
Scott Lovett, M.Sc., MBA, P.Eng, Vice President, Corporate & Business
Development
reservoir evaluations, acquisitions and divestments, business planning and strategic analysis
Eric McFadden, Vice President, Capital Markets & Business Development
markets, management and business development industries, including eleven years in the energy industry
Jo-Anne Bund, B.A., LLB, General Counsel and Corporate Secretary
including with a national law firm, with a securities regulator and as corporate counsel
Bruce Gibson, CA, Chair of Audit Committee
Warren Steckley, P.Eng., Chair of Reserves and Governance Committee
Former Director of Shiningbank
Joseph Blandford, P.Eng., Chair of Compensation Committee
Richard Clark, B.A. (Econ), LLB, Director
Shiningbank
28
Notes: 1) Q4/14 production is after the Permian asset disposition and before the Dixonville asset acquisition. 2) Guidance is mid-point for full year 2015, including the Twining Field acquisition which closed August 20, 2015.
Q1/11 Q2/11 Q3/11 Q4/11 Q1/12 Q2/12 Q3/12 Q4/12 Q1/13 Q2/13 Q3/13 Q4/13 Q1/14 Q2/14 Q3/14 Q4/14 Q1/15 Q2/15 2015 Guidance Production 1,269 1,214 995 2,023 2,169 2,400 2,825 2,986 2,928 3,022 3,052 2,994 3,010 3,341 2,859 1,929 2,995 3,034 3,250 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000
Average WI Production per Quarter (boe/d)
years but have recently narrowed, will continue to narrow over the coming years as the expansion of liquefied natural gas, rail and pipeline infrastructure enhances Canada’s access to non-U.S. markets
30.00 40.00 50.00 60.00 70.00 80.00 90.00 100.00 110.00
WTI (NYMEX) - Cushing ($US/bbl)
CDN Light Sweet ($CDN/bbl) WCS ($CDN/bbl)
Kelly Tomyn, CFO
Tel: (403) 531-1574
Eric McFadden, VP, Capital Markets & Business Development
Tel: (587) 233-1799
Richard W. Clark, President and CEO
Tel: (403) 531-1575
Eagle Energy Inc. Eagle Hydrocarbons Inc.
2710, 500 – 4th Avenue SW 3005, 333 Clay Street Calgary, AB T2P 2V6 Houston, TX 77002 info@EagleEnergyTrust.com www.eagleenergytrust.com
TSX: EGL.UN