J MA / WMO WO R K S H O P O N E FF E C T I V E T - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

BM KG

Indonesian Agency for Meteorology, Cli limatology, and Geophysics (BMKG)

C O U N T R Y R E P O R T I N D O N E S I A

J MA / WMO WO R K S H O P O N E FF E C T I V E T R O P I C A L C Y C L O N E WA R N I N G I N S O U T H E A S T A S I A T O K Y O , 11 – 15 Ma r c h 201 4

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I. I. Overv rview of BMKG

I.1. Organizational Structure I.2. Meteorological Operation I.3. Meteorological Services and Users I.4. On- going Developments

II. II. J akarta TCWC

II.1. Brief History of J akarta TCWC II.2. Area of Responsibility II.3. Operational Background II.4. Operational Procedure II.5. Operational Design II.6. List of Products II.7. List of Names

III.

• III. Tropical Cyclon
• nes

es Arou

• und Indonesia
• IV. Chall

llenges ges on

• n TC Analysis and Forecasting in Indonesia

Ina- CEWS

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CENTER FOR PUBLIC WEATHER SERVICES

REM OTE SENSING DATA M ANAGEM ENT DIVISION SATELLITE DATA M ANAGEM ENT SUB-DIVISION RADAR DATA M ANAGEM ENT SUB-DIVISION M ETEOROLOGICAL INFORM ATION DIVISION INFORM ATION SUB-DIVISION DISSEM INATION SUB-DIVISION EXTREM E WEATHER WARNING DIVISION TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING SUB-DIVISION (J AKARTA TCWC) EXTREM E WEATHER SUB-DIVISION BM KG

I.2. M eteorological Operation

Model Prediction PC

International Data Exchange Upper Air Observation Radar Observation Ocean Observation Space-based Observation Surface Observation

Observations

Data Collection

End User Products

Warnings Advisories TC Forecast Weather Forecast One Week Forecast Aeronautical Met. Information Marine Met. Information

Analysis, Forecast, Application

Information Issuance Issuance of Products at Met. Sta and HQ

DataProcessing and Products Dissemination

Computer S ystem for Meteorological Services

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LAY ANAN

• Daily Weather Forecast

Extreme weather warning

• Aerodrome forecast
• Flight-Route forecast
• SIGM ET
• M ax & Significant Wave &

Swell forecast

• Surface current
• 10-meter wind forecast
• Hotspot/ Firespot
• Fire Weather Index
• Smoke dispersion/

Trajectory

• M inistry of Transport
• M inistry of

Agriculture

• Tourisms
• M arine stakeholders
• Fisheries
• Public works/

construction

• M inistry of Health
• M inistry of Defense
• National Logistics

Agency

• Disaster M anagm’t

Agency (Nat’l & Provincial/ District)

• M ass M edia
• Universities
• Research Institutions
• General Public

Public Weather Services Aeronautical Weather Services M arine Weather Services Fire Weather (F D R S) Tropical Cyclone

• TC Track forecast
• TC’s Impacted Area forecast

PRODUCTS : USERS :

I.3. M eteorological services and Users

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National Warning FLOW to the Public

Tools GSM Phone/Fax/ sat phone GTS RANET/ DVB FMRDS/ ALERTUS Dedicated line Internet TV/Radio HF Radio Interface Institution Police HQ Army HQ Harbor Adm Airport Met Office TWC-Local DMO Local DMO

P U B L I C Ina

• M

E W S

Public Alerting Siren TV/Radio SMS FMRDS ALERTUS receiver Speakers Police siren

TIMELY MANNER

LAY ANAN

I.4. On-going Development

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FY . 2006-2012 FY . 2013 (4 radars) FY . 2014 (add 4 radars)

ACEH M EDAN PEKANBARU PADANG BENGKULU J AM BI LAM PUNG TANGERANG SEM ARANG SURABAY A BIM A KUPANG M AKASSAR PONTIANAK PALANGKARAY A BALIKPAPAN M ANADO AM BON BIAK J AY APURA M ERAUKE TARAKAN TERNATE PALEM BANG PK.PINANG SORONG KENDARI AM PENAN TIM IKA PALU PKLN.BUN BANJ ARM ASIN YOGY A DENPASAR GORONTALO

• Obs. Radius : 150 km (C-band) ; 100 km (X-band)

• 1. Indonesia has been being a member of WMO RA- V TCC since it

establishment by RA V- IX in 1986 and responsible to operate J akarta TCWC covering the sea area of 90° – 125°E and 10°S – Equator.

• 2. During 1998 – 2006 Australia assume warning responsibilities

covers Indonesia as interim measure

• 3. Indonesia takes over responsibility from Australia starting

2007/ 2008 cyclone season.

• 4. A major project to establish J

akarta TCWC was completed at the end

• f 2007 and officially operated at March 24, 2008.
• 5. First activation during TC Durga (April 22 – 25, 2008).
• 6. RA V TCC- XIII approved to extend responsibility area of J

akarta TCWC within coordinate 090°E - 120°E & 0° - 10°S 0° - 11°S & 120°E - 128°E , 0° - 09°S & 128°E - 141°E

II II.1. Bri rief History of J akarta TCWC

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II II.2. Area of Responsibility

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II II.3. Operational Backgroun und

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1.

WMO MANDATORY WMO Tropical Cyclone Operational Plan For The South Pacific And South East Indian Ocean (TCP- 24, 2006 Edition) stated Indonesia would take over responsibility at the start of the 2007/ 2008 cyclone season.

2.

INTERNAL INTEREST OF BMKG Though Indonesia is very rarely tracked by TC, the

• ccurrence of TC near the region, gives impact to

Indonesia weather variability.

Cyclogenesis analysis

Any suspect area in

• r near Indonesia?

Is it inside Jakarta TCWC AoR?

yes no yes

Will it develop into TD within 24 hours?

yes no no Active procedure Routine procedure

Will it develop into TD within 24 hours?

Monitoring procedure no yes Routine products Monitoring products Active products Product preparation for routine products Cyclogenesis analysis

Any suspect area in

• r near Indonesia?

Is it inside Jakarta TCWC AoR?

yes no yes

Will it develop into TD within 24 hours?

yes no no Active procedure Routine procedure

Will it develop into TD within 24 hours?

Monitoring procedure no yes Routine products Monitoring products Active products Product preparation for routine products

II II.4. Operational Procedure

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II II.5. Operational Design

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Phone Services

NWP DATA INPUT FROM VARIOUS MODEL (ARPEGE, TXLAPS, ECMWF, UK, US, J MA) SYNOPTIC OBSERVATION DATA INPUT

Faximile Webs bsite

Satell llite Data Input Radar Data Input INTERNAL WEB SERVER DENPASAR TCWC (BACKUP SYSTEM) 1. 2. FO FORECASTER WORKSTATIONS MEDIA DISPLAY RADAR DISPLAY 3. 5.

VIDEO EDITING TV Station BMG STATIONS 6. 7. CMSS SS LINK

APP PPLICATION SERVER DATABASE SERVER 4.

II II.6. List of Products

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No. Product Name Format Frequency

• f issuance

Languange Remarks 1. Extreme weather warning Text 6 hourly English & Indonesia 2. TV Crawler messages Text Indonesia 3. High seas warning Text 6 hourly English & Indonesia International exchange 4. Coastal Zone Warning Text 6 hourly English & Indonesia 5. TC Technical Bulletin Text 6 hourly English & Indonesia 6. TC Public Information Bulletin Text 6 hourly Indonesia 7. TC Outlook Text Daily English & Indonesia 8. TC Aviation Advisory Text 6 hourly English 9. CREX Text 6 hourly English 10. TC Track & Impact map Graphical 6 hourly English & Indonesia 11. Extreme Weather map Graphical English & Indonesia

II II.7. List of Names

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List A List B (St Standby) 1.Anggrek 2.Bakung 3.Cempaka 4.Dahlia 5.Flamboyan 6.Kenanga 7.Lili 8.Mangga 9.Seroja 10.Teratai 1.Anggur 2.Belimbing 3.Duku 4.Jambu 5.Lengkeng 6.Melati 7.Nangka 8.Pisang 9.Rambutan 10.Sawo

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• 1. Since 2007 – present, 2 tropical cyclones developed in J

akarta TCWC AoR :TC Durga in March 2008 and TC Anggrek in November 2010

• 2. Indonesian area is only for the initial stage for TC developments.
• 3. During 2011 – 2012 cyclone season in SE Indian Ocean (South of

Indonesia) 12 suspect ares identified in Indonesian water, 1 of them developed as a TC in Darwin AoR and 2 in La Reunion AoR

• 4. Remote / indirect impact of TC in Northwest Pacific and

Southeast Indian to Indonesian weather

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• 1. Early stage analysis of TC development

(Cyclogenesis analysis)

• 2. Remote / Indirect impact of tropical cyclones
• 3. Low latitude TC

http:/ / meteo.bmkg.go.id/ siklon

Track Tropical Cyclone “DURGA”, 22

• 24 April 2008

Tropical Cyclone Anggrek

SIKLON TROPIS “ANGGREK”, (01 November 2010, 07.00 WIB)

SIKLON TROPIS ANGGREK