Local Planning Networks and Neighborhood Vulnerability Indicators - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

SLIDE 1

CRC 2nd Annual Meeting

• Feb. 1-3, 2017

The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill

Philip Berke Department of Landscape Architecture & Urban Planning, Professor Institute of Sustainable Communities, Director Texas A&M University College Station, Texas 77843-3137 Email: pberke@tamu.edu Tel: 919 357 0239

Local Planning Networks and Neighborhood Vulnerability Indicators

SLIDE 2

Proje ject ct Overvi view

• -Land use planning is key to resilience.
• -Cities adopt networks of plans.
• -Integration of hazards/climate change in local plans affects

future resilience.

• Ft. Lauderdale Future Park Plan

Washington, NC Comprehensive Plan League City Open Space & Sensitive Area Plan

• Ft. Lauderdale Downtown Area Plan

The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill

CRC 2nd Annual Meeting

• Feb. 1-3, 2017

SLIDE 3 P

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l e v a r d Central Avenue Snug Harbor Avenue Marine Place Recreation Place C h e e r f u l P l a c e W a t e r W i t c h A v e n u e Huddy Avenue Washington Avenue Barberie Avenue Sea Drift Avenue Atlantic Street Water Witch Drive Rogers Street Waddell Street L i n d e n A v e n u e S h r e ws b u r y 36 8B

100 YEAR FLOODPLAIN MAP

Highlands Borough, Monmouth County, New Jersey Figure LU-4

October 2004 1"-1000'

FIGURE LU-4 100 YEAR FLOODPLAIN MAP

Atlantic Highlands Middletown Gateway National Recreation Area Sea Bright

KEY

100 Year Floodplain 500 Year Floodplain Outside the Floodplain

36 8B

0' 1,000' 500'

Highlands, NJ Before Hurricane Sandy: Opposing Intentions?

100-year floodplain & severe repetitive loss designation

CONCEPT PLAN MAP

Highlands Borough, Monmouth County, New Jersey Figure LU-6

October 2004 1"-1000'

FIGURE LU-6 CONCEPT PLAN M AP

Atlantic Highlands Middletown Gateway National Recreation Area Sea Bright

KEY

✱

• Potential Gateway Redevelopment Area

Potential CBD Redevelopment Area Potential Waterfront Redevelopment Areas County Park Focal Point Locations Gateway Treatments Waterfront Gateway Treatments Potential Municipal/Public Use Public Fishing Piers Twin Lights National Landmark

• Rt. 36 Bridge

Heritage Trail Waterfront Connection

0' 1,000' 500'

✱

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p e c t S t r e e t North Peak Street V a l l e y A v e n u e M

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n t a i n S tre e t H i g h l a n d A v e n u e N e w J e r s e y S t a t e H i g h w a y 3 6 Miller Street Shore Drive Valley Avenue Second Street Ce d a r S t r e e t Holly St. F

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r t h S t r e e t Fifth Street P

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n t S t . North Street Cornwell Street A v en u e C e n t e r A v e n u e Jackson John St B a y A v e n u e B a y A v e n u e Shore Drive B a y A v e n u e S h

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B a y s i d e D r i v e R i n g Mathews M a r i e S t . Linden Avenue Ralph Street L a u r e l D r i v e O c e a n A v e n u e B e a c h B

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l e v a r d Central Avenue Snug Harbor Avenue Marine Place Recreation Place C h e e r f u l P l a c e Water Witch Ave. Huddy Ave. Washington Avenue B a r b e r i e A v e n u e S e a D r i f t A v e n u e Atlantic Street Water Witch Drive Rogers Street Waddell Street L i n d e n A v e n u e S h r e ws b u r y 8B 8B 36 36

Hazard Mitigation Plan Comprehensive Plan

SLIDE 4

Project Objectives

Develop and apply a resilience scorecard:

• 1. To spatially evaluate the coordination of local networks of plans.
• 1. To spatially assess the degree to which the network of plans targets areas

most physically and socially vulnerable.

• 2. To develop a guidebook and a software tool for local practitioners to

evaluate networks of plans.

The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill

CRC 2nd Annual Meeting

• Feb. 1-3, 2017

SLIDE 5

Phases for Spatial Evaluation of Networks of Plans for a Resilience Scorecard

Phase 3

The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill

Phase 1

Delineate planning districts and hazard zones

Phase 2

De Determine vu vulnerability ty Sc Score plans

SLIDE 6

6.00 29.10 16.75 0.81 17.35

• 4.00
• 10.00
• 5.00

0.00 5.00 10.00 15.00 20.00 25.00 30.00 35.00

Washington(8) League City(21) Fort Lauderdale(111) Boston(21) Tampa(137) Asbury Park(11)

Overall mean policy scores for all plans

Mean Policy Scores for Physical Vulnerability for All Districts 100-year floodplain (# districts)*

*Higher scores indicates greater support for vulnerability reduction

SLIDE 7

• 0.39
• 0.63
• 0.02
• 0.25
• 0.12

0.01

• 0.70
• 0.60
• 0.50
• 0.40
• 0.30
• 0.20
• 0.10

0.00 0.10

Washington(8) League City(21) Fort Lauderdale(111) Boston(21) Tampa(137) Asbury Park(11)

Correlation between physical vulnerability and policy scores for plans

Correlation between Physical Vulnerability and Policy Scores* (# districts)

*Pearson’s r coefficient: Negative r means that greater policy scores are associated with lower vulnerability of districts.

SLIDE 8

Vulnerability Policy Scores by District: Ft. Lauderdale, FL

Hazard Mitigation Plan Comprehensive Plan

SLIDE 9

Networks of Plans

Asbury Park, New Jersey League City, Texas

Master Plan (2006) Comprehensive Plan 2035 (2013) Monmouth County Hazard Mitigation Plan (2012) Local Mitigation Plan (2010) Consolidated Housing Plan (2015) Parks & Open Space Master Plan (2006) Waterfront Redevelopment Plan (2005) Consolidated [Housing] Plan (2012) Main Street Redevelopment Plan (2008) CBD Redevelopment Plan (2003) Scattered Site Redevelopment Plan (2003)

SLIDE 10

Policies

• Land use regulations that limit new development.
• riparian buffer, cluster development, low density
• Land acquisition in proposed conservation areas.
• repetitive loss areas, parks and recreation
• Public facility investments for stormwater.
• low impact design technologies
• Development limits tied to evacuation times.

District #7: Clear Creek, League City, TX Total Plan Integration Score = +37 (Supports Reducing Vulnerability)

SLIDE 11

District #12: Waterfront Redevelopment, Asbury Park, NJ Total Plan Integration Score = -12 (Supports Increasing Vulnerability) Policies

• Smart growth
• Raise density, mix uses, complete streets
• Zoning overlays that support economic development
• Boardwalk, entertainment, renewal areas
• Development agreements for affordable housing
• 5% of the new housing units

SLIDE 12

CRC 2nd Annual Meeting

• Feb. 1-3, 2017

The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill

Publications

• Berke, P., G. Neman, J. Lee, T. Combs, C. Klosna, and ZD. Salveson. 2015. Evaluation of Networks of Plans and

Vulnerability to Hazards and Climate Change, Journal of the American Planning Association, 81(4): 287-302. (Best Article of the Year Award, American Planning Association)

• Berke, P., M. Malecha, S. Yu, J. Lee, J. Masterson. 2017. Plan Integration Scorecard for Resilience:

Evaluating Networks of Plans in Six Coastal Cities, Landscape and Urban Planning (under review)

• Berke, P. J. Cooper, S. Yu, J. Lee, J. Masterson. 2017. Do Plans Pay Attention? Social Vulnerability and

Networks of City Plans, Nature Climate Change (under preparation)

Doctoral Dissertations

• Matt Malecha, Urban & Regional Science
• Siyu Yu, Urban & Regional Science

SLIDE 13

CRC 2nd Annual Meeting

• Feb. 1-3, 2017

The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill

MEMBERS

• Chad Berginnis, CFM- Association of State Floodplain Managers,

Executive Director

• Darrin Punchard, AICP, CFM- Punchard Consulting
• Gavin Smith, PhD- University of North Carolina; UNC Coastal

Resilience Center, Exec. Director

• Jennifer Ellison- City of Urbandale, Community Development Director
• Allison Hardin, CFM- City of Myrtle Beach, Planner and Coastal

Hazards Education Specialist

• FEMA, National Coordinator for Community Recovery Planning and

Capacity Building Recovery Support Function

• Michele Steinberg, National Fire Protection Association, Wildfire

Division Manager

• Rich Roths- URS Corporation, Principal Planner
• Barry Hokanson, AICP- PLN Associates, President of the American

Planning Association Hazard Mitigation and Disaster Recovery Division (APA-HMDR)

Ad Advisory Board

ACTIVITIES

• Meetings
• May 16, 2016
• July 14, 2016
• Oct 17, 2016
• Jan 5, 2017
• Objective:
• To discuss and offer feedback on the

scorecard and guidebook

• Outcomes:
• Guidance and leadership to oversee

the process.

• Guidance for low-capacity

communities.

• Connected the scorecard with other

agency initiatives.

• Framed physical and social

vulnerability so communities could utilize existing efforts, resources.

• Refined the visually appealing version
• f guidebook.

SLIDE 14

CRC 2nd Annual Meeting

• Feb. 1-3, 2017

The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill

Criteria for selection:

• Population less than 250,000
• Potential for sea level rise
• Approval from local legislative body
• Communities positioned to leverage partnerships
• Pilot communities commit to:
• Assemble a team of stakeholders and key

informants familiar with local planning

• Receive training on how to apply the scorecard
• Score their own network of plans with technical

assistance from the research team

Pi Pilot

• t Com

Communiti ties s

Communities

• Norfolk, VA (George Homewood, FAICP, CFM- Planning

Director)

• League City, TX (Mark Linennschmidt, AICP- Senior Planner)
• San Luis Obispo, CA (start July 2017)- Michael Codron, AICP-

Community Development Director Technical assistance:

• One training session per community
• Three progress checks per community
• Assist in local identification of incongruities within plans
• Assess the feasibility of plan implementation
• Use scorecard to update comprehensive plans
• Use scorecard to revise ordinances and subdivision

regulations

SLIDE 15

• Scoring as Learning: What’s in the plans?
• Scoring as Analysis: How do plans measure up?
• Use Scorecard to:
• Search the Plans
• Evaluate the Contents
• Calculate the Scores
• Improve Existing Plans
• Create New Plans

The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill

CRC 2nd Annual Meeting

• Feb. 1-3, 2017

Translating Research to Practice: Guidebook & Software Tool

SLIDE 16

CRC 2nd Annual Meeting

• Feb. 1-3, 2017

The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill

2016:

• APA-HMDR website, LinkedIn, newsletter
• Model Forest Policy Program (MFPP) monthly webinar Sept 2016

2017:

• American Planning Association Conference in New York session, May 2017
• Hurricane Conference session, April 2017
• Natural Hazards Conference, July 2017
• New Jersey Workshop, August 2017
• Association of State Floodplain Managers host quarterly webinars of 800-1000

participants (upcoming)

• Colorado’s planningforhazards.com upcoming
• Blogs upcoming: Island Press, Center for Disaster Philanthropy
• APA Hazard Mitigation and Disaster Recovery Division, host scorecard application

sessions at annual conference

Ad Additional Outreach ch Act Activities

SLIDE 17

CRC 2nd Annual Meeting

• Feb. 1-3, 2017

The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill

Pr Proposed Follow-on

• n Wor
• rk

EXPAND SCORECARD CAPABILITIES

Disaster recovery

• How can scorecard make recovery go faster?

Business continuity and economic development

• Incorporate new research on Business Vulnerability indicators (Song et al. 2016,
• vol. 84, Natural Hazards)
• Helps corporate decision-making, assets, and facilities

Ordinances, infrastructure investments

• Show communities how they can change /update ordinances

Additional hazards

• wildfire, drought, seismic

SLIDE 18

CRC 2nd Annual Meeting

• Feb. 1-3, 2017

The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill

Pr Proposed Follow-on

• n Wor
• rk

LINK TO FEMA’s COMMUNITY RATING SYSTEM

Demonstrate how to maximize credits in integrating mitigation in multiple local planning efforts

• CRS Activity 510: review of other local plans
• CRS Activity 330: outreach

TRAINING

Association of State Floodplain Managers

• host quarterly webinars of 800-1000 participants

APA Hazard Mitigation and Disaster Recovery Division

• Host scorecard application sessions at annual conference

SLIDE 19

CRC 2nd Annual Meeting

• Feb. 1-3, 2017

The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill

What difference will it make to end users?

• Eliminate duplication of effort, improve efficiency, reduce conflicts.
• De silo mitigation planning practice.
• Equitably reduce vulnerability reduction efforts across neighborhoods.

Examples of Quotes from Advisory Board Members

• “This is the next generation of FEMA guidance. This is proof of concept.”
• “The local impact of this is incredible. For larger cities, there are so many layers to pull back and this

helps you do that.”

• “Really love the spatial aspect of plan integration.”
• “The Plan Integration for Resilience Scorecard is so important because it looks at everything. Too
• ften communities want to silo...”
• “This should be the gold standard for CRS requirement 510.”
• “The guidance...is very user-friendly, from the checklists, boxes, chapter openings, recommended

skills, specific examples…”

An Antici cipated Project ct Imp mpact ct