Swimmers itch drivers in northern MI lakes
Thomas R. Raffel, Ph.D. Department of Biological Sciences Oakland University Rochester, MI
northern MI lakes Thomas R. Raffel, Ph.D. Department of Biological - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Swimmers itch drivers in northern MI lakes Thomas R. Raffel, Ph.D. Department of Biological Sciences Oakland University Rochester, MI Schistosomiasis: 2-host life cycle (SNAILS) Exposure in water Human schistosomes (3 spp) 2 nd
Thomas R. Raffel, Ph.D. Department of Biological Sciences Oakland University Rochester, MI
Adult worms (in blood vessel)
Trichobilharzia cercaria penetrating skin
Physa integra Stagnicola catescopium* (= Stagnicola emarginata)
abundance
systems
snail and parasite abundance
19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 6/1 6/8 6/15 6/22 6/29 7/6 7/13 7/20 7/27
Temperature, Celsius Date
Immediate Effect Delayed Effect
Daily samples- filter 50L water Hourly temperature & light
Collect filter sample Extract DNA qPCR to estimate cercaria abundance
− 1 mL lysis buffer + 10 uL proteinase K
− TaqMan Assay (Jothikumar et al 2015) − Target itch-causing schistosomes − Singlicate reactions w/reruns for inhibited reactions
measurement bias)
individual measurements)
Response variable: Cercaria/ 50L Substantial day to day variation Random effects:
Log cercaria/ 50L Min Daily Temp
EXAMPLE: (Hypothetical)
with ocean wind speed
wind speed caused the increase in pirate attacks through time?
YEAR
1790 1755 1780 1785 1750
Pirate attacks Ocean wind speed
during this time period, making this a potentially CONFOUNDED predictor variable
Standard method – account for long-term trend first, before testing for relationships Method 1:
using deviations from a spline curve fit to data
*Method 2:
AFTER accounting for the long-term trend, we tested for effects of current & past daily temperatures on cercaria abundance
Random variation…. (singlicate analyses) Best model according to AIC: 3 predictors 1. Higher cercaria levels in past 5 days → higher cercaria levels today 2. Current temps positive trend 3. Past temps significant negative effect
Predictor variable Coefficient χ2 p-value Log cercaria prev 5 days 1.94 23.9 <0.001 Min daily water temp 0.24 2.66 0.10 Previous 5 day water temp
14.0 <0.001
and predictive
improve predictions in the future
abundance
systems
snail and parasite abundance
Maddie & Jenna Jason & Ryan Aleena & Alex
Snail population density Percent snails infected Cercariae produced per snail Bird infection? Temperature? Algal growth?
Cercariae in water
Wind/Waves?
Land Use
Physical charateristics
Cercariae in water Herbicide runoff Zebra mussels Insecticide runoff Nutrient pollution (N, P) Snail density Arthropod predators (crayfish) Attached algae Water clarity
Bird visitation
Water clarity hypotheses*:
Infected snails Temperature
Continuous/Daily monitoring:
Weekly surveys:
Site-level measurements:
Lake-level characteristics:
Encyclopedia of Life: Pleurocera collection records
Encyclopedia of Life: Stagnicola collection records
Known hosts for Trichobilharzia spp. parasites
cercariae from offsite via water currents
F1,35 = 7.0; P = 0.012
Sites with few or no Stagnicola snails
(after accounting for snail density)
Plants as physical barriers? Plants as accidental “hosts”?
Hedychia coronarium (mariposa) (Warren & Peters 1968) Floating water plants (Christensen 1979)
Gibson & Warren 1970 Cercariae
Cercariae Submerged vegetation Stagnicola Maximum Lake Depth Deciduous trees
HIGH Risk LOW Risk Medium Risk Medium Risk
Funds & Lodging (still compiling names for 2016…):
RAFFEL LAB: Mad adelyn Mess essner* Jas ason Sckr Sckrabulis* Ryan McW cWhinnie* Jenna a McBr cBride* Ale Alex Bag ageris Ale Aleena a Haj ajek Karie Altman
Collaborators: Pieter Johnson, Sara Paull, Bryan LaFonte, Curt Blankespoor, Ronald Reimink, David Szlag Oakland University Support:
Doug Wendell (chair), Arik Dvir, Cathy Starnes, Sheryl Hugger, Jan Bills, Kathy Lesich, Shawn Rasanen
Oakland Undergraduate researchers:
Fieldwork: R. McWhinnie, J. McBride, A. Hajek, A. Bageris; qPCR: J. McBride, S. Trotter, G. Everett, J. Willis; Invertebrate counts: Melissa Ostrowski, James Willis, Rima Stepanian, Aman Singh
Oakland University Startup Al Flory & Monika Schultz Chimney Corners Resort Platte Lake Improvement Assn Glen Lake Association Lake Leelanau Lake Assn Leelanau Clean Water Walloon Lake Association Lime Lake Association Higgins Lake Property Owners Assn SICON LLC Twin Lakes Property Owners Assn Elk-Skegemog Lake Assn Crystal Lake & Watershed Org. Lake Margrethe Foundation Fund Hamlin Lake Preservation Society Portage Lake Watershed Forever Intermediate Lake Association
ALL OUR CITIZEN SCIENTIST VOLUNTEERS! (NEXT SLIDE)
Muzzo; Mara DeChene; Gail Hanna; Kathy Grossenbacher; Jim Gallie
Rebekah Gibson; Sue Gederbloom
Sheridan & Bob Haack
2015 survey volunteers (8 lakes) 2016 survey volunteers (16 lakes)
Cold to Warm: initial increase in parasite production followed by steady decline Constant Warm: parasite production declines longer it is held at warm temps
Paull et al 2015
D45L D90 D45R
𝐹𝑔𝑔𝑓𝑑𝑢𝑗𝑤𝑓 𝐺𝑓𝑢𝑑ℎ = σ 𝐸𝑗 × 𝑑𝑝𝑡 𝛿𝑗 σ 𝑑𝑝𝑡 𝛿𝑗
𝑁𝑝𝑒𝑗𝑔𝑗𝑓𝑒 𝐹𝑔𝑔𝑓𝑑𝑢𝑗𝑤𝑓 𝐺𝑓𝑢𝑑ℎ = 𝐸45𝑀𝑑𝑝𝑡 45° + 𝐸90𝑑𝑝𝑡 90° + 𝐸45𝑆𝑑𝑝𝑡 45° 𝑑𝑝𝑡 45° + 𝑑𝑝𝑡 90° + 𝑑𝑝𝑡 45°
D45L D90 D45R
Water clarity Pleurocera (Dominant snail) Fetch Temperature Mussels Alkalinity Gravel Conifers