Support for a Children and Families Agenda January 24, 2016 Celinda - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

January 24, 2016 Celinda Lake Brian Nienaber Lake Research Partners

Washington, DC | Berkeley, CA | New York, NY LakeResearch.com 202.776.9066

Support for a Children and Families Agenda

Methodology

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Election Eve Omnibus Survey

• Lake Research Partners designed and administered this pre-election and election night omnibus survey, which

was conducted by phone using professional interviewers. The survey reached a total of 2,400 likely voters

• nationwide. The sample consisted of 1401 interviews among voters who were reached on cell phones and 999

interviews among voters reached on landlines. Issue questions reached a total of 1,200 likely voters nationwide who voted in the 2016 elections (margin of error of +/-2.8%). The survey was conducted November 6th through November 8th, 2016.

• Telephone numbers were drawn from the Catalist voter file. The sample was stratified geographically based on

the proportion of likely voters in each region. The data were weighted to reflect the aggregated Presidential vote as reported in the 2016 exit polls, as well as by gender, age, race, party identification, education, marital status, union household, and census region to reflect the actual proportions of the electorate. The survey has a margin of error of ±2.0% at the 95% confidence interval.

• Due to rounding some of the numbers in the presentation will not always add to 100%.

Focus Groups

• Lake Research Partners conducted a recent set of focus groups with parents of children under the age of 5 in

Denver on October 24, Cleveland on October 25, and Philadelphia on October 27. In Denver, there was a group

• f low income mixed-race mothers and a group of Latino custodial fathers. In Cleveland, there was a group of

low income mixed-race pregnant women or mothers under the age of 25, and a group of low-income African American mothers. In Philadelphia, there was a group of low-income Latina mothers and low-income non- custodial white fathers.

Summary of October Focus Groups

Key Findings – Highlights from October Focus Groups

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• Parents see obvious practical improvements – bus passes,

childcare.

• Parent centers: should have area for children to play, helpful

staff, useful information.

• Strong and overwhelming support for changing eligibility

requirements to prevent sudden cut off.

• Education should count toward work requirements
• Affordable childcare is paramount, even when looking for

work.

Support for a Two Generation Approach

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Support for a two generation program that helps parents get education and skills training to get a better job, has increased since 2012. Tax sensitivity remains, but a 56 percent majority strongly favor it even if it increased their taxes.

One program designed to help people who are living in poverty get out of poverty targets both parents and their children, so that parents get education and skills training to get a better job and at the same time their children get a good start with head start, early education, and quality schools…

…even if it increased your taxes.

75 6 56 12

Favor Oppose Favor Oppose

86 74 9 21

*Split Sampled Questions

Sept. 2012 Favor Oppose 81 15 Sept. 2012 Favor Oppose 70 25

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Clinton and Trump voters all favor a two generation program even if it increased their taxes.

One program designed to help people who are living in poverty get out of poverty targets both parents and their children, so that parents get education and skills training to get a better job and at the same time their children get a good start with head start, early education, and quality schools…

…even if it increased your taxes.

Total Oppose Total Favor Total Oppose Total Favor *Split Sampled Questions

19 8 24 16 3 77 86 69 77 96

White Non College Men Women Trump Voters Men Trump Voters Voted Trump Voted Clinton

30 33 35 34 4 61 64 57 60 90

White Non College Men Women Trump Voters Men Trump Voters Voted Trump Voted Clinton

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Voters identify K-12 as a top priority, but also strongly prioritize helping children and the adults in their lives get out of poverty.

How important of a priority it should be for the next president and Congress?

% Top Priority= 10

Total Gender Age Race Vote

Rural * WNC M

M W <50 50+ Wh AA Lat DJT HRC Improving K through 12 education*

45 33 56 43 48 39 63 56 35 53 * 28

Helping children and the adults in their lives get out of poverty* 38

26 49 39 36 31 64 47 28 49 * 27

Helping children and their parents get out of poverty*

36 34 37 34 38 30 60 46 22 48 * 29

Making higher education more affordable*

33 30 35 33 33 26 61 46 20 45 * 25

Investing in early learning and high quality childcare

31 27 35 31 31 25 57 38 18 34 34 22

Allowing people who work to take paid time off to care for themselves or a family member

26 20 32 27 26 23 49 23 23 40 23 19

*Split Sampled Questions; N too small for analysis among Rural voters

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Do you agree or disagree with the following statement: If we want to make sure low income children are successful in their early learning, then we have to also invest in their parent's economic well-being.

Darker Colors Indicate Intensity

29 19 30 36 33 6 65 74 66 59 62 91

White Non College Men Rural Women Trump Voters Men Trump Voters Voted Trump Voted Clinton

Total Disagree Total Agree

60 12 76 20 Agree Disagree

Nov. 2014 Agree Disagree 69 26

Voters overwhelmingly say if we want to make sure low income children are successful in their early learning, we have to also invest in their parent’s economic well-being.

Focus group participants believe parents would benefit most from these policies, but the whole family would benefit from the programs

• ffered.

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“The kid and the parent would have to benefit because it would take some of that weight off [my] shoulders. Man, this is good for your mental health and not just financially.” – White Father, Philadelphia “I feel like if there wasn’t a lot of the programs that there is today, a lot more like parents would be out on the street with their kids.” – Young White Mother, Cleveland “I think the focus is a lot on the children, but just as the family as a whole. Building and having your basic necessities to having the resources to being a good example through showing your progression to your family and to your kids and everyone being treated together as a unit as opposed to just individual portions of it." – Latino Father, Denver

Moderator: Who would benefit from these programs?

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Though slightly down from 2014, three-quarters of voters support creating partnerships to provide services to low income students who have young children and year round access to financial aid plans for certificate programs, including majorities across party lines.

Nearly 25 percent of college students, or 4 million people, are parents. Do you favor or oppose:

59 10 58 11 75 18 76 18

Favor Oppose Favor Oppose

*Split Sampled Questions

Sept. 2012 Favor Oppose 86 12 Sept. 2012 Favor Oppose 88 10

Creating partnerships between private, state, and community colleges and universities with government and non-profit organizations to provide services for low-income students who have young children. Providing low-income students who have young children year-round access to financial aid plans for certificate programs so that they can maintain full-time student status.

% Favor by Party ID Dem 89 Ind 69 Rep 63 % Favor by Party ID Dem 87 Ind 75 Rep 64 Darker Colors Indicate Intensity

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Do you favor or oppose making parents enrolled in college or workforce training programs eligible for state-funded childcare subsidies? [IF CHOICE] And is that strongly or not so strongly?

Total Oppose Total Favor

55 13 72 20 Favor Oppose

More than 7 in 10 voters favor making parents enrolled in college or workforce training programs eligible for state-funded childcare subsidies. Majority support crosses party lines, 59 percent of those who voted for Trump also favor of this proposal, including 64 percent of women who voted for Trump. 30 24 28 37 33 9 62 68 64 55 59 87

White Non College Men Rural Women Trump Voters Men Trump Voters Voted Trump Voted Clinton Sept. 2014 Favor Oppose 73 24

Darker Colors Indicate Intensity

Focus group participants identify childcare as a barrier to being able to get ahead.

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“Childcare. Let’s say there is a family that is out of work or a single mom for example, if they would offer free childcare for the children, she could go

• ut and look for work. She could go do whatever she needs to do to get

back on her feet, but when you are in a shitty situation, you are pretty much stuck there.” – White Father, Philadelphia “Mothers losing their jobs because they don’t have the right childcare…hey, I can’t come in because there is no one to watch my child.” – Young Latina Mother, Cleveland

Moderator: What are some barriers in your life from keeping you from getting ahead?

Economic Supports and Human Services

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Majorities across demographics favor allowing workforce training and education to count toward work requirements. African Americans, Latinos, and Democrats are the most likely to agree. 55 13 71 23 Favor Oppose

33 31 29 38 34 11 16 7 27 22 26 20 27

56 60 64 54 59 83 83 87 66 71 71 75 66

White Non College Men Rural Women Trump voters Men Trump voters Voted Trump Voted Clinton Hispanic African American White Non Parents Parents Women Men Total Oppose Total Favor

Currently, low-income parents of young children qualify for government programs only if they work at least 20 hours per week. Do you favor or oppose allowing workforce training and education programs beyond high school to count as part of this 20 hour weekly work requirement? Sept. 2014 Favor Oppose 71 25

Darker Colors Indicate Intensity

Health and Well-Being

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At least three-quarters of voters across demographics agree that mental health screenings and services would benefit the whole family. Democrats, Latinos, women, and Clinton voters are the most likely to agree.

13 12 10 19 15 5 7 8 12 11 9 7 14

74 81 82 71 76 92 90 86 80 84 82 88 77

White Non College Men Rural Women Trump voters Men Trump voters Voted Trump Voted Clinton Hispanic African American White Non Parents Parents Women Men Total Disagree Total Agree

Currently health insurance and Medicaid cover mental health preventive screenings for parents and children who are enrolled. Do you agree or disagree that mental health screenings and services would significantly benefit the whole family if offered to both parents and their children at the same time?

69 6 83 10 Agree Disagree

Sept. 2014 Agree Disagree 86 11

Darker Colors Indicate Intensity

Focus group participants say pairing health and mental health screenings so that parent and child receive screenings at the same time would save them the time and logistical hassle of having to set up multiple appointments.

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“You are able to get seen at the same time with your kids which makes it convenient if you work. You don’t have to take

• ff. There is a lot of pluses for that.” – Latina Mother,

Philadelphia “Doing all the family appointments and for one it is saving a lot

• f time rather than having to go around work schedules and

rescheduling other things just so you can all come in.” – Young White Mother, Cleveland

Impact of Government

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Voters across gender, age, and parental status tend to believe the federal government’s efforts to fight poverty has had an impact on reducing poverty. Republicans say that the federal government has made things worse.

Would you say that FEDERAL government efforts to fight poverty have had a big impact on reducing poverty, some impact, no impact, or would you say that federal government efforts have made things worse for the poor? Big/Som e Impact 48

No Impact 16 Made Worse 30 Don't Know 6

Positive Impact No Impact Made Worse Men 40 19 34 Women 54 14 26 Under 50 48 18 27 Over 50 47 14 33 White 44 16 33 African American 62 15 13 Latino 50 14 32 Democrat 66 15 15 Independent 46 12 32 Republican 29 21 45 Voted Trump 28 20 48 Voted Clinton 69 16 13 Rural * * * Wht Non Col Men 29 19 42

*Split Sampled Questions; N too small for analysis among Rural voters

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Voters also believe state government has had an impact across gender, age, and parental status. Republicans also say that state governments have made things worse.

Would you say that STATE government efforts to fight poverty have had a big impact on reducing poverty, some impact, no impact, or would you say that state government efforts have made things worse for the poor?

*Split Sampled Questions; N too small for analysis among Rural voters

Big/ Some Impact 45

No Impact 18 Made Worse 29 Don't Know 9

Positive Impact No Impact Made Worse Men 45 19 29 Women 45 17 29 Under 50 47 18 24 Over 50 41 17 35 White 42 19 31 African American 55 16 20 Latino 48 13 27 Democrat 56 12 23 Independent 47 28 20 Republican 31 17 41 Voted Trump 35 16 41 Voted Clinton 62 11 18 Rural * * * Wht Non Col Men 35 22 37

Cluster Analysis

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Two Gen Embracers (58%) Subdued Supporters (29%) Questioning Opposition (12%)

Policy Agenda Total For Total Against

Two Gen Approach

99

Two Gen Approach w/ Taxes

94 4

Invest in Parents Well being

95 3

Create partnerships to service parent-students

96 1

Provide year round access to financial aid

96 2

Workforce training eligible for childcare

95 1

Allow education to count as work requirement

92 4

Mental health screenings at same time

93 3

Strongly support the Two Gen approach Believe Government has Positive Impact Bipartisan, but skew Democrat, voted Clinton More likely younger, African American, Latino

Demographics Men 42 Women 58 Under 50 61 Over 50 39 White 61 AA 18 Latino 14 Dem 50 Ind 20 Rep 23 Federal Gov: Poverty Positive Impact 60 No Impact 13 Made Worse 22 State Gov: Poverty Positive Impact 55 No Impact 16 Made Worse 21 63 31

Clinton Trump

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Two Gen Embracers (58%) Subdued Supporters (29%) Questioning Opposition (12%)

Policy Agenda Total For Total Against

Two Gen Approach

85 7

Two Gen Approach w/ Taxes

63 26

Invest in Parents Well being

67 27

Create partnerships to service parent-students

54 31

Provide year round access to financial aid

63 22

Workforce training eligible for childcare

53 34

Allow education to count as work requirement

50 39

Mental health screenings at same time

77 12

Support Two Gen approach at lower levels Mixed on Government Impact, say State positive More Republican than Democrat, voted Trump Somewhat more likely white, older

Demographics Men 50 Women 50 Under 50 52 Over 50 48 White 79 AA 5 Latino 10 Dem 25 Ind 27 Rep 42 Federal Gov: Poverty Positive Impact 35 No Impact 22 Made Worse 35 State Gov: Poverty Positive Impact 42 No Impact 18 Made Worse 32 32 62

Clinton Trump

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Two Gen Embracers (58%) Subdued Supporters (29%) Questioning Opposition (12%)

Policy Agenda Total For Total Against

Two Gen Approach

22 63

Two Gen Approach w/ Taxes

15 81

Invest in Parents Well being

9 79

Create partnerships to service parent-students

14 77

Provide year round access to financial aid

19 75

Workforce training eligible for childcare

13 76

Allow education to count as work requirement

21 73

Mental health screenings at same time

46 43

Oppose Two Gen approach, tax sensitive Think Government made poverty worse Republican, voted Trump More likely white, male, older.

Demographics Men 64 Women 36 Under 50 47 Over 50 53 White 90 AA Latino 3 Dem 3 Ind 30 Rep 61 Federal Gov: Poverty Positive Impact 19 No Impact 21 Made Worse 56 State Gov: Poverty Positive Impact 9 No Impact 23 Made Worse 53 9 83

Clinton Trump

Reaching Subdued Supporters

• Subdued supporters and even the questioning opposition support giving

mental health screenings to parents and their children at the same time.

• They are less prone to support reforms to workforce requirements, or

changes to help parents who are students.

• Focusing on the wellbeing of the parent as it pertains to their children finds

support with subdued supporters. – If we want to make sure low income children are successful in their early learning, then we have to also invest in their parent's economic well-being. – Mental health screenings and services would significantly benefit the whole family if offered to both parents and their children at the same time

• The see state level efforts on poverty as having a positive impact

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Celinda Lake clake@lakeresearch.com Jonathan Voss jvoss@lakeresearch.com Brian Nienaber bnienaber@tarrance.com

Washington, DC | Berkeley, CA | New York, NY

LakeResearch.com 202.776.9066