TSX:ALS | OTCQX:ATUSF
Clean Steel Copper Potash Renewable Power Copper Lithium Nickel Cobalt
April 2020
Corporate Presentation
Corporate Presentation TSX:ALS | OTCQX:ATUSF April 2020 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Renewable Power Copper Copper Lithium Clean Steel Nickel Cobalt Potash Corporate Presentation TSX:ALS | OTCQX:ATUSF April 2020 Diversified Assets and Operators 15 Producing Royalties Investment Grade Operators Zinc 3% Steel Making
TSX:ALS | OTCQX:ATUSF
Clean Steel Copper Potash Renewable Power Copper Lithium Nickel Cobalt
April 2020
Corporate Presentation
TSX:ALS | OTCQX:ATUSF
Copper 37% Battery Metals (Ni-Li-Co) 2% Potash 19% Electricity Generation 14% Clean Iron Ore 20% Steel Making Coal 4% Zinc 3%
Investment Grade Operators
2019 Royalty Revenue
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TSX:ALS | OTCQX:ATUSF $6M $28M $33M $46M $67M $78M
FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017 2018 2019
Royalty Revenues
$3M $1M $15M $26M $35M $44M
FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017 2018 2019
Adjusted Operating Cash Flow
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(Q1-2020)
Quarterly Performance
Base Metals 40% Potash 27% Electricity Generation 15% Clean Iron Ore 6% Steel Making Coal 4% Other 7%
Q1-2020 Royalty Revenue
TSX:ALS | OTCQX:ATUSF
4.9x 1.4x x 1x 2x 3x 4x 5x 6x 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
TSX: ALS | OTCQX: ATUSF Issued Common Shares 41.8 million Fairfax Preferred Securities 10.0 million ($100 mm) Basic Market Capitalization $300 million Annual Dividend $0.20 per share Outstanding Debt $155 million Cash and Public Equity Holdings† $116 million Available Under Credit Revolver† $35 million
Leverage Ratio (Net Debt:EBITDA)
Dividends $3M Dividends $5M Dividends $7M Dividends $7M Dividends $8M Share buy back $2M Share buy back $2M Share buy back $5M Share buy back $9M
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Returns of Capital
Research Coverage
Richard Gray Craig Hutchison Brian MacArthur Carey MacRury Jacques Wortman Orest Wowkodaw
†Capital table values, return of capital and net debt to EBITDA numbers as of Dec 31 2019 except for market cap as of Apr
3,2020. Cash and public equity holdings as at Mar 31, 2020 includes $32 million cash + $49 million LIORC equity value + $34 million project generation equity values
COVID19’s Impact on Assets
TSX:ALS | OTCQX:ATUSF
Copper Zinc Lead Nickel Iron 65% Pellets Iron 65% Fines
0% 10% 20% 30% 15-Jan-20 28-Jan-20 10-Feb-20 23-Feb-20 7-Mar-20 20-Mar-20 2-Apr-20
First Confirmed COVID19 Death (China)
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Price component of Altius’s top line (i.e. non-marginal) royalties have declined by 2019 revenue weighted average of 11%
TSX:ALS | OTCQX:ATUSF
Production Level Changes Since COVID19 Outbreak Began
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mining operation and placed it on care and maintenance for a period of four weeks, as a direct result of the COVID-19 pandemic.
2019 revenue.
pelletization lines (of six) due to weak demand in Europe and North America.
grade iron concentrate, which continues to see strong demand.
shareholding and continues to hold approximately 2.9 million shares of LIORC.
and wellfield upgrades have been successfully completed.
pandemic, the Board of Directors has placed the Gunnison Copper Project on temporary suspension.
demand for crop inputs for the coming spring season and that its facilities continue to operate given its business is deemed an essential service by governments.
assets less than 13%, equity at an all-time high, and stable cash receipts expected again this year.
the first time since 2011-2012, according to the USDA.
Gunnison IOC / LIF Shareholding Potash Demand Voisey’s Bay
All other operations appear to be running at or near capacity
TSX:ALS | OTCQX:ATUSF
Operator Mine Commodity Benchmark
Guidance Post Covid-19 Outbreak
Altius Price Based Royalty Δ Operator Margin Δ Commodity Price Operating Margin Commodity Price Operating Margin Lundin Chapada Copper $2.74 126% $2.19 81%
Nutrien All Operations Potash $255 211% $240 193%
Mosaic All Operations Potash $255 245% $240 224%
Vale Voisey's Bay Nickel $5.88 103% $5.04 74%
Rio Tinto IOC Fe Concentrate $110 144% $98 117%
Rio Tinto IOC Fe Pellet $141 117% $128 96%
Excelsior Gunnison Copper $2.74 215% $2.19 152%
Hudbay Manitoba Ops Copper $2.74 800% $2.19 639%
Notes
costs do not include the effects of copper stream agreements which will be a component of the copper revenue and will impact realized revenue per pound.
expense and inventory and other adjustments divided by the production tonnes for the period. For Mosaic, we used the 2019 four quarter average actuals cash costs of production (excluding brine) – MOP ($/tonne)
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Operations have margin protection against economically driven closures - Underlying operator margins remain strong at an average of 197% despite Covid-19 based price compression
Long Term Growth Profile
TSX:ALS | OTCQX:ATUSF
Coal to Renewables Fossil Fuel to Clean Energy Conversion Cu, Co, Ni, Li Clean Iron Ore Products Lower Emission Steel Making Soil Quality/Agricultural Yield Improvements Electrification and Storage Natural Potash Fertilizer
Macro-Trend Altius Royalty Exposure
Subsidiary Altius Renewable Royalties Corp. (“ARR”) reinvesting declining coal royalty proceeds to fund the advancement of a portfolio of more than 23 GW of potential new renewable energy projects Altius’s potash fertilizer royalties relate to a portfolio of top-tier Canadian mines that are ramping up into pre-built capacity expansions as the need for sustainable food production, without additional deforestation, increases Copper, which benefits more than any other metal from EV and renewable energy transitions, represents a large portfolio
and Lithium - set to increase in importance Royalty from IOC relates to high iron / low impurity concentrates and pellets that require less metallurgical coal usage in steel making – minimizing pollution and carbon impacts
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Industry leading fundamental business growth from assets that enable the world to meet its sustainability objectives
TSX:ALS | OTCQX:ATUSF
Mine lives calculated based on current mineral inventory and 2018 throughput. Coal asset lives denote the expected plant closure and not based on
85+ Year Revenue Weighted Life
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TSX:ALS | OTCQX:ATUSF
Strong operating margins and long resource lives (85 years revenue weighted average) motivating multiple new build and expansion investments by operators = free royalty growth
Organic (Free) Mine Royalty Growth
New renewable energy royalty business growing fast as electricity generation transition accelerates and sector begins to recognize benefits of royalty finance offering
Renewable Royalty Business Gaining Momentum
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Discovery
Renewable Development Portfolio 2.5 GW Portfolio Rocanville Cory Allan Vanscoy Esterhazy Completed Potash Expansions New Mines in Construction Voisey’s Underground (Ni-Co-Cu) Gunnison (Copper)
Building Ramping Up Financing and Development
Chapada Expansion (Cu)
Resource Stage Expansion Study
Expansion of Existing Assets New Build Studies 168,000 metres of drilling in 2020 60+ Exploration Stage Royalties
TSX:ALS | OTCQX:ATUSF
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Completed Potash Expansions
embarked on and completed $9 billion of capital expansions.
Altius.
Nutrien’s Rocanville and Mosaic’s Esterhazy, which are both ultra low-cost mega-operations.
Mine Operator
Expansion Name Plate Capacity (Mtpa) Production (Mtpa)
2019 Capacity Utilization Announcemnt Date Completion Date Pre-Expansion Post-Expansion 2019 Esterhazy Mosaic May 2009 December 2017 3.9 6.2 3.9 63% Rocanville Nutrien February 2010 October 2017 3.0 6.5 5.14 79% Allan Nutrien June 2008 December 2012 1.9 4.0 2.18 55% Vanscoy Nutrien February 2010 December 2015 1.5 3.0 1.42 47% Cory Nutrien September 2010 April 2012 1.4 3.0 0.97 32% Patience Lake Nutrien
0.3 0.24 80% Total 12.7 23.0 13.9 60%
Source: S&P Global, Company Reports Note: (1) Weighted Average Capacity Utilization 1
TSX:ALS | OTCQX:ATUSF
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Chapada Upside and Optimization
fundamentally different approach to the Chapada operation and is planning to replicate the success it had at the Candelaria copper mine in Chile where it first increased reserves by more than 100% in the first few years and based on this substantially improved the production profile.
mineral resources, achieved by implementing a well funded exploration program led by qualified personnel. The exploration budget for 2020 is at least US$10M, which translates into 50,000 m of drilling. By comparison, in 2017 plus the first 6 months of 2018, Yamana drilled about 28,000 m around Chapada (a ~3X increase).
was to maximize gold production from what is primarily a copper deposit.
intention to revisit studying an expansion which may be of greater throughput than Yamana’s plan and that understanding the near mine exploration upside was the key to determining the size of any potential expansion.
Gunnison ISL Copper Mine and Expansion Potential Voisey’s Bay Expansion
its Reid Brook and Eastern Deeps deposits, will ultimately replace the open-pit mine now used. This project extends the Voisey's Bay mine life to 2034 or longer.
communities from COVID-19.
production portfolio. The project was in the late stages of commissioning when in March 2019, the project was put on care and maintenance due to the Covid-19 pandemic.
per year and expanding to 125 million pounds over the projects 24 year life.
TSX:ALS | OTCQX:ATUSF
Levelized Cost of Energy Comparison
EV Battery $ Cost / kWh $ Cost Parity with Internal Combustion Engine
Electrification trends (e.g. transportation about to shift to EV) will cause demand for electricity to grow and gain market share relative to other sources of consumer energy such as fossil fuels Lower costs, higher efficiencies and underlying demand growth coupled with a surge in ESG investment mandates creating a massive tailwind for renewable energy investments
Megatrends driving increased electricity demand: ESG Going Mainstream:
Source: “Electrifying Insights: How Automakers can Drive Electrified Vehicle Sales and Profitability,” McKinsey – January 2017 , Lazard’s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis – Version 13.0 (November 2019), US SIF Foundation
Within the electricity sector, renewable energy has become the cheapest form of new generation
Past the tipping point:
TSX:ALS | OTCQX:ATUSF
GBR formed and begins working on business concept with Altius Developed and refined renewable royalty structure and
First renewable royalty on small hydro/solar project in VT GBR acquired by Altius (through Altius Renewable Royalties) $30MM royalty investment in Tri Global Energy Silverpeak acquired Canyon Wind (TX) from TGE with 1st embedded royalty on a TGE project CIP acquired Woodford Wind (IL) from TriGlobal Energy with 2nd embedded royalty attributable to Altius $35MM+ royalty investment in Apex Clean Energy 2017 2018 2020 2019 Silverpeak acquired Flatland Solar (TX) from TGE with 3rd embedded royalty on a TGE project 16
TSX:ALS | OTCQX:ATUSF
ARR’s Royalty Finance Model Attracts Second Major Developer
US$35MM+ Investment in Apex Clean Energy
Apex is one of the largest renewable energy developers in the U.S. and has commercialized over 5 gigawatt (GW) of clean energy projects since inception in 2009. Its current portfolio includes approximately 21 GW (12.5 GW wind, 8.5 GW solar) of development projects. Apex typically vends these projects to utilities, infrastructure funds and other institutional investors prior to construction. Overview
Energy (“Apex”)
allowing Apex to ultimately bring more projects to market
threshold is met.
Royalty Contract Details
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TSX:ALS | OTCQX:ATUSF
Development Portfolio
Projects Transacted in 2019
Under Construction
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TSX:ALS | OTCQX:ATUSF
required for full royalty vesting threshold - with remainder expected throughout 2020
expected to begin in Q2 2021
begin in Q4 2021
2021
Source Company Reports
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TSX:ALS | OTCQX:ATUSF
Altius generates mineral exploration projects for sale in exchange for royalties and equity positions. This is a proven Equity/Royalty Investment Strategy that allows creation of new pipeline royalties at negative cost and provides cash for 3rd party royalty acquisitions
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Converted to new royalties and junior equities since 2016 market bottom Positive cash generation in 2019
Junior Equity Portfolio Growth
$22M $33M $54M
$54M
$34M $11M
$17M $1M
April 2016 April 2017 December 2018 December 2019 March 2020
TSX:ALS | OTCQX:ATUSF
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PRODUCING ROYALTIES DEVELOPMENT ROYALTIES PROJECT GENERATION PROJECT RENEWABLE ENERGY PORTFOLIO
CONTACT INFORMATION
Flora Wood Director, Investor Relations Phone: (416)346-9020 Email: Flora@altiusminerals.com