3M 2020 RESULTS
Periodical Financial Information
3M 2020 RESULTS Periodical Financial Information Content Slides - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
3M 2020 RESULTS Periodical Financial Information Content Slides used during analyst call 2 Segment information 15 Equity / Solvency 50 Investment portfolio 62 Legal Settlement 67 General Information 70 Periodical financial information
Periodical Financial Information
2
Slides used during analyst call 2 Segment information 15 Equity / Solvency 50 Investment portfolio 62 Legal Settlement 67 General Information 70
Periodical financial information I 3M 20 results I 13 May 2020
Main messages
Resilient operational performance in Covid-19 era
Ageas
3
Periodical financial information I 3M 20 results I 13 May 2020
due to Covid-19 pandemic
by Insurance regulator
performance and results. As a consequence, Ageas cannot confirm its profit guidance for 2020. Capital management Covid-19 Results Dividend
Sovereign bonds 47% Corporate bonds 24% Loans 14% Equities 5% Real Estate 7% Cash 3%
Investment portfolio
4
Periodical financial information I 3M 20 results I 13 May 2020
Limited investments in corporate bonds
* All assets at fair value except the ‘Held to Maturity’ assets & loans which are valued at amortized costs ; consolidated @100%
(77% rated A or higher)
In EUR bn
portfolio / only 1% BBB-
1 notch down <5pp
Banking 14% Other financials 12% Oil & Gas 3% Transportation 4% Airlines 1% Non Financials 51% Government related 15%
AAA 12% AA 16% A 25% BBB+ 16% BBB 16% BBB- 5% BB or lower 1% Not rated 9%
In EUR mio In EUR bn In EUR bn
Ageas
5
Periodical financial information I 3M 20 results I 13 May 2020
Group net result up on Fresh cap gain – Resilient underlying insurance performance Headlines
In bps avg technical liabilities In bps avg technical liabilities * incl. non-consolidated partnerships @ 100% In % NEP
Net result: Lower cap gains, weather & Fresh tender Combined ratio impacted by bad weather in both periods (8pp in ‘20 vs. 6pp in ‘19) Inflows*: Lower Life – continued growth in Non-Life Life Technical liabilities* increasing in non-conso Guaranteed Margin: lower investment result Operating margin Unit-Linked: Up in Belgium & Portugal – Down in France
(7) 339 223 89 35 24
251 452
3M 19 3M 20
GA Life Non-Life
11.1 10.0 1.7 1.9 12.8 12.0 3M 19 3M 20
Life Non-Life
98.3 99.7 3M 19 3M 20 88 56 3M 19 3M 20 18 28 3M 19 3M 20 73.6 72.1 3.9 3.4 82.2 87.5
159.6 163.0
FY 19 3M 20
conso shadow non-conso
In bps avg technical liabilities In bps avg technical liabilities In % NEP
Belgium
6
Solid underlying performance offset by adverse financial markets & weather Headlines
In EUR mio In EUR mio In EUR bn
69 (6) 12 18
81 12
3M 19 3M 20 Life Non-Life 1,407 1,072 661 686
2,068 1,758
3M 19 3M 20 Life Non-Life
58.2 57.4 3.1 2.8
61.3 60.2
FY 19 3M 20 excl shadow shadow 104.2 100.3 3M 19 3M 20 78 1 3M 19 3M 20 26 47 3M 19 3M 20
Net result: EUR 88 mio lower net capital gains Inflows: 3M 19 included UL cash-back campaign - Non-Life +4% Life Technical Liabilities lower due to decrease of UL unit prices Non-Life combined ratio impacted by weather (12 pp) - Solid Motor & Other lines Operating margin Guaranteed suffered from financial markets (-44 bps) Operating margin Unit-Linked – 3M 19 incl. cost of cash back campaign (≈15 bps)
Periodical financial information I 3M 20 results I 13 May 2020
In EUR mio
UK
7
Weather events heavily impacting net result Headlines
In % of NEP In EUR bn * incl. non-consolidated partnerships @ 100%
Net result impacted by weather events (Ciara & Dennis storms) Inflows* stable compared with 3M 2019 Non-Life combined ratio @ 98.7% excluding February weather events
11 1
3M 19 3M 20
425 424
3M 19 3M 20 95.5 107.1 3M 19 3M 20 Periodical financial information I 3M 20 results I 13 May 2020
CEU
8
Headlines
In EUR mio In EUR mio In EUR bn In bps avg technical liabilities In bps avg technical liabilities In % NEP
12 26 19 20
32 46
3M 19 3M 20 Life Non-Life 562 374 372 399
934 773
3M 19 3M 20 Life Non-Life 15.4 14.7 0.8 0.5
16.2 15.3
FY 19 3M 20 excl shadow shadow 91.7 87.3 3M 19 3M 20 140 356 3M 19 3M 20 8 3M 19 3M 20
Strong operating performance Life result supported by reserve release
Net result strongly up on reserve release in Life - Solid performance in Non-Life Inflows down 17% on low i-rates – strong growth in Non-Life (+12% at cst. FX) Life Technical liabilities 6% down due to UL following the drop in financial markets Operating margin Guaranteed up on reserve release in Portugal (251 bps) Operating margin Unit-Linked impacted by financial markets volatility
Periodical financial information I 3M 20 results I 13 May 2020
Excellent Non-Life combined ratio
8,515 7,873 575 711
9,090 8,584
3M 19 3M 20 regular single 9,090 8,583 292 424
9,382 9,007
3M 19 3M 20 Life Non-Life
In EUR mio In EUR mio In EUR bn
Asia
9
Resilient operational performance mitigating negative impact from Covid-19 Headlines
In % NEP
* incl. non-consolidated partnerships @ 100%
Higher Non-Life combined ratio following the acquisition in India (only partly integrated in Q1 2019) Inflows* -4% @ constant FX due to Covid-19, cushioned by renewals Life Technical liabilities up 7% from renewals
In EUR mio
Regular premium: remaining above 90%
142 69 5 5
147 74
3M 19 3M 20 Life Non-Life 94.2% 95.7% 3M 19 3M 20
82.2 87.5
FY 19 3M 20
Resilient net result compared to an exceptionally high result LY
Periodical financial information I 3M 20 results I 13 May 2020
Additional information on Ageas non-consolidated partnerships in Asia is available on the excel spreadsheet published on Ageas’ website under quarterly results
(www.ageas.com/investors/quarterly-results)
In EUR mio
Reinsurance
10
Cession rate on internal QS & LPT reinsurance agreements up to 40% Headlines
In % NEP In EUR mio
Net result: impacted by adverse weather Inflows: EUR 420 mio from QS agreements Combined ratio: slightly higher claims
enhance capital fungibility in the group
Insurance Limited in the UK, and 40% with all Portuguese Non-Life Entities
with the Portuguese Non-Life Entities
ageas SA/NV reinsurance activities
(12) (21) 3M 19 3M 20 861 690 3M 19 3M 20 79.5% 89.1% 3M 19 3M 20 Periodical financial information I 3M 20 results I 13 May 2020 * of which 75% is underwritten by ageas SA/NV
Value legacies
GA
11
Periodical financial information I 3M 20 results I 13 May 2020
Result driven by capital gain on the tender of Fresh securities & RPN(i) revaluation Headlines
Total liquid assets down following tender
Positive evolution of RPN(i) Staff & Operating expenses: include non-recurring costs
In EUR mio In EUR bn In EUR mio In EUR mio
Upstream from Portugal, Reinsurance, Turkey & India
(7) 339
3M 19 3M 20
(359) (303) 7 5 (514) (472)
FY 19 3M 20 RPN(i) RPI Settlement
2.2 1.6
FY 19 3M 20
7 7 22 22
29 29
3M 19 3M 20
Staff & Intercompany Operating
27 56
3M 19 3M 20
Net result: capital gain on tender of the Fresh & positive RPN(i) contribution
In EUR mio < In EUR mio
66 11 9 1 87
3M 20
Portugal Reinsurance Turkey India
Solvency
12
Periodical financial information I 3M 20 results I 13 May 2020
Solvency still comfortably exceeding target level after Fresh transaction & market impact Solvency IIageas
Solvency IIageas in % Own Funds SCR
Non EU Non-controlled participations*
Belgium UK CEU Reinsurance GA
eliminations
Group
2.7 2.8 2.7 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.2 (0.3) (0.6) (0.6) 3.7 4.0 3.7 2.4 3.2 3.3
6.4 6.3 5.5 0.8 0.9 0.8 1.0 1.1 0.9 0.1 0.7 0.7 1.3 1.5 0.9
(1.7)(1.8) (1.5)
8.0 8.6 7.3 5.8 7.7 7.7
FY 18 FY 19 3M 20 FY 18 FY 19 3M 20 FY 18 FY 19 3M 20 FY 18 FY 19 3M 20 FY 18 FY 19 3M 20 FY 18 FY 19 3M 20 FY 18 FY 19 3M 20 FY 18 FY 19 3M 20
235% 221% 205% 167% 179% 181% 178% 170% 160% 196% 173% 166% 215% 217% 196% 241% 243% 236%
* Based on local solvency requirements
Free Capital Generation
13
Periodical financial information I 3M 20 results I 13 May 2020
Operational FCG affected by February storms
expected dividend
Based on 175% SCR Solvency IIageas
Solvency IIageas
In EUR mio * * FCG Non-European NCP’s over FY 2019 at EUR 806 mio - Operational FCG at EUR 369 mio
2,438 1,979 1,474 491 491 529 726 26 85 (459) (517) (72)
2,929 2,470 2,004
10
95
Tier 1 instrument FY 19 Fresh tender FY 19 restated Model changes Market impact Operational impact Capital transactions 3M 20
14
Periodical financial information I 3M 20 results I 13 May 2020
15
Periodical financial information I 3M 20 results I 13 May 2020
Slides used during analyst call 2 Segment information 15 Equity / Solvency 50 Investment portfolio 62 Legal Settlement 67 General Information 70
Net result
16
Periodical financial information I 3M 20 results I 13 May 2020
Resilient operating performance offset by Covid-19 and weather
Belgium UK CEU Asia Reins. GA ageas
339 (7) 339 69 (6) 12 26 142 69 223 89 12 18 19 20 5 5 35 24
81 12 11 1 32 46 147 74 (12) (21) (7) 251 452
3M 19 3M 20 3M 19 3M 20 3M 19 3M 20 3M 19 3M 20 3M 19 3M 20 3M 19 3M 20 3M 19 3M 20
Non-Life Life
In EUR mio
General Account
Result suffering from market volatility & storms Result reflecting challenging Motor market & storms Strong Non-Life performance & reserve release Financial markets volatility Suffering from bad weather in Belgium & UK Belgium UK CEU Asia Reinsurance
Ageas
17
Periodical financial information I 3M 20 results I 13 May 2020
Continued strong Non-Life growth – Inflows down in Life
In EUR mio
EUR mio
3M 19
3M 20
3M 19
3M 20
3M 19
3M 20
Belgium
75%
1,407
1,072
(24%)
661
686
4%
2,068
1,758
(15%)
United Kingdom
424
(0%)
425
424
(0%)
Consolidated entities
100%
342
2%
335
342
2%
Non-consolidated JV's
50%
90 82
(8%)
90
82
(8%)
Continental Europe
562
374
(33%)
372
399
7%
934
773
(17%)
Consolidated entities 562
374
(33%)
199
216
9%
761
590
(22%)
Portugal
51% - 100%
465 251
(46%)
199 216
9%
664
467
(30%)
France
100%
97 123
27%
97
123
27%
Non-consolidated JV's 173
183
6%
173
183
6%
Turkey (Aksigorta)
36%
173 183
6%
173
183
6%
Asia Non-consolidated JV's
9,090 8,583
(6%)
292 424
45%
9,382
9,007
(4%)
Malaysia
31%
236 296
26%
162 199
22%
398
495
24%
Thailand
31% - 15%
604 496
(18%)
87 113
30%
691
610
(12%)
China
25%
8,140 7,680
(6%)
8,140
7,680
(6%)
Philippines
50%
7 10
46%
7
10
46%
Vietnam
32%
15 23
58%
15
23
58%
India
26% - 40%
89 78
(12%)
42 112
164%
131
189
45%
Insurance Ageas
11,059
10,030
(9%)
1,749
1,932
10%
12,809
11,962
(7%)
Reinsurance
861
691
861
691
accepted from Consolidated entities 859
683
859
683
accepted from Non-consolidated partnerships 2
7
2
7
Life Non-Life Total
Inflows @ 100%
Inflows
18
Periodical financial information I 3M 20 results I 13 May 2020
Inflows down in Life – Non-Life increasing across all regions
1,055 804 347 263 2,318 2,190 3,720 3,257 496 514 380 383 261 282 80 123 1,217 1,302
+1%
1,551 1,318 608 545 2,398 2,313 4,937 4,559 861 690
3M 19 3M 20 3M 19 3M 20 3M 19 3M 20 3M 19 3M 20 3M 19 3M 20 3M 19 3M 20
Belgium UK CEU Asia Insurance Reins. Non-Life Life
In EUR mio
Strong growth in Non-Life in a mature market – Life commercial campaigns in 2019 Volumes stabilising Non-Life growth in Portugal & Turkey – Life suffering from low i-rate Impact of Covid-19 mitigated by renewals Inflows include one-offs related to ramp-up phase & QS agreements Belgium UK CEU Asia Reinsurance
@ ageas part
* Inflows excluding Luxembourg, divested in 2018 & India Non-Life acquired in 2019
Net realised cap gains*
19
Periodical financial information I 3M 20 results I 13 May 2020
Equity impairments due to Covid-19
In EUR mio
* Net capital gains include capital gains, impairments & related changes in profit sharing (consolidated entitities), net of tax & @ ageas’s part – CEU JV’s not included
3M 19 3M 20
Life
33 (48) Quarterly impairments
Non-Life
3 (3) driven by Equities
Belgium 37 (51) UK 3 4
Life
2 (3)
Non-Life
1 (0)
CEU 3 (3)
Life
49 16 Impairments on equities mainly in Thailand
Non-Life
(0) (1)
Asia 49 14 Reinsurance
Life
85 (36)
Non-Life
8 (0)
Insurance 93 (36)
General Account & Eliminations
(4) 306
Total Ageas 89 270
Ageas
20
Periodical financial information I 3M 20 results I 13 May 2020
Affected by adverse weather in Belgium & UK Combined ratio
Net earned premium (In EUR mio)
In % Net earned premium
64.4 62.2 67.0 59.7 58.5 59.7 63.2 64.8 35.2 34.7 34.1 35.5 35.8 35.3 35.1 34.9
99.6 96.9 101.1 95.2 94.3 95.0 98.3 99.7
(4.0) (5.9) (3.0) (5.6) (7.7) (8.4) (6.4) (8.6) 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 3M 19 3M 20
claims ratio expense ratio PY claims ratio
Quarter
3M 20 vs. 6pp in 3M 19)
Claims ratio
further improvement in CEU in all product lines
Expense ratio improved compared to LY thanks to higher volumes
3,843 4,038 4,112 4,148 3,890 3,894 945 980
Ageas
21
Periodical financial information I 3M 20 results I 13 May 2020
Combined ratio
Accident & Health: improvement driven by CEU & UK Motor: further improving in BE, up in UK Household: February storms in BE & UK (30pp) Other lines: strong performance in BE
Affected by adverse weather in Belgium & UK
In % Net earned premium
67.3 65.4 67.5 64.8 67.4 70.3 72.0 70.7 27.0 28.3 27.2 27.5 25.4 26.0 24.4 24.2
94.3 93.7 94.7 92.3 92.8 96.3 96.4 94.9
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 3M 19 3M 20 69.6 69.1 78.2 68.7 61.2 66.5 60.7 64.1 29.7 30.5 29.7 31.6 33.0 32.9 32.5 33.7
99.3 99.6 107.9 100.3 94.2 99.4 93.2 97.8
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 3M 19 3M 20 51.5 50.4 50.5 43.8 51.8 46.1 65.0 72.0 44.6 41.6 42.7 45.1 44.8 44.6 42.9 43.1
96.1 92.0 93.2 88.9 96.6 90.7 107.9 115.1
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 3M 19 3M 20 71.2 57.9 60.4 51.0 43.9 38.3 46.3 32.5 50.6 46.4 44.4 45.1 47.8 45.1 53.0 45.1
121.8 104.3 104.8 96.1 91.7 83.4 99.3 77.6
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 3M 19 3M 20
NEP 813 811 838 884 871 930 219 240 NEP 1,616 1,724 1,790 1,782 1,636 1,623 402 402 NEP 1,029 1,078 1,067 1,072 1,028 982 244 249 NEP 385 424 418 410 356 359 80 90
Ageas
22
Periodical financial information I 3M 20 results I 13 May 2020
Guaranteed: on target - UL closing the gap
In bps Avg techn. liabilities
Operating margins
Life Unit-Linked
fees
Life Guaranteed
38 33 41 39 41 37 38 39 90 80 88 96 89 98 95 25 (39) (23) (36) (42) (42) (47) (45) (8)
89 90 93 93 88 88 88 56
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 3M 19 3M 20
12 17 4 3 2 2 1 2 2 1 2 (4) 6 18 19 24 23 26 17 30
20 36 25 27 25 28 18 28
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 3M 19 3M 20 Operating margin Expense & other m. Investment m. Underwriting m.
Avg techn liabilities (In EUR bn)
12.6 13.0 12.1 15.1 15.7 16.0 16.1 15.7
Avg techn liabilities (In EUR bn)
56.9 57.9 57.3 55.9 55.9 56.6 56.2 57.1
In bps avg technical liabilities In bps avg technical liabilities In % NEP
Belgium
23
Solid underlying performance offset by adverse financial markets & weather Headlines
In EUR mio In EUR mio In EUR bn
69 (6) 12 18
81 12
3M 19 3M 20 Life Non-Life 1,407 1,072 661 686
2,068 1,758
3M 19 3M 20 Life Non-Life
58.2 57.4 3.1 2.8
61.3 60.2
FY 19 3M 20 excl shadow shadow 104.2 100.3 3M 19 3M 20 78 1 3M 19 3M 20 26 47 3M 19 3M 20
Net result: EUR 88 mio lower net capital gains Inflows: 3M 19 included UL cash-back campaign - Non-Life +4% Life Technical Liabilities lower due to decrease of UL unit prices Non-Life combined ratio impacted by weather (12 pp) - Solid Motor & Other lines Operating margin Guaranteed suffered from financial markets (-44 bps) Operating margin Unit-Linked – 3M 19 incl. cost of cash back campaign (≈15 bps)
Periodical financial information I 3M 20 results I 13 May 2020
Life
Belgium
24
Net result & Life liabilities
In EUR mio
58.2 57.4 3.1 2.8
61.3 60.2
FY 19 3M 20 excl shadow shadow
Net result impacted by financial markets
Periodical financial information I 3M 20 results I 13 May 2020 69 (6) 12 18
81 12
3M 19 3M 20 Life Non-Life
In EUR bn
Net result decrease mostly explained by
yoy) partly compensated by a higher net underwriting result.
the impact of weather events (EUR 20 mio vs. EUR 18 mio last year)
program (vs. EUR 10 mio in 3M 19) Life technical liabilities (-2% incl. shadow accounting), mainly explained by
markets after the hit of COVID-19 leading to decrease of unit prices
201 211 185 190 205 212 70 73
+4%
661 686
3M 19 3M 20 972 897 435 175
1,407 1,072
3M 19 3M 20
Life
Belgium
25
Decrease in UL & Guaranteed - Solid Non-life growth Inflows
Unit-Linked Guaranteed Other Household Accident & Health Motor In EUR mio
Periodical financial information I 3M 20 results I 13 May 2020
Life
Unit-Linked: 3M 19 exceptionally strong thanks to cashback campaign (not repeated in 3M 20) Guaranteed lower than LY explained by:
premiums
Non-Life
following the evolution of the official construction index
Damage
Belgium
26
Periodical financial information I 3M 20 results I 13 May 2020
Combined ratio
2019 & 2020 before QS
In % Net earned premium
Net earned premium (in EUR mio)
Solid operating performance despite weather events in the first quarter
63.2 63.5 56.9 58.3 53.1 56.0 57.8 66.5 63.0 36.7 37.7 37.8 37.7 37.9 37.4 37.4 37.7 37.3
99.9 101.2 94.7 96.0 91.0 93.4 95.2 104.2 100.3
(3.6) (3.4) (7.2) (8.2) (7.7) (8.3)
(7.8) (12.7) 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 3M 19 3M 20
claims ratio expense ratio PY claims ratio
The internal reinsurance agreement has an important impact on the combined ratio. For ease of comparability, the combined ratio commented in this section excludes all impacts from this internal reinsurance agreement. Quarter
performance in Motor & other lines
3M 19) Claims ratio
Household partly offset by Motor
Expense ratio improved compared to LY thanks to higher volumes
1,785 1,815 1,832 1,836 1,861 1,944 2,023 489 510
Belgium
27
Periodical financial information I 3M 20 results I 13 May 2020
Combined ratio
2019 & 2020 before QS
In % Net earned premium
Solid operating performance despite weather events in the first quarter
Accident & Health: Higher PY offset by lower CY results Motor: Better CY result thanks to lower frequency Household: 36 pp weather impact (vs. 30 pp LY) Other lines : Excellent performance thanks to sale of 2 old reinsurance portfolios in run-off
73.7 70.1 70.4 70.0 68.0 71.0 76.2 78.6 79.8 23.8 25.4 27.6 27.6 26.9 24.4 24.4 24.6 23.5
97.5 95.5 98.0 97.6 94.9 95.4 100.6 103.2 103.4
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 3M 19 3M 20
NEP 507 504 484 472 481 522 562 131 140
64.7 62.6 56.2 59.7 58.0 55.3 60.3 55.6 50.3 36.3 37.2 36.4 36.4 36.8 37.3 37.3 37.7 37.8
101.0 99.8 92.6 96.1 94.8 92.6 97.6 93.3 88.1
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 3M 19 3M 20 51.4 51.7 43.9 47.8 38.6 49.3 46.3 72.7 78.8 45.6 45.7 45.2 44.8 45.6 46.6 46.6 46.7 46.5
97.0 97.4 89.1 92.6 84.2 95.9 92.9 119.4 125.3
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 3M 19 3M 20
NEP 564 579 595 605 609 621 640 157 162
66.1 87.5 65.8 58.3 46.8 40.3 35.8 46.1 6.5 47.2 47.6 45.0 44.6 44.8 43.0 44.3 45.2 44.7
113.3 135.1 110.8 102.9 91.6 83.3 80.1 91.2 51.3
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 3M 19 3M 20
NEP 162 170 185 190 193 206 207 52 52 NEP 552 562 568 570 578 596 614 149 155
Belgium
28
Periodical financial information I 3M 20 results I 13 May 2020
Operating margins
In bps Avg techn. liabilities
Guaranteed: impacted by financial markets UL: above the group target range
Avg techn liabilities (In EUR bn)
47.5 48.1 48.7 48.0 47.7 48.0 47.8 48.4 (38) (27) (34) (36) (37) (37) (40) (40) 30 25 29 27 31 25 26 28 95 88 91 94 91 100 92 13
87 86 86 85 85 88 78 1
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 3M 19 3M 20 (2) 1 1 1 1 32 31 31 33 39 39 26 46
30 32 31 34 40 40 26 47
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 3M 19 3M 20 Operating margin Investment m. Expense & other m. Underwriting m.
Avg techn liabilities (In EUR bn)
5.7 5.9 6.1 7.6 8.1 9.0 8.6 9.4
Life Unit-Linked
repeated in 3M 20).
Life Guaranteed
lower level of capital gains.
revenues related to the COVID-19 lock-down
FY 17 FY18 FY19 Q1’20 Guaranteed interest rate 2.32% 2.17% 1.95% 1.90% Fixed income yield 3.34% 3.25% 3.06% 3.03% Liabilities Guaranteed (EUR bn) 50.4 49.1 51.5 51.3 FY 17 FY 18 FY 19 Q1’20 Fixed income yield 1.88% 1.96% 1.63% 1.45% Reinvested amount (EUR bn) 2.9 3.2 3.6 0.9
Newly invested money mostly in corporate bonds (non-financial sector), government bonds & related loans and mortgage loans.
Belgium
29
Periodical financial information I 3M 20 results I 13 May 2020
Yield & guaranteed rate on back book down at the same pace Evolution assets & liabilities
Back book Life New money Life & Non-Life
Belgium
30
Periodical financial information I 3M 20 results I 13 May 2020
Average rate on back book decreasing in line with evolution yield fixed income Evolution assets & liabilities
Back book
vs fixed income investments
0.0% 0.5% 1.0% 1.5% 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 40,000 45,000 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 Liabilities guaranteed i-rate Existing bonds Existing guaranteed rates Book yield existing bonds
In EUR mio
UK
31
Weather events heavily impacting net result Headlines
In % of NEP In EUR bn * incl. non-consolidated partnerships @ 100%
Net result impacted by weather events (Ciara & Dennis storms) Inflows* stable compared with 3M 2019 Non-Life combined ratio @ 98.7% excluding February weather events
11 1
3M 19 3M 20
425 424
3M 19 3M 20 95.5 107.1 3M 19 3M 20 Periodical financial information I 3M 20 results I 13 May 2020
UK
32
Impact from weather events & one-offs – inflows stable Net result & Inflows
Other Household Accident & Health Motor
Net result
weather; combined with continued market wide Motor claims inflation
In EUR mio
Inflows *
Intermediated distribution channel
sold through digital channels and from new deals
Periodical financial information I 3M 20 results I 13 May 2020
11 1
3M 19 3M 20
* incl. non-consolidated partnerships @ 100% & @ constant exchange rate
6 10 299 278 87 96 32 39
0% 425 424
3M 19 3M 20
UK
33
COR impacted by weather events Combined ratio
2019 & 2020 before LPT & QS
In % Net earned premium
The internal reinsurance agreement has an important impact on the combined ratio. For ease of comparability, the combined ratio commented in this section excludes all impacts from this internal reinsurance agreement.
Combined ratio
20) combined with continued Motor market wide claims inflation
reflecting weather events
Claims ratio
Household, Commercial and Motor lines; continued market wide Motor claims inflation, good underlying Household performance
business; robust Motor prior year releases
Expense ratio mainly reflecting lower underlying operating
expenses more than offset by cost of portfolio product mix shift towards Motor Direct.
Net earned premium (In EUR mio)
Periodical financial information I 3M 20 results I 13 May 2020 65.6 66.3 69.3 80.7 68.3 60.2 63.3 59.9 70.7 32.2 33.5 32.8 31.5 34.9 36.6 35.4 35.6 36.5
97.8 99.8 102.1 112.2 103.2 96.8 98.7 95.5 107.1
(4.0) (4.6) (4.4) 4.5 (1.4) (9.2) (9.4) (6.9) (5.6) 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 3M 19 3M 20
claims ratio expense ratio PY claims ratio
1,562 1,613 1,751 1,598 1,493 1,320 1,296 319 323
UK
34
Performance impacted by weather events across almost all business lines Combined ratio
2019 & 2020 before LPT & QS
Motor: Continued market wide claims inflation & weather events Accident & Health: Excellent performance driven by an IBNR review Household: February weather events’ impact 29pp
Periodical financial information I 3M 20 results I 13 May 2020 76.2 66.0 55.8 58.4 56.1 57.8 60.2 51.4 25.4 34.3 38.7 43.3 40.9 46.7 51.4 54.3 48.0 55.5
110.5 104.7 99.1 99.3 102.8 109.2 114.5 99.4 80.9
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 3M 19 3M 20 71.9 74.6 75.8 91.0 75.0 63.7 72.1 65.8 72.0 25.0 25.1 27.2 25.5 27.6 29.7 29.4 30.3 31.5
96.9 99.7 103.0 116.5 102.6 93.4 101.5 96.1 103.5
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 3M 19 3M 20 51.4 51.0 62.2 57.6 51.7 56.9 42.8 48.5 71.6 42.4 43.3 37.3 40.6 47.8 45.1 44.1 42.7 40.7
93.8 94.3 99.5 98.2 99.5 102.0 86.9 91.2 112.3
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 3M 19 3M 20 59.8 56.0 55.3 73.7 67.0 46.3 54.0 50.5 75.0 44.4 54.3 48.6 44.9 47.0 56.7 47.9 49.1 50.1
104.2 110.3 103.9 118.6 114.0 103.0 101.9 99.6 125.1
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 3M 19 3M 20
Other: Up on commmercial line & weather events
NEP 79 71 72 39 30 30 34 7 11 NEP 907 958 1,062 1,014 947 844 831 203 202 NEP 374 399 413 361 341 309 289 71 76 NEP 202 185 204 185 175 137 142 37 35
CEU
35
Headlines
In EUR mio In EUR mio In EUR bn In bps avg technical liabilities In bps avg technical liabilities In % NEP
12 26 19 20
32 46
3M 19 3M 20 Life Non-Life 562 374 372 399
934 773
3M 19 3M 20 Life Non-Life 15.4 14.7 0.8 0.5
16.2 15.3
FY 19 3M 20 excl shadow shadow 91.7 87.3 3M 19 3M 20 140 356 3M 19 3M 20 8 3M 19 3M 20
Strong operating performance Life result supported by reserve release
Net result strongly up on reserve release in Life - Solid performance in Non-Life Inflows down 17% on low i-rates – strong growth in Non-Life (+12% at cst. FX) Life Technical liabilities 6% down due to UL following the drop in financial markets Operating margin Guaranteed up on reserve release in Portugal (251 bps) Operating margin Unit-Linked impacted by financial markets volatility
Periodical financial information I 3M 20 results I 13 May 2020
Excellent Non-Life combined ratio
CEU
36
Life net result strongly up on reserve release Solid Non-Life operating performance Net result & Life liabilities
In EUR mio
15.4 14.7 0.8 0.5
16.2 15.3
FY 19 3M 20 excl shadow shadow Periodical financial information I 3M 20 results I 13 May 2020 12 26 19 20 32 46 3M 19 3M 20 Life Non-Life
Net result
partly offset by the negative evolution of the financial markets
channels, both in Portugal and in the non-consolidated partnership in Turkey. EUR 1 mio positive impact from internal reinsurance program (vs. + EUR 3 mio in 3M 19)
In EUR bn
Life technical liabilities
in financial markets at end of the quarter
CEU
37
Periodical financial information I 3M 20 results I 13 May 2020
UL strongly up, mitigating decrease in Guaranteed Continued Non-Life growth Inflows
Unit-Linked Guaranteed Other Household Accident & Health Motor In EUR mio
439 182 123 192
562 374
3M 19 3M 20
Life Unit-Linked
during the first months of the quarter and by new product launched end of last year
Life Guaranteed
interest rates environment – transition phase ongoing in Portugal with the launch of new product
Non-Life
Health, and partly offset by FX
130 143 131 152 75 69 36 34
+7% 372 398
3M 19 3M 20
CEU
38
Periodical financial information I 3M 20 results I 13 May 2020
Combined ratio
2019 & 2020 before LPT & QS Net earned premium (In EUR mio)
In % Net earned premium
Combined ratio well below group target on lower claims frequency
63.7 61.3 55.9 58.6 59.2 62.7 60.5 64.0 59.5 30.0 30.8 29.5 30.1 31.2 29.7 30.7 27.7 27.8
93.7 92.1 85.4 88.7 90.4 92.4 91.2 91.7 87.3
(4.0) (4.3) (6.5) (6.5) (8.0) (2.9)
0.0 (1.4) 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 3M 19 3M 20
claims ratio expense ratio PY claims ratio
403 415 454 664 768 594 657 157 174
The internal reinsurance agreement has an important impact on the combined ratio. For ease of comparability, the combined ratio commented in this section excludes all impacts from this internal reinsurance agreement.
continued excellent operating performance
supporting all lines of business
CEU
39
Combined ratio
2019 & 2020 before LPT & QS
Continued excellent operating performance
Other: very small & volatile portfolio
Periodical financial information I 3M 20 results I 13 May 2020 59.7 61.9 58.8 64.9 61.4 62.5 63.0 65.5 61.8 26.6 26.7 25.2 25.1 26.8 24.8 26.0 22.2 22.9
86.3 88.6 84.0 90.0 88.2 87.3 89.0 87.7 84.8
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 3M 19 3M 20 79.3 60.1 71.5 65.5 70.4 68.0 67.2 66.1 66.1 29.2 31.6 32.3 32.5 35.0 35.3 36.6 34.0 34.3
108.5 91.7 103.8 98.0 105.4 103.3 103.8 100.1 100.4
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 3M 19 3M 20 53.5 54.0 36.1 42.3 46.5 48.5 40.3 55.4 41.5 38.8 40.3 35.9 38.0 34.7 34.2 33.2 32.7 31.5
92.3 94.3 72.0 80.3 81.2 82.7 73.5 88.1 73.0
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 3M 19 3M 20 59.6 72.3 31.7 12.1 3.9 72.6 28.3 48.7 21.2 43.7 45.1 40.8 41.3 39.2 41.5 42.4 37.5 34.6
103.3 117.4 72.5 53.4 43.1 114.0 70.7 86.2 55.8
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 3M 19 3M 20
NEP 227 238 255 328 373 318 349 84 94 NEP 99 96 94 202 249 188 207 50 53 NEP 48 51 70 91 105 74 86 19 23 NEP 29 30 35 43 41 13 15 4 4
Accident & Health: Still excellent despite slightly higher costs Motor: Improved claims ratio due to lower accident frequency Household: Claims ratio strongly down
CEU
40
Periodical financial information I 3M 20 results I 13 May 2020
Operating margins
In bps Avg techn. liabilities
95 100 110 111 99 105 101 103 77 59 76 106 80 91 103 85 (102) (71) (65) (78) (71) (106) (64) 168
70 88 121 139 108 90 140 356
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 3M 19 3M 20 1 2 (1) (1) (2) (10) 1 2 5 4 4 3 4 9 4 5 16 6 8 7 6 10 7 7 21 9 11 8 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 3M 19 3M 20 Operating margin Expense & other m. Underwriting m. Investment m.
Avg techn liabilities (In EUR bn)
7.7 8.0 8.7 7.9 8.1 8.6 8.4 8.7
Avg techn liabilities (In EUR bn)
6.2 6.1 6.0 7.5 7.6 7.0 7.5 6.3
Guaranteed margin up on reserve release in Portugal Unit-Linked margin down on financial market volatility
Life Unit-Linked
to financial market volatility
Life Guaranteed
(251 bps)
margin in Portugal.
low interest rates
8,515 7,873 575 711
9,090 8,584
3M 19 3M 20 regular single 9,090 8,583 292 424
9,382 9,007
3M 19 3M 20 Life Non-Life
In EUR mio In EUR mio In EUR bn
Asia
41
Resilient operational performance mitigating negative impact from Covid-19 Headlines
In % NEP
* incl. non-consolidated partnerships @ 100%
Higher Non-Life combined ratio following the acquisition in India (only partly integrated in Q1 2019) Inflows* -4% @ constant FX due to Covid-19, cushioned by renewals Life Technical liabilities up 7% from renewals
In EUR mio
Regular premium: remaining above 90%
142 69 5 5
147 74
3M 19 3M 20 Life Non-Life 94.2% 95.7% 3M 19 3M 20
82.2 87.5
FY 19 3M 20
Resilient net result compared to an exceptionally high result LY
Periodical financial information I 3M 20 results I 13 May 2020
Additional information on Ageas non-consolidated partnerships in Asia is available on the excel spreadsheet published on Ageas’ website under quarterly results
(www.ageas.com/investors/quarterly-results)
Asia
42
Resilient operational performance mitigating negative impact from Covid-19 Net result & Life liabilities
In EUR mio
142 69 5 5
147 74
3M 19 3M 20 Life Non-Life
82.2 87.5
FY 19 3M 20 Periodical financial information I 3M 20 results I 13 May 2020
Net result
− Equity impairments, offset by positive capital gains − Downward movement of yields in China leading to unfavourable evolution of discount rate curve − Lower sales impacting VANB
− Lower net capital gains (EUR 16 mio vs EUR 49 mio) − Lower inflows − Negative impact of the discount rate curve in China
In EUR bn
Asia
43
Limited decrease in Life inflows thanks to renewals Continued solid growth in Non-Life inflows Inflows
Unit-Linked Guaranteed Other Household Accident & Health Motor In EUR mio
8,715 8,181 375 402
9,090 8,583
3M 19 3M 20 29 31 149 206 43 55 71 132
292 424
3M 19 3M 20
All growth rates are at constant FX Periodical financial information I 3M 20 results I 13 May 2020
Life
during the pandemic, thanks to continued strong persistency
inflow Non-Life
integrated as from 22 February 2019
and Malaysia.
Malaysia: +23% contributed by both Life and Non-Life
Asia
44
Impact of Covid-19 on inflows mitigated by renewals Inflows per country
China: -5% with NB decrease mitigated by excellent persistency levels
In EUR mio
8,140 7,680 3M 19 3M 20 604 496 87 113
691 610
3M 19 3M 20 Life Non-Life 7 10 3M 19 3M 20
India: strong contribution from the Non- Life, only partly integrated in Q1 2019 Philippines: continued upward trend Vietnam: continued rapid growth
* incl. non-consolidated partnerships @ 100% All growth rates are at constant FX Periodical financial information I 3M 20 results I 13 May 2020 236 296 162 199
398 495
3M 19 3M 20 Life Non-Life 89 78 42 112 131 189 3M 19 3M 20 Life Non-Life 15 23 3M 19 3M 20
Thailand: lower Life partly offset by continued growth in Non-Life
In EUR mio
Reinsurance
45
Cession rate on internal QS & LPT reinsurance agreements up to 40% Headlines
In % NEP In EUR mio
Net result: impacted by adverse weather Inflows: EUR 420 mio from QS agreements Combined ratio: slightly higher claims
enhance capital fungibility in the group
Insurance Limited in the UK, and 40% with all Portuguese Non-Life Entities
with the Portuguese Non-Life Entities
ageas SA/NV reinsurance activities
(12) (21) 3M 19 3M 20 861 690 3M 19 3M 20 79.5% 89.1% 3M 19 3M 20 Periodical financial information I 3M 20 results I 13 May 2020 * of which 75% is underwritten by ageas SA/NV
22 33 117 161 642 339 80 157
861 690
3M 19 3M 20
In EUR mio
Reinsurance
46
Significant impact from weather events Net result & Inflows
Portugal UK Protection Belgium
240 mio in 3M 19)
Periodical financial information I 3M 20 results I 13 May 2020
claims related to windstorms and floods
increased claims from February storms
LPT contract (from 20% to 40%) not fully offset by the positive contribution of the QS
(12) (21)
3M 19 3M 20
Net result Inflows
Value legacies
GA
47
Periodical financial information I 3M 20 results I 13 May 2020
Result driven by capital gain on the tender of Fresh securities & RPN(i) revaluation Headlines
Total liquid assets down following tender
Positive evolution of RPN(i) Staff & Operating expenses: include non-recurring costs
In EUR mio In EUR bn In EUR mio In EUR mio
Upstream from Portugal, Reinsurance, Turkey & India
(7) 339
3M 19 3M 20
(359) (303) 7 5 (514) (472)
FY 19 3M 20 RPN(i) RPI Settlement
2.2 1.6
FY 19 3M 20
7 7 22 22
29 29
3M 19 3M 20
Staff & Intercompany Operating
27 56
3M 19 3M 20
Net result: capital gain on tender of the Fresh & positive RPN(i) contribution
In EUR mio < In EUR mio
66 11 9 1 87
3M 20
Portugal Reinsurance Turkey India
GA
48
Periodical financial information I 3M 20 results I 13 May 2020
Liquid assets down on capital management transaction (tender of Fresh securities) Cash position
In EUR mio
≈ 1000 ≈ 1100
settlement settlement SBB SBB FRESH
2,192 1,605
(513) (54) (24) (67) (10) 87 (6)
FY 19 Upstream Fresh Tender Settlement HQ & RO expenses Share buy-back Other 3M 20
HQ RO
GA
49
Periodical financial information I 3M 20 results I 13 May 2020
Two successful issuances of debt at holding level in 2019 Outstanding hybrids
In EUR mio
ageas SA/NV Ageasfinlux
Perp Fixed Rate Reset Temporary Write-Down Tier 1 Fixed-to-Floating Rate Callable Tier 2
Fresh - 65.50% tender in Q1 2020
Tier 1
Fixed-to-Floating Rate Callable
Tier 2
Fixed Rate Reset Dated Subordinated Notes
Tier 2
CASHES %
3.875% 3.25% 3m EUR + 135 bps 5.25% 3.50% 3m EUR +200 bps
Amount
750 500 431 (out of 1,250) 450 400 948 ISIN BE6317598850 BE0002644251 XS0147484074 BE6261254013 BE6277215545 BE0933899800 Call date June 2030 first reset date Reset to 5-yr mid-swap rate +379.2 bps July 2029 Step up to 3M Euribor +380 bps Undated, strike 315.0 mandatory 472.5 June 2024 Step up to 3M Euribor +413 bps June 2027 Step up after 12 years of 100bps Undated, strike 239.4, mandatory 359.1 Other Public issue Public issue Subscribed by Ageas & BNP Paribas Fortis Public issue Coupon served by FBB, trigger ACSM linked to Ageas dividend Market Price (31/03/20) 80.05 97.46 63.75 116.72 100.63 69.5
Fortis Bank
(now BNPPF)
AG Insurance
(Belgium)
50
Periodical financial information I 3M 20 results I 13 May 2020
Slides used during analyst call 2 Segment information 15 Equity / Solvency 50 Investment portfolio 62 Legal Settlement 67 General Information 70
Equity
51
Periodical financial information I 3M 20 results I 13 May 2020
Equity down on negative impact of financial markets
In EUR mio
7,290 7,611
3,931 3,151
452 71 22 (780) (68) (156) EUR 58.89 EUR 57.75
11,221 10,762
FY 19 result change UG/L treasury shares FX IAS 19
3M 20
Shareholders’ equity per segment
Belgium 5,135
►
4,672 Asia 4,008
►
3,828 UK 998
►
940 Reinsurance 108
►
(52) Continental Europe 1,326
►
1,261 General Account (354)
►
113
Shareholders equity
Equity per share Unrealised gains & losses Equity per segment
Equity
52
Periodical financial information I 3M 20 results I 13 May 2020
Debt leverage down after successful tender offer
Tangible net equity
I page 52
* Leverage calculated as (Subordinated liabilities + Senior debt) / (Tangible net equity + Subordinated liabilities + Senior debt) In EUR mio
FY 19 3M 20
IFRS Shareholders' Equity 11,221 10,762
Unrealised gains real estate 674 679 Goodwill (614) (605) VOBA (Value of Business Acquired) (58) (54) DAC (Deferred Acquisition Cost) (425) (441) Other (531) (530) Goodwill, DAC, VOBA related to N-C interests 381 378 Tax adjustment DAC, VOBA & Other 161 165
IFRS Tangible net equity 10,810 10,353
IFRS Tangible net equity/ IFRS Shareholder's Equity 96% 96% Debt leverage on tangible net equity * 22.4% 18.2%
Solvency
53
Periodical financial information I 3M 20 results I 13 May 2020
Solvency still comfortably exceeding target level after Fresh transaction & market impact Solvency IIageas
Solvency IIageas in % Own Funds SCR
Non EU Non-controlled participations*
Belgium UK CEU Reinsurance GA
eliminations
Group
2.7 2.8 2.7 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.2 (0.3) (0.6) (0.6) 3.7 4.0 3.7 2.4 3.2 3.3
6.4 6.3 5.5 0.8 0.9 0.8 1.0 1.1 0.9 0.1 0.7 0.7 1.3 1.5 0.9
(1.7)(1.8) (1.5)
8.0 8.6 7.3 5.8 7.7 7.7
FY 18 FY 19 3M 20 FY 18 FY 19 3M 20 FY 18 FY 19 3M 20 FY 18 FY 19 3M 20 FY 18 FY 19 3M 20 FY 18 FY 19 3M 20 FY 18 FY 19 3M 20 FY 18 FY 19 3M 20
235% 221% 205% 167% 179% 181% 178% 170% 160% 196% 173% 166% 215% 217% 196% 241% 243% 236%
* Based on local solvency requirements
Solvency II
54
Periodical financial information I 3M 20 results I 13 May 2020
Solvency down on Fresh & market – contribution from operations covering dividend accrual Solvency IIageas
* Impact including secondary impact, diversification & non-transferable
Impact on Solvency IIageas*
FY ’19 3M ’20 217% 196%
Debt initiatives
Tender of the Fresh Model refinements + 1 pp Market movements & RPN(i)
+1 pp Swap, spread & equity Operational +2 pp SBB
Expected dividend
Free Capital Generation
55
Periodical financial information I 3M 20 results I 13 May 2020
Operational FCG affected by February storms
expected dividend
Based on 175% SCR Solvency IIageas
Solvency IIageas
In EUR mio * 2,438 1,979 1,474 491 491 529 726 26 85 (459) (517) (72)
2,929 2,470 2,004
10
95
Tier 1 instrument FY 19 Fresh tender FY 19 restated Model changes Market impact Operational impact Capital transactions 3M 20
* FCG Non-European NCP’s over FY 2019 at EUR 806 mio - Operational FCG at EUR 369 mio
Free Capital Generation
56
Periodical financial information I 3M 20 results I 13 May 2020
Evolution SCR & OF split between types of impact Solvency IIageas
Own Funds SCR
In EUR mio 3,973 3,959 3,746 14 (14) (17) (193) (2) (0)
Tier 1 instrument FY 19 Fresh tender FY 19 restated Model changes Market impact Operational impact Capital transactions 3M 20
8,634 8,151 7,326 491 491 529 750 3 90 (483) (808) (72)
9,125 8,642 7,855
Tier 1 instrument FY 19 Fresh tender FY 19 restated Model changes Market impact Operational impact Capital transactions 3M 20
Free Capital Generation
57
Periodical financial information I 3M 20 results I 13 May 2020
Operational FCG movement affected by weather & one-
OF SCR FCG
Belgium
144 (6)
155
strong & steady OF generation despite weather
UK
12 4
5
impacted by weather
CEU
23 (10)
40
SCR supported by step-up to 40%
Reinsurance
(12) 26
(58)
SCR increase following step-up to 40% OF impacted by weather
General Account
(26) (1)
(25) Group eliminations
(51) (16)
(22)
SCR linked to step-up to 40%
Total Ageas
90 (2)
95
including dividend NCP's
Solvency II scope Operational YTD
In EUR mio
Solvency IIageas
Solvency
58
High Solvency ratio providing resilience against market or other external evolutions Solvency IIageas sensitivities
As per 31/12/19
SCR OF Solvency
Base case
Beforestress 3,957 8,127
205% Yield curve
Down 50 bps 4,112 7,971
194%
Up 50 bps 3,890 8,424
217% Equity
Down 25% 3,823 7,753
203% Property
Down 10% 4,063 7,875
194% Spread*
Spreads on corporate & government bonds up 50 bps 4,022 7,935
197% Corporate spread
Up 50 bps 3,953 8,159
206% Sovereign spread
Up 50 bps 4,005 7,934
198% UFR – base case 4.05%
Down 15 bps 3,959 8,142
206%
Down 35 bps 3,963 8,114
205%
* Spread sensitivity doesn’t take into account any credit rating movement
Periodical financial information I 3M 20 results I 13 May 2020
Solvency
59
Periodical financial information I 3M 20 results I 13 May 2020
Regulatory Solvency @ 200% PIM
Solvency II PIM in % Own Funds SCR
* Based on local solvency requirements ** minority interest of not-fully owned subsidiaries are equal to minority interests exceeding contribution to group SCR
In EUR bn Belgium UK CEU Reinsurance GA
eliminations**
Group
Non EU Non-controlled participations*
222% 185% 204% 169% 172% 172% 288% 274% 258% 191% 170% 162% 216% 203% 200% 241% 243% 236%
2.8 3.2 2.8 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.2 (0.3)(0.6)(0.5) 3.7 4.3 3.8 2.4 3.2 3.3
6.3 5.9 5.6 0.9 0.9 0.8 1.4 1.4 1.3 0.1 0.7 0.7 1.3 1.5 0.9
(1.9) (1.7) (1.7)
8.1 8.7 7.6 5.8 7.7 7.7
FY 18 FY 19 3M 20 FY 18 FY 19 3M 20 FY 18 FY 19 3M 20 FY 18 FY 19 3M 20 FY 18 FY 19 3M 20 FY 18 FY 19 3M 20 FY 18 FY 19 3M 20 FY 18 FY 19 3M 20
Solvency
60
Ageas asset mix not in line with EIOPA reference portfolio PIM sensitivities
As per 31/12/19
SCR OF Solvency
Base case
Beforestress 4,238 8,146
192% Yield curve
Down 50 bps 4,410 7,997
181%
Up 50 bps 4,115 8,411
204% Equity
Down 25% 4,072 7,730
190% Property
Down 10% 4,391 7,897
180% Spread*
Spreads on corporate & government bonds up 50 bps 4,589 7,604
166% Corporate spread
Up 50 bps 4,089 8,282
203% Sovereign spread
Up 50 bps 4,726 7,445
158% UFR – base case 4.05%
Down 15 bps 4,268 8,153
191%
Down 35 bps 4,289 8,142
190%
* Credit rating movement not taken up in spread sensitivity
Periodical financial information I 3M 20 results I 13 May 2020
( 1.4 ) ( 1.5 ) ( 1.5 ) ( 1.0 ) ( 1.0 ) ( 0.9 ) ( 0.9 ) ( 0.8 ) ( 0.8 ) 4.4 4.8 4.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.5
3.7 4.3 3.8
FY 18 FY 19 3M 20 Non Diversifiable Non-life UW Health UW Life UW Counterparty Default Market Loss-Absorption Deferred Taxes Loss-Absorption Techn. Liab. Diversification
Solvency
61
Periodical financial information I 3M 20 results I 13 May 2020
Composition of SCR & OF Composition of SCR & OF
Diversification Loss-Absorption Deferred Taxes
Insurance SCRageas per risk type Market risk main factor in SCR – decreased following financial market evolution Tiering of Group PIM own funds Q4 Tier 2 included overflow from Tier 1 – down
5.6 5.5 5.3 1.4 1.4 1.2 1.0 1.7 1.0 0.1 0.1 0.1
8.1 8.7 7.6
FY 18 FY 19 3M 20 Tier 3 Tier 2 Tier 1 restricted Tier 1
In EUR bn
62
Periodical financial information I 3M 20 results I 13 May 2020
Slides used during analyst call 2 Segment information 15 Equity / Solvency 50 Investment portfolio 62 Legal Settlement 67 General Information 70
Investment portfolio
63
Periodical financial information I 3M 20 results I 13 May 2020
Investment portfolio down on lower UG/L
* All assets at fair value except the ‘Held to Maturity’ assets & loans which are valued at amortized costs
Gross UG/L on Available for Sale Gross UG/L on Real Estate Gross UG/L on Held to Maturity
Sovereign bonds 38.4 Sovereign bonds 38.1 Corporate bonds 20.8 Corporate bonds 19.8 Structured 0.1 Structured 0.1 Loans 11.1 Loans 11.7 Equities 4.6 Equities 4.2 Real Estate 5.6 Real Estate 5.6 Cash 3.7 Cash 2.7
84.3 82.2
FY 19 3M 20
° Sovereigns at EUR 6.3 bn (vs. EUR 6.4 bn) ° Corporates at EUR 0.8 bn (vs. EUR 1.5 bn)
Ageas Group has joined the commitment to incorporate ESG issues into its investment analysis and decisions and signed on behalf of all its consolidated entities the UN PRI
In EUR bn
Investment portfolio
64
Periodical financial information I 3M 20 results I 13 May 2020
Value fixed income assets down on lower UG/L
* All assets at fair value except the ‘Held to Maturity’ assets & loans which are valued at amortized costs Belgium 18.5 Belgium 18.6 France 6.3 France 6.3 Austria 2.7 Austria 2.6 Portugal 2.8 Portugal 2.8 Spain 2.2 Spain 2.2 Italy, 1.5 Italy, 1.5 Germany 1.2 Germany 1.1 Ireland 0.5 Ireland 0.4 Other 2.6 Other 2.5
38.4 38.1
FY 19 3M 20
6.4 bn)
A or higher
– matched portfolio
Sovereign bond portfolio*
In EUR bn
Loan portfolio (customers & banks)*
benefiting from an explicit guarantee by the Belgian regions or the French State
Loans to banks 0.6
Loans to banks 0.9 RE 0.2 RE 0.2 Infrastructure 1.1 Infrastructure 1.2 Mortgages 1.2 Mortgages 1.2 Other 8.0 Other 8.2
11.1 11.7
FY 19 3M 20
Investment portfolio
65
Periodical financial information I 3M 20 results I 13 May 2020
Corporate bond portfolio* down on lower UG/L
* All assets at fair value except the ‘Held to Maturity’ assets & loans which are valued at amortized costs ; consolidated @100%
Corporate bond portfolio – by sector
Banking 3.0 Banking 2.7 Other financials 2.4 Other financials 2.4 Non Financials 12.3 Non Financials 11.7 Government related 3.1 Government related 3.0
20.8 19.8
FY 19 3M 20
86% rated A or higher), Airlines (≈1%) & Transportation (≈4% of which 77% rated A or higher)
In EUR bn
Corporate bond portfolio – by rating
investment grade - 52% rated A or higher
portfolio of which EUR 3.2 bn BBB+ exposure
investments AAA 2.3 AA 3.1 A 5.0 BBB+ 3.2 BBB 3.2 BBB- 1.1 BB or lower 0.3 Not Rated 1.7
Investment portfolio
66
Periodical financial information I 3M 20 results I 13 May 2020
In EUR bn
* All assets at fair value except the ‘Held to Maturity’ assets & loans which are valued at amortized costs
Equity portfolio*
Equities 2.4 Equities 1.9 Equity funds 0.5 Equity funds 0.4 RE funds 0.9 RE funds 0.9
Mixed funds &
Mixed funds &
4.6 4.2
FY 19 3M 20
Real estate portfolio*
in shareholders’ equity but contributing to available capital for solvency calculation)
Investment Offices 2.6 Investment Offices 2.6 Car Parks 1.3 Car Parks 1.3 Investment Retail 1.2 Investment Retail 1.2
RE Development 0.3 RE Development 0.3
0.3
0.3
5.6 5.6
FY 19 3M 20
Equity portfolio* down on lower UG/L
67
Periodical financial information I 3M 20 results I 13 May 2020
Slides used during analyst call 2 Segment information 15 Equity / Solvency 50 Investment portfolio 62 Legal Settlement 67 General Information 70
Legal
68
Periodical financial information I 3M 20 results I 13 May 2020
Settlement in full execution mode
16/10/2017
any legal proceeding related to the events
mio coming from D&O insurers – Additional ≈EUR 18 mio paid in April 2020
Announcement 14/03/2016
Court’s decision to declare the settlement binding on 13/07/2018
Binding declaration and claims filing period Claims validation & payments ongoing
Claims filing ended on 28/07/2019
Legal
69
Periodical financial information I 3M 20 results I 13 May 2020
Proceedings related to the past that remain outstanding
Administrative proceedings Criminal investigation Civil proceedings Other proceedings
Court
70
Periodical financial information I 3M 20 results I 13 May 2020
Slides used during analyst call 2 Segment information 18 Equity / Solvency 53 Investment portfolio 65 Legal Settlement 70 General Information 73
Outstanding shares
71
Periodical financial information I 3M 20 results I 13 May 2020
Reclassification of 2.6 mio treasury shares following tender
* After deduction of shares for management plans situation 31/12/2019 situation 31/03/2020 situation 11/05/2020
198,374,327 198,374,327 198,374,327
11,747,866 13,355,195 14,126,552 3,820,753 5,428,082 6,199,439 3,968,254 1,369,048 1,369,048 2,599,206 2,599,206 3,958,859 3,958,859 3,958,859 186,626,461 185,019,132 184,247,775
Total Issued Shares
Shares not entitled to dividend nor voting rights
Share buy-back FRESH Other treasury shares
Shares entitled to dividend & voting rights
*
Shareholders structure
72
Periodical financial information I 3M 20 results I 13 May 2020
Ageas 5.1% Ping An BlackRock, Inc. Fosun Identified retail investors 22% Identified institutional investors 48% Other investors 14%
Based upon press release 11 May 2020 Based upon the number of shares mentioned in the notification received 6 May 2013 Based upon the number of shares mentioned in the notification received 6 April 2020 Based upon the number of shares mentioned in the notification received 16 May 2019 Estimate by Estimate by Ageas Ping An BlackRock, Inc. Fosun Identified retail investors Identified institutional investors
Ratings
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Periodical financial information I 3M 20 results I 13 May 2020
S&P MOODY'S FITCH Operating entities
AG Insurance (Belgium) A / positive A2 / stable* A+ / stable Last review 21/11/19 13/12/19 29/04/20
unsollicited
Ageas Insurance Limited A / positive A+ / stable Last review 21/11/19 29/04/20 Muang Thai Life BBB+ / Stable A- / negative Last review 15/04/20 08/05/20 Etiqa Insurance Berhad (Malaysia) A / stable Last review 06/05/20 China Taiping Life A+ / stable Last review 16/03/20
Holding
ageas SA/NV A / positive A3 / stable* A+ / stable Last review 21/11/19 13/12/19 29/04/20
unsollicited
* Ageas has requested in early 2009 that this rating should be withdrawn. Ageas no longer participates in Moody's credit rating process. Ageas does not provide, for purposes of Moody's rating, access to the books, records and other relevant internal documents of these rated entities.
74
Periodical financial information I 3M 20 results I 13 May 2020
Certain of the statements contained herein are statements of future expectations and other forward-looking statements that are based on management's current views and assumptions and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied in such statements. Future actual results, performance or events may differ materially from those in such statements due to, without limitation, (i) general economic conditions, including in particular economic conditions in Ageas’s core markets, (ii) performance of financial markets, (iii) the frequency and severity
(v) persistency levels, (vi) interest rate levels, (vii) currency exchange rates, (viii) increasing levels of competition, (ix) changes in laws and regulations, including monetary convergence and the Economic and Monetary Union, (x) changes in the policies of central banks and/or foreign governments and (xi) general competitive factors, in each case on a global, regional and/or national basis. In addition, the financial information contained in this presentation, including the pro forma information contained herein, is unaudited and is provided for illustrative purposes only. It does not purport to be indicative of what the actual results of operations or financial condition of Ageas and its subsidiaries would have been had these events occurred or transactions been consummated on or as of the dates indicated, nor does it purport to be indicative of the results of operations or financial condition that may be achieved in the future.
Investor Relations
Tel: E-mail: Website: + 32 2 557 57 32 ir@ageas.com www.ageas.com