Shifting Interviewer Focus from Hours to Attempts in CAPI: Results - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Shifting Interviewer Focus from Hours to Attempts in CAPI: Results - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Shifting Interviewer Focus from Hours to Attempts in CAPI: Results of a Field Test Beth Newman, Rachel Horwitz, Aliza Kwiat Survey Methodology Demographic Statistical Methods Division U.S. Census Bureau AAPOR 2018 Disclaimer: Any views


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Shifting Interviewer Focus from Hours to Attempts in CAPI: Results of a Field Test

Beth Newman, Rachel Horwitz, Aliza Kwiat Survey Methodology Demographic Statistical Methods Division U.S. Census Bureau AAPOR 2018

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Disclaimer: Any views expressed are those of the authors and not necessarily those of the U.S. Census Bureau.

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Shifting Focus Motivation

  • No contact attempt limit
  • Increase control over how cases are worked
  • Hour limit arbitrary
  • Implement scientific protocol
  • Reduce costs

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Previous Research

  • Truncated data by contact attempt
  • Examined weighted estimates
  • Potential to limit contact attempts to 11 or 13, without significantly

changing response rates or key estimates, respectively

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Field Test Goals

Observe if contact limit of 12 transferred well to field

  • Impact on response, key estimates
  • Challenges from procedural changes

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Field Test Constraints

  • Risk
  • Cost
  • Limited IT functionality

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Field Test Selection

  • Nonrandom design
  • Regional Offices: Atlanta, Chicago, Denver
  • Primary Sampling Units (PSUs): low CATI,

low vacancy

  • Machine learning: clustering PSUs
  • 2010 frame data
  • 4,600 Households in treatment and control

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Limitations

  • Nonrandom, no weights
  • 2010 frame data out-of-date
  • Noncompliance
  • Some interviewers thought 12 attempts was the goal, not the

maximum

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Evaluation Measures

  • Response and retention rates
  • Respondent/non-respondent demographics
  • Frequencies and R-indicators
  • Four key estimates
  • Interviewer behavior
  • Interviewer feedback

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Four Key Estimates

  • Percent Reporting Unemployment
  • Employment to Population Ratio
  • Percent of Persons Not in the Labor Force
  • Percent of Persons Employed Part-time for Economic Reasons

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Comparison Method

Permutation Tests

  • Generate reference distribution for test statistics
  • No larger population assumptions
  • Calculate two-sided t-statistic 10,000 times

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Comparison Method, Permutations

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Response Rates

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Unweighted Response Rates Groups Response Rate (Percent) Treatment 87.31 Control 86.06 Non-treatment (Control + Remaining CPS sample) 86.44

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Demographic Comparisons

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Previous Month Comparisons

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Estimate Differences Over Time

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  • 1.50
  • 1.00
  • 0.50

0.00 0.50 1.00

Treatment and Control Treatment and Non-treatment

Proportion Unemployed Unweighted 2017 Percentage Point Difference

May June July August September October

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Conclusions

Shifting from hours to contact attempts No influence:

  • Response or retention rates
  • 3 of 4 key estimates
  • Respondents demographics
  • Interviewer behavior and costs

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Beth Newman Survey Methodology Demographic Statistical Methods Division U.S. Census Bureau beth.newman@census.gov

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